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Albright drops some important tidbits

Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:33 pm
He says most of the people he talks to say there is a significant gap between Harrison/Nabers and Odunze.

Says he thinks the most serious teams to trade up for the QB are the Vikings and Giants.

Thinks if the Giants don't land Maye or McCarthy, they want Nabers.

For Giants to trade up from #6 to #4, he thinks the Giants will have to trade next year's #1 and maybe a pick swap in this draft.

Credit to Eric on Li for finding this interview.


Denver Broncos May Trade “King’s Ransom” Including Patrick Surtain To Arizona Cardinals For Pick #4? - ( New Window )
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It sounds reasonable to me  
UberAlias : 4/18/2024 9:35 pm : link
I've no idea how much Albright actually knows, but I can buy what he's selling.
….  
ryanmkeane : 4/18/2024 9:35 pm : link
Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.
Meaning Harrison and Nabers  
Chris684 : 4/18/2024 9:35 pm : link
are ahead of Odunze?
Fuck outta here with giving up next year's first to move up to 4.  
robbieballs2003 : 4/18/2024 9:36 pm : link
Arizona wants one of the top WR.
The question is how much NYG likes McCarthy  
Sean : 4/18/2024 9:37 pm : link
If they like him, I think they'll draft him at 4. I think it's as simple as that. I'd consider Penix at 6 while keeping the 2025 first. But, if they like McCarthy enough I'm fine with it.
RE: ….  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:37 pm : link
In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.


Giants are in a desperate position.

They don't have a QB.
RE: RE: ….  
ryanmkeane : 4/18/2024 9:38 pm : link
In comment 16474628 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.



Giants are in a desperate position.

They don't have a QB.

Right. And that has nothing to do with trade value in any draft. No team would give up a 1st round pick to move up two spots, especially if it’s not for the #1 overall pick.
All the more reason why AZ would much prefer pick 6.  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 9:39 pm : link
I don't see them trading down with anyone unless it's us. Murray has 111.5 million guaranteed still on his deal. He is curtailed only in 2026 and it's still 20 million in dead cap then. He finished the year strong and has never had an elite wr. I think Nabers would pair much better with Murray's skillset than MHJ, I'd wager to bet AZ has them rated extremely close with Nabers maybe even rated higher than MHJ. They are not trading down past 6 if you ask me. They need a wr more than any team in the league and there are 2-3 absolutely elite wr prospects (likely 2 they have targeted together).
RE: ….  
BH28 : 4/18/2024 9:39 pm : link
In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.


That's the cost. That's why I don't think the Vikings have the ammo to jump the Giants.
None of us know what they are or aren't willing to give up  
UberAlias : 4/18/2024 9:40 pm : link
We're all just guessing.
RE: All the more reason why AZ would much prefer pick 6.  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:41 pm : link
In comment 16474631 BleedBlue46 said:
Quote:
I don't see them trading down with anyone unless it's us. Murray has 111.5 million guaranteed still on his deal. He is curtailed only in 2026 and it's still 20 million in dead cap then. He finished the year strong and has never had an elite wr. I think Nabers would pair much better with Murray's skillset than MHJ, I'd wager to bet AZ has them rated extremely close with Nabers maybe even rated higher than MHJ. They are not trading down past 6 if you ask me. They need a wr more than any team in the league and there are 2-3 absolutely elite wr prospects (likely 2 they have targeted together).


Arizona can trade down and then trade back up to #5. They have done this before. And they have a ton of picks.
RE: RE: RE: ….  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 9:41 pm : link
In comment 16474629 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
In comment 16474628 Eric from BBI said:


Quote:


In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.



Giants are in a desperate position.

They don't have a QB.


Right. And that has nothing to do with trade value in any draft. No team would give up a 1st round pick to move up two spots, especially if it’s not for the #1 overall pick.


If JJM goes 3 and they are truly enamored with Maye then im sure Schoen would do that. He would be trading less to AZ to get his guy than he would to NE. He's likely already offered pick 6 2025 1st and some in negotiations with NE for Maye.
RE: RE: ….  
robbieballs2003 : 4/18/2024 9:41 pm : link
In comment 16474632 BH28 said:
Quote:
In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.



That's the cost. That's why I don't think the Vikings have the ammo to jump the Giants.


I don't think that is the cost. That may be the asking price but nobody should be that stupid to pay it.
A future #1 for 2 spots is fookin steep!  
j_rud : 4/18/2024 9:41 pm : link
Simultaneous discussions going on with hypotheticals that see us gain or lose future firsts. The lead up to this draft has been a lot of fun.
Nobody  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:44 pm : link
on this thread wants to give up next year's #1.

But if you want Maye or McCarthy, there is a good chance you are going to have to give up next year's #1.

If not, the Giants don't get a QB in this draft because Penix and Nix are probably going in the 1st round after you pick.

If it were true that there's a significant gap between Harrison/Nabers  
UberAlias : 4/18/2024 9:45 pm : link
and Odunze, there's a few trade scenarios, both up and down, where that could be a benefit to us.
4 QBs + 2WRs  
UberAlias : 4/18/2024 9:45 pm : link
= pick 6.
and the real  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:46 pm : link
kicker for Giants fans is this... getting the QB is probably the right move. However, Maye and McCarthy are both guys who you really don't want playing in 2024.

So in this scenario, Lock still is your QB1 in 2024.
What has JJ McCarthy shown anyone  
Ned In Atlanta : 4/18/2024 9:48 pm : link
to warrant trading a future first for, that will likely be a top 10 pick ?
If  
Professor Falken : 4/18/2024 9:49 pm : link
Arizona wants at least two first rounders and the Giants won't do it, Arizona can do the deal with the Vikings for #11 and #23 and take Brian Thomas at #11.
RE: What has JJ McCarthy shown anyone  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:49 pm : link
In comment 16474649 Ned In Atlanta said:
Quote:
to warrant trading a future first for, that will likely be a top 10 pick ?


Heavily discussed here for months.

Immaterial at this point. He's going in the top 6.
RE: RE: ….  
speedywheels : 4/18/2024 9:51 pm : link
In comment 16474628 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.



Giants are in a desperate position.

They don't have a QB.


They are not THAT desperate; they can get a QB at 6 - Penix and Nix They can even probably trade a bit back and still get them. Both are better than Jones.
If Maye is sitting there at 4  
Sean : 4/18/2024 9:51 pm : link
Would people still want to hold the 2025 first to prevent a trade up. As Schoen said today, the QB tax is real.
RE: and the real  
barens : 4/18/2024 9:52 pm : link
In comment 16474646 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
kicker for Giants fans is this... getting the QB is probably the right move. However, Maye and McCarthy are both guys who you really don't want playing in 2024.

So in this scenario, Lock still is your QB1 in 2024.


Maye, I agree, McCarthy, I'd be ok with him starting because he's more pro ready.
I don't see  
gameday555 : 4/18/2024 9:52 pm : link
The giants liking McCarthy enough to trade a future 1st. Maye....I could see an aggressive move.

I hope to god the Odunze thing is true for giants. Do not see a #1 NFL WR there. Yes, I know that's a dangerous opinion to have here but remember so many of these "safe" prospects are going to bust. Evan Neal, ahem.
This is exhausting ...  
Chef : 4/18/2024 9:55 pm : link
and I think Davoli needs his own QB to be judged appropriately. If Neighbors is the guy at six them so be it...
Here is an option  
Rjanyg : 4/18/2024 9:56 pm : link
If NYG needs to fork over 6 and 2025 first, JS should try to get a pick in return, say 2025 2nd or 3rd round pick?

Yes you give up the 1st rounder but at least get some draft capital back.

I think AZ would accept that.
This has been such an interesting draft year  
Chris684 : 4/18/2024 9:58 pm : link
But I keep thinking, if only we had picks 5 and 7 this year instead of 2 years ago. Sometimes timing is everything.
RE: If  
Toth029 : 4/18/2024 9:58 pm : link
In comment 16474651 Professor Falken said:
Quote:
Arizona wants at least two first rounders and the Giants won't do it, Arizona can do the deal with the Vikings for #11 and #23 and take Brian Thomas at #11.


Too steep of a fall. And they would need much more than #11 and #23.
RE: Here is an option  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:58 pm : link
In comment 16474660 Rjanyg said:
Quote:
If NYG needs to fork over 6 and 2025 first, JS should try to get a pick in return, say 2025 2nd or 3rd round pick?

Yes you give up the 1st rounder but at least get some draft capital back.

I think AZ would accept that.


As posted above, Albright mentioned a pick swap.
RE: RE: All the more reason why AZ would much prefer pick 6.  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 9:58 pm : link
In comment 16474635 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474631 BleedBlue46 said:


Quote:


I don't see them trading down with anyone unless it's us. Murray has 111.5 million guaranteed still on his deal. He is curtailed only in 2026 and it's still 20 million in dead cap then. He finished the year strong and has never had an elite wr. I think Nabers would pair much better with Murray's skillset than MHJ, I'd wager to bet AZ has them rated extremely close with Nabers maybe even rated higher than MHJ. They are not trading down past 6 if you ask me. They need a wr more than any team in the league and there are 2-3 absolutely elite wr prospects (likely 2 they have targeted together).



Arizona can trade down and then trade back up to #5. They have done this before. And they have a ton of picks.


That's true, I'm not sure they would net much then though vs trading with us and not trading back up they would get much less I'd imagine?
RE: This has been such an interesting draft year  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 9:59 pm : link
In comment 16474662 Chris684 said:
Quote:
But I keep thinking, if only we had picks 5 and 7 this year instead of 2 years ago. Sometimes timing is everything.


THIS... we get two picks in the top 7 for the first time in franchise history and there are no QBs!!!!

And this year??? Four may go in a row?

You have to be kidding me.
BleedBlue46  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 10:00 pm : link
Their GM did it last year and with great success.
RE: RE: Here is an option  
Rjanyg : 4/18/2024 10:00 pm : link
In comment 16474664 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474660 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


If NYG needs to fork over 6 and 2025 first, JS should try to get a pick in return, say 2025 2nd or 3rd round pick?

Yes you give up the 1st rounder but at least get some draft capital back.

I think AZ would accept that.



As posted above, Albright mentioned a pick swap.


I thought you meant NYG would have to give an extra pick. Gotcha!
the future first is a steep price for 2 slots  
Eric on Li : 4/18/2024 10:01 pm : link
contrary to what albright says most of the revised draft charts have far less of an exponential difference in the first 6 picks, though there are obviously teams who have paid desperate prices to move up.

if i were the giants, unless i loved whoever QB4 is like they were next year's 1st overall pick, i think i'd sit tight with fair offers on the table to AZ and LAC and hope at the end of the day they fall in love with someone they would lose by going past #6 (nabers, alt, whoever). most of the charts have fair offers being a day 2 pick, so i dont think id go beyond a day 2 pick this year and next year for #4 and just 1 pick for #5.
#1 pick in next year's draft would suck to give up.  
Dave in Hoboken : 4/18/2024 10:03 pm : link
BUT, you have to remember this team has sucked for the last 12 years. 12 YEARS! You are thisclose to quite possibly getting that franchise QB and turning it all around (Maye).

Say the Giants give up next year's first round pick, BUT Maye is the guy that turns this offense and team around.

Is it not then worth it to give up that pick?! Of course it is.

Also, the Giants gave up their the following year's first round pick to draft Eli. That didn't stop them from still having an excellent draft that year (2005). They were still able to draft Justin Tuck and Brandon Jacobs despite not having a first round pick. So, you could still have a good draft without a first round pick.

If that's the cost to draft Maye; I'd do it. I'm tired of the losing. It's been 12 years!
RE: the future first is a steep price for 2 slots  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 10:04 pm : link
In comment 16474670 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
contrary to what albright says most of the revised draft charts have far less of an exponential difference in the first 6 picks, though there are obviously teams who have paid desperate prices to move up.

if i were the giants, unless i loved whoever QB4 is like they were next year's 1st overall pick, i think i'd sit tight with fair offers on the table to AZ and LAC and hope at the end of the day they fall in love with someone they would lose by going past #6 (nabers, alt, whoever). most of the charts have fair offers being a day 2 pick, so i dont think id go beyond a day 2 pick this year and next year for #4 and just 1 pick for #5.


Obviously, the ideal scenario is for Maye or McCarthy to somehow fall to #6.

Could it happen? Yes.

Is it likely? Dubious.

If you pass on the QB at #6, you take the WR or trade down.
RE: RE: RE: ….  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 10:04 pm : link
In comment 16474629 ryanmkeane said:
Quote:
In comment 16474628 Eric from BBI said:


Quote:


In comment 16474624 ryanmkeane said:


Quote:


Absurd notion that the Giants would trade a future 1st round pick to move up 2 spots in the draft, moving from 6 to 4.



Giants are in a desperate position.

They don't have a QB.


Right. And that has nothing to do with trade value in any draft. No team would give up a 1st round pick to move up two spots, especially if it’s not for the #1 overall pick.


If the same QB is there at 4 as he tried to trade for at 3, then he would be willing to trade the same package for 4 as 3. How is that hard to understand?
RE: RE: What has JJ McCarthy shown anyone  
Carl in CT : 4/18/2024 10:04 pm : link
In comment 16474652 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474649 Ned In Atlanta said:


Quote:


to warrant trading a future first for, that will likely be a top 10 pick ?



Heavily discussed here for months.

Immaterial at this point. He's going in the top 6.


Eric if he does (and before us) guarantees MHJR or Nabers. Not a bad consolation. I think it helps the giants if he goes before us. If someone else grabs a receiver a top 3 qb could just fall into our laps.
Two 1s for Rookie QB 3 or 4  
upnyg : 4/18/2024 10:04 pm : link
seems absurd. Id rather trade three 1s for an established QB like Allen.

I hope this is smoke.
People  
AcidTest : 4/18/2024 10:06 pm : link
need to accept that Minnesota, Denver, and some other teams may be willing to make "godfather" offers to move up to get Maye or JJM. Schoen hopefully won't do that, and will instead move to "Plan B."

Moving from #6 to #3, or even #6 to #4, will absolutely have to include our #1 next year. Arizona has all the levarage. Nobody knows how they have the WRs ranked. They may have MHJ way ahead of Nabers and Odunze.
RE: Two 1s for Rookie QB 3 or 4  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 10:06 pm : link
In comment 16474677 upnyg said:
Quote:
seems absurd. Id rather trade three 1s for an established QB like Allen.

I hope this is smoke.


LOL... ummm, I don't think the Bills are going to trade Allen.

Maybe KC will send us Mahomes.
RE: RE: Two 1s for Rookie QB 3 or 4  
upnyg : 4/18/2024 10:07 pm : link
In comment 16474681 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
In comment 16474677 upnyg said:


Quote:


seems absurd. Id rather trade three 1s for an established QB like Allen.

I hope this is smoke.



LOL... ummm, I don't think the Bills are going to trade Allen.

Maybe KC will send us Mahomes.
One can dream!
RE: BleedBlue46  
Eric on Li : 4/18/2024 10:08 pm : link
In comment 16474668 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
Their GM did it last year and with great success.


the return was good but he also gave up will anderson who won DROY and went to pro bowl. they moved up for paris johnson and he appears to be a solid starting OT but for that to end up worth they need to hit on the 27th pick this year.
Carl in CT  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 4/18/2024 10:08 pm : link
You are absolutely correct in saying that the "worst case" scenario is "settling" for an impact WR at a huge need position.

The issue here is we don't have a QB.

We've got to get one this year or next year.
RE: BleedBlue46  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 10:10 pm : link
In comment 16474668 Eric from BBI said:
Quote:
Their GM did it last year and with great success.


Totally, but that was from 3 to 12 then 12 to 6, going from 4 to 11 then back to 5 would likely not net you more than trading down to 6 if it was for Maye then I presume Schoen would trade them 2025 1st and 2nd perhaps. If it's for JJM, then forget about it Schoen is unlikely to even think about it.

If they really want Maye though, then there best chance is to go to 3 with NE having a deal ready to go back up to 4 for JJM. I don't think Min would trade nearly as much for JJM as for Maye (just like how I think Schoen feels about it). I'd say if they have Nabers and MHJ with comprable ratings then they'd trade with us, if they have one rated significantly higher they would either take him or trade down and then back up to 6.

I'm still thinking it's Maye or trade down for Schoen.
RE: Two 1s for Rookie QB 3 or 4  
GFAN52 : 4/18/2024 10:13 pm : link
In comment 16474677 upnyg said:
Quote:
seems absurd. Id rather trade three 1s for an established QB like Allen.

I hope this is smoke.


When do established QB like Allen actually become available at any price?
Two first round picks plus a swap of another for the right to draft  
ThomasG : 4/18/2024 10:16 pm : link
JJ McCarthy?

If you thought giving Daniel Jones a $160M contract was crazy, this one is pure lunacy. Straight-jacket variety.
If  
AcidTest : 4/18/2024 10:16 pm : link
the QBs go Williams, Daniels, and Maye, Arizona may be looking at the following offers from Minnesota and Denver:

Minnesota: #11, #23, and their #1 and #3 next year.
Denver: #12, Surtain, and their #1 next year.

To compete with those offers, Schoen would have to at least offer #6, #47, and our #1 next year. I don't Schoen offering that for JJM, although I wouldn't be surprised if he did for Maye.

My position is still take whichever QB falls to #6, if possible, or maybe move up to #5 for #70. Absent that, take one of the WRs at #6 or trade down. It's just too expensive to move up.
RE: Two first round picks plus a swap of another for the right to draft  
BleedBlue46 : 4/18/2024 10:17 pm : link
In comment 16474693 ThomasG said:
Quote:
JJ McCarthy?

If you thought giving Daniel Jones a $160M contract was crazy, this one is pure lunacy. Straight-jacket variety.


No one said that here. The idea would be NE took JJM at 3, so the bidding war for Maye at 4 ensues.
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