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Not impressed with Borttles' game today.

Since1965 : 1/7/2018 4:18 pm
Maybe Jaks will be looking for a QB? Possible trade for Eli?
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Dak Prescott  
UConn4523 : 1/8/2018 4:29 pm : link
perfect example. 4th round pick, super cheap, drafted by a team with a stellar OLine. The result has been 1 playoff loss and now on year 3 they will have to start locking up that line long term (overpaying one might say). They may go Dak's entire rookie contract without a playoff win and this is one of the "success stories" of turning your team over to a mid-round QB.
RE: RE: RE: Stafford is more than capable  
NYG07 : 1/8/2018 4:36 pm : link
In comment 13778620 UConn4523 said:
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In comment 13778567 NYG07 said:


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In comment 13778506 Go Terps said:


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I think he's pretty good. He's just not worth that insane contract. Detroit has cap space now, but Stafford's cap number goes up $10M to a ridiculous $26M in 2018. $29.5M in 2019. $31.5M in 2020.

As for offensive rankings, that's great. But the stat that matters (9-7), falls in line with what the Lions have been since Stafford was drafted, and that number doesn't figure to get better because they paid him.



You are 100% dead on. Paying Stafford was IMO a huge mistake too. He is a good QB, but certainly not one that can carry a team to a championship, he got robbed in the playoff game in Dallas a couple years ago, but zero playoff wins is zero playoff wins.

I think that QB contracts are destroying the NFL. The fact that Mike Glennon got $15M was ridiculous. They need to make a max QB contract in the next CBA.

I honestly think teams are better off rolling with a young QB on a rookie contract, or cheap vet players like Keenum and building the team up the best they can around that QB.

If you do not have a top 5 guy at QB, than paying the "market value" leaves you vulnerable to not having the cap space to have a complete team, or quality depth. Jacksonville has an excellent team, arguably the best overall in the NFL. But they have Bortles, who will inevitably hold them back when they play teams like Pitt or NE. I have no doubt Jax will laugh at the notion of paying him $19M next year, and will move on.



There is absolutely no way teams are better off just going to a rookie every 4 or 5 years. Simply none. If that were the case we'd see it happen everywhere with success and you don't. The teams that do this never win. outside of truly rare circumstances.


I didn't say always going to a rookie ever 4 or 5 years. But you have to pay the RIGHT QB, not just a middle of the pack guy who throws for 4,000 yards and 25 TDs a season. It has to be someone that is special. In the case of the Lions, just because Stafford puts up big numbers, does not mean he is a championship QB, and their team will suffer when they have zero depth and lose some big name players to free agency (probably Ansah this year).

The Seahawks had no choice but to pay Wilson, but he is an excellent, championship level QB. They were a juggernaut when he was making $500k a year. Now they have a garbage offensive line, and an aging, overpaid defense, with no depth.

It is a gamble to let a guy like Stafford or Cousins leave, but it is also a gamble to pay them a monster contract, and suffer the rest of the team. Again I use Jax as a perfect example. They have a complete, awesome team, regardless of who the QB is. Should they just pay Blake Bortles a monster contract because he had a decent year and won a playoff game? No way.
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arcarsenal : 1/8/2018 4:38 pm : link
It amazes me that people can watch the NFL for decades and still not understand how difficult it is to find a QB you can win with.

Jacksonville has an outstanding football team nearly everywhere except for one spot.. the QB.

And that one spot will be what keeps them from winning a Championship until they upgrade it.

And yet, people still think you can get away with treating the position as recyclable and disposable.

It's hard enough to find one guy you can win with, and we have people here who want to turn it into something they do every 4 years as if they think they won't bomb out on at least half of these selections.
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arcarsenal : 1/8/2018 4:41 pm : link
Seattle is also a poor example to use this year.

They lost Sherman and Chancellor for the year, Thomas missed a couple games, Bobby Wagner was hurt. Those are their best defensive players and part of their foundation.

Seattle's offense was fine this year despite the poor OL and RB carousel.

Should Seattle have just let Wilson walk? I don't understand what people expect these teams to do. If you don't want to pay them, you have to let them walk. Why would the Seahawks let a top 5 QB walk? It makes no sense.
RE: .  
NYG07 : 1/8/2018 4:50 pm : link
In comment 13778648 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Seattle is also a poor example to use this year.

They lost Sherman and Chancellor for the year, Thomas missed a couple games, Bobby Wagner was hurt. Those are their best defensive players and part of their foundation.

Seattle's offense was fine this year despite the poor OL and RB carousel.

Should Seattle have just let Wilson walk? I don't understand what people expect these teams to do. If you don't want to pay them, you have to let them walk. Why would the Seahawks let a top 5 QB walk? It makes no sense.


No, that is my point, Wilson is absolutely a QB you give big money too. But now they have a limited roster around him. Yes, they had some key guys get injured, and missed the playoffs. Now they have virtually no margin for error in the draft. I think they can rebound and win with him again.

I do not however think the Lions or Redskins can build a championship team with Stafford or Cousins making insane money. Like you said, it is really hard to find a QB that can win in this league. Winning is the operative word. I don't think those guys are ever going to be good enough to carry their team to a Superbowl title. Just because they put up big numbers does not mean they are worth the massive contract that hurts the rest of the team.
I don't think anyone is saying pay anyone  
UConn4523 : 1/8/2018 4:56 pm : link
I guess the disagreement is on paying Stafford. You seem to think he isn't worth it, I think he is worth it. There is nothing you can point to to tell me he isn't worth it. Cannon for an arm, mobile when needed, essentially improves every year despite his dogshit roster, and the Lions have caproom to add other players. So what's the problem?

The answer is its the Lions, and they will fuck it up. Which has nothing to do with Stafford.
So don't pay Wilson  
UConn4523 : 1/8/2018 4:59 pm : link
so you can then pay for a great Oline with no QB? Sounds like a great plan. And then when 1 or 2 of those guys goes down (like this year in Dallas), then what?

Atleast when your QB is out for the season you can get a higher draft pick. Have a great OLine and no one to throw it and you will more often than not have a mediocre team with no hope in the playoffs and a bad draft pick. Sounds fun.
When the Giants were at the peak of their powers  
djm : 1/8/2018 5:03 pm : link
2010 or so, they were paying nearly every position on their team big bucks, including qb. The roster was fine. The decay began when the drafting failed and the team hit rock bottom when the coaching turned to shit.

This Giants team would be fine if they didn't draft apple and flowers and instead drafted gurley and decker. I don't even think the roster is bad even now. Just needs a HC and roster tinkering

Paying good players isn't the problem. Paying bad players is.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 1/8/2018 5:04 pm : link
In comment 13778664 NYG07 said:
Quote:
In comment 13778648 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


Seattle is also a poor example to use this year.

They lost Sherman and Chancellor for the year, Thomas missed a couple games, Bobby Wagner was hurt. Those are their best defensive players and part of their foundation.

Seattle's offense was fine this year despite the poor OL and RB carousel.

Should Seattle have just let Wilson walk? I don't understand what people expect these teams to do. If you don't want to pay them, you have to let them walk. Why would the Seahawks let a top 5 QB walk? It makes no sense.



No, that is my point, Wilson is absolutely a QB you give big money too. But now they have a limited roster around him. Yes, they had some key guys get injured, and missed the playoffs. Now they have virtually no margin for error in the draft. I think they can rebound and win with him again.

I do not however think the Lions or Redskins can build a championship team with Stafford or Cousins making insane money. Like you said, it is really hard to find a QB that can win in this league. Winning is the operative word. I don't think those guys are ever going to be good enough to carry their team to a Superbowl title. Just because they put up big numbers does not mean they are worth the massive contract that hurts the rest of the team.


I get what you're saying - but the playoffs were still in reach for Seattle up until the last week of this season.

They still have a good team - there's a lot of talent there. They had some key guys get hurt. It happens.

Wilson's cap hit was actually larger last year, and they went 10-5-1, made the playoffs, and won a playoff game.

They can still compete with Wilson making what he's making. The odds of them finding a more productive QB in the draft are exceptionally slim.

I'm not particularly enamored with Kirk Cousins - but I believed Stafford was worth paying the day it happened, and coming off arguably his best year as a pro, I feel even more strongly about it now.

Detroit has to put a defense on the other side of the field. You can win with Stafford. Put him on the Jaguars and that's a SB contender.

The Lions have had cap space. They're just failing to assemble talent on that side of the ball.

Beyond that, they were the worst rushing team in football this year. They can't run the ball.

The Lions went 9-7 almost entirely because of Stafford. The QB is there. Give him help.

The alternative is you let him walk and then not only do you still need to fix the defense and the run game, but you have to draft his replacement as well - and if you miss on that pick? It's going to be a long few years.

Look at all the QB's the Jets have been drafting that keep failing. Geno, McElroy, Petty, Hackenberg... these guys all suck. They're going to have to try yet again this year.

Denver isn't having a much easier time trying to replace Peyton.

You can pay a QB and still assemble a good team around him.

Stafford shouldn't be the guy who takes the blame for the Lions' inability to put better players around him. They are not cap-strapped. Draft better and identify better FA's.
djm: There are many paths to Hell - all paved with good intentions.  
Big Blue Blogger : 1/8/2018 5:09 pm : link
djm said:
Quote:
Paying good players isn't the problem. Paying bad players is.
Or paying good players who get hurt. Or old. Or lazy.
RE: When the Giants were at the peak of their powers  
Ten Ton Hammer : 1/8/2018 5:15 pm : link
In comment 13778698 djm said:
Quote:
2010 or so, they were paying nearly every position on their team big bucks, including qb. The roster was fine. The decay began when the drafting failed and the team hit rock bottom when the coaching turned to shit.

This Giants team would be fine if they didn't draft apple and flowers and instead drafted gurley and decker. I don't even think the roster is bad even now. Just needs a HC and roster tinkering

Paying good players isn't the problem. Paying bad players is.


It's not like this offensive line is one player away from being acceptable. Why would anyone think that?
RE: djm: There are many paths to Hell - all paved with good intentions.  
djm : 1/8/2018 5:17 pm : link
In comment 13778711 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
djm said:

Quote:


Paying good players isn't the problem. Paying bad players is.

Or paying good players who get hurt. Or old. Or lazy.


Indeed. That's also where the coaching comes into play (lazy)
RE: RE: When the Giants were at the peak of their powers  
djm : 1/8/2018 5:18 pm : link
In comment 13778717 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
In comment 13778698 djm said:


Quote:


2010 or so, they were paying nearly every position on their team big bucks, including qb. The roster was fine. The decay began when the drafting failed and the team hit rock bottom when the coaching turned to shit.

This Giants team would be fine if they didn't draft apple and flowers and instead drafted gurley and decker. I don't even think the roster is bad even now. Just needs a HC and roster tinkering

Paying good players isn't the problem. Paying bad players is.



It's not like this offensive line is one player away from being acceptable. Why would anyone think that?


Just like the defense wasn't 2-3 players away from going from bad to good in 2016.

Don't tell me the Giants can't be good next year. They can. Any team can turn things around in a year. The Giants have pieces in place.
I didn't say they couldn't be good as a team  
Ten Ton Hammer : 1/8/2018 5:25 pm : link
But that offensive line still isn't good if Taylor Decker is RT. They're still miserable at a minimum of two other positions. Probably three.
LT*  
Ten Ton Hammer : 1/8/2018 5:26 pm : link
.
RE: RE: RE: .  
NYG07 : 1/8/2018 5:35 pm : link
In comment 13778699 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
In comment 13778664 NYG07 said:


Quote:


In comment 13778648 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


Seattle is also a poor example to use this year.

They lost Sherman and Chancellor for the year, Thomas missed a couple games, Bobby Wagner was hurt. Those are their best defensive players and part of their foundation.

Seattle's offense was fine this year despite the poor OL and RB carousel.

Should Seattle have just let Wilson walk? I don't understand what people expect these teams to do. If you don't want to pay them, you have to let them walk. Why would the Seahawks let a top 5 QB walk? It makes no sense.



No, that is my point, Wilson is absolutely a QB you give big money too. But now they have a limited roster around him. Yes, they had some key guys get injured, and missed the playoffs. Now they have virtually no margin for error in the draft. I think they can rebound and win with him again.

I do not however think the Lions or Redskins can build a championship team with Stafford or Cousins making insane money. Like you said, it is really hard to find a QB that can win in this league. Winning is the operative word. I don't think those guys are ever going to be good enough to carry their team to a Superbowl title. Just because they put up big numbers does not mean they are worth the massive contract that hurts the rest of the team.



I get what you're saying - but the playoffs were still in reach for Seattle up until the last week of this season.

They still have a good team - there's a lot of talent there. They had some key guys get hurt. It happens.

Wilson's cap hit was actually larger last year, and they went 10-5-1, made the playoffs, and won a playoff game.

They can still compete with Wilson making what he's making. The odds of them finding a more productive QB in the draft are exceptionally slim.

I'm not particularly enamored with Kirk Cousins - but I believed Stafford was worth paying the day it happened, and coming off arguably his best year as a pro, I feel even more strongly about it now.

Detroit has to put a defense on the other side of the field. You can win with Stafford. Put him on the Jaguars and that's a SB contender.

The Lions have had cap space. They're just failing to assemble talent on that side of the ball.

Beyond that, they were the worst rushing team in football this year. They can't run the ball.

The Lions went 9-7 almost entirely because of Stafford. The QB is there. Give him help.

The alternative is you let him walk and then not only do you still need to fix the defense and the run game, but you have to draft his replacement as well - and if you miss on that pick? It's going to be a long few years.

Look at all the QB's the Jets have been drafting that keep failing. Geno, McElroy, Petty, Hackenberg... these guys all suck. They're going to have to try yet again this year.

Denver isn't having a much easier time trying to replace Peyton.

You can pay a QB and still assemble a good team around him.

Stafford shouldn't be the guy who takes the blame for the Lions' inability to put better players around him. They are not cap-strapped. Draft better and identify better FA's.


Excellent points. Again, my frustration here is the QB contract as a whole. These numbers are outrageous. The fact that all time great QBs like Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers have only one Superbowl title is weird.

Drew Brees has been more than willing to milk every cent he can from the Saints, but in turn, he cannot bitch and moan that their defense is terrible, and it was historically terrible for many years.

I said this earlier, the Packers team is terrible without Aaron Rodgers. It is easy to just say, "well draft better around the highly paid QB." It is not that simple.

The Seahawks got unlucky that their top defensive guys got hurt this year, and Wilson almost overcame that to take them to the playoffs, because he is that great. But their roster is no where near as good as it was a few years ago. They are top heavy, and have limited depth.

I have no idea how the NFL will solve this. Again I will bring up the max QB contract, but how high will that be? How many mediocre QBs will refuse to sign for anything less than the max?

This has continued to be the main reason I want to move on from Eli Manning. Because he makes way too much money given his production. I think they are better off playing Webb/Rosen/Mayfield/Darnold and building a dynamic team around them. Maybe those guys will never be good enough to win a Superbowl, but to me it is worth the gamble.
If it isn’t that simple to draft better players around Rodgers  
UConn4523 : 1/8/2018 6:01 pm : link
would it be simple if he wasn’t on the team?

FA fills gaps, you still need to draft well. GB has had some really bad drafts and they stink when Rodgers is hurt. The alternative is paying for great players around Hundley - because that will go well...
RE: If it isn’t that simple to draft better players around Rodgers  
arcarsenal : 1/8/2018 7:08 pm : link
In comment 13778784 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
would it be simple if he wasn’t on the team?

FA fills gaps, you still need to draft well. GB has had some really bad drafts and they stink when Rodgers is hurt. The alternative is paying for great players around Hundley - because that will go well...


This is really the main point.

It's definitely easier said than done to say "well, GB should be putting better players around Rodgers" or the same with DET and Stafford -

But one thing we do know, is that it would be exponentially more difficult for those teams to be good without those guys.

GB is probably a 4 win team without Rodgers and a 11 win team with him. There's a huge swing there.

And so, that's the risk you take when you let a proven commodity walk @ QB and try to replace him. You're much more likely to wind up with 5 more Brett Hundleys before you ever get anything close to another Rodgers.

Rodgers is probably a bad example just because he's the best QB in the league - but I think the point still remains even with a guy like Stafford. His production would be much more difficult to replace than people realize.

I am of the opinion that the QB is the hardest player to find in this league. So, if you have that guy in place, you then need to turn your attention to putting the right players around him.

The Lions didn't make a mistake paying Stafford, they made a mistake not doing more to address their defense or their run game.

They drafted a CB in the 2nd round who had virtually no impact for them this year. The other CB they drafted, Jamal Agnew is an excellent punt returner but he's not getting snaps @ CB.

Darius Slay is an elite CB but they have very little otherwise on that side of the ball.

Poor talent evaluation.
Arc  
UConn4523 : 1/8/2018 8:10 pm : link
to take a step further all the cap room still has risk as well. Whoever you sign to whatever amount of money isn’t guaranteed to pan out. Which is why it often comes down to risk/reward.

Risk losing a franchise QB because you don’t want to pay a few million more per year for the hopes the other players signed with that money pan out AND you find a capable QB....talk about a risk.
TTH  
djm : 1/8/2018 9:46 pm : link
I don't think the Giants are a 2-6 win team on paper. Not by a long shot. If they nailed a few more picks from the last two years along with the right HC who knows how they look today.
RE: TTH  
HomerJones45 : 1/8/2018 10:55 pm : link
In comment 13779137 djm said:
Quote:
I don't think the Giants are a 2-6 win team on paper. Not by a long shot. If they nailed a few more picks from the last two years along with the right HC who knows how they look today.
It was that kind of attitude that put us in the position we are in where we are looking for quick fixes and snake-oil nostrums as a substitute for a hard-headed look at what we have.

The Giants are a slow team (watch the teams in the playoffs- they all seem to be playing at a different speed than the Giants), they are talent deficient at o-line, running back (where we are starting backups), wideout, d-tackle and linebacker. There is a lot of work to do.
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