In comment 13913989
...interesting, but the lead premise is statistically misleading.
Bottom line: think about the sheer number of QBs drafted OUTSIDE the Top 10 (in last 25 years), versus a much smaller number for those drafted within the Top 10.
That alone makes the odds tilted toward QB Super Bowl winners that were drafted outside the Top 10!
Yes, it is very limiting criteria. Plus, there are about 5 or 6 years of the last 25 drafts in which the first QB chosen was picked outside of the top 10. It's more of an interesting detail/fact rather than useful information.
If you are curious as to who the QBs taken in the top 10 of the last 25 years are, here you go:
Rivers, Eli, Peyton, Bledsoe*, Mirer, Shuler, Dilfer, McNair*, Kerry Collins*, Ryan Leaf, McNabb*,
Akili Smith, Couch, Vick, David Carr, Harrington, Carson Palmer, Byron Leftwich, Alex Smith*, Vince Young, Leinart,
Jamarcus Russell, Matt Ryan*, Matt Stafford, Mark Sanchez, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton*, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert,
Luck, Bob Griffin, Tannehill, Bortles, Winston, Mariota, Goff, Wentz, Trubisky, Mahomes
* - led team to a Super Bowl in a losing effort.