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Gil Brandt has graded 492 running backs over 60 years

BSIMatt : 5/2/2018 12:24 pm
Saquon Barkley has the highest grade he's ever given to a running back.

Quote:
Why should I not go No. 1?” Barkley asks. He genuinely wants an answer. With every other player in the draft class, he says, there’s a but. “With me, I can confidently say there is no but.” That’s why he thinks he’s different.

And Gil Brandt agrees. The legendary talent evaluator has worked in the NFL for 63 years, most notably as the vice president of player personnel for the Cowboys for three decades. He grades prospects on a nine-point system, broken down into five characteristics: character; quickness and agility; strength and explosion; competitiveness; and mental alertness. Over his career he has graded 492 running backs. Barkley ranks highest of them all.

“He has a 100% chance of being an All-Pro,” Brandt says. “He’s the best player in the draft.”

Face of the NFL? Saquon Barkley Has a Plan - ( New Window )
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I really hope he's right  
jcn56 : 5/2/2018 12:26 pm : link
because a perennial all-pro will wipe out any debate, regardless of what the others go on to do.
RE: I really hope he's right  
Jay in Toronto : 5/2/2018 12:27 pm : link
In comment 13950749 jcn56 said:
Quote:
because a perennial all-pro will wipe out any debate, regardless of what the others go on to do.


Wow. Stay healthy young man.
....  
TyreeHelmet : 5/2/2018 12:28 pm : link
I like Brandt and he's obviously a legend. But how can you say 100% All Pro?
Just for the hell of it  
ZogZerg : 5/2/2018 12:30 pm : link
Who are his top 10 rated RBs of all time?

.  
arcarsenal : 5/2/2018 12:30 pm : link
The expectations for this guy are out of this world - he literally has to be a first team all-pro out of the gates otherwise people are going to hold it against him.

But Brandt isn't the only one to have an out of this world grade on him. Quite a few analysts have him as one of their highest graded RB's ever from what I've seen.

Hard to argue with the logic behind the pick. He's clearly extremely highly-regarded.
Crazy  
Danny Kanell : 5/2/2018 12:31 pm : link
I can't wait to see this kid play in blue.
RE: Crazy  
Big Blue '56 : 5/2/2018 12:33 pm : link
In comment 13950768 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
I can't wait to see this kid play in blue.


x10
uh huh  
Greg from LI : 5/2/2018 12:34 pm : link
Time will tell.
He may be getting on in years and he’s off on stuff at times,  
Big Blue '56 : 5/2/2018 12:36 pm : link
just as Mayock is, but this guy built the most consistently good, sometimes great, football teams from the ‘60s until he left with Landry after the ‘88 season. He hasn’t lost all that much on his fastball. Imho
RE: uh huh  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 12:36 pm : link
In comment 13950772 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
Time will tell.
I fyou had to choose...

would you consider yourself cynic, skeptic, or contrarian?
RE: .  
Go Terps : 5/2/2018 12:37 pm : link
In comment 13950766 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
The expectations for this guy are out of this world - he literally has to be a first team all-pro out of the gates otherwise people are going to hold it against him.

But Brandt isn't the only one to have an out of this world grade on him. Quite a few analysts have him as one of their highest graded RB's ever from what I've seen.

Hard to argue with the logic behind the pick. He's clearly extremely highly-regarded.


That wouldn't really be fair to him, either.

This first year I'm hoping for him to be able to read and pick up a blitz, not look to bounce everything outside, and help in the passing game.
This is what most have failed to understand about the pick  
Chris684 : 5/2/2018 12:38 pm : link
While it's true the nothing and no one is a sure thing, it's also true that few, if anyone at all, has been evaluated and assigned higher grades than Barkley.

It's the production, game tape, skill set, competition, pro readiness, character, work ethic, personality, combine and clean injury history.

In terms of draft prospects, he is a straight A student. Can he not live up to that? Sure. But the evidence we have now does not lead in that direction. I read one scout say that any negative he had to jot down in his write-up of Barkley felt forced and like he needed to do so in order to complete the report.

Personally, I haven't seen this type of hype in football before. This is more than even Reggie Bush. I've only seen it for LeBron and Bryce Harper. Those 2 worked out pretty well.
It's weird that people seem to recoil  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/2/2018 12:38 pm : link
at the idea of someone being skeptical of a player receiving this much hype.
His press conference was impressive  
Dave on the UWS : 5/2/2018 12:39 pm : link
He is mature, respectful, talked about walking into the building and looking at the 4 Lombardi trophies. Their meaning did not go unnoticed by him. He understands that this is a cornerstone franchise. He spoke about the history of the RB position for the Giants. He's not just immensely talented,he has that "it" factor about him that very few have. ( Eli has it, OBJ has it, LT had it). You win because of guys like this.
The last time I was this excited was when they drafted the  
Big Blue '56 : 5/2/2018 12:39 pm : link
greatest D player in NFL history, back in ‘81..

And YES, time will tell as nothing is guaranteed
RE: Just for the hell of it  
chopperhatch : 5/2/2018 12:40 pm : link
In comment 13950763 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
Who are his top 10 rated RBs of all time?


I would guess:

OJ
Ricky Williams
Marcus Allen
Adrian Peterson
LaDanian Tomlinson
Marshall Faulk

Are all on the list
Am I old or just sheltered  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 12:40 pm : link
that I had to google what a "snapback" is. Is that a common knowledge thing?
The biggest problem is hype...  
BamaBlue : 5/2/2018 12:40 pm : link
there is no chance that this kid lives-up to some of the super-human expectations. Sports media loves to tear down the very people they laud. Every single play will be over analyzed and used as evidence of greatness and failure.

He may be very good or even great. Some pointy headed football analysts are already investigating options to poke holes in Barkley.
RE: The biggest problem is hype...  
Motley Two : 5/2/2018 12:48 pm : link
In comment 13950795 BamaBlue said:
Quote:
there is no chance that this kid lives-up to some of the super-human expectations. Sports media loves to tear down the very people they laud. Every single play will be over analyzed and used as evidence of greatness and failure.

He may be very good or even great. Some pointy headed football analysts are already investigating options to poke holes in Barkley.


Yep and it also seems like a lot of the detractors(mainly those who wanted the Giants to select a QB) are the ones setting the bar the highest.
"If he doesn't go into the Hall of Fame first ballot AND shit a golden football into my lap, then it was a bad pick!"
Skeptic, I'd say  
Greg from LI : 5/2/2018 12:55 pm : link
.
RE: RE: Just for the hell of it  
WideRight : 5/2/2018 12:55 pm : link
In comment 13950793 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 13950763 ZogZerg said:


Quote:


Who are his top 10 rated RBs of all time?




I would guess:

OJ
Ricky Williams
Marcus Allen
Adrian Peterson
LaDanian Tomlinson
Marshall Faulk

Are all on the list


It's grades coming out of college.....

1) Barkley
2) Tony Dorsett
3) Herschel Walker
What kind of a career he would have to have to justify the selection  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/2/2018 12:55 pm : link
compared against players they could have chosen instead is a legitimate topic however. If they weren't in love with one of these Quarterbacks, and any of them goes on to be excellent, then their evaluations were wrong. It would take an Adrian Peterson sort of career to be more valuable than a franchise quarterback. And even that is probably something some would argue.
We are setting up the kid to fail....  
George from PA : 5/2/2018 12:57 pm : link
With so much hype.

RE: Skeptic, I'd say  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 12:59 pm : link
In comment 13950814 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
.
That's good. It's the best choice. "Prove it" without being unreceptive to being wrong.
RE: It's weird that people seem to recoil  
Matt M. : 5/2/2018 1:00 pm : link
In comment 13950784 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
at the idea of someone being skeptical of a player receiving this much hype.
It's also weird to see so many disgusted with the pick of someone who is likely the very best player in the draft.

I absolutely get those that wanted a QB. So, there would be natural disappointment. But, the disdain for the Barkley pick is as if they both passed on a QB with the same type of rating Barkley has (that QB didn't exist in this draft) and drafted a reach/project in his place. Since all the QBs came with serious questions and Barkley is a consensus excellent pick, why the anger?
I'm wrong plenty of times  
Greg from LI : 5/2/2018 1:00 pm : link
Most people are.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 5/2/2018 1:00 pm : link
In comment 13950780 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 13950766 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


The expectations for this guy are out of this world - he literally has to be a first team all-pro out of the gates otherwise people are going to hold it against him.

But Brandt isn't the only one to have an out of this world grade on him. Quite a few analysts have him as one of their highest graded RB's ever from what I've seen.

Hard to argue with the logic behind the pick. He's clearly extremely highly-regarded.



That wouldn't really be fair to him, either.

This first year I'm hoping for him to be able to read and pick up a blitz, not look to bounce everything outside, and help in the passing game.


I would agree.

I think if people are going to expect 2000 scrimmage yards in year one, it's probably not fair to him and not that realistic.

I do think he has to be productive in year one - and I believe he will be. But doing all of the little things will matter just as much as the gaudy numbers.
Talk is Cheap  
BluesCruise : 5/2/2018 1:01 pm : link
Play the game.

I appreciate his confidence but we have drafted too many #1
RB busts to fall for the hype blindly
RE: What kind of a career he would have to have to justify the selection  
Matt M. : 5/2/2018 1:04 pm : link
In comment 13950817 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
compared against players they could have chosen instead is a legitimate topic however. If they weren't in love with one of these Quarterbacks, and any of them goes on to be excellent, then their evaluations were wrong. It would take an Adrian Peterson sort of career to be more valuable than a franchise quarterback. And even that is probably something some would argue.
To me the QBs' careers have more to do with that discussion than Barkley does. We can throw Maycock out because he was off the board. So, if Rosen is hurt a lot or his injury history affects his career, if Darnold continues to throw a lot of INTs, if Allen's lack of accuracy continues and/or his past comments impact his stature with the team, and if Jackson's lack of size and accuracy are issues, then anything out of Barkley still justifies the pick. Realistically, I think the Giants would have been looking only at Darnold and Rosen, so those are the two I would focus on.
Even if one of the “top”  
Big Blue '56 : 5/2/2018 1:09 pm : link
4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway
SB can be a pro bowler for the next 5-7 seasons  
NYSports1 : 5/2/2018 1:12 pm : link
It will still mean we blew the draft if Darnold, Allen, Rosen turn into franchise qbs and we are stuck with avaregare qb play going forward for the duration of SB career

If we find a franchise qb by trading 3 1st rounders or sign a Kirk Cousins type for big money and Darnold, Rosen, Allen are all franchise qbs's or 1 of them turns into a franchise qb then it will mean we screwed up

Only thing that will make the SB legit, is that he turns into a HOF type of back, Darnold blows and is not great or the other 2 and we draft a stud one in a couple of year or the back ups we have now turn into studs. That is the only way
RE: Even if one of the “top”  
NYSports1 : 5/2/2018 1:14 pm : link
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway


Keep damage controlling. 1 or 3 of them it dont matter because the Giants told you that SB was worth it because the qb's all were not primed for being franchise qb's

Only way your argument has merit is if we drafted a qb and one of the other qb's turned into HOF type.

But DG told everyone that the qb's were not worth crap and none were touched by the hand of GOD
Any one of those guys could become a franchise QB  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 1:16 pm : link
and, if Barkley is who is supposed to be and we sign a Cousins guy for only money, then not only will I be as happy as a pig in shit but I would almost guarantee that we will double the playoff win total of those teams (or, at least he Jets) over the life of those QB's. SO, what's most important to you?
RE: RE: Even if one of the “top”  
arcarsenal : 5/2/2018 1:16 pm : link
In comment 13950866 NYSports1 said:
Quote:
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway



Keep damage controlling. 1 or 3 of them it dont matter because the Giants told you that SB was worth it because the qb's all were not primed for being franchise qb's

Only way your argument has merit is if we drafted a qb and one of the other qb's turned into HOF type.

But DG told everyone that the qb's were not worth crap and none were touched by the hand of GOD


Saying they weren't in love with any of the QB's and saying they "were not worth crap" are completely different notions.

If you need gross hyperbole like this to make your point, you probably don't have a very good one.
RE: RE: Even if one of the “top”  
Big Blue '56 : 5/2/2018 1:16 pm : link
In comment 13950866 NYSports1 said:
Quote:
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway



Keep damage controlling. 1 or 3 of them it dont matter because the Giants told you that SB was worth it because the qb's all were not primed for being franchise qb's

Only way your argument has merit is if we drafted a qb and one of the other qb's turned into HOF type.

But DG told everyone that the qb's were not worth crap and none were touched by the hand of GOD


No damage control. The Giants didn’t value any of the top 4 as franchise guys. Period. End of story. Moving on
I have more faith in our 2 young QBs  
BluesCruise : 5/2/2018 1:17 pm : link
Both are winners with pedigree and athleticiism

Most of the best all time QBs have come in later rounds- Unitas, Montana, Marino, Tarkenton, Brady.....the list goes on and on

These 5 are arguably the best NFL QBs of all time
RE: RE: Even if one of the “top”  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 1:17 pm : link
In comment 13950866 NYSports1 said:
Quote:
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway



Keep damage controlling. 1 or 3 of them it dont matter because the Giants told you that SB was worth it because the qb's all were not primed for being franchise qb's

Only way your argument has merit is if we drafted a qb and one of the other qb's turned into HOF type.

But DG told everyone that the qb's were not worth crap and none were touched by the hand of GOD
hate to play the game that others do, but could you supply a tape of DG calling any of the qb's crap?
RE: It's weird that people seem to recoil  
UConn4523 : 5/2/2018 1:17 pm : link
In comment 13950784 Ten Ton Hammer said:
Quote:
at the idea of someone being skeptical of a player receiving this much hype.


It’s fine to be skeptical, but you should be skeptical of every player in this draft then.
Over/Under  
giants#1 : 5/2/2018 1:20 pm : link
Rushing: 250 att 4.5 y/a 1125 yds (well below recent top rookies)
Receiving: 50 rec 10.0 y/c 500 yds (Kamara had 81 and 10.2 y/r)

Total: 1625 yds, 300 touches, 10+ TDs
RE: Even if one of the “top”  
Jimmy Googs : 5/2/2018 1:21 pm : link
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway


that’s disingenuous to good degree...
RE: RE: Even if one of the “top”  
Jimmy Googs : 5/2/2018 1:22 pm : link
In comment 13950866 NYSports1 said:
Quote:
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway



Keep damage controlling. 1 or 3 of them it dont matter because the Giants told you that SB was worth it because the qb's all were not primed for being franchise qb's

Only way your argument has merit is if we drafted a qb and one of the other qb's turned into HOF type.

But DG told everyone that the qb's were not worth crap and none were touched by the hand of GOD


You’re embellishing way too much here...
hypothetical comps  
giants#1 : 5/2/2018 1:24 pm : link
Allen - busts
Rosen - Matt Ryan
Darnold - Eli

How good does Barkley then need to be to justify the pick?
- Tiki with a SB MVP?
- Faulk?
- Top 3 all time?

Does your opinion change if Lauletta (or Webb) develops into a Cousins/Alex Smith level QB?
I feel bad for Barkley  
arniefez : 5/2/2018 1:24 pm : link
No chance he can live up to this nonsense. Touch by the hand of God is going to be the dumbest thing any GM has ever said. JPP of tight ends times a million.

As far as Gil Brant goes is he serious? I have 2 words:

BO JACKSON.
I wasnt skeptical of Jim Brown, Paul Hornung,  
BluesCruise : 5/2/2018 1:25 pm : link
The Manster, Roger Staubach, LT the rest I was all skeptical of including all of this years draftees.

I'm a born skeptic
At this point I really think what needs to be defined is franchise QB  
BSIMatt : 5/2/2018 1:27 pm : link
For instance, If 1 of these 3 turn into an Andy Dalton level quarterback and SB turns into an all pro RB are will still regretting it?

Dalton signed a second contract with his team for nearly 100 million, and quarterbacked a team to 4 straight playoff appearances. He's a franchise quarterback correct? So, would you be upset if we passed on the next Andy Dalton?

RE: RE: Even if one of the “top”  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 1:29 pm : link
In comment 13950886 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
In comment 13950853 Big Blue '56 said:


Quote:


4 Qbs goes on to a HOF career, there is no certainty that we would have picked THAT QB out of the 4 anyway



that’s disingenuous to good degree...
It's npot really. It *has* to be Darnold and no other. Because he was, based on all accounts that even had has so much as glancingly considering a QB, the only alternative. How the others do is completely irrelevant.
RE: SB can be a pro bowler for the next 5-7 seasons  
BigK : 5/2/2018 1:29 pm : link
In comment 13950861 NYSports1 said:
Quote:
It will still mean we blew the draft if Darnold, Allen, Rosen turn into franchise qbs and we are stuck with avaregare qb play going forward for the duration of SB career

If we find a franchise qb by trading 3 1st rounders or sign a Kirk Cousins type for big money and Darnold, Rosen, Allen are all franchise qbs's or 1 of them turns into a franchise qb then it will mean we screwed up

Only thing that will make the SB legit, is that he turns into a HOF type of back, Darnold blows and is not great or the other 2 and we draft a stud one in a couple of year or the back ups we have now turn into studs. That is the only way


Winning a Superbowl wouldn't?
RE: RE: SB can be a pro bowler for the next 5-7 seasons  
Bill L : 5/2/2018 1:32 pm : link
In comment 13950905 BigK said:
Quote:
In comment 13950861 NYSports1 said:


Quote:


It will still mean we blew the draft if Darnold, Allen, Rosen turn into franchise qbs and we are stuck with avaregare qb play going forward for the duration of SB career

If we find a franchise qb by trading 3 1st rounders or sign a Kirk Cousins type for big money and Darnold, Rosen, Allen are all franchise qbs's or 1 of them turns into a franchise qb then it will mean we screwed up

Only thing that will make the SB legit, is that he turns into a HOF type of back, Darnold blows and is not great or the other 2 and we draft a stud one in a couple of year or the back ups we have now turn into studs. That is the only way



Winning a Superbowl wouldn't?

Wow. I think that you might be the first person who mentioned or seemed to take into account team results in any of these conversations.
Honestly I'm more interested in Barkley's receiving stats  
Go Terps : 5/2/2018 1:33 pm : link
When we had Vereen I said each year that he should have been our leading receiver after Beckham. The running back in space against a linebacker is usually going to be the biggest mismatch available in the passing game.

Check out the numbers of the two best rookie running backs last year, Alvin Kamara and Kareem Hunt:

Kamara: Rush: 120/728/8, Rec.: 81/826/5
Total: 201 Touches, 1554 yds, 7.7 yds/touch, 13 TD

Hunt: Rush: 272/1327/8, Rec.: 53/455/3
Total: 325 Touches, 1782 yds, 5.5 yds/touch, 11 TD

If I had to pick one or the other, I'd rather Barkley's rookie season looked like Kamara's. I'm hoping for explosive plays, particularly in the passing game.
RE: Honestly I'm more interested in Barkley's receiving stats  
giants#1 : 5/2/2018 1:41 pm : link
In comment 13950912 Go Terps said:
Quote:
When we had Vereen I said each year that he should have been our leading receiver after Beckham. The running back in space against a linebacker is usually going to be the biggest mismatch available in the passing game.

Check out the numbers of the two best rookie running backs last year, Alvin Kamara and Kareem Hunt:

Kamara: Rush: 120/728/8, Rec.: 81/826/5
Total: 201 Touches, 1554 yds, 7.7 yds/touch, 13 TD

Hunt: Rush: 272/1327/8, Rec.: 53/455/3
Total: 325 Touches, 1782 yds, 5.5 yds/touch, 11 TD

If I had to pick one or the other, I'd rather Barkley's rookie season looked like Kamara's. I'm hoping for explosive plays, particularly in the passing game.


Hunt didn't have as many explosive plays, but I hope Barkley gets the ball as much as he did (300-325 touches) rather than the 200 touches Kamara had. With this OL, averaging 5.0 yards/rush might be a bit of a stretch, but I fully expect Barkley to exceed Hunt's 8.6 yards/rec number.

Ultimately, I can see 300 touches with 6.0-6.5 yds/touch which would likely be a ROY season.
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