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Draft expert Tony Pauline names his Top 300 players

YANKEE28 : 4/14/2018 4:01 pm
including a write-up on each.

Tony is an outstanding judge of talent that never follows the draft expert crowd.

As an example, he indicates that this year he would draft QB Luke Falk from Washington State over Mason Rudolph or Kyle Lauletta.

Great information and analysis from a guy with a great history of player analysis.
Link - ( New Window )
Thanks for this  
kelsto811 : 4/14/2018 4:11 pm : link
He has Edmunds as top 5 overall and best LB which has been my view since offseason began. Has Rosen as top QB which I also believe. Hoping the Giants take Rosen, Barkley, Chub, or Edmunds. Anyone else would leave me underwhelemed. Excited for the draft!
Quickly read  
XBRONX : 4/14/2018 4:19 pm : link
his top RBs. In weaknesses for Michel, doesnt even mention his huge fumbling problem.
We have a shot  
dune69 : 4/14/2018 4:23 pm : link
at getting 3 or 4 very good football players in this draft. Dave Gettleman needs to be on his game.
So.....  
OBJRoyal : 4/14/2018 5:03 pm : link
Barkley it is. Why wouldn’t you take the hands down best player in the draft??
On Rosen  
ZogZerg : 4/14/2018 6:05 pm : link
Quote:

Analysis:
On film and on the field, Rosen is easily the best quarterback prospect in this class. He’s the most polished passer, the most NFL-ready and comes with the least downside risk in his playing style. His injury history and personality need closer inspection and may not sit well with all teams. If he hits on all cylinders and has his blind side protected, Rosen has all the skills necessary to lead a franchise at the next level for a long time.
On Darnold  
ZogZerg : 4/14/2018 6:07 pm : link
Quote:

Analysis:
Darnold has tremendous hype surrounding him, as he delivers in big spots and possesses next-level physical skills. He is by no means a sure thing and possesses as much downside risk as he does upside potential. Darnold should be successful at the next level, but I would expect him to throw more than his fair share of interceptions and turn the ball over more than the average quarterback.
RE: On Rosen  
BillT : 4/14/2018 6:29 pm : link
In comment 13914248 ZogZerg said:
Quote:


Quote:



Analysis:
On film and on the field, Rosen is easily the best quarterback prospect in this class. He’s the most polished passer, the most NFL-ready and comes with the least downside risk in his playing style. His injury history and personality need closer inspection and may not sit well with all teams. If he hits on all cylinders and has his blind side protected, Rosen has all the skills necessary to lead a franchise at the next level for a long time.



Word.
That's why I would  
Dave on the UWS : 4/14/2018 6:40 pm : link
select Rosen, but how does the brain trust see it. The million dollar question
I would rather see Elite Mobsters top 300  
Vanzetti : 4/14/2018 7:26 pm : link
Pauline is a joke
give me Rosen or Barkley.  
markky : 4/14/2018 7:38 pm : link
i think 2 of the 3 will be available to us in round 2: Wynn, Guice or Hernandez. At least 1 of them will be available.

His write-up on Chubb  
Mike from SI : 4/14/2018 7:39 pm : link
increased my optimism about him. I think the only way we go wrong at 2 is if we take a QB who doesn't pan out. Barkley and Chubb seem as sure-fire as can be, and you can't go wrong trading down to 5 and taking one of Barkley/Chubb/Nelson.
One interesting aspect of this list...  
Big Blue Blogger : 4/15/2018 1:33 am : link
...is that Pauline sees nothing close to a "Potential Franchise Player" in this class. Only two prospects - Barkley and Chubb - qualify as "Impact Players"; and even those two are at the bottom of the range for that designation.

Is this level of reticence typical for Pauline? Anyway, here are the numbers and what they are supposed to mean. I'll just include the grades for the top guys, since the site deserves its clicks.

Grade Rd Pos Player Name School
4.50 1st RB Saquon Barkley Penn State
4.45 1st DE Bradley Chubb North Carolina State
4.30 1st G Quenton Nelson Notre Dame
4.27 1st QB Josh Rosen UCLA
4.26 1st ILB Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech
4.24 1st CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
4.23 1st OLB Roquan Smith Georgia
4.22 1st CB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
4.21 1st QB Josh Allen Wyoming
4.20 1st S Derwin James Florida State
4.19 1st QB Sam Darnold USC

Player Grade Table
6.0 to 5.20 Potential Franchise Player - Possible Perennial All-Pro, and a guaranteed high First Round Pick.
5.19 to 4.40 Impact Player - Player who can change the course of a game and a consistent performer. Multiple Pro-Bowl possibilities and top ten selection
4.39 to 4.05 Quality Player - Someone who consistently gives good performances. Occasional Pro-Bowl appearances.
RE: His write-up on Chubb  
giantstock : 4/15/2018 7:08 pm : link
In comment 13914336 Mike from SI said:
Quote:
increased my optimism about him. I think the only way we go wrong at 2 is if we take a QB who doesn't pan out. Barkley and Chubb seem as sure-fire as can be, and you can't go wrong trading down to 5 and taking one of Barkley/Chubb/Nelson.


Do you think 3 of the QB's of the top 4 being mentioned will be "average at best" for their careers? Do you THINK they will? WHat's your opinion on all 4 in terms of "being average at best?"
RE: RE: His write-up on Chubb  
the mike : 4/15/2018 8:22 pm : link
In comment 13915144 giantstock said:
Quote:
In comment 13914336 Mike from SI said:


Quote:


increased my optimism about him. I think the only way we go wrong at 2 is if we take a QB who doesn't pan out. Barkley and Chubb seem as sure-fire as can be, and you can't go wrong trading down to 5 and taking one of Barkley/Chubb/Nelson.



Do you think 3 of the QB's of the top 4 being mentioned will be "average at best" for their careers? Do you THINK they will? WHat's your opinion on all 4 in terms of "being average at best?"


Darnold and Rosen are above average - I am eagerly awaiting Sy's comparables, but in my mind, Darnold comps with Tannehill and Rosen comps with Cutler... These are good, competent quarterbacks, but likely not pro bowl quarterbacks and not worthy of a top ten pick.

Allen is a low floor high ceiling prospect - current comparables are guys like Paxton Lynch and Davis Webb. Successful comparables include Favre and Warner... unsuccessful comparables include Leaf and Russell.

Mayfield to me is a great college quarterback who will likely not translate in the NFL. I can't help but feel he is a composite version of the "good boy" Tebow and the "bad boy" Manziel... they all won Heisman trophies, but they have flaws that get exploited at the NFL level.

And this is the reason for me that Barkley, who compares to the four HOF running backs Sanders/Faulk/Payton/Smith, is the clear choice for Gettleman unless a trade is proffered that exceeds Barkley's value...
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