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"You don't draft a RB #2 overall"

Knee of Theismann : 2/22/2018 3:16 pm
I know this has been discussed ad nauseam on this board, but I really do not understand the logic behind this statement. The QB is the only other player on the team that touches the ball more than an every-down RB. I totally get the point that typically there isn't a relatively huge difference in RBs from round 1 to 2 to 3 to 4, but this is not a typical situation. It is EXTREMELY RARE to find a RB who is not only an every-down back that can catch and pass block, but is also a threat to score every time he touches the ball. A guy who is both great in short yardage and can hit the home run at any time is not something that comes around often.

"Running backs are only good until their 30, not worth that big of an investment." Well Barkley turned 21 just two weeks ago. - So 10 years of having an lethal offensive weapon who could touch the ball 30-40 times per game isn't a good investment?

Everyone who says this seems to believe that the only RB in history who would be worth a pick that high is Barry Sanders. You're telling me Adrian Peterson wasn't worth a top 10 pick? To me, Barkley is the best RB prospect to come along since Peterson and before him it was Sanders. The Packers are still kicking themselves for not taking Sanders at #2 and the same can be said for every team that picked before the Vikings (except for maybe the Lions ironically).

To me, Barkley and Nelson are the only two "sure-things" in this draft. We know they will be elite players, it's just a matter of what jersey they're going to be wearing. I don't think that's true of any of the QBs. When you have a chance to get a guy that you know is an elite player, you take him, end of story. Barkley is a top 5 RB and he hasn't even played a down yet.

All this said, I agree that drafting Barkley to run behind the current O-Line isn't ideal, but that's why I would also say we need to go OL at pick #34, and probably OL again in either round 3 or 4, along with making OL our top priority in Free Agency. Point is: The offensive line was bad last year, but it will not be bad for the next 10 years. Sure, the QB situation would still be up in the air, but it will be a lot easier to transition away from Eli with a top 5 WR, a top 5 RB, and head coach who has a great offensive mind and is known for developing and getting the most out of QBs.
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RE: I personally am not crazy about any of the QBs in this draft  
Zepp : 2/22/2018 7:43 pm : link
In comment 13839628 BladeCleaver said:
Quote:
I would like to see them take Barkley and roll the dice with Eli for 2 more years.

If they really do love one of the QBs then they should take the QB. I think most people are not sold on any of them, however.

Barkley could be really special. Worth the risk of possibly "overdrafting" him. He could be a really special piece. One less item that we need.

Two years from now, if all you need is a QB, then you have the ability to go and get him, the same as Acorsi did with Eli. You may overpay, but if you get another two SB's out of it, then it will be worth it. Hell, let's give Eli a couple of more shots to get some more.

Maybe I am over optimistic, but I really do believe that through a solid draft and smart free agency, plus motivating some of the under performers, this team will contend this coming season.


I agree. Maybe 2 SB's is pushing it but I really do believe they can make a run at 1 and Eli doesn't have to be great to do it. Look at Peyton his last year. Granted much better defense, but with a special player like Barkley, a rebuilt O-line and at the very least a good defense, this team can make a run at competing. Isn't that what this is all about?
People here are really thick.  
Dave on the UWS : 2/22/2018 7:47 pm : link
Paying a RB top 5 pick money is not smart.
This team is NOT retooling. You don't gut the front office and coaching staff if you're doing that.
From what I've read Barkley is NOT great running between the tackles. His weakness is vision and instincts????? Doesn't that make ANYONE else besides me nervous.
You have to avoid QB hell at ALL costs. There is every chance one of these guys is worth the #2 pick. Selecting this high WITH a 37 yr old starter is very good fortune. It our "reward" for the wonderful season we just witnessed.
Now if come draft time the front office decides none of these guys is th right choice than you go to Plan B. But I HIGHLY doubt it will come to that.
RE: RE: I personally am not crazy about any of the QBs in this draft  
Keith : 2/22/2018 8:17 pm : link
In comment 13839663 Zepp said:
Quote:
In comment 13839628 BladeCleaver said:


Quote:


I would like to see them take Barkley and roll the dice with Eli for 2 more years.

If they really do love one of the QBs then they should take the QB. I think most people are not sold on any of them, however.

Barkley could be really special. Worth the risk of possibly "overdrafting" him. He could be a really special piece. One less item that we need.

Two years from now, if all you need is a QB, then you have the ability to go and get him, the same as Acorsi did with Eli. You may overpay, but if you get another two SB's out of it, then it will be worth it. Hell, let's give Eli a couple of more shots to get some more.

Maybe I am over optimistic, but I really do believe that through a solid draft and smart free agency, plus motivating some of the under performers, this team will contend this coming season.



I agree. Maybe 2 SB's is pushing it but I really do believe they can make a run at 1 and Eli doesn't have to be great to do it. Look at Peyton his last year. Granted much better defense, but with a special player like Barkley, a rebuilt O-line and at the very least a good defense, this team can make a run at competing. Isn't that what this is all about?


Well, when you say it like that. Seems like a guarantee we will win with Barkley so might as well draft him.
I’m not going to say who should or shouldn’t be drafted  
The_Boss : 2/22/2018 8:23 pm : link
But I will parrot what Eric said. I think those who believe this can be a 10 win team and get a playoff spot, either fan or beat writer, are way off. I think this is a 5/6 win team in 2018. This team isn’t an OL and RB away. Reese fucked up this roster bad. DG and Shurmur have so much work to do it won’t necessarily be a bad thing to get a top 10 pick in 2019. Do we really want to put all our eggs into a basket consisting of a (then) 38 year old Eli Manning, whose play has been somewhere between average and below average the last 2 seasons, and Davis Webb (who should get snaps once next season is deemed toast by the hierarchy). And, whether or not this plays into the equation, based on draft eligible prospects, 2019 appears to be a down year for the QB crop.
You pick a RB if you want to be better  
Jimmy Googs : 2/22/2018 9:21 pm : link
You pick a QB if you want properly restructure.

There is a difference...
Free Agency  
Painless62 : 2/22/2018 9:21 pm : link
Before the draft comes free agency. As we all know, this is a strength of our GM. Hopefully drafting is as well. Let’s see how we look in 6 weeks. With the proper moves and a great draft we can be right back in it. I am also in the camp of not taking a RB #2. If not a qb, trade down . There are plenty of excellent players to be had late 1 through the mid rounds, especially at RB
Looking to the College Gurus  
FragileFox2 : 2/23/2018 2:38 am : link
Why not draft Barkley, stick with Eli.

2019 Draft look at QBs like Finley out of N.Carolina St., or J. Hansen out of Arkansas? Both prolific passers, think Hansen is 6’,3’?

Anyway think the answer of drafting Barkley at 2 is looking to see who’s getting drafted next year. I’ve watched a total of like 4 games with these guys so I don’t pretend to be an expert here.

Just trying to give some discussion pointers around who do we draft as QB if we go RB at #2 and Webb doesn’t fit into long term plans.
This year's QB draft looked like dynamite a year ago...  
Dunedin81 : 2/23/2018 5:07 am : link
Now it looks merely okay. Even if next year proves to be a good QB draft, a nice debut from Barkley and some other improvements could make this a middling team, out of range of the elite QBs. Not saying we shouldn't draft Barkley, only that the game plan would be difficult to pull off.
I'm really sick of these draft mantras that BBI makes up.  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 7:00 am : link
You don't draft a RB in the first round.

You don't draft a RB at #2.

You don't draft linebackers in the first round.

These are such lazy, regurgitated, group-think declarations.

Lol  
Keith : 2/23/2018 7:15 am : link
The best part is most of those are mantras that you just made up!
RE: Eric  
Sonic Youth : 2/23/2018 7:29 am : link
In comment 13839528 jtgiants said:
Quote:
Unless your ok w a kid qb sitting 2 years, in not, it makes no sense to take one. To me, if you go qb, in today's nfl he has to play right away. Two years is an eternity in the nfl
Why on Earth do people think Eli has "2 years" left?

Eli was trash last year. He has one more season TOPS.
RE: Lol  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 7:48 am : link
In comment 13839893 Keith said:
Quote:
The best part is most of those are mantras that you just made up!


We won a Super Bowl in 2007 without great linebackers so BBI decided they aren't important enough to draft in the first round.

We also won a Super Bowl with a 7th round RB, so BBI decided that RB's are "a dime a dozen" and aren't worthy of a 1st round selection either.

Maybe you missed them while you were banned, but they definitely existed :p
RE: RE: Eric  
Bill L : 2/23/2018 7:52 am : link
In comment 13839900 Sonic Youth said:
Quote:
In comment 13839528 jtgiants said:


Quote:


Unless your ok w a kid qb sitting 2 years, in not, it makes no sense to take one. To me, if you go qb, in today's nfl he has to play right away. Two years is an eternity in the nfl

Why on Earth do people think Eli has "2 years" left?

Eli was trash last year. He has one more season TOPS.
That actually doesn't make sense.

If he was trash last year (I disagree but whatever...) then how can he have one more season?
RBs aren't a "dime a dozen", but you can get a very damn good one  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/23/2018 7:58 am : link
without spending a #2 overall.
RE: RBs aren't a  
Bill L : 2/23/2018 8:02 am : link
In comment 13839920 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
without spending a #2 overall.
If you're good at your (management) job, you can say the same about virtually every position.
RE: RE: Lol  
UConn4523 : 2/23/2018 8:09 am : link
In comment 13839912 Brown Recluse said:
Quote:
In comment 13839893 Keith said:


Quote:


The best part is most of those are mantras that you just made up!



We won a Super Bowl in 2007 without great linebackers so BBI decided they aren't important enough to draft in the first round.

We also won a Super Bowl with a 7th round RB, so BBI decided that RB's are "a dime a dozen" and aren't worthy of a 1st round selection either.

Maybe you missed them while you were banned, but they definitely existed :p


There’s a massive difference between a “1st round RB” and picking one at 2 overall. You know that, right?
I really think people are missing the point here  
UConn4523 : 2/23/2018 8:12 am : link
Barkley would be a great addition. The down side is his cost, the shelf life of the position he plays, and taking him at 2 when we are trying to to pick at 2 anymore, decreases our odds of getting a QB in the coming years.
Not really  
Bill L : 2/23/2018 8:20 am : link
Rules say you have to have 11 men on the field.
RE: RE: RE: Lol  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 8:23 am : link
In comment 13839924 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 13839912 Brown Recluse said:


Quote:


In comment 13839893 Keith said:


Quote:


The best part is most of those are mantras that you just made up!



We won a Super Bowl in 2007 without great linebackers so BBI decided they aren't important enough to draft in the first round.

We also won a Super Bowl with a 7th round RB, so BBI decided that RB's are "a dime a dozen" and aren't worthy of a 1st round selection either.

Maybe you missed them while you were banned, but they definitely existed :p



There’s a massive difference between a “1st round RB” and picking one at 2 overall. You know that, right?


Yes. That's why I pointed both of them out in my original post.
RE: I really think people are missing the point here  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 8:31 am : link
In comment 13839925 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
Barkley would be a great addition. The down side is his cost, the shelf life of the position he plays, and taking him at 2 when we are trying to to pick at 2 anymore, decreases our odds of getting a QB in the coming years.


I really don't see shelf life as an issue. The shelf life of a RB isn't that small, and the historical statistic that is used to support the idea is incredibly skewed. There are so many RB's in the league that are still producing into their early 30's.

If you get 8 to 10 years of quality production out of a RB that you drafted #2, then you've hit on that pick. Its not that different from many WR's.
And for the record,  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 8:38 am : link
I'm not opposed to drafting a QB at #2 if the right one is there.

But if the right one isn't and Barkley is sitting there - its a no-brainer.
First off, I don't know who you think I am,  
Keith : 2/23/2018 8:39 am : link
but I was never banned.

Secondly, if 4 guys say something, is it a bbi mantra? I haven't read anwhere that you shouldn't draft a LB in rd 1. Are you referring to the Reese mantra? Did you need a 3rd "mantra" to make your point and you ran out of ideas?

The only thing semi true is the "mantra" that you shouldn't draft a RB #2, but to try and make your point, you made things up.
RE: First off, I don't know who you think I am,  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 8:45 am : link
In comment 13839954 Keith said:
Quote:
but I was never banned.

Secondly, if 4 guys say something, is it a bbi mantra? I haven't read anwhere that you shouldn't draft a LB in rd 1. Are you referring to the Reese mantra? Did you need a 3rd "mantra" to make your point and you ran out of ideas?

The only thing semi true is the "mantra" that you shouldn't draft a RB #2, but to try and make your point, you made things up.


I'm sorry that you didn't read it, but it was here and it was more than 4 guys. Its since been proven wrong over the past 10 years which is why you don't read it anymore.
Personally, I don't care if a guy lasts a single year  
Bill L : 2/23/2018 8:48 am : link
if he helps us win a SB that year. I just don't think you should sacrifice everything to dogma.
People are also delusional  
pjcas18 : 2/23/2018 8:55 am : link
with this "8 to 10 years" stuff.

For one, it's just not the norm for RB's to last that long.

Secondly, you would need to re-sign the RB to a likely massive deal during this time frame to make it to 8 to 10 and then, as we see right now with Le'Veon Bell he's up for a pay day abs very possibly the Steelers 8 - 10 year RB might wind up a 5 year RB.

Third, as sure as everyone is that Barkley is the next Marshall Faulk, sometimes can't miss players miss.

These 8 - 10 year statements are grandiose plans that that rarely happen.

Ron Dayne and Tyrone Wheatley were supposed to be 8 to 10 year RB's too.

I'm not saying Barkely can't defy the odds and be one of them, but people type it like it's matter-of-fact.

I'd love to see the list of 10-year RB's with the same team who are currently active:

the longest active RB's right now that lasted 10 years (or more) are:

Frank Gore (two teams)
Adrian Peterson (three teams)
LeSean McCoy (two teams)
Marshawn Lynch (three teams)
Matt Forte (two teams)
Chris Johnson (three teams)
Jamaal Charles (two teams)
Jonathan Stewart***
______________ (less than 10 years)
DeMarco Murray (three teams)
LaGarette Blount (four teams)
Alfred Morris (two teams)
Darren McFadden (two teams)

forgetting that many of these guys are not "franchise backs" many have had injuries (AP, CJ2k, Charles, etc.), suspensions (AP, and maybe they weren't drafted as high as #2, but the point remains.
RE: People are also delusional  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 9:18 am : link
In comment 13839972 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
with this "8 to 10 years" stuff.

For one, it's just not the norm for RB's to last that long.

Secondly, you would need to re-sign the RB to a likely massive deal during this time frame to make it to 8 to 10 and then, as we see right now with Le'Veon Bell he's up for a pay day abs very possibly the Steelers 8 - 10 year RB might wind up a 5 year RB.

Third, as sure as everyone is that Barkley is the next Marshall Faulk, sometimes can't miss players miss.

These 8 - 10 year statements are grandiose plans that that rarely happen.

Ron Dayne and Tyrone Wheatley were supposed to be 8 to 10 year RB's too.

I'm not saying Barkely can't defy the odds and be one of them, but people type it like it's matter-of-fact.

I'd love to see the list of 10-year RB's with the same team who are currently active:

the longest active RB's right now that lasted 10 years (or more) are:

Frank Gore (two teams)
Adrian Peterson (three teams)
LeSean McCoy (two teams)
Marshawn Lynch (three teams)
Matt Forte (two teams)
Chris Johnson (three teams)
Jamaal Charles (two teams)
Jonathan Stewart***
______________ (less than 10 years)
DeMarco Murray (three teams)
LaGarette Blount (four teams)
Alfred Morris (two teams)
Darren McFadden (two teams)

forgetting that many of these guys are not "franchise backs" many have had injuries (AP, CJ2k, Charles, etc.), suspensions (AP, and maybe they weren't drafted as high as #2, but the point remains.


Providing a list of *current* RB's that have lasted 10 years or more doesn't really prove anything. You'd need a bigger sample size. You'd also need to compare that sample size to other positions in the same time period. You'd also need to analyze where they were all drafted, why the others retired early, and a slew of other variables if you really wanted to be thorough. Good luck. At the end of it all you'll probably see that the *shelf life* for RB's is plenty long enough to get a return on the investment.

You're basically saying, don't draft this player with the 2nd pick because we won't be able to afford him when his rookie deal is up and he'll go to a different team. He also might get injured or suspended and miss time.

That's ridiculous.

Maybe the Giants should draft mediocre players only - so at least they know they'll be able to afford them when they become free agents. Drafting truly great players is too expensive.

Don't over-think it. Pick the best players. Worry about future contracts and injuries later.
What I don't understand  
cjd2404 : 2/23/2018 9:27 am : link
and maybe I am just not understanding the argument, but won't Barkley or a QB (Whether SD or Rosen, etc) be paid the same over the first 5 years?

If so, then shouldn't we look at the positional salary?

Next year:
At RB we'd be paying roughly 8M for all RBs with Barkley.
At QB we'd be paying roughly 24M.

With Barkley we'd get 5 actual years of play from the pick (assuming no injuries)

With a QB we'd get 3-4 years (assuming no injuries) I assume Eli plays all of 2018, and my gut says they keep him for 2019 as a transitional year.

But for argument's sake let's say Eli gets cut in 2019, and both Barkley or a QB is phenomenal

Over 5 years we are still 16M more at the position with a QB.

After 5 years if Barkley plays an addition 5 years maybe he makes 18M a year.

A QB will be making 30+ M a year at that point.

So if the argument is he is too expensive, the numbers say otherwise.

I'd prefer Barkley myself, I won't lie, and I'd probably take Logan Woodside in like the 4th only because I think he's a sleeper and would provide that competition at QB

The question however  
Keith : 2/23/2018 9:28 am : link
isn't just...do you ever take a RB at #2 because I'd have a different opinion if we had Carson Wentz or Goff under center. The question is more about should the Giants select a rb #2 and with the massive need at QB, we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already).

That being said, if you did the same research that pj just did about RB's, I'm sure you'd have a much different analysis on QB's.
RE: Not really  
Diver_Down : 2/23/2018 9:30 am : link
In comment 13839933 Bill L said:
Quote:
Rules say you have to have 11 men on the field.


Not to be to pedantic, but there is no penalty if you have less. The only penalty is if there are too many players on the field. Rule 5 Section 1 - " If a snap, free kick, or fair-catch kick is made while a team has fewer than 11 players on the field of play or the end zone, the ball is in play, and there is no penalty."
RE: What I don't understand  
Keith : 2/23/2018 9:31 am : link
In comment 13840008 cjd2404 said:
Quote:
and maybe I am just not understanding the argument, but won't Barkley or a QB (Whether SD or Rosen, etc) be paid the same over the first 5 years?

If so, then shouldn't we look at the positional salary?

Next year:
At RB we'd be paying roughly 8M for all RBs with Barkley.
At QB we'd be paying roughly 24M.

With Barkley we'd get 5 actual years of play from the pick (assuming no injuries)

With a QB we'd get 3-4 years (assuming no injuries) I assume Eli plays all of 2018, and my gut says they keep him for 2019 as a transitional year.

But for argument's sake let's say Eli gets cut in 2019, and both Barkley or a QB is phenomenal

Over 5 years we are still 16M more at the position with a QB.

After 5 years if Barkley plays an addition 5 years maybe he makes 18M a year.

A QB will be making 30+ M a year at that point.

So if the argument is he is too expensive, the numbers say otherwise.

I'd prefer Barkley myself, I won't lie, and I'd probably take Logan Woodside in like the 4th only because I think he's a sleeper and would provide that competition at QB


I'm not really following what you are trying to say. If you are factoring in salaries, you need to compare them to other salaries at the same position. For example....

Ezekial Elliot who was the 4th pick two years ago is currently a top paid RB compared to all the other RB's. He'll probably even be top 3 at the position. Trubisky, who was the #2 pick last year is currently #25 amongst QB's. If you draft a RB #2, he's going to be one of the highest paid RB's within a year or 2. If you draft a QB, you'll get 4 years are major savings at the position. See the difference?
RE: RE: Not really  
Keith : 2/23/2018 9:31 am : link
In comment 13840013 Diver_Down said:
Quote:
In comment 13839933 Bill L said:


Quote:


Rules say you have to have 11 men on the field.



Not to be to pedantic, but there is no penalty if you have less. The only penalty is if there are too many players on the field. Rule 5 Section 1 - " If a snap, free kick, or fair-catch kick is made while a team has fewer than 11 players on the field of play or the end zone, the ball is in play, and there is no penalty."


Remember when Sean Taylor died, didn't the skins put 10 players on the field? Then proceed to give up a big play.
RE: RE: People are also delusional  
pjcas18 : 2/23/2018 9:37 am : link
In comment 13839994 Brown Recluse said:
Quote:
In comment 13839972 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


with this "8 to 10 years" stuff.

For one, it's just not the norm for RB's to last that long.

Secondly, you would need to re-sign the RB to a likely massive deal during this time frame to make it to 8 to 10 and then, as we see right now with Le'Veon Bell he's up for a pay day abs very possibly the Steelers 8 - 10 year RB might wind up a 5 year RB.

Third, as sure as everyone is that Barkley is the next Marshall Faulk, sometimes can't miss players miss.

These 8 - 10 year statements are grandiose plans that that rarely happen.

Ron Dayne and Tyrone Wheatley were supposed to be 8 to 10 year RB's too.

I'm not saying Barkely can't defy the odds and be one of them, but people type it like it's matter-of-fact.

I'd love to see the list of 10-year RB's with the same team who are currently active:

the longest active RB's right now that lasted 10 years (or more) are:

Frank Gore (two teams)
Adrian Peterson (three teams)
LeSean McCoy (two teams)
Marshawn Lynch (three teams)
Matt Forte (two teams)
Chris Johnson (three teams)
Jamaal Charles (two teams)
Jonathan Stewart***
______________ (less than 10 years)
DeMarco Murray (three teams)
LaGarette Blount (four teams)
Alfred Morris (two teams)
Darren McFadden (two teams)

forgetting that many of these guys are not "franchise backs" many have had injuries (AP, CJ2k, Charles, etc.), suspensions (AP, and maybe they weren't drafted as high as #2, but the point remains.



Providing a list of *current* RB's that have lasted 10 years or more doesn't really prove anything. You'd need a bigger sample size. You'd also need to compare that sample size to other positions in the same time period. You'd also need to analyze where they were all drafted, why the others retired early, and a slew of other variables if you really wanted to be thorough. Good luck. At the end of it all you'll probably see that the *shelf life* for RB's is plenty long enough to get a return on the investment.

You're basically saying, don't draft this player with the 2nd pick because we won't be able to afford him when his rookie deal is up and he'll go to a different team. He also might get injured or suspended and miss time.

That's ridiculous.

Maybe the Giants should draft mediocre players only - so at least they know they'll be able to afford them when they become free agents. Drafting truly great players is too expensive.

Don't over-think it. Pick the best players. Worry about future contracts and injuries later.


No, you completely missed the point, it's the position specifically.

You can do the same exercise with QBs and find a whole lot of them who have been with their team 10 years:

Brady
Eli
Ben
Rivers
Brees
Rodgers
Stafford (10th year this year)
Flacco

and more likely to last 10 years too.

So the point is the 8 - 10 year plan is more likely for some positions than others. like QB vs RB.

Also maybe noteworthy is 6 of those 8 guys have won Super Bowls.

how much larger of a sample size do you want?  
UConn4523 : 2/23/2018 9:38 am : link
the NFL of 1995 isn't relevant.
I have been going back and forth on this issue  
gmen9892 : 2/23/2018 9:38 am : link
Since it became a fact that the Giants were picking #2. You can easily make a list of pros and cons for each side of the argument, and BBI has done that beautifully for the past month (and will do so for the next 2).

What it comes down to for me, if you can get a position player that can be a Top 5-10 guy at his position right off the bat, that is a huge plus. Barkley looks to have the goods, and we have seen what great RBs can do for offenses that have mediocre QBs(think we can all agree that Eli is at least mediocre when given tools around him to succeed). It not only makes the offense better, but it keeps the defense off the field and refreshed, so it benefits the team two-fold.

The real factor here is Shurmur. Who's to say that just because we do not draft a QB at number 2, that we cant draft a QB later? Why cant this team draft Lamar Jackson or Mason Rudolph with their 2nd round pick and let Shurmur mold both Webb and the incoming rookie to take over after Eli?

Shurmur has molded lesser QBs before and has proven to be a great playcaller that schemes around his players. And guess what, having a Top 5-10 back behind a new QB will help ease the pressure off the newbie.

Last point, the last time Eli was provided a decent offensive line and a weapon at RB was arguably 2010. We can all say Eli is done, but I would like to at least give the guy at least ONE more shot with a viable offense around him before we shovel dirt on the guy. I think he deserves that much. Personally, I think he still has the talent left to be a Top 10 QB if he has a good (not great) offense around him.
RE: RE: RE: Not really  
Diver_Down : 2/23/2018 9:42 am : link
In comment 13840017 Keith said:
Quote:
In comment 13840013 Diver_Down said:


Quote:


In comment 13839933 Bill L said:


Quote:


Rules say you have to have 11 men on the field.



Not to be to pedantic, but there is no penalty if you have less. The only penalty is if there are too many players on the field. Rule 5 Section 1 - " If a snap, free kick, or fair-catch kick is made while a team has fewer than 11 players on the field of play or the end zone, the ball is in play, and there is no penalty."



Remember when Sean Taylor died, didn't the skins put 10 players on the field? Then proceed to give up a big play.


I do. While there is no penalty for having less, it is recommended that teams field 11 players on any given snap.
RE: What I don't understand  
UConn4523 : 2/23/2018 9:42 am : link
In comment 13840008 cjd2404 said:
Quote:
and maybe I am just not understanding the argument, but won't Barkley or a QB (Whether SD or Rosen, etc) be paid the same over the first 5 years?

If so, then shouldn't we look at the positional salary?

Next year:
At RB we'd be paying roughly 8M for all RBs with Barkley.
At QB we'd be paying roughly 24M.

With Barkley we'd get 5 actual years of play from the pick (assuming no injuries)

With a QB we'd get 3-4 years (assuming no injuries) I assume Eli plays all of 2018, and my gut says they keep him for 2019 as a transitional year.

But for argument's sake let's say Eli gets cut in 2019, and both Barkley or a QB is phenomenal

Over 5 years we are still 16M more at the position with a QB.

After 5 years if Barkley plays an addition 5 years maybe he makes 18M a year.

A QB will be making 30+ M a year at that point.

So if the argument is he is too expensive, the numbers say otherwise.

I'd prefer Barkley myself, I won't lie, and I'd probably take Logan Woodside in like the 4th only because I think he's a sleeper and would provide that competition at QB


The argument is the cost now for Barkley is that of a top paid RB if he's drafted at 2. For a QB, we'd be getting one for cheap and IF the QB replaces Eli next season (who we'd cut or trade), we would have 4 years of cheap QB play before making a big investment (one that we hope we have to do as it would mean the pick was a good one and we have a new franchise QB).

Total dollars isn't the point. The point is total dollars against the league average at the position.
Eric, of the available QBs  
STLGiant : 2/23/2018 9:45 am : link
either via the draft, who would you want to see the Giants select and why?
RE: The question however  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 9:47 am : link
In comment 13840009 Keith said:
Quote:
isn't just...do you ever take a RB at #2 because I'd have a different opinion if we had Carson Wentz or Goff under center. The question is more about should the Giants select a rb #2 and with the massive need at QB, we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already).

That being said, if you did the same research that pj just did about RB's, I'm sure you'd have a much different analysis on QB's.


Except that I don't have an issue taking a QB at 2, if its the right one. I get the logic behind drafting Rosen or Darnold. I'm not disputing it. Personally, if I had to choose between Barkley and one of those QB's, I'd take Barkley. He's simply a better player than anyone else. Period. But its not as if there isn't a solid case for picking the QB.

I simply refuse to say the Giants *need* to go with a QB because they have the #2 pick.

"We wont be in this position ever again!"

Says who? And these QB's aren't generational players like Barkley is. They're only at the top of the board this April because there aren't better options.
RE: RE: RBs aren't a  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/23/2018 9:49 am : link
In comment 13839922 Bill L said:
Quote:
In comment 13839920 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:


without spending a #2 overall.

If you're good at your (management) job, you can say the same about virtually every position.
true. But, there are only so many quarterbacks. There are RBs every year.
RE: RE: The question however  
Keith : 2/23/2018 9:55 am : link
In comment 13840043 Brown Recluse said:
Quote:
In comment 13840009 Keith said:


Quote:


isn't just...do you ever take a RB at #2 because I'd have a different opinion if we had Carson Wentz or Goff under center. The question is more about should the Giants select a rb #2 and with the massive need at QB, we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already).

That being said, if you did the same research that pj just did about RB's, I'm sure you'd have a much different analysis on QB's.



Except that I don't have an issue taking a QB at 2, if its the right one. I get the logic behind drafting Rosen or Darnold. I'm not disputing it. Personally, if I had to choose between Barkley and one of those QB's, I'd take Barkley. He's simply a better player than anyone else. Period. But its not as if there isn't a solid case for picking the QB.

I simply refuse to say the Giants *need* to go with a QB because they have the #2 pick.

"We wont be in this position ever again!"

Says who? And these QB's aren't generational players like Barkley is. They're only at the top of the board this April because there aren't better options.


When you need to twist words, it tells me that your argument is weak. You are responding to me, so I will assume that you think I said "we wont be in this position ever again", when I clearly said "we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already)."
I don't think anyone is advocating  
UConn4523 : 2/23/2018 9:56 am : link
to take a QB at 2 just to take one. We are advocating that if the Giants like one of these QB's (even if BBI doesn't) it makes much more sense to draft said QB over a Running Back for a myriad of reasons.

I can get on board with Barkley - it would mean they don't like the available QB's in which case we shouldn't take one just to take one. But I don't think that will be the case.
RE: RE: What I don't understand  
cjd2404 : 2/23/2018 9:56 am : link
In comment 13840034 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
In comment 13840008 cjd2404 said:


Quote:



The argument is the cost now for Barkley is that of a top paid RB if he's drafted at 2. For a QB, we'd be getting one for cheap and IF the QB replaces Eli next season (who we'd cut or trade), we would have 4 years of cheap QB play before making a big investment (one that we hope we have to do as it would mean the pick was a good one and we have a new franchise QB).

Total dollars isn't the point. The point is total dollars against the league average at the position.


Got it, Thanks!


If the Giants are sold on both SD and Barkley, and only SD as a franchise QB, and if Cleveland picks SD.. (a lot of ands I know)

Then you need to take Barkley at #2 as Indy probably takes him at #3 or Cleveland at #4

If Cleveland takes Rosen or Barkley at #1.. You go SD

If the Giants are not sold on either, trade back. There will be the run at QBs and dropping to 7 or 8 Won't be too harmful in my opinion.


RE: I don't think anyone is advocating  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 10:01 am : link
In comment 13840059 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
to take a QB at 2 just to take one. We are advocating that if the Giants like one of these QB's (even if BBI doesn't) it makes much more sense to draft said QB over a Running Back for a myriad of reasons.

I can get on board with Barkley - it would mean they don't like the available QB's in which case we shouldn't take one just to take one. But I don't think that will be the case.


Maybe you aren't advocating it. But a lot of people are. And I don't disagree with your second point.
RE: RE: RE: The question however  
Brown Recluse : 2/23/2018 10:04 am : link
In comment 13840056 Keith said:
Quote:
In comment 13840043 Brown Recluse said:


Quote:


In comment 13840009 Keith said:


Quote:


isn't just...do you ever take a RB at #2 because I'd have a different opinion if we had Carson Wentz or Goff under center. The question is more about should the Giants select a rb #2 and with the massive need at QB, we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already).

That being said, if you did the same research that pj just did about RB's, I'm sure you'd have a much different analysis on QB's.



Except that I don't have an issue taking a QB at 2, if its the right one. I get the logic behind drafting Rosen or Darnold. I'm not disputing it. Personally, if I had to choose between Barkley and one of those QB's, I'd take Barkley. He's simply a better player than anyone else. Period. But its not as if there isn't a solid case for picking the QB.

I simply refuse to say the Giants *need* to go with a QB because they have the #2 pick.

"We wont be in this position ever again!"

Says who? And these QB's aren't generational players like Barkley is. They're only at the top of the board this April because there aren't better options.



When you need to twist words, it tells me that your argument is weak. You are responding to me, so I will assume that you think I said "we wont be in this position ever again", when I clearly said "we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already)."


"We won't be in this position ever again" is the general sentiment. It wasn't directed specifically at you.

I agree with you. We may not be in as good a position to get a QB. But I guess that depends on how good you think these QB's are.
Common sense  
AcesUp : 2/23/2018 10:25 am : link
dictates that this is our best shot to secure a 10-15 year QB. It's not really a debate unless you see this team repeating last season. What it boils down to, this organization should draft a good franchise QB (like an Eli) over a great RB prospect. We don't have the luxury. I think there's a big group on this board that overlook exactly how difficult it is find a QB or even get a top prospect on the roster. I do not want this franchise to be in the position the Jets are in...where they've putzed around for so long that they are throwing their hands up and talking about giving Kirk Cousins 100M+ guaranteed.
RE: RE: RE: RBs aren't a  
Bill L : 2/23/2018 11:07 am : link
In comment 13840048 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 13839922 Bill L said:


Quote:


In comment 13839920 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:


without spending a #2 overall.

If you're good at your (management) job, you can say the same about virtually every position.

true. But, there are only so many quarterbacks. There are RBs every year.
I can't recall a draft where there no QB's at all.

Sometimes they're not very great...in fact, I was looking at the draft the last time the Giants had the #2 pick (and took LT, if you recall). They could have taken a top QB; they had Simms going into his third year and he was still fighting with Brunner for playing time, so I'm not all that sure that he wasn't a Davis Webb player at that point. But while there literally were QB's in that draft, figuratively there weren't any. The only guys I even knew were Neil Lomax and Mark Hermann. Lomax wasn't bad, but there was not a stellar guy.

But, again reading comments and evaluations, while there are a lot of solid QB's (potentially) in this draft, it doesn't look to be a Manning, Big Ben, Rivers draft. Maybe one of these guys can be Lomax ;-)

Point is still that thee's always going to be guys and if you are good at your evaluation job then you can find them. QB's are not all coming down with terminal illnesses after this draft. And some, like Peyton in Denver, Foles, etc don't always need to be drafted to get you to a SB. Again, it really depends on what your end goal and priorities are. Do you value continuity over a Maybe singular) championship, or vice versa?
RE: RE: RE: RE: RBs aren't a  
AcesUp : 2/23/2018 11:23 am : link
In comment 13840218 Bill L said:


But, again reading comments and evaluations, while there are a lot of solid QB's (potentially) in this draft, it doesn't look to be a Manning, Big Ben, Rivers draft. Maybe one of these guys can be Lomax ;-)
[/quote]

This is wrong. Opinions vary but the general consensus is that this is a very strong QB draft at the top. Eli, Ben and Rivers were all flawed prospects entering the '04 draft, just like these guys are.

I'm not saying the Giants should force a pick, if their evaluations stray from then consensus then by all means try like hell to trade down or go Barkley. However, this is strong draft at QB if we're judging the general opinion.
RE: RE: RE: RE: The question however  
Keith : 2/23/2018 12:19 pm : link
In comment 13840083 Brown Recluse said:
Quote:
In comment 13840056 Keith said:


Quote:


In comment 13840043 Brown Recluse said:


Quote:


In comment 13840009 Keith said:


Quote:


isn't just...do you ever take a RB at #2 because I'd have a different opinion if we had Carson Wentz or Goff under center. The question is more about should the Giants select a rb #2 and with the massive need at QB, we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already).

That being said, if you did the same research that pj just did about RB's, I'm sure you'd have a much different analysis on QB's.



Except that I don't have an issue taking a QB at 2, if its the right one. I get the logic behind drafting Rosen or Darnold. I'm not disputing it. Personally, if I had to choose between Barkley and one of those QB's, I'd take Barkley. He's simply a better player than anyone else. Period. But its not as if there isn't a solid case for picking the QB.

I simply refuse to say the Giants *need* to go with a QB because they have the #2 pick.

"We wont be in this position ever again!"

Says who? And these QB's aren't generational players like Barkley is. They're only at the top of the board this April because there aren't better options.



When you need to twist words, it tells me that your argument is weak. You are responding to me, so I will assume that you think I said "we wont be in this position ever again", when I clearly said "we may never get as good of an opportunity to get a QB as our QB is just about done(if not done already)."



"We won't be in this position ever again" is the general sentiment. It wasn't directed specifically at you.

I agree with you. We may not be in as good a position to get a QB. But I guess that depends on how good you think these QB's are.


Full disclosure, I know very little about these prospects. I am basically looking at the investments side of things.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RBs aren't a  
Ten Ton Hammer : 2/23/2018 2:19 pm : link
In comment 13840218 Bill L said:
Quote:
In comment 13840048 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:


In comment 13839922 Bill L said:


Quote:


In comment 13839920 Ten Ton Hammer said:


Quote:


without spending a #2 overall.

If you're good at your (management) job, you can say the same about virtually every position.

true. But, there are only so many quarterbacks. There are RBs every year.

I can't recall a draft where there no QB's at all.

Sometimes they're not very great...in fact, I was looking at the draft the last time the Giants had the #2 pick (and took LT, if you recall). They could have taken a top QB; they had Simms going into his third year and he was still fighting with Brunner for playing time, so I'm not all that sure that he wasn't a Davis Webb player at that point. But while there literally were QB's in that draft, figuratively there weren't any. The only guys I even knew were Neil Lomax and Mark Hermann. Lomax wasn't bad, but there was not a stellar guy.

But, again reading comments and evaluations, while there are a lot of solid QB's (potentially) in this draft, it doesn't look to be a Manning, Big Ben, Rivers draft. Maybe one of these guys can be Lomax ;-)

Point is still that thee's always going to be guys and if you are good at your evaluation job then you can find them. QB's are not all coming down with terminal illnesses after this draft. And some, like Peyton in Denver, Foles, etc don't always need to be drafted to get you to a SB. Again, it really depends on what your end goal and priorities are. Do you value continuity over a Maybe singular) championship, or vice versa?


Of course I was speaking figuratively. If you believe in George Young's 'Planet' theory, that there are only so many quality, athletic big men that can excel at offensive line and they should be looked at as rare currency, you can subscribe the same sort of theory to quarterbacks. There are only so many legitimately quality QB prospects. Some years there are none. Some years there's one. Sometimes more.

Everyone's opinions on these quarterbacks seem to be lower than I think is the reality. Last year, when Giants fans were not paying attention to college QBs, these guys were looked at as stars based on the seasons they put up. We wouldn't be having the "he's not worth a #2 pick" if this draft is in April 2017. For various reasons, some of which the result of the team around them, not the QB themselves, Darnold and Rosen didn't have the same sort of standout years. I'm not sold that that suddenly means they're not good.
In terms of relative value  
allstarjim : 2/25/2018 9:30 am : link
Of a draft pick to their position, another way you can look at it is relative value for production beyond the postional mean production.

For instance, if Barkley is a guy that puts up 2000 scrimmage yards, which I think he's capable of, how does his contract look in the context of production? Then perhaps the cost isn't as prohibitive.
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