AAA Martin
AA Copeland
A+ Llanes
A Cavallaro
DSL1
DSL2
AAA
Kaczmarski 1-2, BB
Smith 3-5, 2b
Laffey.... WOW 3 innings 15 hits 12 runs 1 walk 1 k
AA
McNeil 0-4, K
Alonso 1-3, HR, BB
Torres 1 inning 0 hits 0 runs 1 walk 1 k
A+
Gimenez 0-4, K
Paez 2-4, 2b
Lindsay 1-3, BB, K
Strom 0-1, K
Nogosek 2 innings 2 hits 1 run 0 walks 2 k's
Zanghi 1 perfect 2 k's
A
Gladu 1-4, K, SB
Tiberi 0-4, 2 k's (OPS down to .729)
Sanchez 2-4, HR, 2b (best game of his career?)
Winaker 2-4
Manea 2-4, HR
Brodey 1-4, HR
Dibrell 6 innings 3 hits 2 runs 3 walks 7 k's
DSL1
Andres Regnault (listed at 6'0 251 at 19 lol... 3-4, HR, 2b)
Felix Sosa 5 innings 0 hits 0 runs 3 walks 3 k's
DSL2
Consuegra 0-4, BB
Cabrera 1-3, HR, BB, K
Marcano 2 innings 2 hits 0 runs 0 walks 1 k
32nd rounder Jake Mangum (one of the more interesting players the Mets took) announced he's going back to school
Parra is signing
14th rounder Mitchell indicated he's signing
Doesn't sound particularly close
6/5-Wilmer Flores (back) took dry swings today.
I feel like ground hog day with this front office though. Last year we literally thought they would have all this extra money to spend in rounds 10+ because of the crap they took and they end up paying close to slot and then only spending what 90% of their cap anyway? I wish I could say I am over being frustrated, it doesnt annoy me like it did 12 years ago, but it is just now how you build a sustainable franchise.
I feel like ground hog day with this front office though. Last year we literally thought they would have all this extra money to spend in rounds 10+ because of the crap they took and they end up paying close to slot and then only spending what 90% of their cap anyway? I wish I could say I am over being frustrated, it doesnt annoy me like it did 12 years ago, but it is just now how you build a sustainable franchise.
They didn't take a single "it'll take a mint to land him" lottery ticket. Guys I'd like to see signed
Zach Hammer, Saul Gonzalez, Denzel Clarke, Ian Mejia
I think there's been a fall off in their evaluations across the board since he (and others) left the FO without replacements.
A bunch of FO talent has left without replacement. DePo and Fisher to name 2. Running the draft is apparently Marc Tramuta but you never hear from him or anything even about him so who knows?
Dont get why on earth they didnt try and punch any lottory tickets, its not like there is a shortage of picks to go around.
"Just because you tear it down, it doesn't mean you're going to have a great rebuild. It doesn't work that way. It just doesn't," Alderson told Nightengale.
"I don't know why it's become so popular, maybe it's the product of the extremist," Alderson riffed to Nightengale. "In our culture, you're either really good or you stink. There's no reason to be caught in the middle. There's virtue at the extreme. I just don't see it that way.''
Metsblog-
This is true. Of course, in the eight years since Alderson took over the Mets, the Red Sox, Cubs, D-backs, Royals, Astros, and Rockies all lost at least 90 games in a season before cutting their budget and trading multiple veterans for prospects, after which they've all made it to the postseason.
Quote:
though are made or busted based on the first couple rounds.
Sure every now and then you find a major league regular from out of nowhere, but statistically the first couple rounds are the only ones with even decent odds of making it to the major leagues.
Doesn't mean mail it in, but it means fretting over it, especially right after the draft, is unproductive.
Point is taking players with a chance of surpassing your expectations. College relievers are extremely unlikely to do that. If the system has anything it's MR prospects. Not at all being snarky but you don't think Keith Law knows the same statistics that you do?
Of course I'm sure Law knows the same numbers, but how else do you explain the Mets approach?
When you have fans, media, pundits, etc. that look at the draft results and say they suck but the people getting paid to make the picks still make them, do you think the people making the picks are idiots?
Clearly they have to have some going in approach, right?
My sense is that the Mets feel like with low odds to begin with, maybe those low odds become higher with safer positional picks/projection and maybe that's college relievers.
Just a guess, but obviously I have no idea.
And Law is really no different than the NFL pundits, who were formerly in the FO. They're wrong a lot.
I'm not saying the Mets didn't have a bad draft though as stupid as I think it is to evaluate an NFL draft right after it happened, it's about 5 times dumber to do it with MLB), and I'm saying of all 30 3rd round picks only 9 are likely to ever even reach the majors.
Law might say 20 of them were good picks and 10 were bad. Yet the 9 who make it to the majors could all come from his bad picks bucket or a combination of both. I haven't seen Keith Law's track record, but when he was in a front office, they didn't knock every draft out of the park and they had a pretty bad first round history (though ironically JP Ricciardi had more influence than Law).
I get a lot of Braves talk down here, but nothing about their Draft. Did you get a chance to look at their picks ??
Did Jay on the Island chime in yet ??
That draft was a disaster, but that was a completely different regime.
Is Jeff Wilpon running the draft or telling them who to take? Omar and Sandy couldn't be more opposite.
How do you explain the draft similarities?
I get a lot of Braves talk down here, but nothing about their Draft. Did you get a chance to look at their picks ??
Did Jay on the Island chime in yet ??
Haven't had a chance to really look at the Braves draft in depth but loved Carter (would have taken him with the Mets pick without much of a complaint, not saying necessarily over Kelenic but similar caliber talent), Jenista had top 10 buzz before the season and Beck is a solid grab round 4 from a major school. He goes higher if not for the back.
Quote:
the Mets had a draft in 2007 following the disaster MLB bullpen of 2006 where they 4 college relievers in the first 3 rounds of the draft (they had 6 picks). Eddie Kunz was the only one of the 4 to throw a big league pitch. What they do is not the norm. They are run in a way very few people can explain.
That draft was a disaster, but that was a completely different regime.
Is Jeff Wilpon running the draft or telling them who to take? Omar and Sandy couldn't be more opposite.
How do you explain the draft similarities?
Fred, Jeff and Omar still are here. Many of the Mets scouts remain (Jeff P said the Mets have many of the same scouts dating back almost 20 years at this point, specifically the NCAA scouts). Again, this is the first year I can remember where they could legit not sign a one of the 3-10 picks and I wouldn't lose my mind at all. Zero late lottery tickets. I'm not being negative, just honest. There is no "he's a pipe dream but....".
I get a lot of Braves talk down here, but nothing about their Draft. Did you get a chance to look at their picks ??
Did Jay on the Island chime in yet ??
We won't know for a while obviously but the Braves appear to have had a very good draft despite losing their 3rd round pick from the sanctions. I'm not crazy about Jenista in round 2 but I absolutely loved Stewart at 8 and getting Tristan Beck in the 4th round was a steal, The Braves were considering him in round 2.
If they can sign a few of the players in the 11-25 range then it will have been a strong draft.
Gonna be interesting to watch Jenista and Kelenic (gonna have to learn to spell those names).
Quote:
heavily involved in the draft before he left for the NFL? Do you think there's been any sort of a fall off since DePo left?
A bunch of FO talent has left without replacement. DePo and Fisher to name 2. Running the draft is apparently Marc Tramuta but you never hear from him or anything even about him so who knows?
$$$
The Wilpons running things like the Browns run the Bengals.
Gonna be interesting to watch Jenista and Kelenic (gonna have to learn to spell those names).
They are very different players. Jenista is a huge kid but he is a surprisingly good athlete for his size. He played CF last year but he will be a RF if he makes it to the pro's. He won't be a gold glover in the field but he should be an above average defender there with a strong arm. He has been given 60-70 grades for his raw power.
Gonna be interesting to watch Jenista and Kelenic (gonna have to learn to spell those names).
The Braves claim doesn't seem outlandish to me. Mize (while a very good P prospect) isn't some generational talent.
Gonna be interesting to watch Jenista and Kelenic (gonna have to learn to spell those names).
Carter Stewart was my 2nd favorite P prospect after Mize. His floor appears to be a dominant late inning reliever with his ++FB/CB combo.
Wright
Reyes
Conforto
Murphy
deGrom
Harvey
Matz
Fulmer
Familia
Rosario
Plawecki
Kazmir
Heilman
Flores
Duda
Nimmo
Lindstrom
Bannister
Niese
Joe Smith
Gimenez
some age, some youth, but that's a pretty solid team if Reyes and Wright still contribute and if not the team still isn't awful with some key free agents.
And that counts no one from recent drafts (really since Conforto) who may pan out like Alonso, Dunn, Szapucki, Guillorme, Humphreys, Peterson, even Smith.
How do other teams stack up?
@jeffpaternostro
1h1 hour ago
More
For a team that wants to compete the next two years and has no pitching depth, maybe promote the three high pick college arms out of A-ball at some point.
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
Ive started sketching out the midseason list for BP Mets because #content comes for us all. This is still a bad system even with the improvement across the board for Gimenez/Alonso.
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
You very quickly have to start considering future pen arms (Hanhold, Smith, Bashlor) or dudes 5+ years away (Santos, Consuegra, Newton). Kelenic is the only pick so far that obviously makes the top 15 or so. But beyond that even if you hit what are you really getting?
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
What does a breakout 2020 top ten Mets prospect look like from this class? Where is it coming from? You can argue the second best prospect here is a 9th round reliever senior sign.
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
The Rockies went heavily college as well, picked after the Mets every round for the most part and ended up with a way more interesting crop of players.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
Reply 1 Retweet Like 1 Direct message
Show this thread
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
They arent even spending full pool for a lot of these day 3 picks which is just needlessly cheap. You could find interesting college dudes today if thats really the road you want to go down still.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
Reply 2 Retweet Like Direct message
Show this thread
Jeffrey Paternostro
@jeffpaternostro
22h22 hours ago
More
They just havent ever hit on guys with this Day 2 strategy, and they arent even going for overslot prep arms on Day 3 (though they havent done much better in that cohort either).
@jaseidler
24h24 hours ago
More
if you dont think the Mets care about winning at Brooklyn, you neednt look much further than how many high performing/low ceiling college kids they are popping even into the teens
Jarrett Seidler
@jaseidler
Jun 5
More
The Mets have popped six catchers in the top 15 rounds (which is where you pay your real bonus money) over the past five drafts. The best prospect theyve pulled using this strategy is Mazeika, by far.
If you go back another year you get Plawecki and Nido too.
Jarrett Seidler
@jaseidler
Jun 5
More Jarrett Seidler Retweeted Jarrett Seidler
it would be funnier if this strategy wasnt a colossal failure at producing role 5 and up prospects
Jarrett Seidler
@jaseidler
Jun 5
More
If I have my Mets draft bingo card right theres a backup catcher prospect coming in the next two rounds before the non-prospect senior signs
I'm not saying the Mets develop players well, I'm simply saying evaluating the Mets 2018 draft the day after it happened is silly.
Quote:
you don't have to listen to me, both Jeff P and Jarrett Seidler (Mets fans who work for baseball prospectus) have trashed the Mets for the player development. They would have more of a league wide perspective than either of us.
I'm not saying the Mets develop players well, I'm simply saying evaluating the Mets 2018 draft the day after it happened is silly.
You can suggest "on paper" it's uninspiring while allowing the fact that "we will see" and player development doesn't always go as you want or expect. The two things don't have to be connected. They don't deserve the benefit of the doubt.
Reply Retweet Like Direct message
Jarrett Seidler
@jaseidler
8m8 minutes ago
More
Replying to @WexlerRules @jeffpaternostro
We are going to be talking a lot about this kind of stuff over the next three to six months; its a core of our SaberSeminar presentation and will almost certainly be expanded in articles
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
Reply Retweet Like Direct message
Jarrett Seidler
@jaseidler
9m9 minutes ago
More
Replying to @WexlerRules @jeffpaternostro
Theyre miles behind on analytics infrastructure now and draft is the key area where teams are meshing analytics and scouting. Its the original Moneyball mindset of college performers, and they dont manipulate the pool particularly aggressively or well
I'm not saying they will, the results as we know could be much worse and they could also be much better.
@jeffpaternostro
3m3 minutes ago
More
Replying to @WexlerRules @jaseidler
Some of this is money because they wont spend meaningfully in the draft or build out a scouting/analytics infrastructure because they run a very lean FO compared to the rest of baseball.
I'm not saying they will, the results as we know could be much worse and they could also be much better.
Of course not but if you don't draft well (see the farm system and where it currently stands) you don't get any benefit of the doubt. + this is BBI, every single Giants pick is scrutinized, every draft is... some end up being DOA "why did they take this guy in the first place?" and others surprise. But in the Giants case.. 2 "recent" super bowls, a seemingly "normal" ownership and no stories about how poorly run they are. THEY deserve "some" benefit of the doubt. The Mets do not.
We don't differ on that. The Mets of the perfect combination of suck right now, awful major league team and awful farm. Usually you can at least have hope with one or the other.
If your major league team is contending, you can live with a poor farm or if you major league team sucks, but you have a top farm there is hope those players graduate and improve the major league club.
Mets are in purgatory.
and two more prospects, like Clint Frazier
Sarcasm and the internet dont mix well, my joke above about ranking farms from 30>1 and still being TOP 10. Yeah, I think I have to pull the plug after the last couple days...
Quote:
Mets farm system will open next season as a bottom 10 farm in baseball (barring a firesale where they trade someone like DeGrom). That really should not be the case.
Sarcasm and the internet dont mix well, my joke above about ranking farms from 30>1 and still being TOP 10. Yeah, I think I have to pull the plug after the last couple days...
Shecky 100% got it. I was just responding to PJ. Wasn't aimed at you I assure you.
Verified account
@martinonyc
Following Following @martinonyc
More
Re: Alderson's job status. Bottom line is, he's never getting fired from Mets. Team believes (accurately IMO) he has earned right to determine how career ends. Not decided who succeeds him or when.
Accurately IMO? Wow. Based on his incredible work here? lol. No disrespect to Andy but the media sure falls for guys with silver tongues. Sandy Alderson's win totals (facts) 77, 74, 74, 79, 90, 87, 70 and 2018 where are we headed? + awful farm. I forgot all of those rings Sandy brought to the orange and blue. The decades long career. 2011-2017... 2 winning seasons. He deserves to decide when to hang it up. Makes sense.