He's not the Vegas favorite to go first overall according to our former OG Geoff Schwartz. I've never looked at Vegas odds for the 1st overall pick. Anybody have any idea if they are ever accurate?
Quote:
@geoffschwartz: Yesterday morning Sam Darnold was still the Vegas favorite to get drafted 1st. Now it’s Josh Allen. It’s happening folks... and the Giants will go from Eli Manning to Sam Darnold. Good for them.
but I have been following the odds on #1 this draft season.
Think Schwartz may have misread the plus/minus. Darnold still holding as odd-on minus 175 favorite at betonline. Allen has improved in recent days from plus 175 to plus 125.
For news of the day, such as it is, I would look to Albert Breer's MMBQ piece linked in today's Breer thread. Browns are still in decision process.
If the Cleveland beats (and Breer) don't know, nobody knows. Except Dorsey.
Its not that I am confident that he will strike out but the Browns have been so bad for so long that I would just want more of a sure thing. Darnold may have a lower ceiling but he has a much higher floor.
I want the QB with the highest ceiling no matter where his floor is.
It’s an extreme example, but the Peyton Manning v Ryan Leaf debate was between Peyton’s high floor and Ryan’s perceived higher upside. Made sense to me at the time, but I am not buying it now.
There just seems to be so much smoke around Allen & the Browns that I find it hard to believe it isn't true. Peter King, Daniel Jeremiah, Ian O'Connor, Dane Brugler & Lance Zierlein have all said they've heard the Browns will take Allen. Those are some pretty big names in the draft world.
Idk if that's a website? Don't know much about gambling.
It's a website with a European domain. You have to join to get the odds, so I can't tell.
I've been checking in at the betonline site just as an indicator.
Plus 125 on Allen does represent a high mark for him for the entire process and he and Darnold are now in their own ballpark and way clear of Rosen and Mayfield (and Barkley).
At least for the betting on #1. We'll see how smart the money turns out to be.
Think Schwartz may have misread the plus/minus. Darnold still holding as odd-on minus 175 favorite at betonline. Allen has improved in recent days from plus 175 to plus 125.
For news of the day, such as it is, I would look to Albert Breer's MMBQ piece linked in today's Breer thread. Browns are still in decision process.
If the Cleveland beats (and Breer) don't know, nobody knows. Except Dorsey.
Its not that I am confident that he will strike out but the Browns have been so bad for so long that I would just want more of a sure thing. Darnold may have a lower ceiling but he has a much higher floor.
I'd bet Darnold @1 every time.
The feeling I'm getting is that the first 3 picks are nearly set. What happens at 4 is where it starts to get murky.
I'd bet Darnold @1 every time.
The feeling I'm getting is that the first 3 picks are nearly set. What happens at 4 is where it starts to get murky.
Most of the Browns beat reporters feel that Dorsey will pick Darnold as well.
It’s an extreme example, but the Peyton Manning v Ryan Leaf debate was between Peyton’s high floor and Ryan’s perceived higher upside. Made sense to me at the time, but I am not buying it now.
Oh yeah. He's a Browns pick all the way.
There just seems to be so much smoke around Allen & the Browns that I find it hard to believe it isn't true. Peter King, Daniel Jeremiah, Ian O'Connor, Dane Brugler & Lance Zierlein have all said they've heard the Browns will take Allen. Those are some pretty big names in the draft world.
It's a website with a European domain. You have to join to get the odds, so I can't tell.
I've been checking in at the betonline site just as an indicator.
Plus 125 on Allen does represent a high mark for him for the entire process and he and Darnold are now in their own ballpark and way clear of Rosen and Mayfield (and Barkley).
At least for the betting on #1. We'll see how smart the money turns out to be.
I'm ready and set for Hue Jackson to throw Allen under the bus.