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Garafolo's best guess as to the Giants thoughts

Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/14/2024 12:09 pm
He said he thinks Maye is the QB they want. However, he thinks the only way they land him is if Maye lasts to #4 and then the Giants trade up.

Barring that scenario, he thinks they stand pat at #6 and "let the draft come to them."

Does think it is possible they trade back up into the first round to take Penix or Nix.
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RE: perhaps  
DaveInTampa : 4/14/2024 1:23 pm : link
In comment 16468302 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
some teams like the Giants are feigning interest in McCarthy in hopes that another team will draft him.


Yep, that's what I think. The other day, Schoen said something about "if the 4 QBs are gone before pick 6..." it almost seemed like he was trying to give the impression that he viewed JJM in the same group as the others, but came across to me like it was a preconceived misdirection
RE: RE: A trade  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 1:23 pm : link
In comment 16468309 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.


And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.
RE: RE: RE: A trade  
section125 : 4/14/2024 1:28 pm : link
In comment 16468331 Toth029 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468309 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.



And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.


Penix is so superior a QB to those two, he is worth taking a chance on picking.
RE: If they take Maye over  
bw in dc : 4/14/2024 1:30 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


This is very hard to follow.

Are you actually saying trade up for any QB not named Maye?
 
christian : 4/14/2024 1:56 pm : link
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ
RE: …  
JT039 : 4/14/2024 1:58 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ


If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.
Penix, Nix, etc.  
Archer : 4/14/2024 1:59 pm : link
The Giants should not draft any of the second-tier QBs unless the Giants believe that they are a clear upgrade over Jones and that they have the potential to be a top 10-15 QB.

I would rather take a chance on next year's draft or have the Gants sign a free-agent QB, i.e. Prescot.

The worst-case scenario is drafting a QB who does not have the potential to be great and tying the future to mediocrity.
That would perpetuate QB hell.

I do not see greatness in Penix, Nix, et al.
...  
christian : 4/14/2024 2:07 pm : link
In comment 16468360 JT039 said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ

If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.


The Chargers have a ton of needs. If the Eagles and Cowboys can make a draft day trade, the Chargers and Raiders can. 12, 44, and next year's first for instance could do it.
RE: ...  
JT039 : 4/14/2024 2:08 pm : link
In comment 16468366 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16468360 JT039 said:


Quote:


I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ

If Minnesota trades up with NE - would we have too? Shouldn’t Maye be available at 6? I don’t think Vegas or Denver has the ammo to jump us.



The Chargers have a ton of needs. If the Eagles and Cowboys can make a draft day trade, the Chargers and Raiders can. 12, 44, and next year's first for instance could do it.


Gotcha. Thanks.
I would be very happy if we got Nabers/Odunze,  
PatersonPlank : 4/14/2024 2:09 pm : link
and then came back with Nix/Penix. To me that would be a homerun, because I think Nix/Penix can turn out to be every bit as good as Daniels/Maye/JJM.

A trade down with Minny, our #6 for their #11 and #23 would be good too. We could then grab Nix or Penix at #11, and then come back with a top WR at #23.
BigBlueBanter  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 2:11 pm : link
Did an interview with PFF's Max Chadwick who has done a lot of college work and scouting. Hosts their football show and does a lot of analytical work.

He mentioned in their video how heavy defensively it is in next years class notably on the ends and for corners. Two very much premium positions.

I'd be for Schoen trading next years first in a move up from 6 but not from the 2nd round to pick a QB who's had numerous injuries and has warts himself with middle of the field work and working against pressure.
How I see it  
GFAN52 : 4/14/2024 2:12 pm : link
My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) Maye - NE
4) MHjr - AZ
5) JJMc - Minn
6) Odunze/Nabers
 
christian : 4/14/2024 2:14 pm : link
If Maye is their guy, and he's within striking distance they should just go get him. Draw a line and say from today onward the plan is Maye leads this team.
RE: …  
Darwinian : 4/14/2024 2:14 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ


I have a friend who is a big Vikings fan. He says KOC loves Maye, and if they have a choice between Maye and McCarthy, it's going to be Maye.
 
christian : 4/14/2024 2:23 pm : link
If Maye is gone, and he's their guy, then obviously the chances of them moving up diminishes. In that case my guess is they stay put and pick Nabers.
zero chance Minny trades to #3 and takes JJ  
ZogZerg : 4/14/2024 2:26 pm : link
.
RE: RE: RE: A trade  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 2:49 pm : link
In comment 16468331 Toth029 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468309 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.



And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.


If Minnesota gets JJM or Maye, I think there's a better chance of Penix sliding into the end of rd1 than not.
RE: …  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 2:50 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ


If Minnesota gets pick 3 I'd bet the farm they are taking Maye.
 
christian : 4/14/2024 2:55 pm : link
I think any overture a team has made to indicate preference is as likely misdirection as it is genuine interest. We all know this.
RE: …  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 2:58 pm : link
In comment 16468424 christian said:
Quote:
I think any overture a team has made to indicate preference is as likely misdirection as it is genuine interest. We all know this.


The Maye to Minnesota connections are strong and he fits their offense to a T. Anything can happen, but I would be incredibly surprised if they traded up to 3 for JJM over Maye.
RE: If they take Maye over  
DefenseWins : 4/14/2024 3:06 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


This is what I think about your post..
Just for you - ( New Window )
RE: If they take Maye over  
Darwinian : 4/14/2024 3:09 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


A top WR without a functional QB is a waste of resources when there is an significant upgrade at QB on the board. Maye represents a potential huge upgrade at QB. If Maye hits, he'll be more valuable to the Giants than any WR.
RE: Penix could very well be there at #47.  
gridirony : 4/14/2024 3:09 pm : link
In comment 16468326 mittenedman said:
Quote:
He's got his fans on this website but between the injury concerns, the short game concerns and the lack of mobility, he could be a 3rd rounder even.


Do any sportsbooks have any O/U odds on Penix at 47?
RE: RE: If they take Maye over  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 3:23 pm : link
In comment 16468456 Darwinian said:
Quote:
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:


Quote:


One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.



A top WR without a functional QB is a waste of resources when there is an significant upgrade at QB on the board. Maye represents a potential huge upgrade at QB. If Maye hits, he'll be more valuable to the Giants than any WR.


One of the only things we can count on right now is that Schoen has been hard at work trying to tradeup for Maye, imp. Other than that, it seems like a lot of smoke and mirrors with no certainty on the path forward whether it be Nabers, Odunze, JJM or trade down.
RE: If they take Maye over  
jvm52106 : 4/14/2024 3:25 pm : link
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:
Quote:
One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.


Dear god, anyone routing for a WR on a team bereft of QB can't be serious. You do understand WR's cannot achieve to their talent level without the ball being thrown to them right..

Maye is the GUY hands down and we should be begging the Football gods that we can get him.
RE: RE: If they take Maye over  
Doubledeuce22 : 4/14/2024 4:15 pm : link
In comment 16468254 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468250 Doubledeuce22 said:


Quote:


One of the WRs I’m going to be livid. If they’re not taking a QB in the first six picks I would absolutely hate wasting a pick on a QB in this draft. Either go all in or punt completely. Don’t go half assed.



What?


I hate Maye and I want no part of Penix, Nix, or any of the other guys after that.
RE: RE: RE: RE: A trade  
Doubledeuce22 : 4/14/2024 4:17 pm : link
In comment 16468333 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468331 Toth029 said:


Quote:


In comment 16468309 section125 said:


Quote:


In comment 16468295 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Up will involve the 2025 1st.

Is Penix and Nix worth a 1st and 2nd? Not to me. That's the problem with not picking a QB at 6. Rattler or Pratt would be more viable in the 3rd.



Don't be silly. Rattler and Pratt may as well be DeVito.



And Penix has had numerous shoulder and ACL surgeries and people want go give up the 2nd and next years 1st rounder. Too huge of a risk.



Penix is so superior a QB to those two, he is worth taking a chance on picking.


Completely disagree.
I agree with MG  
Sy'56 : 4/14/2024 4:22 pm : link
.
What about Odunze then  
Adam G in Big D : 4/14/2024 4:26 pm : link
Milton later. Penix on steroids.
its easy to advocate for yet another offensive weapon  
BigBlueCane : 4/14/2024 4:34 pm : link
but then you ask why would that make any difference with the same QB room throwing them the ball.

RE: I agree with MG  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 4:39 pm : link
In comment 16468566 Sy'56 said:
Quote:
.


Where would you take Bo Nix and where would you take Penix if both were available via trade up into the end of rd1?
For the trade up crowd  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 4:49 pm : link
Giants own the 47th pick right now.

"In order to move up, the Ravens sent their 52nd, 125th picks and a 2019 second-round selection to Philadelphia in exchange for the 32nd and 132nd selections this year."

Not sure how the value chart is. From here, it feels like they would trade the 2nd, 3rd and next years 1st. That's a decent haul for Balt to move up and Jackson was a better prospect coming out than both Penix and Nix.
RE: …  
Sean : 4/14/2024 5:02 pm : link
In comment 16468358 christian said:
Quote:
I think Minnesota will do what it takes to move to three and I think they will pick JJM.

My current guess is:

1) Williams - Chicago
2) Daniels - DC
3) JJM - Minnesota

I don't think the move from 6 > 4 will be as costly as some predict. But given Arizona doesn't need picks in 2024, I think the 2025 first round pick will be the cost.

4) Maye - NYG
5) MHJr - LA
6) Nabers - AZ

I'd be very pleased with this scenario. However, I'm not sure 3 is for sale. If it is for sale, I think NYG makes the deal with NE. That's a big drop off for NE going down to 11.
I'd be happy with  
darren in pdx : 4/14/2024 5:19 pm : link
Odunze + Penix but I don't know how they'll trade up far enough to get Penix, there's a lot of QB-desperate teams in the mix.
RE: For the trade up crowd  
Eli Wilson : 4/14/2024 5:21 pm : link
In comment 16468592 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Giants own the 47th pick right now.

"In order to move up, the Ravens sent their 52nd, 125th picks and a 2019 second-round selection to Philadelphia in exchange for the 32nd and 132nd selections this year."

Not sure how the value chart is. From here, it feels like they would trade the 2nd, 3rd and next years 1st. That's a decent haul for Balt to move up and Jackson was a better prospect coming out than both Penix and Nix.


I've done a bunch of mock trades in the PFN simulator. Typically it takes the 2025 2nd round pick to move from 47 to 33.

If you want 31 or 32 it also costs the 2025 4th round pick.
I think there's a greater than 50% chance  
LW_Giants : 4/14/2024 6:00 pm : link
JJM is there at 6 and the Giants pass on him for a receiver, and that's going to be very hard to swallow if it means we go into the season with Jones/Lock/Devito.
RE: RE: perhaps  
Gatorade Dunk : 4/14/2024 6:23 pm : link
In comment 16468330 DaveInTampa said:
Quote:
In comment 16468302 Eric from BBI said:


Quote:


some teams like the Giants are feigning interest in McCarthy in hopes that another team will draft him.



Yep, that's what I think. The other day, Schoen said something about "if the 4 QBs are gone before pick 6..." it almost seemed like he was trying to give the impression that he viewed JJM in the same group as the others, but came across to me like it was a preconceived misdirection

There are two potential misdirection points in that passage, IMO: the *four* QBs, certainly; but also, the passive, *stay-put-at-6* message is just as likely to be a check-raise bluff as well (or instead).
RE: For the trade up crowd  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 6:34 pm : link
In comment 16468592 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Giants own the 47th pick right now.

"In order to move up, the Ravens sent their 52nd, 125th picks and a 2019 second-round selection to Philadelphia in exchange for the 32nd and 132nd selections this year."

Not sure how the value chart is. From here, it feels like they would trade the 2nd, 3rd and next years 1st. That's a decent haul for Balt to move up and Jackson was a better prospect coming out than both Penix and Nix.


2nd, 3rd and next year's first for what? That is quite a haul
The  
Toth029 : 4/14/2024 6:47 pm : link
Ravens used quite a bit just to go to 32. Their own 2nd, similar spot to where NYG is right now, a future 2nd and a swap of late 4ths. To move twenty spots, that is.

People want Schoen to move up to draft Penix, and he will presumably go higher than 32. I feel that includes a 1st of next year and probably another pick this year.
RE: The  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 6:50 pm : link
In comment 16468687 Toth029 said:
Quote:
Ravens used quite a bit just to go to 32. Their own 2nd, similar spot to where NYG is right now, a future 2nd and a swap of late 4ths. To move twenty spots, that is.

People want Schoen to move up to draft Penix, and he will presumably go higher than 32. I feel that includes a 1st of next year and probably another pick this year.


If Penix slides to the end of rd2 I think it could be done for pick 47 and our 5th rounder or 2025 4th. Look at the Vikings trade for pick 23. It was pick 42, 2025 2nd and 5th round pick swap.
It is quite simple if Williams, Maye and Daniels are gone  
Maijay : 4/14/2024 7:36 pm : link
and McCarthy is there at six and the Giants pass on him they were never that high on him. Pick the WR of their choice. The thing I would be reluctant to do is give up a number one in 25. However if they do I hope they are right because the Giants might be picking in the top ten next year.
RE: RE: The  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 7:38 pm : link
In comment 16468690 BleedBlue46 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468687 Toth029 said:


Quote:


Ravens used quite a bit just to go to 32. Their own 2nd, similar spot to where NYG is right now, a future 2nd and a swap of late 4ths. To move twenty spots, that is.

People want Schoen to move up to draft Penix, and he will presumably go higher than 32. I feel that includes a 1st of next year and probably another pick this year.



If Penix slides to the end of rd2 I think it could be done for pick 47 and our 5th rounder or 2025 4th. Look at the Vikings trade for pick 23. It was pick 42, 2025 2nd and 5th round pick swap.


Oops forgot to say 47, 2025 2nd and 5th rounder or 2025 4th.
RE: It is quite simple if Williams, Maye and Daniels are gone  
section125 : 4/14/2024 7:42 pm : link
In comment 16468734 Maijay said:
Quote:
and McCarthy is there at six and the Giants pass on him they were never that high on him. Pick the WR of their choice. The thing I would be reluctant to do is give up a number one in 25. However if they do I hope they are right because the Giants might be picking in the top ten next year.


If they do not want McCarthy, they could probably get a great trade for #6. Drop down a bit and take Penix.
RE: RE: It is quite simple if Williams, Maye and Daniels are gone  
BleedBlue46 : 4/14/2024 7:44 pm : link
In comment 16468742 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 16468734 Maijay said:


Quote:


and McCarthy is there at six and the Giants pass on him they were never that high on him. Pick the WR of their choice. The thing I would be reluctant to do is give up a number one in 25. However if they do I hope they are right because the Giants might be picking in the top ten next year.



If they do not want McCarthy, they could probably get a great trade for #6. Drop down a bit and take Penix.


Trading Minnesota for 11 and 23, then moving up to 9 to take Odunze would be amazing if possible. And I'm a big JJM fan. I'm not dumb though, if they don't want him then hopefully we can play it to our advantage. Just passing on him without trading would seem like a missed opportunity.
If Maye is the QB Giants want  
averagejoe : 4/14/2024 8:00 pm : link
I have no hope for this draft. They are seeing something that is not there. If he is option 1 I don't even want to know what option 2 is .
RE: If Maye is the QB Giants want  
ryanmkeane : 4/14/2024 8:14 pm : link
In comment 16468763 averagejoe said:
Quote:
I have no hope for this draft. They are seeing something that is not there. If he is option 1 I don't even want to know what option 2 is .

Have you watched Drake Maye play football?
RE: If NE likes JJM,  
ThomasG : 4/14/2024 11:03 pm : link
In comment 16468232 BleedBlue46 said:
Quote:
Then the way to 3 is by going up to 4 first. Who knows though, you can't believe anything you hear right now. I do believe we have been adamantly working to trade up for Maye. Will be interesting, T-11 days 7 hrs 39 minutes and counting..


2 trade ups. 3 team deals.

Never going to happen.



RE: …  
ThomasG : 4/14/2024 11:04 pm : link
In comment 16468378 christian said:
Quote:
If Maye is their guy, and he's within striking distance they should just go get him. Draw a line and say from today onward the plan is Maye leads this team.


Yes
How could the Giants not hear what Harbaugh said about JJM?  
ThomasG : 4/14/2024 11:10 pm : link
MG is clearly mistaken.
I would rather the Giants Draft Dallas Turner at 6, This guy  
Rich_Houston_1971 : 4/15/2024 9:06 am : link
will be a HOF'er.
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