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Because, by passing on a player you pick someone else. DO you regret passing on Rodgers because you picked another stud who led you to a championship? Or do you regret passing on Rodgers because you picked a merely solid player? In both cases, you missed out on the premier guy but you still helped your team. That's merely a question of envy. Do you regret marrying your wife because of who Verlander married? On the other side, when you pick a Russell and he busts, there is no replacement to that pick. It's gone and you wouldn't even add a non-exciting but useful cog. You get nothing, zero zilch for it. In fact, you get less than that, because you probably wait too many years to cut your losses in the faint hope that you can get some recoup of your investment. So you spiral downward. |
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and makes mine shit? Got it. Why are we even talking about Rodgers anyway? Over 20 teams passed on him. How many teams took a shit QB at 2 and haven't won anything? You are making my point for me. |
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In comment 13906586 UConn4523 said: Quote: These aren't comparable circumstances. But to answer the question it has to be JaMarcus Russell, especially since their was no slotted rookie cap in place. Well there is now, so instead of being so literal, stick to the point: is it worse to draft a QB who busts or to pass on a QB who makes it to the Hall of Fame? The answer should be pretty obvious to anyone being honest with themselves. |
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In comment 13906646 UConn4523 said: Quote: and makes mine shit? Got it. Why are we even talking about Rodgers anyway? Over 20 teams passed on him. How many teams took a shit QB at 2 and haven't won anything? You are making my point for me. Forget the samples I used, just think of it philosophically. Of course teams move on after missing on a Hall of Fame QB, just as they move on from drafting a QB who busts. In the latter case, you lament the cost in money and time spend developing the QB, in the former you lament missing out on being in the Super Bowl hunt year in and year out. Which is the heavier price? |
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A bad QB will take down your franchise quickly. There are other options after passing up a great one that might be nearly as good and not ruin your team. It's a false dichotomy though because there's no real way to be sure which one you are doing. You make the best call with the info you have and proceed from there. |
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who has won a super bowl. In fact, Eli and Peyton Manning are the only two top ten drafted quarterbacks who have won a Super Bowl since Troy Aikman was drafted in 1989... So in 28 drafts, that is 2 for 42; or better stated, 0 for 40 if you exclude the two Mannings... Has this just been a soft period for quarterbacks? Uh, I don't think so... Brady, Favre, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Brees etc. are all HOF quarterbacks not selected in the top ten... Instead, it may be because the intense scrutiny and suffocating pressure of a young man being put in the most important position in the sporting world has become almost unbearable for anyone in today's relentless media environment... especially someone who is pre-anointed as the franchise savior before they have ever thrown a pass in the NFL... Maybe if the Colts had passed on Andrew Luck in 2012 and supported Peyton Manning with Fletcher Cox or Luke Kuechly, the Colts and not the Broncos would have won a super bowl in 2015... |
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who has won a super bowl. In fact, Eli and Peyton Manning are the only two top ten drafted quarterbacks who have won a Super Bowl since Troy Aikman was drafted in 1989... So in 28 drafts, that is 2 for 42; or better stated, 0 for 40 if you exclude the two Mannings... Has this just been a soft period for quarterbacks? Uh, I don't think so... Brady, Favre, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Brees etc. are all HOF quarterbacks not selected in the top ten... Instead, it may be because the intense scrutiny and suffocating pressure of a young man being put in the most important position in the sporting world has become almost unbearable for anyone in today's relentless media environment... especially someone who is pre-anointed as the franchise savior before they have ever thrown a pass in the NFL... Maybe if the Colts had passed on Andrew Luck in 2012 and supported Peyton Manning with Fletcher Cox or Luke Kuechly, the Colts and not the Broncos would have won a super bowl in 2015... |
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In comment 13906676 Heisenberg said: Quote: A bad QB will take down your franchise quickly. There are other options after passing up a great one that might be nearly as good and not ruin your team. It's a false dichotomy though because there's no real way to be sure which one you are doing. You make the best call with the info you have and proceed from there. I *LOVE* this post and you making it. It simply reeks of uncertainty. |
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In comment 13906679 Bill L said: Quote: In comment 13906676 Heisenberg said: Quote: A bad QB will take down your franchise quickly. There are other options after passing up a great one that might be nearly as good and not ruin your team. It's a false dichotomy though because there's no real way to be sure which one you are doing. You make the best call with the info you have and proceed from there. I *LOVE* this post and you making it. It simply reeks of uncertainty. This are incredibly uncertain times. :) |
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But unfortunately since Milton is the one asking, everyone is in attack mode thinking that it's just another Rosen thread. My answer is that it's far more regrettable to pass on the great QB, than to choose a QB that busts. My guess though is that most posters who want a QB at 2 will agree with that premise, while those that don't will spin it to support their own, non-QB draft preference. The question was supposed to make you think, but it just made everyone dig their heels in and restate their draft preference. |
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it's just dressed up differently than the others. And IMO the answer is obvious for the reasons already stated.. it's worse picking the bust. As has already been said, you missed out on the HoFer who knows... maybe you have a guy a tick below that. You draft a bust... especially at QB... it's a wasted pick. |
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T-Bone and others... Whether or not the guy I had in mind was Rosen or the QB of your choice is unimportant. The purpose of the thread was to approach the discussion we've been having for weeks, but from a different angle. Looking at it from the POV of Dave Gettleman fifteen years from now and knowing that he made a mistake. Which mistake would sting the most? Would it sting more to have selected [Fill In QB of your choice] only to see Barkley go on to have a Hall of Fame career or to choose Barkley and suffer through watching [Fill in QB of your choice] have a Hall of Fame career? I gave the examples from 2005 and 2007 because those were drafts in which a GM made a choice between the highest graded RB on his board and the highest graded QB and in each case the one that got away had a Hall of Fame career. |
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In comment 13906890 T-Bone said: Quote: it's just dressed up differently than the others. And IMO the answer is obvious for the reasons already stated.. it's worse picking the bust. As has already been said, you missed out on the HoFer who knows... maybe you have a guy a tick below that. You draft a bust... especially at QB... it's a wasted pick. The only player in the 2005 (Aaron Rodgers) draft that I would describe as a "tick" below Rodgers would be DeMarcus Ware. Every other player drafted was several ticks below Rodgers, including the three RBs drafted in the first 5 picks who combined for just 5 total 1,000 yd seasons between them. All the other players drafted in RD 1 that year are out of the league (except for Alex Smith) and most have been gone for at least 5 years. Also, take a look at that first round in 2005 and read the list of the 22 teams that passed on Rodgers (Dallas did it twice). The majority of those teams have had on-going QB issues that would have been solved for more than a decade if they had taken Rodgers. In Milton's example the missed opportunity cost of passing on Rodgers is far, far greater than blowing just one pick. |
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In comment 13906890 T-Bone said: Quote: it's just dressed up differently than the others. And IMO the answer is obvious for the reasons already stated.. it's worse picking the bust. As has already been said, you missed out on the HoFer who knows... maybe you have a guy a tick below that. You draft a bust... especially at QB... it's a wasted pick. The only player in the 2005 (Aaron Rodgers) draft that I would describe as a "tick" below Rodgers would be DeMarcus Ware. Every other player drafted was several ticks below Rodgers, including the three RBs drafted in the first 5 picks who combined for just 5 total 1,000 yd seasons between them. All the other players drafted in RD 1 that year are out of the league (except for Alex Smith) and most have been gone for at least 5 years. Also, take a look at that first round in 2005 and read the list of the 22 teams that passed on Rodgers (Dallas did it twice). The majority of those teams have had on-going QB issues that would have been solved for more than a decade if they had taken Rodgers. In Milton's example the missed opportunity cost of passing on Rodgers is far, far greater than blowing just one pick. |
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In comment 13906928 Jim in Tampa said: Quote: In comment 13906890 T-Bone said: Quote: it's just dressed up differently than the others. And IMO the answer is obvious for the reasons already stated.. it's worse picking the bust. As has already been said, you missed out on the HoFer who knows... maybe you have a guy a tick below that. You draft a bust... especially at QB... it's a wasted pick. The only player in the 2005 (Aaron Rodgers) draft that I would describe as a "tick" below Rodgers would be DeMarcus Ware. Every other player drafted was several ticks below Rodgers, including the three RBs drafted in the first 5 picks who combined for just 5 total 1,000 yd seasons between them. All the other players drafted in RD 1 that year are out of the league (except for Alex Smith) and most have been gone for at least 5 years. Also, take a look at that first round in 2005 and read the list of the 22 teams that passed on Rodgers (Dallas did it twice). The majority of those teams have had on-going QB issues that would have been solved for more than a decade if they had taken Rodgers. In Milton's example the missed opportunity cost of passing on Rodgers is far, far greater than blowing just one pick. Maybe it's just me because I'm still not seeing the point. So you and Milton are suggesting to just pick a QB just because it would supposedly hurt more to miss picking a HoF QB over a HoF RB? |
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you are always the smartest guy in the room. I’d like you better if you just admitted it’s a “different way to look at whether to draft Rosen” than to dress it up he way you just did. |
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because he was never any good. At least Ronnie Brown was a good back for a while. Neither the Raiders or Dolphins got a franchise player, but a least the Dolphins got something. |
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But unfortunately since Milton is the one asking, everyone is in attack mode thinking that it's just another Rosen thread. My answer is that it's far more regrettable to pass on the great QB, than to choose a QB that busts. My guess though is that most posters who want a QB at 2 will agree with that premise, while those that don't will spin it to support their own, non-QB draft preference. The question was supposed to make you think, but it just made everyone dig their heels in and restate their draft preference. |
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In comment 13906866 Jim in Tampa said: Quote: But unfortunately since Milton is the one asking, everyone is in attack mode thinking that it's just another Rosen thread. My answer is that it's far more regrettable to pass on the great QB, than to choose a QB that busts. My guess though is that most posters who want a QB at 2 will agree with that premise, while those that don't will spin it to support their own, non-QB draft preference. The question was supposed to make you think, but it just made everyone dig their heels in and restate their draft preference. You know what is unconscionable bullshit about this post? We are presented with two options. That implies that there are two different pov and since it’s a free will life, opinions are, by right, equal. Yet one choice is framed here as equitable agreement. The other is presented as contortional spin. Propagandists everywhere would be proud. |
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Is what if the team that takes the HOF QB doesn't bring him along correctly? Or doesn't have the surrounding team? Or he suffers a freak career ending injury? Could Ryan Leaf have been a 12 year 3 time all pro if the Giants had taken him at 24? Or Indy as the first pick? Lots of stories make it sound like SD was partly to blame with how he viewed the NFL and his career. Aaron Rodgers gets passed over 23 times... does he become the same player if he goes 1 and Alex Smith goes 24? Does Tom Brady become the GOAT if he goes in round 2? The right answer is "we don't know" No way should you be upset you passed on the HOFer - if you DID draft him... he may not have been the HOFer. I still want Barkley at 2 - but find it less likely we'll go that way. Darnold has bust written all over him - his release has a Tebow-like wind up to it. Rosen is likely the best QB to come out of this draft, but I really don't want another 10 years of an immobile pocket passer - call it personal preference. Mayfield fits the bill but oh boy his choices in his off field life leave a lot to be desired. |
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In comment 13906590 Brown Recluse said: Quote: because he was never any good. At least Ronnie Brown was a good back for a while. Neither the Raiders or Dolphins got a franchise player, but a least the Dolphins got something. I'll have you know Ronnie Brown has a higher career QB rating than Jamarcus Russell. |
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T-Bone and others... Whether or not the guy I had in mind was Rosen or the QB of your choice is unimportant. The purpose of the thread was to approach the discussion we've been having for weeks, but from a different angle. Looking at it from the POV of Dave Gettleman fifteen years from now and knowing that he made a mistake. Which mistake would sting the most? Would it sting more to have selected [Fill In QB of your choice] only to see Barkley go on to have a Hall of Fame career or to choose Barkley and suffer through watching [Fill in QB of your choice] have a Hall of Fame career? I gave the examples from 2005 and 2007 because those were drafts in which a GM made a choice between the highest graded RB on his board and the highest graded QB and in each case the one that got away had a Hall of Fame career. |
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And lastly, this is assuming the QB you pick turns into a HoFer. What if... let's just say Josh Rosen for the sake of argument *grin*... turns out to be a bust? But Barkley goes on to have a HoF career? Does that help or hurt whatever point you guys are trying to make? |