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NFT: Mets at Marlins Game 2. Mets go for seven in a row!

ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 5:44 pm
Mets Lineup

Michael Conforto – RF
Yoenis Cespedes – LF
Wilmer Flores – 1B
Todd Frazier – 3B
Asdrubal Cabrera – 2B
Kevin Plawecki – C
Juan Lagares – CF
Jacob deGrom – P
Amed Rosario – SS

Marlins Lineup

Derek Dietrich – LF
Miguel Rojas – SS
Starlin Castro – 2B
Justin Bour – 1B
Brian Anderson – 3B
Lewis Brinson – CF
Braxton Lee – RF
Bryan Holaday – C
Caleb Smith – P

Nimmo demoted. Oswalt up. Hopefully, temporarily.
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Go  
spike : 4/10/2018 5:51 pm : link
Jake!
Odd thought but  
Rob in Rockaway : 4/10/2018 5:54 pm : link
it pissed me off when Dietrich leaned into that pitch from Thor last night. He never got the chance but I was hoping he would buzz him later in the game. 100MPH coming in tight at shoulder height would have him thinking twice going forward.
I thought Wheeler was getting the Wednesday start  
Rflairr : 4/10/2018 6:00 pm : link
What happened?
RE: I thought Wheeler was getting the Wednesday start  
Metnut : 4/10/2018 6:02 pm : link
In comment 13908334 Rflairr said:
Quote:
What happened?


That's still the plan. The Mets bullpen is a little bit gassed since the starters aren't going deep into games, so Callaway thinks they could use an extra arm for a little bit. Nimmo also hasn't gotten too many ABs since Conforto has come up, so makes sense to use one of his options and get him some regular time in AAA.

I'm fine with the move.
Encouraging fangraphs article here  
Metnut : 4/10/2018 6:03 pm : link
"Based on our own math and depth charts, the Mets are already up 4.5 wins. The Angels are right behind them, at +4.2, and then we have the Diamondbacks at +4.0 and the Pirates at +3.6. To round out the top five, the Red Sox are at +2.8. At the other end, the Rays are already down 3.6 wins. The Padres, Dodgers, and Reds are all at -2.6, and then the Orioles are at -2.5. Many teams, of course, haven’t shifted very much, because all the teams have barely played any baseball, but the strong starts and the bad starts all mean something."

"Viewed like this, no one has had a more encouraging or productive start than the 8-1 Mets. The Mets’ chances of making the playoffs, according to us, have gone up 24 percentage points already. It’s not just that Noah Syndergaard looks good and healthy. It’s not just that Jacob deGrom looks good and healthy. The bullpen has been outstanding, Michael Conforto is back and hitting the crap out of the ball way ahead of schedule, and the club recently wrapped up a three-game road sweep of the Nationals. The Mets are 3.5 games ahead of the Nationals, today. They used to be projected 8.2 games worse. The gap has narrowed considerably. It’s never too soon to sweep your main rival."

"But in any post like this, it’s almost obligatory to mention the gambler’s fallacy. An underachieving team shouldn’t be expected to suddenly overachieve, in order to get back to its regular projection. And, vice versa. Even if you don’t think that, say, the Mets have really improved at all, that doesn’t mean you should now expect them to slump, to negate the eight wins in nine games. While it’s true that baseball is hopelessly cyclical, this isn’t how seasons are understood to work. If you thought the Mets might win 51% of their games before, you should expect them to win about 51% of their games the rest of the way. And then you add on the eight wins and one loss. Teams off to good starts won’t suddenly find their opponents tougher, and teams off to bad starts won’t suddenly find their opponents easier. For most of you, this is old news, but it still always comes up. That’s the thing about popular fallacies."
https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-playoff-picture-has-already-shifted/ - ( New Window )
Let's Go Mets!!!  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 6:24 pm : link
My "wish list" for tonight (aside from getting the W, of course) is for deGrom to have the first dominant outing by a Mets starter this year.

Really need some length and dominance.
RE: Odd thought but  
PhiPsi125 : 4/10/2018 6:25 pm : link
In comment 13908321 Rob in Rockaway said:
Quote:
it pissed me off when Dietrich leaned into that pitch from Thor last night. He never got the chance but I was hoping he would buzz him later in the game. 100MPH coming in tight at shoulder height would have him thinking twice going forward.


He has a reputation for doing that and wears armor to protect himself. Just once I’d like to see one of these spineless umpires call interference on him.
RE: Odd thought but  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 6:30 pm : link
In comment 13908321 Rob in Rockaway said:
Quote:
it pissed me off when Dietrich leaned into that pitch from Thor last night. He never got the chance but I was hoping he would buzz him later in the game. 100MPH coming in tight at shoulder height would have him thinking twice going forward.


He's a turd who has been making a living off doing that for a while.

If he comes up in a spot where we can afford a runner on, I'd plunk him right in the back with a high 90's heater.
RE: I thought Wheeler was getting the Wednesday start  
Mike in NY : 4/10/2018 6:33 pm : link
In comment 13908334 Rflairr said:
Quote:
What happened?


With the amount we have needed to rely on the bullpen, Mets wanted an extra arm in case DeGrom and/or Wheeler can't go deep. Lugo probably not able to give more than an inning, if that, for the entire series in Florida
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 7:11 pm : link
Another leadoff hit for Scooter.

LGM!
Ces is in an official  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:13 pm : link
funk
nice hitting Flores!  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:16 pm : link
Start it up!
Wilmaaaa  
JayBinQueens : 4/10/2018 7:16 pm : link
Lgm 1-0
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 7:17 pm : link
Wiiiiilllllllllmaaaaaaaaaaaa
Imagine  
JayBinQueens : 4/10/2018 7:18 pm : link
When yo starts to heat up...
Nice AB by Frazier  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:20 pm : link
Feel like I need a macro for that on my keyboard,

I sure type it a lot!
bogus call  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:24 pm : link
on strike 3.

lowwww
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 7:24 pm : link
That was fucking low man.
Plawecki  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:26 pm : link
with a bad AB there.

Come on, Jake! Big outing!
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 7:32 pm : link
How was that 2nd pitch to Castro a ball if the pitch that got Cabrera rung up was even lower?
wow, nice play by Flores  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:33 pm : link
if he held the bag.
wow  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 7:33 pm : link
great job Wilmaaaa!
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 8:07 pm : link
DROOBY DROOBY DOO!
Drooobs  
JayBinQueens : 4/10/2018 8:07 pm : link
Crushed that
DROOBS  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:08 pm : link
I swear the lineup is mostly ice cold. We havent even scratched the surface yet.
.  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:10 pm : link
RE: .  
Rory : 4/10/2018 8:10 pm : link
In comment 13908506 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:


I

Love this
Hey random thought but are there service time considerations  
bhill410 : 4/10/2018 8:10 pm : link
For Nimmo? I am trying to remember when he was called up, I wonder if he was borderline in that regard and they took an opportunity here.
To add to my own comment like a loser  
bhill410 : 4/10/2018 8:13 pm : link
Looking at games played he could in theory be borderline super 2 if I am recalling how the clock works when it’s over 3 years
Hanhold dominating again  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:18 pm : link
lol. Sandy came away with a fucking haul at last year's deadline. Literally punked everyone.
deGrom  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:25 pm : link
wins an epic duel!

Nice  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:25 pm : link
deGrom
If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:26 pm : link
just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.
What a great sequence by deGromm  
figgy2989 : 4/10/2018 8:27 pm : link
.
*deGrom  
figgy2989 : 4/10/2018 8:27 pm : link
.
Nice knock, Rosario  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:29 pm : link
Kid has pop -- I'm tellin ya!
RE: If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:30 pm : link
In comment 13908525 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.


My # is always -- get to 20 over early, add and maintain -- the blueprint for a perfect season.

Alright Conforto!!!!!

3-0
RE: If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
figgy2989 : 4/10/2018 8:31 pm : link
In comment 13908525 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.


You think 85 wins gets a wild card?
This Conforto kids is pretty good, huh?  
PhiPsi125 : 4/10/2018 8:31 pm : link
Love seeing the youngsters gettin at it.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 8:31 pm : link
Scooter!
Yo needs a day off  
figgy2989 : 4/10/2018 8:32 pm : link
Especially if he battling a sickness.
Might be wise to give  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:33 pm : link
Ces a rest tomorrow. Whatever he's battling -- flu or slump, maybe two days off in a row gets him right?
RE: RE: If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:33 pm : link
In comment 13908534 figgy2989 said:
Quote:
In comment 13908525 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.



You think 85 wins gets a wild card?


I think that's optimistic. I think you need 90-92 to lock a wild card up.
RE: RE: If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:34 pm : link
In comment 13908534 figgy2989 said:
Quote:
In comment 13908525 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.



You think 85 wins gets a wild card?


You realize 81 wins is .500 ball? If the Mets win tonight and tomorrow they will be 10-1. That would put them at 90 wins if they played .500 the rest of the way..
It’s extremely rare to lock up a wild card with less than  
PhiPsi125 : 4/10/2018 8:35 pm : link
90 wins. Besides, we have our sights set higher!
Can you guys count?  
ZGiants98 : 4/10/2018 8:36 pm : link
lol
.  
arcarsenal : 4/10/2018 8:37 pm : link
Fuck .500 ball at this point. I want more than that.
How do you figure?  
figgy2989 : 4/10/2018 8:37 pm : link
152 games left, .500 ball is 76-76...+9 wins they currently have is 85.
RE: RE: RE: If the Mets sweep the fish they basically  
jpkmets : 4/10/2018 8:37 pm : link
In comment 13908541 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
In comment 13908534 figgy2989 said:


Quote:


In comment 13908525 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


just have to play .500 the rest of the way to be a wild card team. Pretty fucking cool.



You think 85 wins gets a wild card?



You realize 81 wins is .500 ball? If the Mets win tonight and tomorrow they will be 10-1. That would put them at 90 wins if they played .500 the rest of the way..


your math is off.

10 games over .500 is 86-76 over a full season.

162-11= 151  
madgiantscow009 : 4/10/2018 8:37 pm : link
151/2= 75.

10+75= 85.
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