My initial thought was absolutely not and I'm still not convinced.
But, after doing some quick google searches (I won't call it "analysis") and looking at the teams in the league that were most recently successful, of the 12 playoff teams in 2017 9 of them were in the top 10 rushing the ball. Only Dallas was in the top 10 and missed the playoffs.
9 of the top 10 made the playoffs, including New England and Philly in yards per game rushing.
If you expand it to top 15 you get 11 of 12 playoff teams, only the Steelers missed.
Also in ypc 7 of the top 10 made the playoffs.
So, the question then comes is there a correlation like Gettleman says, and if so, which comes first OL or RB.
This also completely ignores defense for now (like the Super Bowl, LOL), but I wanted to see the impact rushing had.
I still feel like OL is probably safer than RB, but no position is completely safe with poor scouting.
This chart is a couple years old and only includes 2005 to 2014 and "success" is defined with some liberties around games started, but I believe it's directionally accurate.
Draft success by position by round
1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)
2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)
3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)
4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)
5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)
6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)
7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%) |
Same here. And I'm fine with replacing/fixing the OL in free agency. Who was it? the Vikings? who had 5 new OL in 2017?
NE-no high picks, committee
KC-Hunt-3rd round
Pitt-Bell-2nd round
Jax-Fournette-4th overall
Buff-McCoy-2nd round
Tenn-Murray 3rd round/Henry 2nd round
Philly-no top pick
Minny-Murray-6th round/McKinnon 3rd round
NO-Ingram 28 overall/Kamara 3rd ound
Rams-Gurley-10th overall
Car-cam makes too much of a difference
Atl-4th round
this is where they were drafted, not how acquired since Alex Smith for example was a UFA.
NE - Brady - 6th round
KC - Smith - 1st round
Pitt - Ben - 1st round
Jax - Bortles - 1st round
Buff - Taylor - 6th round
Tenn - Mariotta - 1st round
Philly - Foles* - 3rd round (* here because they have Wentz who was drafted in the 1st round)
Minny - Keenum - UDFA
NO - Brees - 2nd round
Rams - Goff - 1st round
Car - Newton - 1st round
Atl - Ryan - 1st round
He’s the second best player on my board, closely followed by a few others, Darnold stands above the rest as my number one player but if he goes to Cleveland first l, I think Barkley is the best draft choice available.
If the OL stinks Barkley can be Walter Payton and it's not going to help the Giants in 2018.
Gurley, on average, per PFF in 2016 was hit 2.4 times in the backfield every touch before even reaching the line of scrimmage (or something like that).
If the Giants don't significantly upgrade the OL, how much does Barkley really upgrade the Giants in 2018.
Or, maybe some people feel like the Giants OL is more maligned than they deserve the running game struggles were Perkins, Darkwa, Gallman more than the OL.
I don't know the answer, but if I had to guess I'd say the Giants OL was a significant reason for the running game struggles.
Giants were 26th in rushing yards per game and 22nd in ypc in 2017
in 2016 they were 29th in rushing yards per game and 30th in rushing yards per carry.
I think this is a bit of an overrated aspect to the Barkley pick. While the OL is not great, they are not a horrible run blocking unit. Look what a replacement level player like Darkwa was able to do behind this line last year. The OL struggles mainly in pass-pro, but Flowers, Jones, Fluker all are better run blockers than they are in pass-pro. Plus, it appears the Giants are going to target Norwell, who would be a significant upgrade over Jerry and would help further improve the OL. Add in a second rounder who can compete at OT and allow Flowers to move inside or to the Right side, and a mid-round guy for the interior, and all of the sudden this isn't too bad of a unit. Probably somewhere around middle of the pack.
He’s the second best player on my board, closely followed by a few others, Darnold stands above the rest as my number one player but if he goes to Cleveland first l, I think Barkley is the best draft choice available.
There should be many aspects of this decision. The math or science should absolutely factor in. It shouldn't be the only thing, but it should be a factor. We are investing a premium draft pick as well as major money, why wouldn't we factor in the science?
If not, I have no problem taking a RB at 2.
How many of the QBs will the Giants view in that regard? If its just Darnold, and Rosen's health scares them, they could take the RB.
Nobody knows the future, so it's not a simple decision. Nobody knows how good any of these guys will be in the pros. Even Andrew Luck, who was as close to a can't-miss prospect as we've seen in a long time, has been derailed by injuries. But you want the perennial All-Pro/potential HoFer at any position. If you think Barkley is that guy, you run to the podium. If you have your choice of Barkley and a QB, and you think they're both that guy, then you take the QB. But you take the elite player, position be damned.
Remember the Giants hardly needed a linebacker when they took Lawrence Taylor.
Could this not devolve into idiocy for once? Wilson got injured. Do you have anything relevant to add to the conversation?
Nobody knows the future, so it's not a simple decision. Nobody knows how good any of these guys will be in the pros. Even Andrew Luck, who was as close to a can't-miss prospect as we've seen in a long time, has been derailed by injuries. But you want the perennial All-Pro/potential HoFer at any position. If you think Barkley is that guy, you run to the podium. If you have your choice of Barkley and a QB, and you think they're both that guy, then you take the QB. But you take the elite player, position be damned.
Remember the Giants hardly needed a linebacker when they took Lawrence Taylor.
One thing that’s most important about this draft and the Giants. They cannot *miss*.
Why isn't he taken first then?
I'll tell you why, it's because some positions are weighted more heavily than others vaulting some QB's, DB's, DE's, and possibly RB's ahead of him.
So to have the conversation purely about players loses some context.
Plus, and more to the point of the thread, I personally don't know enough to properly evaluate college players and project their NFL fit. So rather than rely on "draft-niks" and other talking heads mock drafts or rankings, I think the discussion about position is a worthy one.
In the end though based on the search results, I convinced myself position is semi-irrelevant to the Giants plans, and improving the running game should be paramount, even more important than who they take at #2, priority should be improving the overall ground game (via UFA, trade, draft, however).
Of course they can't afford to miss on this pick, but the post helped me see things a little differently.
What does this have to do with anything?
David Wilson was selected 32nd overall. Not 2nd.
And David Wilson was never discussed the way Barkley is as a prospect.
As the BBI pro-Barkleys started chirping last month, I watched his highlight videos. The one thing that stood out to me was how fluidly he caught the ball. If he never ran the ball again, he could make a living as a damn good slot receiver.
I'd say that's relevant to using the #2 pick in the draft to select one.
Quote:
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What does this have to do with anything?
David Wilson was selected 32nd overall. Not 2nd.
And David Wilson was never discussed the way Barkley is as a prospect.
David Wilson was an electrifying talent when he was here. All-Pro KR as a rookie. Single-game all purpose yards record. 5 YPC as a rookie. Nothing you can do about the degenerative neck condition that he was predisposed that didn't show up in the pre-draft process. But, I feel like he was on his way to stardom.
The Giants offense scoring 52 points vs the Saints that year with tons of big plays between Beckham, Cruz, Nicks, and Bennett- that is what I can envision with Barkley in the fold along with Odell, Shep, and Engram.