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NFT: Gambling Advice

TyreeHelmet : 5/24/2018 9:41 am
Need some advice please. I bet the Cavs to win the East risking 1000 to win 1200. I'm looking to hedge or cover some of my losses.

Should I bet the Celtics + 7? If I bet the 1000 I come out even if Boston wins outright. I can also hope for a "middle" and hope they cover but lose. But if the Cavs win big and cover I'm down 1100 with the possibility of of Cavs losing Game 7 to lose another 1000.

I could also money line Boston risking 400 to win 1100 to cover my loss and then just hedge game 7 with another Boston bet.

Or do I just hope Cleveland wins at home and then hedge my bet for Game 7? I'm guessing the spread will be close to a pickem just as Game 5 or Cavs may even be favored slightly.

Any help is much appreciated. Thanks.
1-800-522-4700  
DennyInDenville : 5/24/2018 9:47 am : link
.
My advice  
pjcas18 : 5/24/2018 9:48 am : link
Cleveland is 100% winning at home  
Keith : 5/24/2018 9:50 am : link
in game 6. Bet that!
heh.....love that movie  
Greg from LI : 5/24/2018 9:53 am : link
"You don't want me making a scene, do you, IN THE JOCKEY CLUBBBBB?"
"If it was me, I'd go all in"  
montanagiant : 5/24/2018 9:54 am : link
Seems like you got a lot to lose  
gmen9892 : 5/24/2018 9:59 am : link
If you hedged your bet. Whenever I run into those types of scenarios, I try to just recoop about half to 75% of my losses.

Having said that, if you do decide to hedge, bet the Celtics money line. They will be the Underdogs and you likely wont have to throw down as much to get a bigger payout.
Celtics are  
gmen9892 : 5/24/2018 10:00 am : link
+275 right now, so I would absolutely jump on that if you are going to hedge.
RE: Celtics are  
TyreeHelmet : 5/24/2018 10:04 am : link
In comment 13973982 gmen9892 said:
Quote:
+275 right now, so I would absolutely jump on that if you are going to hedge.


Thanks for the advice. Only problem with the ML is if the Cavs win Game 6 and lose Game 7 I'm just adding to my losses. Taking the +7 atleast gives me the chance to win the bet and keep my Cavs winning the East bet alive.
I love this thread title.  
Britt in VA : 5/24/2018 10:05 am : link
Should be the name of an album.
Celtics have played 7 road games  
pjcas18 : 5/24/2018 10:08 am : link
this post-season so far (3 @ MIL, 2 @ PHI, and 2 @ CLE) they have covered a 7 point spread two times in those 7 games. 1 @MIL and 1 @PHI

and they're averaging losing by 20 in CLE.
RE:  
JCin332 : 5/24/2018 10:09 am : link
In comment 13973969 montanagiant said:
Quote:


Lmao...
My advice:  
old man : 5/24/2018 10:18 am : link
Don't gamble.
It's the reason those casinos can be so extravagant, and in the old days, bookies drive Cadillacs and other folks drove best up old sedans or station wagons(now SUVs).We
TIA.
Gambling Advice  
UESBLUE : 5/24/2018 10:19 am : link
Dont.
RE: Celtics have played 7 road games  
TyreeHelmet : 5/24/2018 10:28 am : link
In comment 13973994 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
this post-season so far (3 @ MIL, 2 @ PHI, and 2 @ CLE) they have covered a 7 point spread two times in those 7 games. 1 @MIL and 1 @PHI

and they're averaging losing by 20 in CLE.


But I could see it being close in game 6. Lebron is gassed and the Celtics will want to close it out. And these 2 are due for a close game.
RE: RE: Celtics have played 7 road games  
pjcas18 : 5/24/2018 10:30 am : link
In comment 13974031 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
In comment 13973994 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


this post-season so far (3 @ MIL, 2 @ PHI, and 2 @ CLE) they have covered a 7 point spread two times in those 7 games. 1 @MIL and 1 @PHI

and they're averaging losing by 20 in CLE.



But I could see it being close in game 6. Lebron is gassed and the Celtics will want to close it out. And these 2 are due for a close game.


Sure, it could happen that way.

I I'd just let it ride, but I never hedge a prop bet.
taking celts +7..  
2cents : 5/24/2018 11:35 am : link
really isn't a hedge, the results of that bet are (almost) completely independent from the cavs winning the series.

best bet would be to get updated futures odds on the celts winning the series. other wise if you truly need to hedge I would put a percentage of the total on Celts ML for game 6, if it loses, double down game 7 so either way you come out net even or close to it.

if you find the need to start with these crazy hedges you may want to take a closer look at why you made the bet in the first place.
Hedging  
ryanmkeane : 5/24/2018 2:05 pm : link
a prop bet is deadly. But...I would just wait until game 7. Taking the Celts to cover or win on the road in an elimination game for LeBron is pretty ballsy.

I would put like 700 or something on the Celts moneyline game 7 if it comes to that.

If you don't bet game 6 and the Celts win, then just move on to the Finals and try and get it back there...
Bet on horse racing  
Ron from Ninerland : 5/26/2018 2:02 pm : link
The really nice thing about horse racing is that you know the outcome in about 2 minutes. There's no sweating over a two or three hour game, or worse yet a series of games.

Decades ago on a trip to Vegas I bet a sum on the Rams in a pick'em game against the Saints. I tore my heart out for two hours watching the Rams doing everything humanly possible to lose this game. As a Giants fan I was used a competent defense. Here I was rooting for a team that couldn't stop anybody. I turned the game off midway in the 3rd quarter figuring I was done. Miraculously the Saints managed to play even worse after that and I won the bet. Never again did I bet on football aside from office pools.
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