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NFT: Mets sign Jay Bruce

DanMetroMan : 1/10/2018 9:10 pm
per Jerry Crasnick
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The  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 10:44 am : link
problem with Smith in LV is it doesn't tell us anything. He was very good (not incredible) but very good in LV in 2017. What does it prove if he mashes in 2018? It's the PCL in a ridiculous hitting environment. Guys like Eric Campbell have mashed there. He could put up a huge run there and we'd still have unanswered questions.
That's my point too  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 10:51 am : link
Smith in Vegas is stupid. Sure he wasn't incredible in LV, but he led the league in hits and was top 10 in OPS and many other stats when he was called up.

What is Vegas going to do for Smith? help him work on his defense? His weight?
RE: What a disaster  
PhiPsi125 : 1/16/2018 10:51 am : link
In comment 13791870 pjcas18 said:
Quote:


Quote:



Mike Puma
‏Verified account @NYPost_Mets
59m59 minutes ago

Heard the Mets are taking the approach that Adrian Gonzalez, if healthy, will probably be their first baseman to start the season. There is a good chance Dom Smith will begin the season at Las Vegas.




So Smith wastes away in Vegas.


Dont worry, I hear that its a good deal because its just for the minimum and that the Mets will just cut him before the season starts if he doesnt play well. No big deal.

Right.

36 year old, malcontent has-been as starting 1b here we go.
Rosario  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 10:53 am : link
was hardly any better offensively than Smith, obviously the expectations are different per position and Rosario's defense wad fine, but are they going to sign Reyes to start at SS and send Rosario back to LV too?

I didn't mind Gonzalez  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 10:54 am : link
as a "invitation to spring training" signing - as it was initially reported.

but to start and to have Smith in Vegas?

It's almost like Sandy is trying to get fired.
RE: Rosario  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 11:00 am : link
In comment 13792001 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
was hardly any better offensively than Smith, obviously the expectations are different per position and Rosario's defense wad fine, but are they going to sign Reyes to start at SS and send Rosario back to LV too?


You answered your own question. Different expectations due to position and "average" defense (with flashes of more than that) with a sprinkling of speed is all Rosario needs to do to add value. Smith needs to mash or he has none.
RE: I didn't mind Gonzalez  
Ten Ton Hammer : 1/16/2018 11:01 am : link
In comment 13792010 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
as a "invitation to spring training" signing - as it was initially reported.

but to start and to have Smith in Vegas?

It's almost like Sandy is trying to get fired.


If they fire him, they'd have to pay him out his contract. God knows that's not happening.
Why would AG  
brunswick : 1/16/2018 11:06 am : link
Sign here (now) if he wasn't "guaranteed" playing time. Why are people surprised by Puma's comments
RE: Why would AG  
Section331 : 1/16/2018 11:11 am : link
In comment 13792062 brunswick said:
Quote:
Sign here (now) if he wasn't "guaranteed" playing time. Why are people surprised by Puma's comments


It is very possible that he had no other better offers, and sees a real opportunity to win a job here. No entrenched incumbent to battle, and let's face it, the bar for success is pretty low.
RE: Why would AG  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 11:12 am : link
In comment 13792062 brunswick said:
Quote:
Sign here (now) if he wasn't "guaranteed" playing time. Why are people surprised by Puma's comments


I most certainly am not surprised, this was to be expected knowing the Mets BUT Adrian Gonzalez didn't exactly have a lot of options. In fact, I'm not sure another team in baseball was guaranteeing him PT. It's not as if he had 15 options.
Gonzalez is 36 years old  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 11:12 am : link
rapidly declining in talent, an alleged clubhouse cancer, and didn't have any other teams interested in signing him.

He signed for 550k, doesn't scream "guaranteed playing time" money to me.
RE: Gonzalez is 36 years old  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 11:16 am : link
In comment 13792086 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
rapidly declining in talent, an alleged clubhouse cancer, and didn't have any other teams interested in signing him.

He signed for 550k, doesn't scream "guaranteed playing time" money to me.


He didn't have a choice $$ wise he is being paid 22 million, the Mets portion is subtracted from what the Braves owed, if the Mets "gave" him 10 million all it would mean would be the Braves paying 10 million less.
My point though was if there was a bidding war  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 11:23 am : link
someone else guaranteeing him playing time would have paid him more than the 545k the Mets are paying.

Yes, it's just subtracted from the 22M Atlanta owes, but because the Mets got him so cheap indicated to me he didn't have much interest.
RE: My point though was if there was a bidding war  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 11:28 am : link
In comment 13792123 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
someone else guaranteeing him playing time would have paid him more than the 545k the Mets are paying.

Yes, it's just subtracted from the 22M Atlanta owes, but because the Mets got him so cheap indicated to me he didn't have much interest.


For sure. I just meant I don't think the $ was even in the equation. Likelihood of starting was almost certainly all he cared about (he also was in SD with Sandy so there is some relationship there).
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 11:33 am : link
Remember when the narrative was Smith would stay in shape with big league coaches and players around him this season... welp #Mets
Why even draft positional players  
spike : 1/16/2018 11:38 am : link
When you cant develop them or give them playing time

Just keep picking pitchers and trade them for offensive vets
.  
arcarsenal : 1/16/2018 11:38 am : link
Lagares looks huge.
RE: RE: What a disaster  
SJGiant : 1/16/2018 11:42 am : link
In comment 13791989 PhiPsi125 said:
Quote:
In comment 13791870 pjcas18 said:


Quote:




Quote:



Mike Puma
‏Verified account @NYPost_Mets
59m59 minutes ago

Heard the Mets are taking the approach that Adrian Gonzalez, if healthy, will probably be their first baseman to start the season. There is a good chance Dom Smith will begin the season at Las Vegas.




So Smith wastes away in Vegas.




Dont worry, I hear that its a good deal because its just for the minimum and that the Mets will just cut him before the season starts if he doesnt play well. No big deal.

Right.

36 year old, malcontent has-been as starting 1b here we go.



My opinion is that the Mets wants Smith's numbers to be built up in Las Vegas so they could trade him during the season.
We shouldve  
spike : 1/16/2018 11:44 am : link
Gotten Garret Cole for smith and package of junk prospects
RE: .  
Metnut : 1/16/2018 12:35 pm : link
In comment 13792181 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Lagares looks huge.


Juan Lagares has been worth 7.2 WAR over the last 4 seasons despite missing some time with injury. Jay Bruce has been worth 3.0.

Sandy clearly doesn't value defense and has effectively used most of our offseason budget to block Lagares while leaving the multiple IF needs unaddressed. I just don't understand the strategy.
Lagares does look huge and Flores looks skinny  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 12:44 pm : link
The strategy is  
spike : 1/16/2018 12:45 pm : link
Reflexive moves based on the backpages of NY post and Daily News
.  
arcarsenal : 1/16/2018 12:48 pm : link
Does this mean  
spike : 1/16/2018 12:49 pm : link
Lagares is going to injure himself the first month of the season?
RE: Does this mean  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 1:25 pm : link
In comment 13792410 spike said:
Quote:
Lagares is going to injure himself the first month of the season?


I wouldn't bet against it.
RE: .  
Modus Operandi : 1/16/2018 1:57 pm : link
In comment 13792162 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Remember when the narrative was Smith would stay in shape with big league coaches and players around him this season... welp #Mets


Wait. I thought he stopped eating those web burritos..
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 4:40 pm : link
Rosenthal: Mets wouldn't include Nimmo in deal for Pirates' McCutchen
RE: .  
arcarsenal : 1/16/2018 4:40 pm : link
In comment 13793028 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Rosenthal: Mets wouldn't include Nimmo in deal for Pirates' McCutchen


LOL
Nimmo has no discernable skills  
Modus Operandi : 1/16/2018 5:05 pm : link
= untouchable
Well we know Sandy  
pjcas18 : 1/16/2018 5:05 pm : link
loves Nimmo. In fact he's on record s saying the Mets don't need Stanton since they have Nimmo.

No chance he's packaging Nimmo in a deal for Cutch.
Same  
DanMetroMan : 1/16/2018 5:07 pm : link
piece says the Mets think they can land Harrison using Nimmo.
If Nimmo is too good to include  
Metnut : 1/16/2018 5:40 pm : link
for a trade with McCutchen (which I'm fine with actually, I think Cutch isn't great anymore and only signed for one more year), then why use the majority of the offseason budget to block him with Jay Bruce? There just doesn't seem to be a coherent strategy from this front office.

Rosenthal thinks the Mets are still looking at Eduardo Nunez, Neil Walker, Moustakos and Todd Frazier, but that it depends on their respective prices.
I know he has more control but valuing Harrison > Cutch seems odd  
Eric on Li : 1/16/2018 5:48 pm : link
If its true he wouldnt give up Nimmo for Cutch but would for Harrison. This has been a really strange offseason. Cutch seemingly would have been more flexible Conforto insurance compared to 3 years of Bruce locked into a corner. I know hes not a very good defender anymore but he has to be better than Bruce. Even giving the benefit of doubt its hard to see what Sandys plan is. It appears its never regretted to specific players and always purely bargain hunting.
Any chance  
pjcas18 : 1/17/2018 11:14 am : link
Guillorme is in the mix for 2B?

He's major league pipeline's best defensive 2B.

He also made major strides offensively last year. I always heard him as a total zero with the bat, but good D.

Sure he has 0 power, but patient hitter, and showed good contact. no speed, but I'd almost rather see what Guillorme can do than trade for Harrison.

especially if he's a defensive stud. Rosario and Guillorme, and Nimmo/Lagares in CF is strong D up the middle even if the corners are bad. It's a start, especially for a team still counting on pitching to carry the team.
RE: Any chance  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:18 am : link
In comment 13793888 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
Guillorme is in the mix for 2B?

He's major league pipeline's best defensive 2B.

He also made major strides offensively last year. I always heard him as a total zero with the bat, but good D.

Sure he has 0 power, but patient hitter, and showed good contact. no speed, but I'd almost rather see what Guillorme can do than trade for Harrison.

especially if he's a defensive stud. Rosario and Guillorme, and Nimmo/Lagares in CF is strong D up the middle even if the corners are bad. It's a start, especially for a team still counting on pitching to carry the team.


None. He'd easily be the worst offensive 2b in baseball as of right now. Zero power, zero speed. There is no chance Guillorme is even in the equation. 103 wRC+ in AA good for 6th on his own team (an awful 2017 AA Mets squad).
40  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:28 am : link
man announcement should be coming down shortly.
RE: RE: Any chance  
pjcas18 : 1/17/2018 11:29 am : link
In comment 13793895 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 13793888 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


Guillorme is in the mix for 2B?

He's major league pipeline's best defensive 2B.

He also made major strides offensively last year. I always heard him as a total zero with the bat, but good D.

Sure he has 0 power, but patient hitter, and showed good contact. no speed, but I'd almost rather see what Guillorme can do than trade for Harrison.

especially if he's a defensive stud. Rosario and Guillorme, and Nimmo/Lagares in CF is strong D up the middle even if the corners are bad. It's a start, especially for a team still counting on pitching to carry the team.



None. He'd easily be the worst offensive 2b in baseball as of right now. Zero power, zero speed. There is no chance Guillorme is even in the equation. 103 wRC+ in AA good for 6th on his own team (an awful 2017 AA Mets squad).


but what would his WAR be?

Isn't that the better determining factor than just offense? I mean if everyone is being evaluated on WAR, isn't DEF half of it?
Conforto not expected  
Metnut : 1/17/2018 11:30 am : link
until May 1st per Sandy. In Mets speak, that means were lucky to see him before the all-star game.
RE: RE: RE: Any chance  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:36 am : link
In comment 13793915 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 13793895 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


In comment 13793888 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


Guillorme is in the mix for 2B?

He's major league pipeline's best defensive 2B.

He also made major strides offensively last year. I always heard him as a total zero with the bat, but good D.

Sure he has 0 power, but patient hitter, and showed good contact. no speed, but I'd almost rather see what Guillorme can do than trade for Harrison.

especially if he's a defensive stud. Rosario and Guillorme, and Nimmo/Lagares in CF is strong D up the middle even if the corners are bad. It's a start, especially for a team still counting on pitching to carry the team.



None. He'd easily be the worst offensive 2b in baseball as of right now. Zero power, zero speed. There is no chance Guillorme is even in the equation. 103 wRC+ in AA good for 6th on his own team (an awful 2017 AA Mets squad).



but what would his WAR be?

Isn't that the better determining factor than just offense? I mean if everyone is being evaluated on WAR, isn't DEF half of it?


His fWAR would be putrid. There is a reason you don't see teams playing all-glove zero bat players as starters despite the value of defense. DJ LeMahieu was the best defensive 2b in baseball in 2017, posted a 94 wRC+ and was still a below average regular (1.8 fWAR).
And  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:37 am : link
to clarify it's not a 50/50 proposition. It's not 50% offense 50% defense. The calculation is as follows

WAR = (Batting Runs + Base Running Runs +Fielding Runs + Positional Adjustment + League Adjustment +Replacement Runs) / (Runs Per Win)

Sandy  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:38 am : link
implies Gonzalez is the starter unless Smith is incredible in ST.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 11:42 am : link
Mike Puma

Verified account

@NYPost_Mets
5m5 minutes ago
More
In listing the Mets first base options, Alderson didn't mention Dom Smith until fourth.
.  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 12:42 pm : link
Mike Puma‏Verified account
@NYPost_Mets
Following Following @NYPost_Mets
More
Mets have discussed Josh Harrison with the Pirates, but talks at this point are not ongoing.
Sandy seems to be very bad at maximizing the value of his prospects  
Eric on Li : 1/17/2018 1:25 pm : link
If they are down on Smith thats fine, he was never a cant miss prospect, but if thats the case they should have dealt him to fill another hole at some point. Wasting him away in no mans land while playing a retread like Gonzo doesnt accomplish anything for anyone. Its mind boggling that of all the toiling high draft picks and guys who cant get out of their own way due to injuries Fulmer is the guy who broke out and overcame the injury bug.
2  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 1:33 pm : link
players will be removed from the 40, obvious guesses would be Reynolds and McGowan but who knows?
No CF  
DanMetroMan : 1/17/2018 1:59 pm : link
platoon, Lagares the starter
RE: No CF  
arcarsenal : 1/17/2018 2:01 pm : link
In comment 13794217 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
platoon, Lagares the starter


So how does this work when Conforto is healthy?

We have 3 COFer's and only 2 places to play them
RE: RE: No CF  
pjcas18 : 1/17/2018 2:03 pm : link
In comment 13794224 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
In comment 13794217 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


platoon, Lagares the starter



So how does this work when Conforto is healthy?

We have 3 COFer's and only 2 places to play them


Is that a serious question?

Given the past few seasons are you really worried about the Mets having too many healthy players at any one position?

I'm fairly certain this situation will work itself out.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/17/2018 2:05 pm : link
I know it's the Mets, but is it that hard to envision at least a couple of months within the season where all 4 guys are healthy?

Odds are it's going to happen. So, who plays?
RE: .  
pjcas18 : 1/17/2018 2:08 pm : link
In comment 13794238 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
I know it's the Mets, but is it that hard to envision at least a couple of months within the season where all 4 guys are healthy?

Odds are it's going to happen. So, who plays?


you need all of them healthy and 1B healthy.

If they're all healthy my guess is the OF would be Cespedes, Conforto, and Bruce.

If it's a lefty pitcher maybe they sit Bruce and have Cespedes Lagares and Conforto.

but not being flippant, between Cespedes, Lagares, Conforto, Bruce, and Gonzalez pretty sure someone will perpetually be injured.
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