Anyone want to guesstimate on the over / under for new players on this years opening day roster ? Iím thinking it could be as high as 20.
I would say between 24-27 when you consider special teams.
In comment 13963276
Jay on the Island said:
| I would say between 24-27 when you consider special teams.
3-13 + new coach + new GM = real chance at near 50% roster turnover.
Think about OL and LB alone.
3 new CB's out of Haley, Gay, Davis, Williams, Webb, etc
4th RB? Martin, Simmons, FA addition
P Riley Dixon
I agree with you guys ... 25 might be a better Midpoint.
'Locks' from last year
QB (2): Eli, Webb
RB (1): Gallman
WR (2): Beckham, Shepard
TE (2): Ellison, Engram
OL (0): don't think any are locks, but I'd guess at least 2 of Jones, Flowers, Wheeler, Greco, Halapio, and Jerry make it
DE (1): Tomlinson
DT (1): Snacks
LB (2): Vernon, Goodson (I think Moss makes it too)
CB (2): Jenkins, Apple
S (2): Collins, Thompson (or Adams)
That's 17+ total returning players if you include at least 2 OL. So to answer your question, that would be 36 new players on the final 53, which seems very high but apart from those listed above there's not much left:
DL: Wynn, Robert Thomas, Jordan Williams - at least 2 of these will be replaced by rookies and Mauro
LB: mentioned Moss, but after that Munson, Okwara, and Herzlich...hopefully we find better depth than that trio
DB: not much here, maybe Deayon
OL: Jones is the closest to a "lock" and Flowers is currently pegged as a starter. But neither are really even average starters at this point and the depth is pretty weak.
TE: I like Adams and he will likely make it, but hopefully he'll have some competition.
FB: Smith - surprised there's no competition at this point.
WR: Lewis has talent and Rudolph can make some plays, but they're nothing more than 6th WRs at this point.
+2 of the "other" OL
+Shane Smith (no competition)
+Adams (Thompson/Collins start)
I think that's stretching it for returning players and that's *only* 26, which means 27 new players.
is per team in the last 2-3 years? I suspect it's likely in the 20s.
which would make (IMO, at most) 28 returning players and 25 new players.
As I say, "Get rid of the deadwood."