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NFT: Stanton is a Yankee!!

Big Rick in FL : 12/9/2017 7:53 am
Per Jon Heyman's Twitter.
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RE: Anyone know  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 12:51 pm : link
In comment 13731579 BigBlueShock said:
Quote:
If the Marlins cover $30 million, hows that effect the tax rest this year? Can the Yankees manipulate that to show more money saved this season and payout more each successive season, or would the savings be averaged out over the term of the deal?


Teams get to decide how they want to allocate any money included in a deal. The Yanks could apply it over the next 2 seasons- or use it in different seasons- or simply just spread it out evenly.

Keep in mind that the luxury tax computation is not obvious here. Stanton's deal has a AAV of $25M for luxury tax purposes. Castro has an AAV of $8,571,500 for the next two seasons.

Therefore, for luxury tax purposes, Stanton's deal only adds $16,428,500 for the next two seasons, then adds $25M per the rest of the way- BEFORE applying the $30M.

Let's assume that the Yanks decide to apply the $30M over the next two seasons. Since Stanton adds $16,428,500 x 2 = $32,857,000. If the Yanks applies the $30M to that total, the Yanks would essentially be adding $2.857M over the next TWO seasons to their current luxury tax computations.

Keep in mind that Stanton has an "opt out" after the 2020 season. Given what Machado and Harper will almost certainly achieve after the 2018 season (sure to break through the $300M barrier- and POSSIBLY the $400M barrier), Stanton will almost certainly opt out.

Thus, the Yanks will be likely to apply the $30M either over the next 2 years or 3 years, in order to make sure that they get the full benefit of that $$$.

Therefore, if the Yanks were to spread that $30M over the next 3 years, the luxury tax hit would be an added $27.857M added to their current totals over the next 3 seasons- with most of it on the back end (the 2020 season).
Per Joel Sherman  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 12:53 pm : link
Joel Sherman‏Verified account
@Joelsherman1
4m4 minutes ago
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The #Yankees will only receive the $30M if Stanton does NOT opt out after the 2020 season. #Marlins
RE: RE: Anyone know  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 12:54 pm : link
In comment 13731595 Ace718 said:
Quote:
In comment 13731579 BigBlueShock said:


Quote:


If the Marlins cover $30 million, hows that effect the tax rest this year? Can the Yankees manipulate that to show more money saved this season and payout more each successive season, or would the savings be averaged out over the term of the deal?



From Twitter- looks like $3 million in tax credit for the next 10 years.


Quote:


Jon Morosi
#Yankees will receive luxury tax credit of $3 million per year in Stanton trade; $30 million cash payment from #Marlins is averaged over the 10 years regardless of when payouts come, and even though opt-out exists. @MLB @MLBNetwork



Unless the rules changed in the new CBA, this isn't true. Go back and look how the Yanks allocated the money from Vernon Wells that they got in the Angels deal.
Jorge Guzman and Jose Devers are the prospects.  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 12:54 pm : link
Quote:
Joel Sherman‏Verified account
@Joelsherman1
Follow Follow @Joelsherman1
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The minor leaguers #Marlins are getting are Jorge Guzman and Jose Devers, who is Rafael Devers' cousin.
RE: RE: Guzman  
Dave in PA : 12/9/2017 12:56 pm : link
In comment 13731592 Ace718 said:
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In comment 13731580 Dave in PA said:


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Not the most in depth article, but if hes been traded it certainly looks like Miami may have found an absolute stud if he can maintain quality mechanics. Kind of flies in the face of just a salary dump from Miamis perspective. I get that they cant purely trade Stanton just to get rid of his salary and not get a return, but if the Yankees really were the only team that remained as a trading partner (LA supposedly not wanting to add his salary), why even give up a prospect the caliber of Guzman? Make Miami take something lesser. Its not like they could back off the Stanton trade and not have it be a total mess after all theyd gone through already. Jorge Guzman - 2018 preview - ( New Window )



You were not gonna get him for nothing. We gave up a better prospect in Rutherford for lesser player than Stanton.
I get it, I would t undo the trade to save Guzman. Just pondering how desperate Miami really would have been to dump Stantons contract if NY was the only viable trade partner and didnt give in to Denbos wish list. Again, do the trade and dont look back.
Stanton's  
Photoguy : 12/9/2017 12:57 pm : link
the face of the franchise down there, is he not? It will be interesting to see how this plays out in attendance for them.
Castro, Guzman, and Devers for Stanton.  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 12:59 pm : link
Quote:
Joel Sherman
More
Castro, Devers, Guzman for Stanton and $30M pending physical. #Yankees doing thorough work up so might not be finalized until tomorrow or Monday
RE: RE: RE: Guzman  
LarmerTJR : 12/9/2017 12:59 pm : link
Really? The kids are years away if they make it. I am pretty this guys arent the top two on Gary Denbos Wishlist. The regaining MVP traded for peanuts and we complain that we had to give anything except organizational filler. Unbelievable.

In comment 13731600 Dave in PA said:
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In comment 13731592 Ace718 said:


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In comment 13731580 Dave in PA said:


Quote:


Not the most in depth article, but if hes been traded it certainly looks like Miami may have found an absolute stud if he can maintain quality mechanics. Kind of flies in the face of just a salary dump from Miamis perspective. I get that they cant purely trade Stanton just to get rid of his salary and not get a return, but if the Yankees really were the only team that remained as a trading partner (LA supposedly not wanting to add his salary), why even give up a prospect the caliber of Guzman? Make Miami take something lesser. Its not like they could back off the Stanton trade and not have it be a total mess after all theyd gone through already. Jorge Guzman - 2018 preview - ( New Window )



You were not gonna get him for nothing. We gave up a better prospect in Rutherford for lesser player than Stanton.

I get it, I would t undo the trade to save Guzman. Just pondering how desperate Miami really would have been to dump Stantons contract if NY was the only viable trade partner and didnt give in to Denbos wish list. Again, do the trade and dont look back.
RE: Stanton's  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 12:59 pm : link
In comment 13731602 Photoguy said:
Quote:
the face of the franchise down there, is he not? It will be interesting to see how this plays out in attendance for them.


They were 29th in attendee last last year. Dropping to 30 is not much of a drop.
Frazier is the odd man out here.  
Keith : 12/9/2017 1:05 pm : link
There doesn't seem to be anywhere for him to play. Is there a young, cost controlled pitcher we can target in a trade by dangling Frazier?
Who plays LF? Stanton ?  
DennyInDenville : 12/9/2017 1:06 pm : link
I think Judge should stay in RF
I would guess that we will have 4 OF's rotating  
Keith : 12/9/2017 1:07 pm : link
with Stanton primarily as the DH. Judge, Gardner, Hicks and Stanton
The best part is ELlsbury is burried  
adamg : 12/9/2017 1:15 pm : link
He's better off anywhere else.
Gotta figure that Betances and Frazier are available for starting  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:16 pm : link
pitching. Frazier could still take over for Gardner in a year if we're going to rotate 4 outfielders, but he's kind of superfluous at this point.

We need more front line pitching, and as I see it these two guys give us the best chance to land a decent starter.
Clint Frazier  
Dave in PA : 12/9/2017 1:17 pm : link
I think its premature to write him off as a Yankee. Clearly his a big time trade chip, but Gardner could be in his last year here if his club option is declined for 2019 (unlikely). The bigger question is are they sold on Hicks being a permanent solution?
I believe Florial is being groomed  
Keith : 12/9/2017 1:17 pm : link
as Gardners replacement.

Andujar to 3B
Torres to 2B
Florial to CF
Set for 10 years!
RE: I believe Florial is being groomed  
adamg : 12/9/2017 1:18 pm : link
In comment 13731629 Keith said:
Quote:
as Gardners replacement.

Andujar to 3B
Torres to 2B
Florial to CF
Set for 10 years!


Any idea of the prospects we gave up?
RE: Clint Frazier  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:18 pm : link
In comment 13731626 Dave in PA said:
Quote:
I think its premature to write him off as a Yankee. Clearly his a big time trade chip, but Gardner could be in his last year here if his club option is declined for 2019 (unlikely). The bigger question is are they sold on Hicks being a permanent solution?


I think that they view Florial as the long term solution in CF. So Hicks has to play there for 2 years or so...not a bad thing given his great defense and decent bat.
RE: Frazier is the odd man out here.  
Milton : 12/9/2017 1:19 pm : link
In comment 13731611 Keith said:
Quote:
There doesn't seem to be anywhere for him to play. Is there a young, cost controlled pitcher we can target in a trade by dangling Frazier?
Does the name Gerrit Cole ring a bell?
Hicks is absolutely the CF solution  
Keith : 12/9/2017 1:20 pm : link
until Florial is ready, IMO. He's a stud fielder at a minimum and his bat is plenty good to bat 7th or 8th with plenty of upside.

He battled injuries which hurt(no pun intended), but if you annualize his numbers, he hit .266 with 30 HR's and a .367 OBP.
I know the contract plays a big factor  
Kyle in NY : 12/9/2017 1:20 pm : link
But that's larceny to get the MVP for that package of players. Guzman has a lot of promise, but damn that's a steal. I proposed something yesterday with Andujar and Adams and would have been ok with it. That is truly a fantastic way of utilizing your leverage in negotiating

RE: Hicks is absolutely the CF solution  
adamg : 12/9/2017 1:21 pm : link
In comment 13731635 Keith said:
Quote:
until Florial is ready, IMO. He's a stud fielder at a minimum and his bat is plenty good to bat 7th or 8th with plenty of upside.

He battled injuries which hurt(no pun intended), but if you annualize his numbers, he hit .266 with 30 HR's and a .367 OBP.


He was amazing in the first half. 300 average and 400 on base for a while. He's a great bottom of the order guy. And he has decent speed.
Agreed,  
Keith : 12/9/2017 1:22 pm : link
I'm very confident and comfortable with Hicks as the CF. Ellsbury will ride the pine and be insurance in case Hicks gets hurt. Not the worst insurance plan.
Prospects (not sure if already posted)  
adamg : 12/9/2017 1:23 pm : link
Quote:
rhp jorge guzman and infielder jose devers


per Heyman
RE: RE: Frazier is the odd man out here.  
Jay on the Island : 12/9/2017 1:23 pm : link
In comment 13731632 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 13731611 Keith said:


Quote:


There doesn't seem to be anywhere for him to play. Is there a young, cost controlled pitcher we can target in a trade by dangling Frazier?

Does the name Gerrit Cole ring a bell?

That would make a lot of sense. The Yankees would have to add a little more though.
Frazier is certainly available  
Kyle in NY : 12/9/2017 1:24 pm : link
But Stanton has a history with injuries and could be destined for more time at DH eventually and Gardner has a year left here. So I agree, I wouldn't write off Clint as a part of this future core
Imagine if we could get rid of Ellsbury while eating most of his  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:25 pm : link
contract. He's really unnecessary given that Gardy could back up CF for us. Even if we got $5-7M in salary relief it would be a worthy deal, giving us more flexibility moving forward. I wonder whether he'd approve a trade now that he has almost no worth to us, and is likely to get no playing time.
$22 million per year is what Stanton's salty will count against tax.  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:26 pm : link
Quote:

Ken Rosenthal
More
Castro, Devers, Guzman for Stanton and $30M pending physical. #Yankees doing thorough work up so might not be finalized until tomorrow or Monday
By moving Castro in the deal  
Kyle in NY : 12/9/2017 1:28 pm : link
and getting some cash back I think they can still get under the tax this season. Incredible
Ellsbury at about $10 million a year  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:29 pm : link
could be a useful player for some team. But don't think we'll find a team willing to take on 25% of Ellsbury's contract. So 50% is a bigger dream.
Huge win all around for the Yankees.  
bceagle05 : 12/9/2017 1:29 pm : link
(A) Add an MVP to an already stacked team.
(B) Ditch Castro to offset some of the cost.
(C) Replace Castro with Torres, rather than spending on a 2B.
(D) Hold onto top tier prospects, possibly deal Clint for starting pitching.
(E) Stay in position to spend big in FA next winter.

Cashman does it again.
RE: By moving Castro in the deal  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:29 pm : link
In comment 13731656 Kyle in NY said:
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and getting some cash back I think they can still get under the tax this season. Incredible


They will be under the tax threshold. That is a given at this point. They will have enough money to add another pitcher.
So Cashman trades Adam Warren for Castro  
DennyInDenville : 12/9/2017 1:30 pm : link
Gets warren back plus Torres quickly for a rental who we got back asap also..

Then Cashman trades Castro and lotto tickets for Stanton


Just wow.

Guy is amazing
RE: RE: RE: Only New Yorkers  
Jay in Toronto : 12/9/2017 1:31 pm : link
In comment 13731340 BigBlueShock said:
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In comment 13731335 Milton said:


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In comment 13731262 Big Rick in FL said:


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Could trade for a top 5 player in baseball without giving up any top prospects and still not like the deal.

My concern is that he is coming off a career year and won't be a top 5 or 10 or even a top 15 or 20 player going forward. Last year he hit .281, but the year before that he hit .240 and his lifetime batting average is .268.


Nobody cares about batting average anymore. Its a terrible metric to judge value


Also a terrible metric (by which) to value Judge.

;)
RE: So Cashman trades Adam Warren for Castro  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:32 pm : link
In comment 13731662 DennyInDenville said:
Quote:
Gets warren back plus Torres quickly for a rental who we got back asap also..

Then Cashman trades Castro and lotto tickets for Stanton


Just wow.

Guy is amazing


That's why he's signing a 5 year $25 million extension.
RE: Ellsbury at about $10 million a year  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:36 pm : link
In comment 13731658 Ace718 said:
Quote:
could be a useful player for some team. But don't think we'll find a team willing to take on 25% of Ellsbury's contract. So 50% is a bigger dream.


Were you addressing my post? I had a team taking Ellsbury for $5-7M a year, and the Yanks paying the rest. I'm guessing that some team might be willing to do that.
RE: Frazier is certainly available  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 1:36 pm : link
In comment 13731648 Kyle in NY said:
Quote:
But Stanton has a history with injuries and could be destined for more time at DH eventually and Gardner has a year left here. So I agree, I wouldn't write off Clint as a part of this future core


Remember that Frazier lost a ton of development time last year with that lat injury. He can easily be sent to AAA to work on some things.

Keep in mind as well that Gardner is a FA at the end of the year. I think Stanton will be a DH most of the time, and could remain there if Frazier were to take over for Gardner in 2019.

We also need to keep in mind that Stanton has an opt-out after 2020. Keeping Frazier around allows the Yanks to keep a potentially high end bat around to ease the potential loss of Stanton down the road.
RE: RE: So Cashman trades Adam Warren for Castro  
Matt in SGS : 12/9/2017 1:38 pm : link
In comment 13731665 Ace718 said:
Quote:
In comment 13731662 DennyInDenville said:


Quote:


Gets warren back plus Torres quickly for a rental who we got back asap also..

Then Cashman trades Castro and lotto tickets for Stanton


Just wow.

Guy is amazing



That's why he's signing a 5 year $25 million extension.


This is what happens when you set up the revenue streams the Yankees have, with the willingness to spend, and have the farm system rework the past 3-4 years all burst at the same time. It's the perfect storm to allow them to land guys like Stanton, and others in the future. Essentially, the Yankees became as good as your small market teams ability to bring in cost controlled talent and augment with big price stars to fill out the roster. Once the pitching comes into play, this team has dynasty written all over it again. For those too young to remember the Yankee machine as it started to rev up in 1995 and 1996, you are seeing it now.
RE: RE: Ellsbury at about $10 million a year  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:39 pm : link
In comment 13731667 yatqb said:
Quote:
In comment 13731658 Ace718 said:


Quote:


could be a useful player for some team. But don't think we'll find a team willing to take on 25% of Ellsbury's contract. So 50% is a bigger dream.



Were you addressing my post? I had a team taking Ellsbury for $5-7M a year, and the Yanks paying the rest. I'm guessing that some team might be willing to do that.


No, it was a general comment about Ellsbury. I agree with you. If a team is willing to pay even that much of Ellsbury's salary then we should do it. Just not gonna happen.
True, Rich. And keeping Frazier (especially if you find someone  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:39 pm : link
to take Ellsbury) gives us another guy who can spell Hicks in CF, and a very good defensive LFer.
RE: RE: Frazier is certainly available  
Kyle in NY : 12/9/2017 1:40 pm : link
In comment 13731668 rich in DC said:
Quote:
In comment 13731648 Kyle in NY said:


Quote:


But Stanton has a history with injuries and could be destined for more time at DH eventually and Gardner has a year left here. So I agree, I wouldn't write off Clint as a part of this future core



Remember that Frazier lost a ton of development time last year with that lat injury. He can easily be sent to AAA to work on some things.

Keep in mind as well that Gardner is a FA at the end of the year. I think Stanton will be a DH most of the time, and could remain there if Frazier were to take over for Gardner in 2019.

We also need to keep in mind that Stanton has an opt-out after 2020. Keeping Frazier around allows the Yanks to keep a potentially high end bat around to ease the potential loss of Stanton down the road.


Yep absolutely, could be available for the right pitcher, but we could easily send him to AAA and he's the first call up after an injury, ready to take over LF in 2019 with Stanton at DH
40-50 games each  
bigbluehoya : 12/9/2017 1:41 pm : link
At DH are probably a good thing for the long-term well-being of both Judge and Stanton.

Id consider attaching Frazier to Ellsbury if it helps jettison that Ellsbury contract with no/minimal $ retention.
RE: RE: RE: RE: Only New Yorkers  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 1:42 pm : link
In comment 13731664 Jay in Toronto said:
Quote:
In comment 13731340 BigBlueShock said:


Quote:


In comment 13731335 Milton said:


Quote:


In comment 13731262 Big Rick in FL said:


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Could trade for a top 5 player in baseball without giving up any top prospects and still not like the deal.

My concern is that he is coming off a career year and won't be a top 5 or 10 or even a top 15 or 20 player going forward. Last year he hit .281, but the year before that he hit .240 and his lifetime batting average is .268.


Nobody cares about batting average anymore. Its a terrible metric to judge value



Also a terrible metric (by which) to value Judge.

;)


Note that Stanton has a CAREER OBP of .360 and a career SLG of .554- for a career OPS of .914.

Just to put that in perspective, in 2017- which was a season of inflated offensive production league-wide, only 20 players (including Stanton himself) had an OPS in excess of .914
Wow ...  
Beer Man : 12/9/2017 1:43 pm : link
Talk about a salary dump. I liked Castro at 2nd and the upside of Guzman, but the Marlins definitely didn't receive equal value for Stanton. IMO, the Yanks should now dump Jacoby and trade Gardner (which I know is not popular with a lot). I would like to see Red take over for Gardner and be the 4th man in the outfield rotation. Gardner has been great for the Yanks, but he is well into the back nine of his career and who knows how many good seasons he has left.
Prospects in deal announced:  
guitarguybs12 : 12/9/2017 1:46 pm : link
Jon Heyman
@JonHeyman
prospects going to marlins are rhp jorge guzman and infielder jose devers. considered mid-range prospects, but ex-yankee exec gary denbo obviously sees potential. @Joelsherman1 1st with prospects
RE: Wow ...  
yatqb : 12/9/2017 1:46 pm : link
In comment 13731680 Beer Man said:
Quote:
Talk about a salary dump. I liked Castro at 2nd and the upside of Guzman, but the Marlins definitely didn't receive equal value for Stanton. IMO, the Yanks should now dump Jacoby and trade Gardner (which I know is not popular with a lot). I would like to see Red take over for Gardner and be the 4th man in the outfield rotation. Gardner has been great for the Yanks, but he is well into the back nine of his career and who knows how many good seasons he has left.


One issue with trading Gardner is that the team really doesn't have another guy who's ideal in the leadoff spot.
Just something to think about  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 1:46 pm : link
Stanton has an opt-out after 2020. Which just happens to be the same time that Ellsbury and Tanaka's deals end. Chapman would be the only long-term deal left- but he ALSO has an opt-out.

There is a possibility that the Yanks could enter the 2020 off-season without ANY long term financial commitments.
From what almost all the writers have said  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:47 pm : link
its's pretty clear that the Yankees plan on keeping Gardner. They also seem to think that Ellsbury will spend the next 3 years rotting on the bench as a pinch runner and 5th outfielder.
RE: Just something to think about  
Ace718 : 12/9/2017 1:49 pm : link
In comment 13731687 rich in DC said:
Quote:
Stanton has an opt-out after 2020. Which just happens to be the same time that Ellsbury and Tanaka's deals end. Chapman would be the only long-term deal left- but he ALSO has an opt-out.

There is a possibility that the Yanks could enter the 2020 off-season without ANY long term financial commitments.


Just don't see Stanton opting out and leaving that much money on the table. He'll be 31 and will not get more money in the open market. He'll be leaving $218 on the table with the opt out.
RE: From what almost all the writers have said  
rich in DC : 12/9/2017 1:55 pm : link
In comment 13731688 Ace718 said:
Quote:
its's pretty clear that the Yankees plan on keeping Gardner. They also seem to think that Ellsbury will spend the next 3 years rotting on the bench as a pinch runner and 5th outfielder.


Keep in mind that the Yanks have Gardner ($13M for luxury tax purposes), Headley ($13M for luxury tax purposes) and DRob ($11.5M for luxury tax purposes) coming off the payroll at the end of the season.

Even with adding Stanton ($25M for luxury tax purposes) and subtracting Castro ($8,571,500 for luxury tax purposes), the Yanks are still about $10M BELOW the luxury tax line.

Ellsbury is not tradeable now, but at the same time, there is no need to trade him for luxury tax purposes. He serves a purpose- he can be a late-inning baserunner, injury insurance and a guy who can give a day of rest for several guys. While he might be the highest paid insurance policy in MLB, trading him is not a NEED. But with the $21M per salary and his FULL no-trade clause, he isn't going anywhere.
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