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Paul Schwartz on why Giants won't go with QB

GFAN52 : 3/20/2018 6:45 pm
Basically he said.

1. The Giants do not think this quarterback class is in the same league as the Manning-Ben Roethlisberger-Philip Rivers class of 2004.

2. When their draft board is finalized, the expectation is Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen and Josh Allen will not be one of the top three overall players listed. All three, of course, will be assigned high first-round grades, but all three will fall short of the top three. The strong feeling is the Giants will have running back Saquon Barkley, guard Quenton Nelson and defensive end Bradley Chubb as their highest-rated players (not necessarily in that order). So, it would go against their draft-day rules at No. 2 to take a quarterback not rated as the No. 1, 2 or 3 player on their board.

3. What about a trade down? The notion “quarterback or else they must trade out” is not flying with the Giants. Again, go back to Gettleman, who stressed, “You can’t get too cute” here. You see a player with the potential for greatness, you take him. Now, if the Giants get blown away by the Broncos (sitting at No. 5), do they move down? They definitely would consider it, especially if at No. 5 they can get Nelson.

4. Bills trade down:

Sliding all the way down in a deal with the Bills could bring back No. 12 and 22 in the first round and, in the second round, the 53rd and 65th overall picks, plus a 2019 second-round pick. It is believed Gettleman would hold out for more — the Bills would have to include their 2019 first-round pick. That is a bounty the Giants would have to consider, but the smart money is on them staying put and taking a player they see greatness in.
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RE: I’m not sure why the Giants would have a draft day rule on a 1st round  
micky : 3/20/2018 8:16 pm : link
In comment 13876527 Ivan15 said:
Quote:
QB.


no one knows what they are thinking (schwartz etc) except the getts and etc..plus this statement is made up..there's new thinking in that building..new ways.

RE: Barkley  
GFAN52 : 3/20/2018 8:18 pm : link
In comment 13876599 Archer said:
Quote:
The best case senario for the Giants is for the Browns to take Barkley

The Giants will then have their choice of the QBs and the value of the pick goes up in trading with the Bills etc


I agree, but I see that probably as pretty low.
Giants supposedly worked out Rosen today  
jeff57 : 3/20/2018 8:19 pm : link
.
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RE: Giants supposedly worked out Rosen today  
GFAN52 : 3/20/2018 8:22 pm : link
In comment 13876621 jeff57 said:
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Do you think it would have been Shula only or Shurmur as well who worked him out?
RE: Giants supposedly worked out Rosen today  
shyster : 3/20/2018 8:25 pm : link
In comment 13876621 jeff57 said:
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Thank you for that.

If we don't find out today who was there for NYG, we'll likely find out at Darnold's pro day tomorrow.

Unless that gets rained out.
RE: The prevailing opinion of Denver being a trade partner  
Strip-Sack : 3/20/2018 8:33 pm : link
In comment 13876590 Diver_Down said:
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with the assumption that they want a QB might be false. Recently, the message is that they are content in seeing Keenum run the offense and staying at #5. The speculation is that they could go with Chubb to bookend with Von Miller. Of course, if a QB falls to them, then that is another matter.


I think this makes sense as it's a long shot that the Giants would trade down to 12 and they don't have to take a QB at #2 so there's a real good chance that Denver will have two of the top four QBs to pick from at #5 and, they'd definitely have one of the top four sitting there. I'm starting to believe it'll be Chubb at #2...would love a trade down but I don't think they'll be a trade down scenario open where Chubb or Nelson would be available.
The deeper we get into this  
NYG07 : 3/20/2018 9:00 pm : link
the more I think Rosen is going to be the pick. Darnold is going to go number one to the Browns. I just can't imagine the Giants front office passing on this opportunity. After all, we did hear about Mara giving the direct order to his scouting department to start scouting the top QBs in this draft last year, and Reese himself was at the USC-UCLA game.

We also had a poster recently say that Rothenberg was told by someone close to the Giants that Gettleman loves Rosen. Is it smoke? Maybe. But the fact that they did not even entertain the idea of trading down with the Jets tells me they want a QB.
Did Schwartz clarify that he’s speculating?  
djm : 3/20/2018 9:02 pm : link
...
Schwartz hasn't a clue what the Giants intentions are...  
Torrag : 3/20/2018 9:03 pm : link
...he's guessing just like everyone else.
Do we know for sure they didn't entertain the possibility  
Ten Ton Hammer : 3/20/2018 9:04 pm : link
with the Jets?
RE: Everybody hell bent on a QB at 2  
twostepgiants : 3/20/2018 10:28 pm : link
In comment 13876538 Jeever said:
Quote:
We can always trade for a proven commodity down the road. If we can get a decent deal with Denver I'd do it. You're still going to get one of Barkley, Nelson, Chubb or Fitzpatrick plus the extra picks.

I personally want Nelson to help protect our QB and improve the running game which also helps the QB.


Do you have some examples on past trades for proven commodities at QB?
Someone  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 3/20/2018 10:35 pm : link
will have to remind me the last time the Giants actually used "smoke." And Gettlemen was here under both Accorsi and Reese.
RE: Eli kills Rosen as a prospect, even without concussions  
Boy Cord : 3/20/2018 11:15 pm : link
In comment 13876522 Tim in VA said:
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And 2004 is mentioned often here as well in comparison to this draft. Totally fair to bring that up. There have been many posters here echoing each and every one of the points above, myself included, so don't act surprised. The only thing I disagree with is the argument against trading down. If Barkley is on the board, then yes you grab him, but Nelson or Chubb can be gotten later with extra much needed draft picks


Eli was also two years older than Rosen.
You probably can't lockdown the NY Giants in 2018  
AcesUp : 3/20/2018 11:17 pm : link
The concentration of people in the area with social media coupled with the established media connections just make things impossible here. Even if you could, most of the same scouting and front office staff are still in place from the previous regime. Odds are, the same leaks are there, so it's probably safe to take all this info at face value.

Personally, I'm fine with the Giants not liking the QB talent as long they're not motivated by some hail mary attempt to win one before Eli kicks it. So as far as that goes, I'm okay with this info. My biggest objection with this article is the stubbornness of staying at #2 when there is value to be had in moving down. If you're not going QB, at least leverage the QBs on the board for max value. There's a lot to be gained with this pick beyond BPA.
RE: Someone  
blueblood : 3/20/2018 11:36 pm : link
In comment 13876779 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
will have to remind me the last time the Giants actually used "smoke." And Gettlemen was here under both Accorsi and Reese.


Gettleman was the director of player personnel. He wasnt running the draft..

So your going to blame him because the people in charge ABOVE him had an issue with leaking out info???
How in the world would Schwartz have such detailed information?  
Mr. Bungle : 3/20/2018 11:38 pm : link
It would alarm me if this were all true and it's out in the media.
blueblood  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 3/20/2018 11:42 pm : link
I'm saying Gettleman was/is part of a structure that has never used deception. I mentioned a couple of weeks ago that there were whispers the Giants weren't going QB. Now you see guys like Papa saying it.

If this is a change of style and a smokescreen. Bravo. But it would be a first.
Not saying scouts are right because they usually aren't...  
AdamBrag : 3/21/2018 12:22 am : link
but there is a strong belief in the scouting community that Giants will pick Barkley or Nelson at #2 with Barkley being the most prevalent rumor.

Of course this could be an amazing smokescreen...
RE: It's  
bigbluescot : 3/21/2018 5:06 am : link
In comment 13876567 AcidTest said:
Quote:
a well written article, with the caveat as someone said, that he could have been fed misinformation. My guess is as follows:

(1) Barkley.
(2) Trade down with Denver, and take Nelson or Chubb.

I prefer (2). Assuming QBs go 1-3, then one or both of Nelson or Chubb is guaranteed to be available at 5. And it's likely to be both, since Barkley will likely go to the Browns at #4.


The other option is the Bills trade with the Colts using the 12th pick, their 2nd Second round pick and the first pick in the 3rd to get to 6, then use their 6th pick, their other 1st round pick and their 2nd round pick to get to 2.

As convoluted as that is, they're clearly trying to get in range of the prime QB picks, and that's the only way they can get there in my opinion. At 6 you get one of Barkley, Chubb or Nelson. 6 is as low as I'd go without getting a first next year, even then I'd probably demand a 2019 2nd from Buffalo in the scenario above.

If you're not taking a QB, I just can't see how you stay at 2. Hell, if comes to it do a 49ers and get on the phone with the Jets and we're fielding offers for 2, what can you offer. The Jets don't have much left, but I'm pretty positive you could leverage a 3rd and 4th for moving down one spot, I don't buy the notion that the Jets are happy with one of 3, they're all different QB's.
RE: blueblood  
bigbluescot : 3/21/2018 5:16 am : link
In comment 13876830 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
I'm saying Gettleman was/is part of a structure that has never used deception. I mentioned a couple of weeks ago that there were whispers the Giants weren't going QB. Now you see guys like Papa saying it.

If this is a change of style and a smokescreen. Bravo. But it would be a first.


He certainly didn't at Carolina. A quick search, suggests that the beat writers there were constantly surprised how forthright he was in the lead up to drafts.

Quote:
Now that we're five years into the Dave Gettleman regime, it should be pretty clear the Panthers general manager doesn't go out of his way to throw up smokescreens. Actually, he usually takes the opposite approach


Quote:
Gettleman is a wealth of information but a week before the draft you have to wonder what was truth and what was smoke. He indicated he loved the depth in this draft at DB, DE, WR and RB. Honestly as I listen to him I can't help but think he is being truthful.
this is what GMs get paid to do. And differnces of opinion  
Victor in CT : 3/21/2018 8:00 am : link
are the only way that trades happen if you are looking for a trade down. If they don't have conviction about any of the QBs then it would be irresponsible to take one.
It sounds like a lot of people have selective hearing  
Chris684 : 3/21/2018 8:23 am : link
because they want a QB so bad.

Dottino has been saying this for the last few months on all his interviews. Things can probably change, and they may still decide on a QB after all the evaluation is done.

Right now however, it does not appear they are thinking QB.
RE: Why  
Sonic Youth : 3/21/2018 8:31 am : link
In comment 13876542 Zepp said:
Quote:
is it so hard to believe that the Giants are not going to take sloppy seconds on a QB? There is a reason why they haven't been in this position to draft a QB many times before is because they usually do it right. So I just don't get this fantasy football mindset that fans have that oh well....see need....fill need. NO! that is NOT how it works in the NFL! The good teams draft difference makers. Players that can play and play well. At this spot, this high in the draft you absolutely MUST draft, not only a starter, but an all pro and possibly hall of famer. If the Giants don't think these QB's are that then it is not crazy at all to pass on that position and go another direction whether its Barkley or trade down and Nelson.
Sloppy seconds? They have the second overall pick in a highly touted class. Fucking awful post.
I'll say this, and it is by no means definitive  
JonC : 3/21/2018 8:31 am : link
but I haven't heard one iota about QBs besides their QB evaluations aren't completed yet.
RE: RE: Why  
Eman11 : 3/21/2018 8:39 am : link
In comment 13876971 Sonic Youth said:
Quote:
In comment 13876542 Zepp said:


Quote:


is it so hard to believe that the Giants are not going to take sloppy seconds on a QB? There is a reason why they haven't been in this position to draft a QB many times before is because they usually do it right. So I just don't get this fantasy football mindset that fans have that oh well....see need....fill need. NO! that is NOT how it works in the NFL! The good teams draft difference makers. Players that can play and play well. At this spot, this high in the draft you absolutely MUST draft, not only a starter, but an all pro and possibly hall of famer. If the Giants don't think these QB's are that then it is not crazy at all to pass on that position and go another direction whether its Barkley or trade down and Nelson.

Sloppy seconds? They have the second overall pick in a highly touted class. Fucking awful post.


Just because this group of QBs is highly touted doesn't mean they're all the same or those doing the touting are correct.

I believe most teams would have one guy they like a lot better than the others, and highly doubt many if any have them all rated the same.

It stands to reason to me the Giants have one rated higher, and if he's selected by the Browns, then yes they'd be picking sloppy seconds as far as QBs they like. Do you go that way just because it's a QB and so many people say they would take one or select a player you have rated higher?
Is a better-than-average QB more important to have then  
mikeinbloomfield : 3/21/2018 9:12 am : link
a great RB? I think the main argument this article is making is that Barkley will be a hall of famer, while none of the QBs are sure things.

The danger is, in two years when Eli is done, the Giants could have a great running back and a less than average QB. Can they win this way?

We know teams can win with only a better-than-average (not great) QB, if they have other pieces, like a great defense.

I guess the point is, QB is most important position on the field. Just because a QB is not a hall of famer, you can justify picking him high because of the importance of the position to winning, and the fact that the opportunity is rare. I'm not saying I know what the Giants will do, but I don't think its as clear cut as "none of these QBs are worth a second pick."
RE: RE: Why  
royhobbs7 : 3/21/2018 10:51 am : link
In comment 13876592 tomjgiant said:
Quote:
Zepp said:
[quote] is it so hard to believe that the Giants are not going to take sloppy seconds on a QB? There is a reason why they haven't been in this position to draft a QB many times before is because they usually do it right.

They usually do it right? What are you talking about?
Sloppy seconds? what if they get their top choice of QB,or they think both Darnold and Rosen are worthy of being picked at #2. This is one of the most highly thought of QB classes in a long time and to get the next franchise QB is not something the new GM is going to let slip through his hands.


According to a few scouts' views. The top QB in this class (Darnold) would be #4 if he were drafted last year!!!!
RE: The deeper we get into this  
royhobbs7 : 3/21/2018 10:57 am : link
In comment 13876664 NYG07 said:
Quote:
the more I think Rosen is going to be the pick. Darnold is going to go number one to the Browns. I just can't imagine the Giants front office passing on this opportunity. After all, we did hear about Mara giving the direct order to his scouting department to start scouting the top QBs in this draft last year, and Reese himself was at the USC-UCLA game.

We also had a poster recently say that Rothenberg was told by someone close to the Giants that Gettleman loves Rosen. Is it smoke? Maybe. But the fact that they did not even entertain the idea of trading down with the Jets tells me they want a QB.


That was Mara's dictum prior to Gettleman being the GM. I think JM has to let DG make the call now. And DG sees that if he can fill a few holes, this team could be competitive in 2018.

Why not?

It was as unlikely that the Giants would make the playoffs in 2017 after their poor 2016 season. I believe the 2018 team could be better than the 2016 team. It will have a better O-Line for sure; a better running game (probably); a better Beezer corp., and a better coach/coaching staff - FOR SURE!!!!!
The 2018 offense may very well help to keep the defense off the field more often (as the Giants will likely be able to demonstrate greater offensive ball control).
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