Nice article by Serby - Only 2 QBs drafted with a Top 10 pick in the last 25 years have won a Super Bowl. Only Peyton and Eli
Hard to believe. Obviously a lot of QBs have been picked with a Top 10 pick during that time and you would have thought that someone other than the Manning brothers had climbed to the top of the mountain.
You kind of always have visions of multiple Super Bowls when you use a premium pick on a QB but in fact it has almost never happened over last couple of decades.
Sometimes we forget how lucky we were to strike it rich in 2004 (and in 1979 too). According to the numbers. championships don't follow the Top 10 picked QBs around as often as you think.
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Rothlesberger was drafted in thd top 10
Rothlesberger was drafted in thd top 10
I thought so too but Big Ben was actually the 11th pick in 2004
Good one Allstar.
Maybe list can be amended to say "Top 10 picked QBs who won a Super Bowl with the team that drafted him (or who traded for him on draft day)
...interesting, but the lead premise is statistically misleading.
Bottom line: think about the sheer number of QBs drafted OUTSIDE the Top 10 (in last 25 years), versus a much smaller number for those drafted within the Top 10.
That alone makes the odds tilted toward QB Super Bowl winners that were drafted outside the Top 10!
...interesting, but the lead premise is statistically misleading.
Bottom line: think about the sheer number of QBs drafted OUTSIDE the Top 10 (in last 25 years), versus a much smaller number for those drafted within the Top 10.
That alone makes the odds tilted toward QB Super Bowl winners that were drafted outside the Top 10!
Yes, it is very limiting criteria. Plus, there are about 5 or 6 years of the last 25 drafts in which the first QB chosen was picked outside of the top 10. It's more of an interesting detail/fact rather than useful information.
If you are curious as to who the QBs taken in the top 10 of the last 25 years are, here you go:
Rivers, Eli, Peyton, Bledsoe*, Mirer, Shuler, Dilfer, McNair*, Kerry Collins*, Ryan Leaf, McNabb*,
Akili Smith, Couch, Vick, David Carr, Harrington, Carson Palmer, Byron Leftwich, Alex Smith*, Vince Young, Leinart,
Jamarcus Russell, Matt Ryan*, Matt Stafford, Mark Sanchez, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton*, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert,
Luck, Bob Griffin, Tannehill, Bortles, Winston, Mariota, Goff, Wentz, Trubisky, Mahomes
* - led team to a Super Bowl in a losing effort.
It's an eye opener, over a 25 year span.....
After I hung up on my wife, I saw a bunch of negative posts bashing the premise of my thread.
No, it's not a perfect, maybe not even a good comparison. But it's a fair rebuttal to those that say you HAVE to draft a QB at the #2 spot.
If you can get by with an Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees or even a Joe Flacco, maybe you're better off compared to Ryan Leaf, Akili Smith and Jamarcus Nomuscle?
agreed.
if you change it to top 11 and making the conference championship game, the stats change dramatically.
if you subtract the conference championship games by one outlier (the 6th rounder) then the stats are pretty telling.
but who cares we all know that QB is the most important single position in team sports, period.
This is the point. Thank you.