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Why do so many treat PFF and their ratings as gospel?

Deejboy : 6/19/2018 8:48 pm
I hate when fans and media use their ratings as if they are the same as sabermetrics in baseball which are based on inarguable cold hard statistics. PFF's ratings are based on an inexact science. Basically it's guys watching tape and grading things they see on every play that you can't put any stat on. It's a tool and can be useful. But too many act like it's gospel when in reality it is totally subjective. Someone watching a play might see something completely different.

Like people are asking is the Giants OL better this year? So someone writes an article on that and then peppers the entire thing with PFF grades and their write ups on players. Using PFF grades is not going to tell you if our OL is better and too many in the media just get lazy and quote them as if they are the only authority.
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arcarsenal : 6/19/2018 8:51 pm : link
Why?

Because a lot of people have a hard time deciphering what they're seeing and PFF provides a neat little "rating" for everything that makes arguments easier for them.

PFF does some interesting stuff, but a lot of their ratings are garbage.
Analytics  
ThatLimerickGuy : 6/19/2018 9:27 pm : link
Never have and never will work in football. It is almost never a 1 v 1 situation
Every  
CMicks3110 : 6/19/2018 9:42 pm : link
coach rates players. The people that work at PFF are hired scouts that contribute to an agreed upon rating system. Just as they numerically rate college draftees, they rate nfl players. Analytics works and is accurate in my opinon. If you look at the leaderboards for their ratings, they generally are the agreed upon top players. Are there lapses, of course, but if you go into the details of how they do there ratings, it's all very logical. Making a blanket statement like analytics can't work in the NFL because it's never 1-1 is such a simplistic view it's very hard to argue. Analytics just trys to judge reality objectively and comparitively. It works fine in baseball, and there are enough geniuses out there to make it work in football too. So and so does this well during these coverages is easy enough to rate and judge. It's really dumb to just throw out analytics completely in football. It will get here and it will be here to stay eventually.
Analytics are misused.  
LauderdaleMatty : 6/19/2018 10:26 pm : link
Lies, damn lies, then there are statistics. Or if you like garbage incarnate out.

PFF was Good for snap counts and for charting things like formational tendencies. Their player ratings are bullshit. I don’t care who they use to rate players. Some HS coach knows every players responsibilities? They parlayed their selling verifiable analytical data like snap counts to NFL teams to the masses to the general public. As said before. Their player ratings and a joKe.

Good for them. They make money off of the desperate stat who nerds buy their subscription stuff to they can tell me Tom Brady is a great QB. Or poor over them for their fantasy teams.
RE: Analytics are misused.  
mrvax : 6/19/2018 10:43 pm : link
In comment 13994854 LauderdaleMatty said:
Quote:
Lies, damn lies, then there are statistics. Or if you like garbage incarnate out.

PFF was Good for snap counts and for charting things like formational tendencies. Their player ratings are bullshit. I don’t care who they use to rate players. Some HS coach knows every players responsibilities? They parlayed their selling verifiable analytical data like snap counts to NFL teams to the masses to the general public. As said before. Their player ratings and a joKe.

Good for them. They make money off of the desperate stat who nerds buy their subscription stuff to they can tell me Tom Brady is a great QB. Or poor over them for their fantasy teams.


I agree. I've heard several Oline guys state that unless the scorer knew each mans' assignment, there is no way to rate that play. It's true. Very subjective. PFF comes out with rankings that are just far from what we actually see over the course of a season.
EVERY team in the NFL  
CMicks3110 : 6/19/2018 11:00 pm : link
buys it, so they must find some value in it.
RE: EVERY team in the NFL  
arcarsenal : 6/19/2018 11:04 pm : link
In comment 13994866 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
buys it, so they must find some value in it.


NFL teams use their snap count data and other specific data - I'm fairly certain they don't use their ratings. There's a big difference.
whatever guys  
CMicks3110 : 6/19/2018 11:20 pm : link
I only work in analytics...
ANALYTICS  
CMicks3110 : 6/19/2018 11:24 pm : link
is just recording reality and applying a way to properly compare events occurring at two different places at two different times. Whether or not some guy providing the subjective grade applies it wrong on a given play, all that probably indicates is that there is an equal margin of error across all of their grading. But to say that an 86 player grade compared to a 50 player grade is because of subjective grading is just being intellectually dishonest. Sure, you can say that grades within a certain range can be influenced by lack of understanding of assignment concepts, but a missed tackle is a missed tackle, and if you miss enough tackles it's going ot show up and be recorded.
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arcarsenal : 6/19/2018 11:31 pm : link
You're drunk, go to bed.
great bar down the street from my house  
CMicks3110 : 6/19/2018 11:41 pm : link
makes awesome pina coladas :)
very simple  
huygens20 : 6/20/2018 12:19 am : link
because its an unbiased data point
Interesting discussion  
joeinpa : 6/20/2018 6:35 am : link
I like Arcarscenal s reasoning best.

"It allows people to use it to support their argument". Lol

Seriously as an older fan, other than the old standby stats, especially in baseball, I ve never taken the time to really embrace analytics.

Seems to be no doubt they have merit though
How does PFF  
XBRONX : 6/20/2018 7:16 am : link
rate CB's? Say a CB has the WR covered so well 9 out of 10 times that the QB only throws his way once. That one time the QB completes a 25 yard pass-does the duck? He gave up 100 percent of targeted passes
Meant  
XBRONX : 6/20/2018 7:17 am : link
suck not duck
I am not sure analytics is quite as useful in roster formation  
Essex : 6/20/2018 9:29 am : link
as it is in baseball or other sports, but analytics can definitely be used in play calling and game management in football.
Parcells said it best.  
mittenedman : 6/20/2018 12:33 pm : link
Football isn't a stats game.
Almost  
pjcas18 : 6/20/2018 12:43 pm : link
no one considers their ratings gospel.

However, people do consider their ratings a data point and one of the few available to quantify performance of non-stat based positions beyond the eye test so they are often cited.

And while I don't like their ratings nor do I subscribe to them anymore, I once did subscribe to their annual service because of the snap count data which has been verified by NFL teams to be 99% accurate (or higher).
RE: How does PFF  
Gatorade Dunk : 6/20/2018 2:14 pm : link
In comment 13994929 XBRONX said:
Quote:
rate CB's? Say a CB has the WR covered so well 9 out of 10 times that the QB only throws his way once. That one time the QB completes a 25 yard pass-does the duck? He gave up 100 percent of targeted passes

You're oversimplifying it. They'd factor for the WR only being targeted once during those 10 plays. They'd factor for whether the WR was open but the QB went to someone else. They'd factor for whether the WR was the primary read or was a secondary/tertiary option in the progressions. It's not as simple as a single stat, like completion percentage allowed If it was, anyone could just go to pro-football-reference for free.

I'm not saying that PFF has unlocked some secret algorithm that delivers consistently accurate ratings (by their own admission, they make a lot of contextual assumptions in their game reviews), but they do put a lot more into it than the simple example you gave.
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