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NGT: Jarvis Landry - 5 Year, $75M, $46M Guaranteed

Saos1n : 4/12/2018 11:14 am
$15M per year
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Worst contract of the year.  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 11:19 am : link
Terrible deal for CLE. He'll be the 4th option there. They'll cut him after year 2.
Brutal  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 11:23 am : link
.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 11:25 am : link
Too much for him but I doubt he's going to be the 4th option there. He's a better option in the pass game than Johnson Jr, Coleman keeps getting hurt and although Gordon is absolutely the best WR on the team, he hasn't played 16 games in 6 years.

Can't really trust him to be on the field all year until he is again.

Anyway - CLE has like 70M in cap space. They can afford this without any issue.
arc  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 11:29 am : link
So because you can afford to pay $80,000 for a Honda, you should? Don't we have $15M in dead cap space this season because we made the same mistake?

It's worth remembering too that Miami had stated a need to change the locker room culture, and moving Landry was one of the first moves they made.
Crazy money  
Saos1n : 4/12/2018 11:29 am : link
...
Link - ( New Window )
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 11:33 am : link
Landry isn't the equivalent of a "Honda" - he's a really good, tough WR who moves chains and gets open.

This is a lot of money for him, but some of you guys talk about this player like he sucks. He doesn't at all.

Landry will catch like 85 balls for them this year and be very productive. Miami has sucked with or without "culture" for the majority of the last however many years it has been since Marino left. They haven't won a playoff game in like 20 years.

This won't hamper them at all.
RE: Worst contract of the year.  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/12/2018 11:33 am : link
In comment 13910942 KWALL2 said:
Quote:
Terrible deal for CLE. He'll be the 4th option there. They'll cut him after year 2.

4th option? Still hanging on dearly to your original Corey Coleman evaluation?
They have a ton of cap space,  
BigBlueDownTheShore : 4/12/2018 11:34 am : link
so I am guessing they are front loading this contract, so he's easier to cut in the future.
No one is saying Landry sucks  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 11:37 am : link
Shit, I drive a Honda.

But that doesn't make him worth it. And yeah he's going to catch a lot of balls...if he's being targeted 160+ times, he'd better. But there are plenty of guys that can get you 9 yards a catch at a small fraction of that ridiculous contract.
RE: No one is saying Landry sucks  
BigBlue4You09 : 4/12/2018 11:39 am : link
In comment 13911002 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Shit, I drive a Honda.

But that doesn't make him worth it. And yeah he's going to catch a lot of balls...if he's being targeted 160+ times, he'd better. But there are plenty of guys that can get you 9 yards a catch at a small fraction of that ridiculous contract.


While I agree, this is the market. Yeah this subject to the team and cap space but if it wasn’t there it would be someone else willing to pay the same.
RE: No one is saying Landry sucks  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 11:44 am : link
In comment 13911002 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Shit, I drive a Honda.

But that doesn't make him worth it. And yeah he's going to catch a lot of balls...if he's being targeted 160+ times, he'd better. But there are plenty of guys that can get you 9 yards a catch at a small fraction of that ridiculous contract.


He averaged 12 yards a catch in 2016 when he didn't have Cutler throwing to him.

You're going to have a hard time finding fair value contracts for relatively big name players.

If you want a player who can catch 100 balls for you, this is what you pay for him. He's a super reliable option in the pass game, plays in the middle of the field and moves chains. Not every WR has to be Brandin Cooks and spend the majority of their snaps running fly routes or deep posts.
And wait until you see what Cooks gets  
UConn4523 : 4/12/2018 11:46 am : link
in addition to the picks given up.
And making deals like that  
Biteymax22 : 4/12/2018 11:46 am : link
Is what gets you the number one pick multiple years in a row.

Landry is a good player, not $15mil a year good. They could have added way more to their team for that money.
BigBlue4You  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 11:46 am : link
Quote:
Yeah this subject to the team and cap space but if it wasn’t there it would be someone else willing to pay the same.


So let them pay that. I'm not disputing that there are incompetent GMs in the NFL. This contract is proof that they're definitely around.
RE: arc  
GuzzaBlue : 4/12/2018 11:50 am : link
In comment 13910976 Go Terps said:
Quote:
So because you can afford to pay $80,000 for a Honda, you should? Don't we have $15M in dead cap space this season because we made the same mistake?

It's worth remembering too that Miami had stated a need to change the locker room culture, and moving Landry was one of the first moves they made.


Landry is better than a "Honda". With poop as a QB he consistently put up 90+ catch years, runs great routes, goes over the middle of the field and has good hands.

Plus it's supply/demand. You pay $80k for a "Honda" when you have the $ to spend it and there are no Vets or Porches available while your other cars (Coleman and Gordon) have been unreliable.
A "90+ catch year" is not that impressive, and easily replaced  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 11:53 am : link
Watch Miami this year. I'm sure they'll find someone else to catch bubble screens and 6 yard hitches.
For  
Toth029 : 4/12/2018 11:53 am : link
Being a slot guy who gets a lot of short passes, he doesn't get a ton of first downs. He finished behind 50+ players for % per catch. He just catches a lot of screens or two yard digs.

For all that money.
This is how the league works now  
arniefez : 4/12/2018 11:53 am : link
Unless you're going to be cold blooded like Belichick you pay full retail for guys on second contracts. Look at the money Pugh & Richburg got after what they put on film the past 2 years.
RE: For  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 11:59 am : link
In comment 13911048 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Being a slot guy who gets a lot of short passes, he doesn't get a ton of first downs. He finished behind 50+ players for % per catch. He just catches a lot of screens or two yard digs.

For all that money.


Again - Jay Cutler is horrible.

He was top 20 the year before.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 11:59 am : link
13th in 2015, too.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:02 pm : link
90 catch years are so easy, yet only 8 players in the entire league did it last year.

1 Jarvis Landry
2 Larry Fitzgerald,
3 Michael Thomas
4 Keenan Allen,
5 Antonio Brown,
6 DeAndre Hopkins
7 Golden Tate
8 Adam Thielen

I'm sure Miami will be able to just pull a WR like that out of their asses to replace Landry.
That's what you want to do...  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 12:02 pm : link
shell out huge contracts to WRs for whom you have to make rationalizations.

Blame Cutler all you want, the truth is Landry hasn't had a year in his career even remotely worth this contract.
Miami isn't trying to replace Landry  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 12:04 pm : link
They're trying to change their offense, which has been garbage for four years with Landry on it.
46 mill guaranteed for a slightly above avg. slot guy  
Stu11 : 4/12/2018 12:05 pm : link
ummmm ok
RE: Miami isn't trying to replace Landry  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:08 pm : link
In comment 13911083 Go Terps said:
Quote:
They're trying to change their offense, which has been garbage for four years with Landry on it.


It was garbage before he was there.

You do this all the time - you take overall team failures and pin it on one player.

Miami has talent evaluation issues across the board. Their offense didn't suck because of Jarvis Landry. It sucked because Jay Cutler is awful and Ryan Tannehill was being sacked more than any other QB in the sport before he got hurt.

They were a shitty team long before Jarvis Landry arrived.

0 playoff wins since 99 and just 2 appearances since 2001.

What a model franchise....
Sucks  
ZogZerg : 4/12/2018 12:16 pm : link
We'll never get Beckham signed....
arc  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 12:20 pm : link
Quote:
You do this all the time - you take overall team failures and pin it on one player.


No, I'm pointing out that the player did nothing to improve the situation. Yeah, the Dolphins have been shit. Yeah, there are many reasons beyond Landry for that.

But you see, I have this crazy idea that if a player is going to be paid a huge contract, he should have proven that he improved his team and is worth the contract. I know...it's crazy. What did Landry do to help the Dolphins win more games?

The burden of proof lies with Landry. He has to have shown that he deserves that contract. If I'm the Browns GM and his agent starts rationalizing about how Cutler sucks and how the Dolphins are a shit organization, I hang up the phone.

Landry was part of the reason the Dolphins were a loser on the field, and why their locker room was shit. He'll likely be part of the reason for the same in Cleveland...I imagine in three years his fans will be rationalizing about how Josh Allen or Sam Darnold in Cleveland sucks.

Losing player that catches lots of bubble screens. But he fooled Cleveland into believing he was otherwise, so good for him.

.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:25 pm : link
Gee, I don't know - didn't they just make the playoffs in 2016 when he had his best year?

He didn't help them win the 10 games they won that year?

They lost their QB and had to start Matt Moore in the playoffs so PIT ran them over.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:28 pm : link
Your argument presupposes that MIA wouldn't have been any worse without him.

Beyond that - it's pretty hard for any non-QB to move the needle enough on their own in this league. Doesn't mean the player doesn't have value

DeAndre Hopkins isn't the reason HOU won 4 games. They've been a playoff team with him in the recent past. Their QB situation fucking sucked after Watson was hurt (sound familiar?) and when they lost Watt, they had very little talent on the defensive side of the ball outside of Clowney.

There are really good players all over the league on bad teams and they have nothing to do with the team being bad.
big problem with contracts like this is they inflate the  
Victor in CT : 4/12/2018 12:38 pm : link
price of the entire position.
I know 1 guy who is happy about it though: Odell Beckham, Jr.  
Victor in CT : 4/12/2018 12:40 pm : link
Just made his $100mil demand look reasonable.
meanwhile BB goes with a WRBC  
GiantsLaw : 4/12/2018 12:41 pm : link
Edelman, Hogan, Matthews, Dorsett, Britt, Mitchell...I think combined won't make = Landry's 1st yr. lol
Jarvis Landry isn't a stain on Hopkins's underwear  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 12:43 pm : link
Hopkins doesn't make his living catching the ball 2 yards from scrimmage.

Landry will do more of the same in Cleveland that he did in Miami, just at enormous cost.
RE: meanwhile BB goes with a WRBC  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:44 pm : link
In comment 13911215 GiantsLaw said:
Quote:
Edelman, Hogan, Matthews, Dorsett, Britt, Mitchell...I think combined won't make = Landry's 1st yr. lol


Pretty easy to do with Tom Brady under center.

None of those guys would be anywhere near as effective in Cleveland or Miami.

Wes Welker's production nearly doubled when he left Miami for NE.

Additionally, almost every single one of those guys was hurt last year.
Consistently one of the most underrated  
Keith : 4/12/2018 12:44 pm : link
WR's in the NFL. That's a lot of money for a slot guy, but he's always disrespected. Some of the early responses on this thread are a joke.
RE: Jarvis Landry isn't a stain on Hopkins's underwear  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:45 pm : link
In comment 13911225 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Hopkins doesn't make his living catching the ball 2 yards from scrimmage.

Landry will do more of the same in Cleveland that he did in Miami, just at enormous cost.


Great, so you're strengthening my point by crediting Hopkins as an excellent WR.

How did he help make the Texans better last year? They won 4 fucking games.
Can we agree that Landry isn't "terrible"  
widmerseyebrow : 4/12/2018 12:52 pm : link
but is in no way worth that contract?
arc  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 12:54 pm : link
90 catches from one player? Is that a measuring stick?

A player's impact is not about number of catches. Its not a base hit. It's a catch and it can be used to overvalue a player which I strongly believe is the case with Landry.

CLE overpaid big time for this player.

He won't like the 60% cut in targets he sees in year 1.

He'll be a 4th option.

And he won't make it to year 3 of this contract.

Terrible deal by CLE.
Yeah, and I wouldn't pay Hopkins either  
Go Terps : 4/12/2018 12:55 pm : link
I think paying any wide receiver this kind of contract is foolish...they aren't the reason you win titles no matter how good they are.

But if you're going to pay one of Hopkins or Landry, that's not a discussion. Hopkins is IMO the best WR in the league right now, and the other is a step above a JAG. Landry isn't doing anything a bunch of other guys in the league can. We could get Davis Webb to throw Sterling Shepard 160 bubble screens and he's going to catch 100 of them.
Player isn't terrible  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 12:56 pm : link
the contract is.

But he isn't close to a top 20 player at his position.

Severely overrated.
RE: arc  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:56 pm : link
In comment 13911258 KWALL2 said:
Quote:
90 catches from one player? Is that a measuring stick?

A player's impact is not about number of catches. Its not a base hit. It's a catch and it can be used to overvalue a player which I strongly believe is the case with Landry.

CLE overpaid big time for this player.

He won't like the 60% cut in targets he sees in year 1.

He'll be a 4th option.

And he won't make it to year 3 of this contract.

Terrible deal by CLE.


He's absolutely not going to be the "4th option" there. He's better than Coleman (who can't even stay healthy) and he's a better pass catcher than Johnson Jr.

He will lead the team in catches this season. Book it.

4th options don't manage that or even come close.

He won't be gone after 2 years either.
I also think MIA  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 12:56 pm : link
will easily replace him and they made the smart move by dumping him for any type of draft pick.
Two kinds of NFL guarantees  
shyster : 4/12/2018 12:58 pm : link
which are usually not distinguished in the first report.

Spotrac breaks it down as "guaranteed at signing" and "total guarantees." Only "guaranteed at signing" is fully guaranteed, which is what most people think of when they see the word guaranteed.

Nate Solder's $35 million guaranteed was all "guaranteed at signing". In contrast, only a little more than half of Weston Richburg's 28 million guaranteed (which got the headline) was in fact guaranteed at signing. The rest of his "guarantees" are subject to options being picked up at the end of every year.

We know Landry has $47 million in guarantees. But, at this moment, we don't know how much money this contract guarantees he will in fact receive.
RE: Yeah, and I wouldn't pay Hopkins either  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 12:58 pm : link
In comment 13911259 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I think paying any wide receiver this kind of contract is foolish...they aren't the reason you win titles no matter how good they are.

But if you're going to pay one of Hopkins or Landry, that's not a discussion. Hopkins is IMO the best WR in the league right now, and the other is a step above a JAG. Landry isn't doing anything a bunch of other guys in the league can. We could get Davis Webb to throw Sterling Shepard 160 bubble screens and he's going to catch 100 of them.


Got it - so you wouldn't even pay the best WR in football (even though Hopkins isn't it)

Over the hill vets and rookie contracts only.

Better hit on those picks because your WR's are going to suck if you don't.

And can we stop with the hyperbole over the bubble screens? He does more than that. You tell me I rationalize shit - you're needing to completely over-exaggerate to prove this guy is not any good.
.  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 1:00 pm : link
90 catches doesn't have to be a "measuring stick" but when you consider that only 25% of the league even had a player capable of it and that nearly every player who did is really good - I'd say it means the guy is probably pretty good.

If it was so easy to catch 90 balls in this league, every team would have a guy doing it - yet 3/4 of the league doesn't have a guy who does.
I agree that it is too much  
Jay on the Island : 4/12/2018 1:00 pm : link
But it is very difficult to put a value on Landry. He moves the chains and will get a ton of catches but he is not a deep threat at all. Very similar to the Giants Steve Smith.
Landry stats (in what world is this average)  
GuzzaBlue : 4/12/2018 1:02 pm : link
Avg stats the past three years...

Rec 105
Yrds 1,100
TD 6

Those are his average stats the past 3 years with a crappy QB. Not elite, but not average IMO. He may not be as flashy (or good for that matter) as Jones, ODB, Brown, but he's very good and versatile. He runs all the routes, catches passes over the middle and can also return kicks.
RE: I agree that it is too much  
arcarsenal : 4/12/2018 1:02 pm : link
In comment 13911276 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
But it is very difficult to put a value on Landry. He moves the chains and will get a ton of catches but he is not a deep threat at all. Very similar to the Giants Steve Smith.


And everyone here loved Steve Smith when he was healthy. He helped us win a Super Bowl in 2007 providing virtually zero RAC ability and probably caught 2 passes over 30 yards in his entire career.
"had a player capable of it"  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 1:04 pm : link
Really?

Come on. The league is full of guys capable of it. They just don't see the targets because that doesn't lead to winning football.
Arc  
KWALL2 : 4/12/2018 1:05 pm : link
We will see.

Coleman is better. Gordon is better. They'll draft Barkley. The TE is a bigger threat.

He'll struggle to even grab that 4th option title!
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