Right or wrong, there is usually something resembling a consensus on the general proximity of where each prospect will be drafted. Maybe Joe Blow is ranked 55th on Colin from GBN's Big Board and ranked 43rd by The Huddle Report, but for the most part you can at least get a feel for what round a guy will be drafted in and maybe even if he'll go early or late in that round. The projection could turn out to be way off on Judgment Day, but at least there's enough of a consensus out there for us to put together a mock draft that satisfies our addiction in the meantime.
Not so--at least so far--this year! And it's especially true of the OL. Other than Nelson, they are all over the place. And how can any Giants fan put together a decent mock draft without a clue on how the OL are going to come off the board? For example: GBN and NFLDraftScout have OT Jamarco Jones ranked 100 and 107 respectively, whereas THR and DBG both have him ranked 68th on their boards. And try figuring out the right spot for RB Ito Smith in your mock draft, I've seen him ranked anywhere from 80th to 192nd!
Obviously it's still early and things will come more into focus after the combine and private workouts. There are always surprises, but the final consensus among draftniks is generally not that far off from what actually happens on Draft Day.
Great Blue North (Colin Lindsey) Top 100
The Huddle Report (Robby Esch) Top 200
Draft Board Guru (Doug Martz) Top 100
NFL Draft Line (Paul Emery) Top 100
NFLDraftScout Player Rankings
CBS SportsLine Prospect Rankings
too many narratives get created based on draft projections rather than the much more representative rating system. If you are choosing between the 4th to 8th rated CB and the differences in the group is only .2 on a rating scale, it isn't the shitstorm of taking a guy 14 slots earlier than Kiper had him going.
Kiper has the Giants taking Barkley in his mock draft 2.0 which came out today.
And, even more surprisingly, has Rosen falling all the way to #11.
Grain of salt though because Kiper is never right
...at how well the outside draft sites/experts perform when it comes to ranking/projecting hundreds of college players.
Sure, there are "misses", but from an overall perspective (especially who goes in the Top Two Rounds) there is a lot that goes right.
I mean between Kiper's first mock and Kiper draft 206.0 he's probably literally covered most of the permutations of the top picks.
It means jackshit.
When the BBI mock is done it should be shortened to draft days 1 & 2.
My latest mock draft (which includes signing Norwell, Pugh, Fluker, Brett Jones, Cockrell, a veteran WR, and a veteran LB or two in free agency) for your amusement and ridicule....
1. QB Josh Rosen
2. DL Harrison Phillips
3. OC Frank Ragnow
4. LB Darius Leonard
4c. RB Ito Smith
5. OT Joseph Noteboom
7. DS Trayvon Henderson
Every year we see nobodies udfa types climb once the attention gathers. Last year, shaheen,shareen whatever the fuck. A giant small school TE.
Some players get overlooked you get great value.
As always - stupidly obvious other than that folks don't do it.
Would you buy an over inflated stock?
Do you look for hidden values?
You need to do your own value .. And know what others think as well.
Kiper has the Giants taking Barkley in his mock draft 2.0 which came out today.
And, even more surprisingly, has Rosen falling all the way to #11.
Grain of salt though because Kiper is never right