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Are the Giants a year away from breaking through?

CMicks3110 : 6/10/2024 9:44 pm
Are the Giants finally nearing the opening of a winning window? The last big reset for the team was back in 2018 when we hired Gettleman. Remember when we decided to keep Eli and draft Barkley instead of taking a trade from Denver and planning for the future? We signed stopgaps like Solder, Omameh, Golden Tate, and Connor Barwin, traded JPP, and got Alec Ogletree instead of strengthening our edge. Oh, and we wasted a third-round pick on Sam Beal.

In 2018, our young core was basically just Beckham and Barkley. We had a few solid starters like Tomlinson and Shepard, but the rest were veterans on their last legs—Manning, Jenkins, Vernon, Snacks—and some busts who never developed with us but did elsewhere (Engram, Hernandez) or just plain busts (Flowers, Apple).

By 2019, Gettleman admitted his mistakes, but we still had no clear window. Our roster was still weak, though we did start getting some core players like Dexter Lawrence and Darius Slayton, with Jones maybe pulling a Phil Simms turnaround. The 2020 draft was a bright spot, bringing in guys like Thomas, Martinez, Bradberry, Logan Ryan, and McKinney when healthy. But the 2021 draft was a disaster, leaving us with just Azeez.

Heading into 2022, we finally started building young depth. Even with Neal looking like a bust, we got contributors like Kayvon, Flott, Bellinger, Wan'Dale, Belton, McFadden, and Davidson. Plus, we had in-season pickups like Hodgins, and in 2023, promising rookies like Banks, JMS, and Hyatt, and a great free agent linebacker in Okereke. We also found gems through unconventional routes like Pinnock, DeVito, and Isaiah Simmons.

Looking to 2024, with a stud pass rusher in Brian Burns and a strong draft class including Nabers and Nubin, we’re finally seeing a critical mass of depth. Compared to the mess from 2018-21, we now have core players like Thomas, Dexter, Burns, Nabers, Okereke, and Banks, with potential stars like Kayvon, Wan'Dale, Azeez, and Hyatt, plus solid starters like Runyan, JMS, Bellinger, Elumanor, Pinnock, McFadden, and Slayton.

The key positions—QB, Edge, WR, DT, Guard, CB, Safety, LB, TE, RB—are mostly solid. My main concerns are Neal at RT, Flott at RCB, and, of course, the big question mark at QB with Daniel Jones.

So, here’s the big difference between 2018 and 2024: Age, athleticism, and raw talent. Our roster’s average age is around 26, and all our starters (except our kicker) are under 27 and should be here for at least three more years.

On top of that, Dallas is showing signs of decline with aging players and big contracts coming up, and the Eagles can’t rely on their veterans much longer. Their key players are slowing down or retiring soon.

Even though our cap space seems tight, we’re in good shape. We’ve got many players signed at reasonable rates and can free up space with cuts and restructures. By this time next year, we should have CB2, RT, and DT2 figured out, leaving us with one of the youngest, most promising teams in the league, ready to break through.
Maybe  
big_blue : 6/10/2024 9:51 pm : link
.
 
christian : 6/10/2024 9:54 pm : link
If the Giants have a top 3rd quarterback, they break through this year.
The Giants are a mere few months away from...  
Milton : 6/10/2024 9:58 pm : link
Breaking on through!
Who knows  
pjcas18 : 6/10/2024 10:01 pm : link
if the draft class is strong until they play. Every draft is strong until they're not.

part of it will depend on injuries
part of it will depend on OL
part of it will depend on Jones
will the D gel

Gun to my head, they're at least a year away.
Yeah I’m going two years.  
bceagle05 : 6/10/2024 10:09 pm : link
QB, OL and secondary are still big question marks, and any of those three can sink a team. Not sure we can fix all three by next September.
Who’s your QB in 2025?  
Rick in Dallas : 6/10/2024 10:18 pm : link
Have no idea!!!
It depends  
Spider43 : 6/10/2024 11:13 pm : link
Is Drake Maye on the roster already? Then I would say no. Until we address the QB slot, long-term, we'll be in flux.
The Giants are ALOT  
SleepyOwl : 6/10/2024 11:42 pm : link
Better than most people think. CB2 DT2 RB1 may already be on the roster. It’s time to let the young guys play. I love what the Giants are doing.

Flott
Belton
Riley
Davidson
ARob
Hawkins
Bellinger
Tracy
Hyatt
Gray
Ezeudu
McFadden

All of these players were drafted in the 3rd round or later. IF these guys can step up and play the Giants will be in the playoffs this year. All the great teams have a few guys that they hit on late in the draft. This year will tell us a lot about how well Schoen and this front office can draft.
Probably not  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 12:07 am : link
The timing is misaligned. The roster might be good but we won't know because the QB position is a mess, limiting the ceiling of the entire operation. And because the Giants approach the position from a standing of needing to be in full bloom love to draft a guy, by the time they have someone new the forces of attrition might have eaten away at this roster.

They're going to have to get very, very lucky sometime in the next few years.
in the NFL today it is mostly about the QB, and if you don't have one  
Darwinian : 6/11/2024 12:24 am : link
then you might get a good season, but it's ultimately unsustainable. The Giants have to get busy addressing the most important position in sports. Many have us as a bottom 5 team. What's the disconnect here? Well, we have many fans who don't think QB is all that important. Just stick a warm body in there with a bit of talent and he'll fire away. But we had that in 2022 and it led to a terrible second half and an embarrassing divisional round loss.
A year from now, I'd be thrilled if we finish 2nd in the NFC East.  
CT Charlie : 6/11/2024 1:46 am : link
But even that is a long shot.
More likely they’re a QB away  
Chris684 : 6/11/2024 6:05 am : link
from breaking through
Agreed with the OP all the way  
eclipz928 : 6/11/2024 6:25 am : link
up to when he got to the Cowboys and Eagles. The Cowboys are a young team with a QB currently in his prime. The Eagles definitely have been aging but unfortunately they've been in a position to continue to infuse their roster with young talent through their premium draft picks. They also have a talented QB in his prime.

Cowboys potentially may have to hit the restart button if they decide to move on from Dak next year, and the Eagles just got done imploding and have a head coach on the hot seat - those things certainly could factor into a Giants ascension in 2025. But it's all moot point if they don't have the right QB themselves as the starter.
How are you defining a break through?  
Lines of Scrimmage : 6/11/2024 6:31 am : link
Getting to the NFCCG? That seems like a solid goal for this franchise considering the last one was in 2011.

I don't see the OL, RB's and overall running game in place on the offensive side to start. I do think they are close with the type of front 7 needed and while the secondary is young they have some good players.

I see some improvement this season. The breakthrough occurs with a new HC who makes the adjustments on offense and overall vision imv.
There is enough talent on this roster right now to be competitive  
logman : 6/11/2024 6:42 am : link
for a WC spot with competent QB play
Plot an upward trajectory  
HBart : 6/11/2024 7:09 am : link
Whether it's revenue, stock price, or a team's record over time on the way to a championship, it's not a straight line.

2 years into this regimes tenure, overall W-L is right where you'd expect. Trend-wise, last year's debacle ended with a 4-3 finish.

Wink's departure is a short-term setback that might cost a game or two this season, but if healthy they're likely on schedule.
RE: Plot an upward trajectory  
gary_from_chester : 6/11/2024 7:18 am : link
In comment 16534381 HBart said:
Quote:
Whether it's revenue, stock price, or a team's record over time on the way to a championship, it's not a straight line.

2 years into this regimes tenure, overall W-L is right where you'd expect. Trend-wise, last year's debacle ended with a 4-3 finish.

Wink's departure is a short-term setback that might cost a game or two this season, but if healthy they're likely on schedule.


Similar thoughts, except the last sentence. I would say:

Wink’s departure is a boost that may add a game or two this season, if healthy they are on schedule.
short term? closer  
SoZKillA : 6/11/2024 7:25 am : link
than people think. If the OL plays decent we can win some games, even with Jones.

I think Daboll calling plays will help too, Kafka is not a good OC, Waller is gone so he doesn't need to be forced on the field.

Now that is short term, Longer term we need a QB, OL, secondary help. 3 of the hardest things to find with this franchise lately.
RE: RE: Plot an upward trajectory  
Pepe LePugh : 6/11/2024 7:30 am : link
In comment 16534383 gary_from_chester said:
Quote:
In comment 16534381 HBart said:


Quote:


Whether it's revenue, stock price, or a team's record over time on the way to a championship, it's not a straight line.

2 years into this regimes tenure, overall W-L is right where you'd expect. Trend-wise, last year's debacle ended with a 4-3 finish.

Wink's departure is a short-term setback that might cost a game or two this season, but if healthy they're likely on schedule.


Similar thoughts, except the last sentence. I would say:

Wink’s departure is a boost that may add a game or two this season, if healthy they are on schedule.

Coaching staff was “a house divided.”
Bowen hopefully is an upgrade. My only reservation is how good he will be with the Vrabel umbilical cord now cut.
Are we now giving DG credit  
Gatorade Dunk : 6/11/2024 7:39 am : link
for drafting Martinez, Bradberry, and Ryan? Or should that have read "2020 offseason" instead of "2020 draft"?
 
christian : 6/11/2024 7:53 am : link
I think the Giants will have a surprisingly good defense, especially the pass rush.

Thankfully they've entered the modern era with an offensive talent group centered around the pass catchers.

Daboll is a strong, resilient coach. I hope he's not doomed by the choice at starting quarterback.
RE: short term? closer  
Toth029 : 6/11/2024 8:03 am : link
In comment 16534387 SoZKillA said:
Quote:
than people think. If the OL plays decent we can win some games, even with Jones.

I think Daboll calling plays will help too, Kafka is not a good OC, Waller is gone so he doesn't need to be forced on the field.

Now that is short term, Longer term we need a QB, OL, secondary help. 3 of the hardest things to find with this franchise lately.


QB yes, but easier said than done. Especially trying to find a top 3 talent or one who raises his play in the playoffs. Eli is knocked for never being All Pro or MVP but his level of play in the postseason was a gem. We aren't seeing that in today's game too much. Purdy, for example, is getting there, but has time to improve.

I don't think OL is as long as JMS works out. It would suck if Neal ends up flushing but they have a stud LT and if JMS works out, a standout C. Guard play is easier to fix.
You never know ...  
Beer Man : 6/11/2024 8:04 am : link
The offseason acquisitions always bring renewed optimism, but you can never tell if it is going to move the needle enough. You have to consider the team's competitors are also improving, and ultimately some of the team's acquisitions will not pan out.
No....either this year or 2 years aways  
George from PA : 6/11/2024 8:41 am : link
I hate to assume, but OL must be at least OK.

They can breakthrough this year.....if Jones is not garbage.

If he is.....than replacing Jones....with a rookie....will take 2 years.
When  
Eric from BBI : Admin : 6/11/2024 8:45 am : link
did the Giants resolve their QB issue?

I must have missed that.
'Breaking through' seems to suggest not only reaching some  
ThomasG : 6/11/2024 8:48 am : link
high threshold (like an NFCC) but expecting to stay around there as well going forward.

And to that question, look at the QB room and decide for yourself.
Let's get into training camp and see where we are  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 9:08 am : link
There's enough uncertainty on the current year. Next year is wild ass guess for anyone.
At this point  
Jerry in_DC : 6/11/2024 9:11 am : link
It looks like the Giants are on a path to having a period that looks like what the Saints, Raiders, and Steelers are in now. Decent team with some good players on the roster. Potential to make the playoffs if things bounce right. No potential to really challenge at the top.

We do have a few good players and a few good prospects. But so does almost everyone. Nobody cares about the Raiders or Saints but they have good players.

Could everything break right? Lots of players hit high end outcomes, a year of good health with good breaks and good luck with opponents? Sure, if tons and tons of things go right, maybe we could get to a NFC CG in the next 5 years. Maybe. But on the path we're on, it's very unlikely and it would be an outlier seasons.
RE: The Giants are ALOT  
gridirony : 6/11/2024 9:18 am : link
In comment 16534360 SleepyOwl said:
Quote:
Better than most people think. CB2 DT2 RB1 may already be on the roster. It’s time to let the young guys play. I love what the Giants are doing.

Flott
Belton
Riley
Davidson
ARob
Hawkins
Bellinger
Tracy
Hyatt
Gray
Ezeudu
McFadden

All of these players were drafted in the 3rd round or later. IF these guys can step up and play the Giants will be in the playoffs this year. All the great teams have a few guys that they hit on late in the draft. This year will tell us a lot about how well Schoen and this front office can draft.


All of those IFs can fill an egg carton. For about 28 teams, IF a dozen or more players on each team step it up, they all could be fighting for the playoffs.

The Giants won't make the playoffs, if other teams have many players that step it up and then those teams make the playoffs. It appears there are homer biases at work, where it is believed that only the Giants have players that can step it up.

A long time ago  
M.S. : 6/11/2024 9:19 am : link

didn't the Raiders put together a very fine roster and then eventually plugged in an aging Jim Plunkett and win a couple of Super Bowls?

Could it happen again with the Giants?
RE: A long time ago  
Gatorade Dunk : 6/11/2024 9:35 am : link
In comment 16534420 M.S. said:
Quote:

didn't the Raiders put together a very fine roster and then eventually plugged in an aging Jim Plunkett and win a couple of Super Bowls?

Could it happen again with the Giants?

Maybe, but Plunkett is 76 years old, so I wouldn't bet on it.
RE: The Giants are ALOT  
Blue Dog : 6/11/2024 9:37 am : link
In comment 16534360 SleepyOwl said:
Quote:
Better than most people think. CB2 DT2 RB1 may already be on the roster. It’s time to let the young guys play. I love what the Giants are doing.

Flott
Belton
Riley
Davidson
ARob
Hawkins
Bellinger
Tracy
Hyatt
Gray
Ezeudu
McFadden

All of these players were drafted in the 3rd round or later. IF these guys can step up and play the Giants will be in the playoffs this year. All the great teams have a few guys that they hit on late in the draft. This year will tell us a lot about how well Schoen and this front office can draft.


I was thinking about who I would call as this year's breakout players. So no rookies, but a player who really elevates their game. Last year on defense I would say either McFadden or Pinnock could get it. McFadden was ass as a rookie, people were talking about Beavers coming back from his injury. He wasn't great but he was starter level Pinnock was a huge unknown after losing Love and he was surprisingly good for an every down safety who moved from corner just a short time before

This year I think Riley or Davidson are in a prime spot to make the jump. Also, I think Bellinger could really become a legit threat.
I say it’s 1998 and Schoen is looking for reclamation projects.  
cosmicj : 6/11/2024 9:40 am : link
Trey Lance? Kenny Pickett? Drew Lock is already on the squad.
I think very few would agree with you  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 9:44 am : link
when you say the QB is solid. Throughout his career, he has been ineffective and he can't stay on the field. Optimists can view 2022 as the "real" Daniel Jones, but that year was an outlier in his career both in terms of staying healthy and playing well enough to win. I think most see 2022 as his career year that could possibly be duplicated in the right circumstances, but certainly not his steady state, particularly as the injuries mount.

This year will go a long way to determining where the Giants are as far as progress. If they win 6 or fewer games - for whatever reasons - Jones will be gone and they will likely be resetting themselves at QB which means winning in 2025 will be very challenging. If the team wins 8-10 games, they may either bring Jones back, or sign a vet FA QB to try to "win now." They could also stick with Jones, which I think is playing with fire since you can't count on him starting 17 games any given year.

I think this team's window to win doesn't open until they solve the QB issue, and I don't think Jones is that issue. Until that is resolved he will hold this team back.
RE: I think very few would agree with you  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 9:48 am : link
In comment 16534436 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
when you say the QB is solid. Throughout his career, he has been ineffective and he can't stay on the field. Optimists can view 2022 as the "real" Daniel Jones, but that year was an outlier in his career both in terms of staying healthy and playing well enough to win. I think most see 2022 as his career year that could possibly be duplicated in the right circumstances, but certainly not his steady state, particularly as the injuries mount.

This year will go a long way to determining where the Giants are as far as progress. If they win 6 or fewer games - for whatever reasons - Jones will be gone and they will likely be resetting themselves at QB which means winning in 2025 will be very challenging. If the team wins 8-10 games, they may either bring Jones back, or sign a vet FA QB to try to "win now." They could also stick with Jones, which I think is playing with fire since you can't count on him starting 17 games any given year.

I think this team's window to win doesn't open until they solve the QB issue, and I don't think Jones is that issue. Until that is resolved he will hold this team back.


Agreed on all fronts….which is why I believe this will be his last year with the team
They wouldn’t have tried to get Maye if they thought Jones was the answer
RE: A long time ago  
Scooter185 : 6/11/2024 9:49 am : link
In comment 16534420 M.S. said:
Quote:

didn't the Raiders put together a very fine roster and then eventually plugged in an aging Jim Plunkett and win a couple of Super Bowls?

Could it happen again with the Giants?


A long time ago Babe Ruth had more home runs than entire teams.

Could it happen again?
Trying to get Maye but not being able to isn’t interesting  
ThomasG : 6/11/2024 9:54 am : link
when assessing what could happen next offseason.

They could get shut out again on their choice next year and keep punting the future state at QB. Just fill in a different prospect that we miss out drafting.

We don't have a QB and RT  
Essex : 6/11/2024 10:08 am : link
Getting Nabers may help some, but until we fix that problem skill position players are not going to be as impactful as some think. I think skill is the last thing you add, not the first. WE are now in year 6 of Jones--that pick with the combination of so many whiffs on the OL have killed our franchise. I am really curious to see what we would have done if Alt and Nabers were both there. Neal is a bust and I think our FO knows that.
RE: RE: A long time ago  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 10:18 am : link
In comment 16534441 Scooter185 said:
Quote:
In comment 16534420 M.S. said:


Quote:



didn't the Raiders put together a very fine roster and then eventually plugged in an aging Jim Plunkett and win a couple of Super Bowls?

Could it happen again with the Giants?



A long time ago Babe Ruth had more home runs than entire teams.

Could it happen again?


QBs are much more important to success now than in those days because the changes in the rules that open up the passing game. If your offense is one dimensional, it can be stopped by most good defenses. You need at least a competent passing offense to keep defenses honest.
Mike from Ohio  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 10:22 am : link
Spot on.
Tell me who the QB is in a year and I can give an answer  
The_Boss : 6/11/2024 10:28 am : link
That’s all that matters.
I need to see them play this year  
gidiefor : Mod : 6/11/2024 10:32 am : link
before I start looking at next year
RE: I think very few would agree with you  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 11:06 am : link
In comment 16534436 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
when you say the QB is solid. Throughout his career, he has been ineffective and he can't stay on the field. Optimists can view 2022 as the "real" Daniel Jones, but that year was an outlier in his career both in terms of staying healthy and playing well enough to win. I think most see 2022 as his career year that could possibly be duplicated in the right circumstances, but certainly not his steady state, particularly as the injuries mount.

This year will go a long way to determining where the Giants are as far as progress. If they win 6 or fewer games - for whatever reasons - Jones will be gone and they will likely be resetting themselves at QB which means winning in 2025 will be very challenging. If the team wins 8-10 games, they may either bring Jones back, or sign a vet FA QB to try to "win now." They could also stick with Jones, which I think is playing with fire since you can't count on him starting 17 games any given year.

I think this team's window to win doesn't open until they solve the QB issue, and I don't think Jones is that issue. Until that is resolved he will hold this team back.


Resetting to what at QB, though?

This is the flaw in the Giants' plan. By neglecting QB as long as they have they've put themselves in a position where forcing something (the very thing so many said they shouldn't do in the 2022, 2023, and 2024 drafts) may be their only option.

Many mocks have them picking Carson Beck at the top of the draft, but it's unlikely they'll be bad enough to pick that high.

I expect this October, November, and December will be spent overinflating the #3-#4 type QBs in the 2025 draft, the very thing so many didn't want to do in 2024.

It's going to be down to luck, because the plan has been flawed from the moment they misevaluated the 2022 season.
it's hard to tell the future when it comes to rebuilds  
djm : 6/11/2024 11:12 am : link
Most don't think this team has a chance but no matter what many will say, not everyone saw 1984 coming either. I can tell you right now next to no one saw 1981 coming.

No one knows what 2024 will bring. Even if there are some positive signs it all might go to shit come September. Until we see this current group of players forge a legit identity, one that can sustain winning seasons for the 2-3-4-5 years we're flying blind. We're betting against recent history. But things can change.

It's a huge year in terms of establishing an identity. We don't need to see a monster season by any means, but we need to see legit and tangible progress. We'll know it when we see it. 2022 was a start. 23 was a setback but it doesn't have to be a death knell. We have seen year 2s fail only to see year 3 excellence. We have also seen the bad year 2 be the true harbinger of death, so be prepared for anything.

I am glad they stuck with Daboll after the bad year 2. 2022 was proof that the guy can coach. Daboll didn't win that year on the backs of an unsustainable mercenary defense or big play fluky run of good luck. He won thx to getting every ounce out of a not so good offensive unit and a defense that also wasn't any good, but got stops when needed. He got every ounce out of NYG 2022. Not many coaches do a better job with that team, in my view.

We need more star power talent to take the wheel. You shouldn't see a season go so bad so fast just because 2 players get hurt like we saw last season. Good teams might suffer from those losses, but they can still survive. NYG didn't. That needs to change. Star power is what we need. More and more, in every league it is star power that rules the day.

Looking forward to how this roster shakes out in 2024. There are a lot of intriguing players here. Even if you're a blindly NYG fan boy you didn't count off the number of potential pro bowlers 5 years ago compared to now. There's simply more talent here now. Young core talent. We're due for a little luck and player development and I know it's hard to quantify today but I get the sense the player development here is on the right track.
We'll see.  
mittenedman : 6/11/2024 11:12 am : link
I like where this roster is heading though, they are finally gaining some traction and able to add, rather than tread water or go backwards. Remember Coughlin's rosters got so stacked you could barely find room for a full draft class + no major needs w/the premium picks.

We find out about Schoen and Daboll this year, though. Either they've been building to this moment and it's going to work, or they will turn into a pumpkin.
Raiders did win the two SB's with JP  
Lines of Scrimmage : 6/11/2024 11:30 am : link
Bunch of HOF players on both of those teams. Two on the OL for the first one (AD liked speed but he started as an OL coach.)

Only AFC team to win the SB over a 17/18 year time period and they were built like a NFC team.. All those "modern" AFC pass offenses couldn't close the deal until the Broncos with Elway. Those Bronco teams had the number one rushing offense.
as to QB  
djm : 6/11/2024 11:54 am : link
it's not an abstract thought to believe this team can win 9-10 games with DJ at QB. They did just that in 2022. Some of you get so hung up on stats, notably TD passes. IF Jones has the exact same season he had in 2022, they likely win 8+ games. High QB rating, very few turnovers and 600+ rushing yards can win games.
Outside of the offensive line  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 12:02 pm : link
the biggest blind spot this team has over it's recent history is the QB position. I don't think they view it like they do other positions on the field. I don't think they view QB as a position you upgrade, only solve. In my opinion that is a mistake.

Given the rookie cap, you can take a flyer on a QB you think is good, but not great - if you are willing to move on from him in 2-3 years. QBs are somewhat of a crap shoot, so taking more attempts at finding one seems to make more sense to me than less. What I think the Giants still do is the model of drafting a guy, naming him your leader, and then staying with him until he proves he can't do it. When that happens, the only way to keep your team afloat is to bring in a free agent (expensive and usually 2nd/3rd tier starter) or you have to "force" the pick when you identify the need.

I know the Giants tried to get Maye this year and couldn't. How far below Maye was McCarthy (who I didn't like) and Penix (who I did like)? If you stay with Nabers, why not try to get a mid-round developmental pick knowing your starter can rarely play a full season and you may want some competition?

I guess what I am suggesting is that there is a happy medium to addressing the QB issue between waiting for the savior and just grabbing a guy every year. Maybe sometimes the goal should be upgrading, not finding Allen/Mahomes.

Arguments  
KraZee : 6/11/2024 12:14 pm : link
on both sides clearly make sense to me. There is progress being demonstrated but not clear its enough to break through. We are almost fully formed on the defensive side of the ball with ? remaining at CB2, S and DT2 with a need for more depth at Edge. Its on offense where there is zero consensus and I think less progress that is obvious. WR group looks upgraded but TBD frankly and somewhat dependent on competent QB play. Still ? for OL as a group with the hope that its improved with better coaching and the new guards making it seem competent. RB is a weakness until proven otherwise though I am optimistic. Same story with TE...Bellinger is meh and Theo could be something but his production in college was weak. And what is the identity other than speed there? Totally unknown. I expect no better than 9-8 or 8-9 with a good chance to see 6-11 repeated. QB remains the most important thing still needed depending on how the OL plays this year with new guys, young guys and better coaching in general.
Mike from Ohio  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 12:18 pm : link
The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else.
"Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )
RE: Mike from Ohio  
Sean : 6/11/2024 12:27 pm : link
In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )

Am I wrong in recalling Maye was right up there with Williams beginning the college season? Most draft pundits had Maye up there ahead of McCarthy/Penix/Nix. Maye did go number 3 after all with only Daniels surpassing him during the season. Some did not like Maye (Sy, Chris Simms, Hoge). A lot did like Maye though including Jeremiah.

I don't think it's fair to just say the Giants liked Maye because of an Eli connection. I'd say Maye was viewed as a superior QB prospect to the guys drafted after him by most. Sy compared Nix to Daniel Jones. This isn't a perfect science.

Are guys like Penix, Nix or McCarthy regularly available in any draft? That's the ultimate question and what Schoen is betting on.
.  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 12:39 pm : link
I think Schoen is betting on Daniel Jones.
Giants  
TyreeHelmet : 6/11/2024 12:43 pm : link
How is the QB position solid?

It always amuses me how some fans hold out eternal hope for Jones while having zero faith in Neal. who was a dominant player in college who has faced injuries and only played 2 seasons. Why does Jones get every excuse in the book and Neal gets none? I personally have more hope for Neal than Jones.

I also don't agree with the fans kicking dirt on Philly and Dallas. For all the shit Dak receives, he still throws for 35 TDs and 4K yards. Those are double the stats Jones puts up.
RE: Mike from Ohio  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 12:43 pm : link
In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )


How do you know their evaluations on the QB’s were wrong or who is a better prospect

Message board credentials don’t qualify

You don’t know and neither do I

RE: Mike from Ohio  
Jim in Tampa : 6/11/2024 12:46 pm : link
In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )

This is a ridiculous statement.

You make a declaration that "Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three" which is simply your opinion. And since the Giants didn't agree with your personal evaluation of the 2023 QB class, you then conclude that they must have an "evaluation issue" when it comes to QBs.

Many draft experts, as well as a number of teams, obviously felt that Maye WAS in fact, a clearly better prospect than QBs 3-4.
RE: RE: Mike from Ohio  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 12:54 pm : link
In comment 16534580 Mbavaro said:
Quote:
In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:


Quote:


The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )



How do you know their evaluations on the QB’s were wrong or who is a better prospect

Message board credentials don’t qualify

You don’t know and neither do I


I know the Giants have been getting it wrong for a decade.



The Giants have played 179 regular season games over the last 11 seasons. Over that period they've scored 3,529 points...an average of 19.7 PPG.

Yeah I'm just a guy in a message board, but I don't think you have to be Paul Brown to know something is broken.
RE: RE: RE: Mike from Ohio  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 12:58 pm : link
In comment 16534596 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 16534580 Mbavaro said:


Quote:


In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:


Quote:


The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )



How do you know their evaluations on the QB’s were wrong or who is a better prospect

Message board credentials don’t qualify

You don’t know and neither do I




I know the Giants have been getting it wrong for a decade.



The Giants have played 179 regular season games over the last 11 seasons. Over that period they've scored 3,529 points...an average of 19.7 PPG.

Yeah I'm just a guy in a message board, but I don't think you have to be Paul Brown to know something is broken.


And the majority of those years were not with the current scouts, GM and coaches

Try again as you know just about as much as anyone here which is nothing
RE: Mike from Ohio  
djm : 6/11/2024 12:59 pm : link
In comment 16534551 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The approach to QB in this draft was alarming. That they were willing to trade up for Maye but not draft one of the other three at #6 smacked of a laser focus on one guy for nebulous reasons. Maye was not a clearly better prospect than those other three, if he was at all. So either there's an evaluation issue or there's something else. "Drake Maye Soaking Up Knowledge From Eli Manning" - ( New Window )


From all accounts they loved 3 QBs in this draft. Williams, Daniels and Maye. But you're conjuring up negligence or "something else" (just come out and say it, it was MARA) all because the Giants didn't like 1-2 additional QBs enough to bypass the HOF potential WR prospect, Nabers.

Maybe they just liked Nabers more than they liked JJM or Penix. Maybe they thought those guys weren't the needle movers that Nabers is.

Can't be that. Has to be so much more ridiculous.

HOF WR?  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 1:08 pm : link
Ok...

I remember when Saquon Barkley was a HOF weapon that made a big difference. That was fun.

Nabers is going to have a hard time making the Pro Bowl, let alone the HOF, the way this organization approaches the QB position.
RE: HOF WR?  
Greg from LI : 6/11/2024 1:10 pm : link
In comment 16534614 Go Terps said:
Quote:
Ok...

I remember when Saquon Barkley was a HOF weapon that made a big difference. That was fun.

Nabers is going to have a hard time making the Pro Bowl, let alone the HOF, the way this organization approaches the QB position.


Are you telling me that Nabers might not be touched by the hand of God?

For the record, I do think Nabers will be excellent, but he can't throw to himself.
The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 1:15 pm : link
Is the fact that there will almost certainly be a WR or two in next year's draft that will be similar in potential to Nabers. It is a position that colleges are churning out like an assembly line.

I don't believe next year's draft will have as many highly touted prospects at QB that this year did. It might, but I don't think that is a consensus view this early. I think the strategy of getting the QB, letting him learn/improve for a year and then give him a weapon like Nabers is more easy to do than to get Nabers, and then find a QB who can instantly help him reach his potential. I think the mistake they made with the Jones contract is forcing them into other team building mistakes, instead of admitting the mistake and starting over.
RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
Sean : 6/11/2024 1:42 pm : link
In comment 16534621 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
Is the fact that there will almost certainly be a WR or two in next year's draft that will be similar in potential to Nabers. It is a position that colleges are churning out like an assembly line.

I don't believe next year's draft will have as many highly touted prospects at QB that this year did. It might, but I don't think that is a consensus view this early. I think the strategy of getting the QB, letting him learn/improve for a year and then give him a weapon like Nabers is more easy to do than to get Nabers, and then find a QB who can instantly help him reach his potential. I think the mistake they made with the Jones contract is forcing them into other team building mistakes, instead of admitting the mistake and starting over.

It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.
RE: RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 1:47 pm : link
In comment 16534642 Sean said:
Quote:

It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.


If you listen to Sy, there probably won't be. If you assume the Giants are picking around #10 in the draft, they likely won't have access to the top two or possibly three prospects in the class. So, we're reenacting the 2024 draft with a lesser QB class.

And if that's the case, why draft one at all when we already have one under contract?

They chose Jones/Lock/DeVito. This is it. This is the plan.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 2:01 pm : link
I might have botched this and posted elsewhere, so apologies if this is a repeat. Here are the conference champion QBs over 20 seasons in the Ty Law rules era.

The second set of data is minus Foles because of how little he played in the regular season. A conference champion QB is a 4K/30TD producer in this era.

RE: RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 2:03 pm : link
In comment 16534642 Sean said:
Quote:
In comment 16534621 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


Is the fact that there will almost certainly be a WR or two in next year's draft that will be similar in potential to Nabers. It is a position that colleges are churning out like an assembly line.

I don't believe next year's draft will have as many highly touted prospects at QB that this year did. It might, but I don't think that is a consensus view this early. I think the strategy of getting the QB, letting him learn/improve for a year and then give him a weapon like Nabers is more easy to do than to get Nabers, and then find a QB who can instantly help him reach his potential. I think the mistake they made with the Jones contract is forcing them into other team building mistakes, instead of admitting the mistake and starting over.


It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.


Right, but that is likely going to be true almost every year. Does anyone think the Giants are a legit 2-3 win team this year? If no, they are likely not getting the top 1 or 2 prospects. At what point do you conclude that maybe you can win with #3, #4 or #5?

You can't say "we need to draft a franchise QB, but we can't force the pick" unless you are willing to wait an indefinite amount of years for the stars to align.
Mike  
Sean : 6/11/2024 2:07 pm : link
I agree and was all for a QB this year. However, it's also fair to say they forced the Jones pick and here we are entering year 6.

The issue is the leash the franchise gives these QBs. This was a good year to draft QB because you can give him through 2025 to assess and either you hit or you re-enter the QB market in 2026.
RE: RE: RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
Gatorade Dunk : 6/11/2024 2:08 pm : link
In comment 16534659 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
In comment 16534642 Sean said:


Quote:


In comment 16534621 Mike from Ohio said:


Quote:


Is the fact that there will almost certainly be a WR or two in next year's draft that will be similar in potential to Nabers. It is a position that colleges are churning out like an assembly line.

I don't believe next year's draft will have as many highly touted prospects at QB that this year did. It might, but I don't think that is a consensus view this early. I think the strategy of getting the QB, letting him learn/improve for a year and then give him a weapon like Nabers is more easy to do than to get Nabers, and then find a QB who can instantly help him reach his potential. I think the mistake they made with the Jones contract is forcing them into other team building mistakes, instead of admitting the mistake and starting over.


It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.



Right, but that is likely going to be true almost every year. Does anyone think the Giants are a legit 2-3 win team this year? If no, they are likely not getting the top 1 or 2 prospects. At what point do you conclude that maybe you can win with #3, #4 or #5?

You can't say "we need to draft a franchise QB, but we can't force the pick" unless you are willing to wait an indefinite amount of years for the stars to align.

And as soon as you are bad enough to satisfy the necessary celestial alignment, those same "we can't force the pick" fans (and execs) will be claiming, "with a roster this bad, it would be useless to add a rookie QB with no help!"

I think the idea of upgrade vs. solve is a very salient point and absolutely gets to the crux of the Giants' QB approach (or lack thereof).
More troubling than the #6 pick  
Jerry in_DC : 6/11/2024 2:20 pm : link
Is the obvious media instruction they gave to Lock that he must state very clearly that Daniel is the starter and there will be no competition for the position.

There is at least a potential football explanation for the #6 pick. The way they prioritize Daniel over everything is dysfunctional cultural rot.
RE: RE: RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
eclipz928 : 6/11/2024 2:26 pm : link
In comment 16534647 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 16534642 Sean said:


Quote:



It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.



If you listen to Sy, there probably won't be. If you assume the Giants are picking around #10 in the draft, they likely won't have access to the top two or possibly three prospects in the class. So, we're reenacting the 2024 draft with a lesser QB class.

And if that's the case, why draft one at all when we already have one under contract?

They chose Jones/Lock/DeVito. This is it. This is the plan.

More accurately, they chose Nabers/Jones/Lock over McCarthy/Jones/Lock. And I'm not a Jones defender, but if the Giants assess that McCarthy doesn't project to be that much better than Jones (which is how I view him) then it was an easy decision to make.
RE: Mike  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 2:39 pm : link
In comment 16534666 Sean said:
Quote:
I agree and was all for a QB this year. However, it's also fair to say they forced the Jones pick and here we are entering year 6.

The issue is the leash the franchise gives these QBs. This was a good year to draft QB because you can give him through 2025 to assess and either you hit or you re-enter the QB market in 2026.


Forcing the Jones pick wasn't the real problem. It was clear after 2020 and 2021 that he was a limited QB with not much upside. Not moving on from him then was the real mistake, not drafting him.
RE: More troubling than the #6 pick  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 2:43 pm : link
In comment 16534679 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
Is the obvious media instruction they gave to Lock that he must state very clearly that Daniel is the starter and there will be no competition for the position.

There is at least a potential football explanation for the #6 pick. The way they prioritize Daniel over everything is dysfunctional cultural rot.


I won't get into what the Giants did or not did not tell Lock, but there is no reason to ever say anyone is your absolute starter unless they have earned it. I don't think many would argue that Jones has shown enough to be the unquestioned starter on this team.

Competition is supposed to make players better. For some reason it seems competition at the QB position makes this franchise very uncomfortable. That seems to me to be another cultural mistake with the Giants.
Yeah the Jones pick was not bad  
Jerry in_DC : 6/11/2024 2:45 pm : link
They took a swing. He is probably close to the median expectation for a QB drafted in that range - good backup/journeyman starter. Getting an outcome like that is going to happen to everyone.

Every other team just moves on from a pick like that after a few years. The Giants treat him like a franchise legend because he's polite and shows up for work on time.
..  
Jerry in_DC : 6/11/2024 2:47 pm : link
"Lock told reporters today that the Giants have made it clear to him that he’s the backup to Daniel Jones.

“Daniel Jones is the starter on this team and that’s been conveyed to me,” Lock said"
Some people really twist things up in their heads  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 2:52 pm : link
The team saw 3 QBs they felt were worthy of the #6 pick. If your thinking is that they should have reached for a QB who they didn't feel was worthy of the pick, that is your opinion. But MANY of us who are not Daniel Jones fans agree with that. Reaching will lead to Daniel Jones part 2, and that is not an answer.

The plan is to go into camp with Jones as the starter. There is no reason why that shouldn't be the case. Lock is still learning the offense and the team has held Jones out of the 11-11 (even though appearances are that he probably could handle it). So Lock is getting plenty of reps with the 1s.
RE: Some people really twist things up in their heads  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 3:00 pm : link
In comment 16534708 UberAlias said:
Quote:
The team saw 3 QBs they felt were worthy of the #6 pick. If your thinking is that they should have reached for a QB who they didn't feel was worthy of the pick, that is your opinion. But MANY of us who are not Daniel Jones fans agree with that. Reaching will lead to Daniel Jones part 2, and that is not an answer.

The plan is to go into camp with Jones as the starter. There is no reason why that shouldn't be the case. Lock is still learning the offense and the team has held Jones out of the 11-11 (even though appearances are that he probably could handle it). So Lock is getting plenty of reps with the 1s.


I think it is a stretch to use the word "reach" in that context. The Giants picked at #6 and those other QB went #8, #10 and #12. To me a reach is taking a guy a round to early, not 2-6 spots ahead of where several other teams in the league pegged them.

Nobody suggested they should reach for a QB.
Mike  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 3:05 pm : link
We can call it what we want, but the point is, based on the grades they had, they didn't think the other QBs were worth it. I mean, for Maye, they didn't just want him at 6, they were willing to trade major resources for him. So clearly they saw a big separation in the grades between QB 3 and 4.
RE: More troubling than the #6 pick  
TyreeHelmet : 6/11/2024 3:07 pm : link
In comment 16534679 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
Is the obvious media instruction they gave to Lock that he must state very clearly that Daniel is the starter and there will be no competition for the position.

There is at least a potential football explanation for the #6 pick. The way they prioritize Daniel over everything is dysfunctional cultural rot.


Spot on here. And why not draft a QB in the later rounds?


Outside of Jones essentially pulling a sports miracle this year, there is no rightful scenario to keep his contract in 2025. He should be facing as much competition possible this year, which seems like they want no part of.
RE: RE: RE: The issue I would take passing on a QB in the first this year  
djm : 6/11/2024 3:07 pm : link
In comment 16534647 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 16534642 Sean said:


Quote:



It ultimately depends on whether prospects to the level of McCarthy, Penix & Nix are available. The Giants did not pass on Williams, Daniels or Maye to be fair.



If you listen to Sy, there probably won't be. If you assume the Giants are picking around #10 in the draft, they likely won't have access to the top two or possibly three prospects in the class. So, we're reenacting the 2024 draft with a lesser QB class.

And if that's the case, why draft one at all when we already have one under contract?

They chose Jones/Lock/DeVito. This is it. This is the plan.


So plans can't change? Giants chose Dave Brown too. Then they chose Kerry Collins. Then they said enough of that we can draft a better player

I know it warps the space time continuum in your world but the Giants must not have felt the earth move when they analyzed JJM and Penix and Nix. Not everything is permanent.

Why shouldn't we trust their QB evaluations, right?  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 3:08 pm : link
The argument is that the Giants had the same grades on the other QBs  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 3:09 pm : link
as the teams who picked them. That's not true. The Giants were willing to trade up a QB, and pay a heavy price for it. Atlanta NO and Minn didn't exactly show urgency for the guys they got. They sat there and risked losing out with only Minn dealing up one spot for JJ. If the grades the had on the guys were massive, I find it hard to believe they would have sat back and waited.
Terps  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 3:13 pm : link
I don't see how you could possibly be a fan of this team. I really don't. There are many on the board who are pessimistic. But the difference is, all you do is take pop shots and insult. If we had a Philly fan on the site trolling, his posted would be indistinguishable from yours.
RE: Terps  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 3:25 pm : link
In comment 16534726 UberAlias said:
Quote:
I don't see how you could possibly be a fan of this team. I really don't. There are many on the board who are pessimistic. But the difference is, all you do is take pop shots and insult. If we had a Philly fan on the site trolling, his posted would be indistinguishable from yours.


You're probably right with one caveat - I'm really frustrated whereas Eagle fans are laughing. They used to have to take the Giants seriously and now they don't really have to.

When the Giants stop being stupid I'll stop criticizing them for being stupid.
I'm not referring to the criticism  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 3:28 pm : link
It's the method of criticism. But regardless, let's just hope you get your wish.
.  
ChrisRick : 6/11/2024 3:32 pm : link
It appears a part of the Giants plan for the qb position was to trade up for a QB. That should be included in their 'plan'.
RE: .  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 4:04 pm : link
In comment 16534741 ChrisRick said:
Quote:
It appears a part of the Giants plan for the qb position was to trade up for a QB. That should be included in their 'plan'.


A plan that is outside your control needs to have a Plan B. I think what we are criticizing is the Plan B. They tried to get Maye and didn't. OK, what do you do now to improve the QB production? Get your subpar QB a top-flight receiver? Maybe that is Plan B.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 4:08 pm : link
My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.
RE: ...  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 4:12 pm : link
In comment 16534763 christian said:
Quote:
My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.


I’m sure that Daboll is heavily involved in the QB decision making process and Schoen isn’t flying solo on this
RE: RE: Terps  
Brown_Hornet : 6/11/2024 4:16 pm : link
In comment 16534735 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 16534726 UberAlias said:


Quote:


I don't see how you could possibly be a fan of this team. I really don't. There are many on the board who are pessimistic. But the difference is, all you do is take pop shots and insult. If we had a Philly fan on the site trolling, his posted would be indistinguishable from yours.



You're probably right with one caveat - I'm really frustrated whereas Eagle fans are laughing. They used to have to take the Giants seriously and now they don't really have to.

When the Giants stop being stupid I'll stop criticizing them for being stupid.
Tyrod beat Philly.
Stop listening to them.
RE: RE: .  
ChrisRick : 6/11/2024 4:22 pm : link
In comment 16534760 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
In comment 16534741 ChrisRick said:


Quote:


It appears a part of the Giants plan for the qb position was to trade up for a QB. That should be included in their 'plan'.



A plan that is outside your control needs to have a Plan B. I think what we are criticizing is the Plan B. They tried to get Maye and didn't. OK, what do you do now to improve the QB production? Get your subpar QB a top-flight receiver? Maybe that is Plan B.


Hi Mike, I agree with what you wrote. My post was for the fans that seem to leave out the attempted trade-up off of their list when evaluating the Giants off-season. I think it is important to note the attempted trade up for possibly Maye because it signals they are not sold on Jones.

As for plan-b, I still think it is good to consider that the Giants did not like the remaining qbs or perhaps did not like any offers they were getting to trade down for one of those qbs.

None of this is to say that it is not ok to question the Giants plan or evaluations.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 4:24 pm : link
In comment 16534768 Mbavaro said:
Quote:
My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.

I’m sure that Daboll is heavily involved in the QB decision making process and Schoen isn’t flying solo on this


You have some of the worst reading comprehension of any poster that's regularly contributed to this site in the 25 years I've been on BBI.
There are a bunch of QB's  
Lines of Scrimmage : 6/11/2024 4:25 pm : link
who don't meet the 30TD/4k threshold. Much better points to make from the data which I think many would already understand with some basic football knowledge coupled with an understanding of the NFL.

One of the insiders on BBI said that Schoen preferred taking the QB and Daboll wanted the WR a week or so before the draft. He added that BD understands he has to win this year. I think it is nonsense Jones is being forced on Daboll.

Imagine looking at a mean  
Gatorade Dunk : 6/11/2024 4:28 pm : link
and then declaring that there are several data points that are below the mean as though that's an insightful contribution to anyone other than the person who doesn't understand mean values to begin with.
RE: ...  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 4:32 pm : link
In comment 16534781 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16534768 Mbavaro said:


Quote:


My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.

I’m sure that Daboll is heavily involved in the QB decision making process and Schoen isn’t flying solo on this



You have some of the worst reading comprehension of any poster that's regularly contributed to this site in the 25 years I've been on BBI.


No need to be a jerk…why?
Yes…you alluded to Daboll working with the QB….but the the selection process Daboll is most certainly involved in that as well

Unless I read your post incorrectly…it seems like you were alluding JS having the sole say in the selection process
RE: There are a bunch of QB's  
christian : 6/11/2024 4:47 pm : link
In comment 16534786 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
who don't meet the 30TD/4k threshold.


This might be one of those moments you tap in one of your associates with the big data experience. That elementary averages are vexing you explains basically all of it.

Every once in a while you almost get me pumpkin. But I'm on to you amigo. You big joker.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 4:50 pm : link
In comment 16534791 Mbavaro said:
Quote:
My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.

I’m sure that Daboll is heavily involved in the QB decision making process and Schoen isn’t flying solo on this

You have some of the worst reading comprehension of any poster that's regularly contributed to this site in the 25 years I've been on BBI.

No need to be a jerk…why?
Yes…you alluded to Daboll working with the QB….but the the selection process Daboll is most certainly involved in that as well

Unless I read your post incorrectly…it seems like you were alluding JS having the sole say in the selection process


At no point did I even close to intimate Schoen is choosing the quarterback alone.

My point is Daboll hypothetically making a mistake at an evaluation is more understandable because he has to believe every day the player can succeed.

The GM must be the more objective party, as he has more distance from the players as both players and people.
RE: ...  
Mbavaro : 6/11/2024 4:55 pm : link
In comment 16534802 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16534791 Mbavaro said:


Quote:


My worry is Schoen's ability to scout the quarterback position.

Daboll is in a different position. He has to work with the player and *may* be understandably biased that he can make it work.

The GM has to be able to step in and push for an upgrade if necessary. Schoen believed Jones was a franchise quarterback, and did not believe McCarthy nor Nix were. He also believes Drew Lock is viable competition.

Schoen needs to be right, or it's more of the same.

I’m sure that Daboll is heavily involved in the QB decision making process and Schoen isn’t flying solo on this

You have some of the worst reading comprehension of any poster that's regularly contributed to this site in the 25 years I've been on BBI.

No need to be a jerk…why?
Yes…you alluded to Daboll working with the QB….but the the selection process Daboll is most certainly involved in that as well

Unless I read your post incorrectly…it seems like you were alluding JS having the sole say in the selection process



At no point did I even close to intimate Schoen is choosing the quarterback alone.

My point is Daboll hypothetically making a mistake at an evaluation is more understandable because he has to believe every day the player can succeed.

The GM must be the more objective party, as he has more distance from the players as both players and people.


That is a fair analysis and I agree with your assessment and I was referring to it being a 50/50 deal between the both of them

Got it  
Lines of Scrimmage : 6/11/2024 5:00 pm : link
Christine and GDumb.

"A conference champion QB is a 4K/30TD producer in this era."


Christine, you are great with data entry though!
RE: RE: .  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 5:10 pm : link
In comment 16534760 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
In comment 16534741 ChrisRick said:


Quote:


It appears a part of the Giants plan for the qb position was to trade up for a QB. That should be included in their 'plan'.



A plan that is outside your control needs to have a Plan B. I think what we are criticizing is the Plan B. They tried to get Maye and didn't. OK, what do you do now to improve the QB production? Get your subpar QB a top-flight receiver? Maybe that is Plan B.


Here's how I see it:

They obviously weighted QB favorably on their board. How do we know this? Because by all accounts Nabers is among the top couple of players in this draft, position aside. Given that and flaws that Maye has, it’s fair to say that without factoring in position, whatever grade they had on Nabers is likely AT LEAST as high as Maye (It very likely could have been higher as most would have had). So the fact that they offered two 1s and a 2 to try to move up for Maye, opposed to a player like Nabers --clearly the reason is the boost Maye got for being QB.

So now given that we know they had prioritized the QB position on their draft board, the fact that there were other QBs there for the taking when they picked at 6 tells you all you need to know about their evaluations on them. They weighted QBs favorably but clearly they weren’t going to draft a QB just to draft a QB.

So plan B was what it was based on the options and their assessments of the prospects. They can’t make a QB who has a grade to justify the pick simply appear.

Whether or not the other QBs prove to be franchise QBs or not remains to be seen. We can only speculate on that at this point. But at the end of the day, you're stuck with what the draft makes available to you.

Those saying whether they are a year away depends on upgrading the QB  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 5:18 pm : link
I agree with that. Their not drafting a QB this year undoubtedly adds to the pressure for next year. I think if they have a chance to draft a prospect like one of the ones they had a shot at this year in next year's draft, they take them if they not in a position to take another blue chip prospect.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 5:21 pm : link
In comment 16534810 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
"A conference champion QB is a 4K/30TD producer in this era."

Yes, the average conference champion in the post Ty Law rules era (minus Foles as the extreme outlier) has averaged 4k/30TDs.

See, not too hard. I think your big data associates would be proud.
Uber  
Mike from Ohio : 6/11/2024 5:26 pm : link
Your statement that the Giants had Nabers rated higher than Maye, but put Maye higher on the priority list because he is a QB is nothing but a complete guess on your part. Why is it not possible that they had Maye as one of the top 3 grades they had?

We can argue all day about what the Giants' plan was, but your argument begins with a premise with absolutely no basis - that Nabers was rated higher than Maye by the Giants.
RE: Uber  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 5:33 pm : link
In comment 16534826 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
Your statement that the Giants had Nabers rated higher than Maye, but put Maye higher on the priority list because he is a QB is nothing but a complete guess on your part. Why is it not possible that they had Maye as one of the top 3 grades they had?


It's a reasonable assumption based on the overwhelming consensus and the tape the two put on film. If your point is that, positional value aside, they graded Maye higher than Nabers as a prospect independent of position, that is fine. But it would be contradictory to almost all evaluations I've seen.
Nabers  
Jerry in_DC : 6/11/2024 5:37 pm : link
Has a higher likelihood of being great/good/useful (whatever level you want) than any of the QBs, including the top 3. That's just the nature of the positions.

But at some point teams have to take the "risk" and go QB. Was this the right time to do it? I think so, but I could definitely be wrong about that.

I think the reaction is more about the past and future QB strategy than the #6 pick in particular. There hasn't been any competition for Daniel in the past. And if Daniel clears a very low bar in 2024, there is going to be a lot of momentum for Year 7 of this misery.

The #6 pick is very important. I get taking Nabers. The frustration, at least for me, is that the #6 pick is a significant symptom of the ineffective way that the Giants operate.

And really, it means one more guaranteed year of watching Jones and possibly more. People will react to that. It's just so painful to watch. And we just don't know when we're going to be free of him and have a chance to be good again.
What happened in the room  
Snorkels : 6/11/2024 5:42 pm : link
We'll probably never know exactly what went down in the Giants war room this year but a couple of thoughts. For starters one always wants to be careful not to conflate things. There has been a tendency to say, for example, that because the Giants may have tried to trade up for Maye they weren't looking to replace Jones. It may simply have been that they had a shot at someone they viewed as a potential elite prospect at the position and you don't often get shots at players like that; however, when he was gone they moved on. In fact, had they really wanted to replace Jones surely they would have taken someone either at 6 or at least somewhere in the draft.

Two, so much of the debate here focuses on the past, but in many ways it really doesn't matter what Jones did or did not do in the past. What matters do the Giants, who work with the guy every day, think that he has the tools to do what they want a QB to do in their system. Appears they do! In that context, I also suspect very much that this year's decision would have been very much Daboll's. Did he want to start over with a new QB or go forward and continue to try and build around Jones and it appears he chose the latter.

Will it work. Who knows. If it doesn't they move on. In fact next year it appears there may be a number of reasonably attractive veteran options that may be available either in free agency or via a trade. At the same time, even if the Giants don't end up with all that good a pick at the 2025 draft and that next year's QB isn't quite as strong as this year's, there also likely won't be as many teams at the top of the board looking for a QB so it may very well be easier to move up if that is what is needed.

Meanwhile, I say again, why don't we just play out this season and see how it goes.
RE: Those saying whether they are a year away depends on upgrading the QB  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 5:45 pm : link
In comment 16534822 UberAlias said:
Quote:
I agree with that. Their not drafting a QB this year undoubtedly adds to the pressure for next year. I think if they have a chance to draft a prospect like one of the ones they had a shot at this year in next year's draft, they take them if they not in a position to take another blue chip prospect.


Not only did they not draft a QB in 2024; they have not drafted a QB anywhere in the 2022-2024 drafts. They have approached the position like they were set at all three spots on the depth chart despite inheriting (and maintaining over two seasons) one of the least productive QB rooms in the NFL.

This can't be said forcefully enough: Daniel Jones has been one of the least productive starting QBs in the NFL for five seasons and the Giants have drafted zero QBs since they picked him. This is irregular, unusual behavior: unproductive players are usually challenged if not replaced outright.

It begs the question: what has to happen for the Giants to draft a quarterback? To me it looks like:

1. There must be quarterback whose grade equals or exceeds the blue chip prospects at the high value (LT, WR, EDGE, CB) positions; AND
2. The Giants must be picking high enough to be able to draft this player

If those are the requirements (and I'm not even considering owner preferences on wanting their QB to be an Eli clone), then it could be a decade or longer before the conditions are right for them to finally take the plunge. And then once they finally do it appears they will give the draft pick 5+ years even if he doesn't perform well.

RE: What happened in the room  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 5:48 pm : link
In comment 16534830 Snorkels said:
Quote:


Meanwhile, I say again, why don't we just play out this season and see how it goes.


No. We have been hearing that garbage for years. I remember people saying "let this play out" in 2019. Enough.
RE: What happened in the room  
Scooter185 : 6/11/2024 5:58 pm : link
In comment 16534830 Snorkels said:
Quote:
We'll probably never know exactly what went down in the Giants war room this year but a couple of thoughts. For starters one always wants to be careful not to conflate things. There has been a tendency to say, for example, that because the Giants may have tried to trade up for Maye they weren't looking to replace Jones. It may simply have been that they had a shot at someone they viewed as a potential elite prospect at the position and you don't often get shots at players like that; however, when he was gone they moved on. In fact, had they really wanted to replace Jones surely they would have taken someone either at 6 or at least somewhere in the draft.

Two, so much of the debate here focuses on the past, but in many ways it really doesn't matter what Jones did or did not do in the past. What matters do the Giants, who work with the guy every day, think that he has the tools to do what they want a QB to do in their system. Appears they do! In that context, I also suspect very much that this year's decision would have been very much Daboll's. Did he want to start over with a new QB or go forward and continue to try and build around Jones and it appears he chose the latter.

Will it work. Who knows. If it doesn't they move on. In fact next year it appears there may be a number of reasonably attractive veteran options that may be available either in free agency or via a trade. At the same time, even if the Giants don't end up with all that good a pick at the 2025 draft and that next year's QB isn't quite as strong as this year's, there also likely won't be as many teams at the top of the board looking for a QB so it may very well be easier to move up if that is what is needed.

Meanwhile, I say again, why don't we just play out this season and see how it goes.


If it doesn't work out they will be moving on from more than just Jones.
Terps  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 6:10 pm : link
Drafting a QB isn't the only way to acquire players. They brought in two QBs via FA this year. QBs after the first round or two are are a real dart throw. They have 4 QBs on the roster, including a back up QB and two developmental prospects. You may not like the moves they've made, but they have made them.
Any QB is a dart throw  
Go Terps : 6/11/2024 6:25 pm : link
The problem is they aren't throwing any darts. And they certainly aren't throwing any (in the draft or FA) that could challenge Daniel. Drafting McCarthy or Penix obviously would have challenged him, but Jones is so poor that even Spencer Rattler (round 5), Jordan Travis (round 5), or Michael Pratt (round 7) could have been a threat by Halloween. Each of those 3 was drafted by a team that has a better starting QB than Jones. Are they just throwing darts and wasting draft picks?

The Giants' approach, given their situation and the rules of the sport, simply does not make sense. They are not being logical actors here.
RE: Any QB is a dart throw  
BrettNYG10 : 6/11/2024 6:32 pm : link
In comment 16534844 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The problem is they aren't throwing any darts. And they certainly aren't throwing any (in the draft or FA) that could challenge Daniel. Drafting McCarthy or Penix obviously would have challenged him, but Jones is so poor that even Spencer Rattler (round 5), Jordan Travis (round 5), or Michael Pratt (round 7) could have been a threat by Halloween. Each of those 3 was drafted by a team that has a better starting QB than Jones. Are they just throwing darts and wasting draft picks?

The Giants' approach, given their situation and the rules of the sport, simply does not make sense. They are not being logical actors here.


Patriots took Maye and Joe Milton, too. We should have done... something.
BTW  
UberAlias : 6/11/2024 6:58 pm : link
If I were Schoen, I would be working hard to acquire draft picks, even if it means dealing some players who can help the team. Not core players, but players who could get us some value at least in return. I don't expect that to happen, but I would be willing to take a step back in some areas on the current season if it can help us positions ourselves in next year's draft.
...  
christian : 6/11/2024 7:40 pm : link
In comment 16534830 Snorkels said:
Quote:
Meanwhile, I say again, why don't we just play out this season and see how it goes.

I beg of you to please answer me, it's killing me.

When you say we should let it play out, what does that mean to you? Does that mean we should stop discussing the team? Does that mean you think that when we discuss the team this is not letting it play out?

I'm genuinely curious.
RE: Any QB is a dart throw  
Sean : 6/11/2024 7:51 pm : link
In comment 16534844 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The problem is they aren't throwing any darts. And they certainly aren't throwing any (in the draft or FA) that could challenge Daniel. Drafting McCarthy or Penix obviously would have challenged him, but Jones is so poor that even Spencer Rattler (round 5), Jordan Travis (round 5), or Michael Pratt (round 7) could have been a threat by Halloween. Each of those 3 was drafted by a team that has a better starting QB than Jones. Are they just throwing darts and wasting draft picks?

The Giants' approach, given their situation and the rules of the sport, simply does not make sense. They are not being logical actors here.

I agree. Negligent is the word I use.
RE: Any QB is a dart throw  
Eric on Li : 6/11/2024 7:56 pm : link
In comment 16534844 Go Terps said:
Quote:
The problem is they aren't throwing any darts. And they certainly aren't throwing any (in the draft or FA) that could challenge Daniel. Drafting McCarthy or Penix obviously would have challenged him, but Jones is so poor that even Spencer Rattler (round 5), Jordan Travis (round 5), or Michael Pratt (round 7) could have been a threat by Halloween. Each of those 3 was drafted by a team that has a better starting QB than Jones. Are they just throwing darts and wasting draft picks?

The Giants' approach, given their situation and the rules of the sport, simply does not make sense. They are not being logical actors here.


slight push back on this - Lock was more of a dart throw than carrying tIRod for 2 years, and unless im forgetting someone Devito probably has shown more than any other non-first round qb in the last few years other than purdy (which is probably more than a dozen guys?). they have 3 qbs who are just a few years older than the super seniors in the '24 draft, and all 3 of them have had their moments in the nfl.

JJM is the only prospect they passed on that i have any regrets about.
vis a vis the thread the great thing about the nfl is nobody knows  
Eric on Li : 6/11/2024 8:03 pm : link
when 'breakthroughs' will occur. every year teams go worst to first and vice versa. injuries play a big part. QB performance plays a big part.

regardless of qb/injuries i think the overall roster should be past the tipping point of being a 'good' roster barring some kind of really bad injury luck. WR and front 7 in particular should be very good. per dollar there may not be a better WR room and while the DL is expensive, im not sure any team has 3 id trade burns/dex/thibs for.
you  
Giants4me : 6/11/2024 10:15 pm : link
can debate Jones vs Lock all you like. Even throw cutlets
in there. All of them are 25-32 in the NFL.
Nabers gets me excited.......the QB room not so much.
how can Nabers get you excited  
BigBlueCane : 6/12/2024 4:16 am : link
when there will issues getting him the ball?
Jones is the starter  
fkap : 6/12/2024 8:17 am : link
he's also not that well liked by the fans.

Doesn't matter how firm, or slippery, his grip on the job is. PR 101 says avoid QB controversy, so everything coming out of the Giants will tell us there is no controversy.

For all we know, Lock has been told he's in the running if Jones falters, but keep that info to himself.

Jones should be penciled in as the starter. And the public stance from the Giants should be that his starting role is not in jeopardy.
Giants can easily  
fkap : 6/12/2024 8:30 am : link
move to high of middle of the pack this year.

Moving to running with the big dogs at the top of the pack requires a QB.

Obviously, they didn't think JJM, Nix, or Penix were QBs that would get them running with the big dogs and that Nabers was too good to pass up for any of them. Some of you twist this simple concept into a statement of devotion to Jones.
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