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NFT: Brad Hand to the Indians

Hsilwek92 : 7/19/2018 11:22 am
Per Rosenthal twitter
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RE: RE: If you were the Mets....  
Stan in LA : 7/19/2018 6:12 pm : link
In comment 14016420 arcarsenal said:
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In comment 14016336 Milton said:


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What would you say to: Sheffield, Frazier, Loaisiga, and Drury for Syndergaard? Yankees fans will say it's too much, but I'm trying to be realistic.



I really wouldn't give that up for Syndergaard, to be honest.


Me neither. He's always hurt and needs to learn how to pitch.
I know Sheffield comes up in all of these proposals  
robbieballs2003 : 7/19/2018 6:44 pm : link
But it doesn't make sense to me. Imo, he will be up next year at the latest. We need SP. No need to trade him. Whatever pitcher we get isn't going to fill all of our SP holes next year. There is basically no market for a top of the rotation SP. And because of that you'll have to overpay. Just keep Sheffield and let him give us that cheap SP with upside like Severino gave us.
Cubs closer to the DL  
pjcas18 : 7/19/2018 6:54 pm : link
maybe another spot for Familia.
RE: I know Sheffield comes up in all of these proposals  
Milton : 7/19/2018 7:43 pm : link
In comment 14016455 robbieballs2003 said:
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But it doesn't make sense to me. Imo, he will be up next year at the latest...Just keep Sheffield and let him give us that cheap SP with upside like Severino gave us.
Or we could trade Sheffield in a package for a proven ace-quality pitcher and let Abreu, Medina, and several others give us the cheap SP with upside like Severino gave us. It's not like Sheffield is some perfect prospect who has been dominating the minor leagues. He comes with a fair share of question marks.
RE: RE: I know Sheffield comes up in all of these proposals  
robbieballs2003 : 7/19/2018 8:54 pm : link
In comment 14016473 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 14016455 robbieballs2003 said:


Quote:


But it doesn't make sense to me. Imo, he will be up next year at the latest...Just keep Sheffield and let him give us that cheap SP with upside like Severino gave us.

Or we could trade Sheffield in a package for a proven ace-quality pitcher and let Abreu, Medina, and several others give us the cheap SP with upside like Severino gave us. It's not like Sheffield is some perfect prospect who has been dominating the minor leagues. He comes with a fair share of question marks.


If I am not mistaken the other guys will not be ready next year. That is the point.
None of those guys are close to Sheffield as a prospect  
Greg from LI : 7/19/2018 9:04 pm : link
Sheffield has been excellent in AA and AAA this year. Abreu is the same age but two levels lower and not pitching as well. Media is 19 and in rookie ball in Pulaski. Tate and Acevedo are two years older and a level behind Sheffield. He's clearly their top pitcher on the farm.
Good for them.  
old man : 7/19/2018 11:25 pm : link
And I hope that prospect list becomes ML players; it'd be nice if SD was relevant again as it's been a looong time.
RE: None of those guys are close to Sheffield as a prospect  
Milton : 7/20/2018 12:43 am : link
In comment 14016516 Greg from LI said:
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Sheffield has been excellent in AA and AAA this year...He's clearly their top pitcher on the farm.
No shit Sherlock, I guess the sarcasm flew over your head. Where were you when it was silly to simply equate Sheffield with Severino?
p.s.--Last year we were hearing how we didn't need to give up prospects for a starting pitcher before the deadline because Chance Adams was pitching well in AAA and his arrival on the big league stage was just around the corner. How did that work out? I'm in no hurry to part with Sheffield or any other of the team's prospects, but there isn't a manager in baseball right now who would take Sheffield over Syndergaard straight up (and the fact that one is proven at the big league level and the other isn't is only part of the reason), so it's just a matter of putting together the other pieces in a trade.
RE: RE: RE: I know Sheffield comes up in all of these proposals  
Milton : 7/20/2018 12:51 am : link
In comment 14016513 robbieballs2003 said:
Quote:

If I am not mistaken the other guys will not be ready next year. That is the point.
Some may be ready, some may not, but that's not even the point. The point is that none of these guys are anywhere close to a proven commodity. Sheffield has been promising, but it's not like he's been lights out. I'm not being pessimistic, just realistic. And next year they can sign Patrick Corbin.
RE: RE: RE: RE: I know Sheffield comes up in all of these proposals  
rich in DC : 7/20/2018 8:14 am : link
In comment 14016564 Milton said:
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In comment 14016513 robbieballs2003 said:


Quote:



If I am not mistaken the other guys will not be ready next year. That is the point.

Some may be ready, some may not, but that's not even the point. The point is that none of these guys are anywhere close to a proven commodity. Sheffield has been promising, but it's not like he's been lights out. I'm not being pessimistic, just realistic. And next year they can sign Patrick Corbin.


I know you have this strange fixation on the Yanks signing Corbin, but when we hit the off-season, I don't think he makes the Yanks priority list.

Corbin had a red-hot April, but his numbers have been trending the the wrong direction since- on a monthly basis the WHIP has gone up, the K/9 has gone down, the K/walk ration has flattened, the ERA has stayed close to 4.00 since then.

There have also been widespread reports that his velocity is dropping- from a guy who didn't have a ton on the FB to begin with.

The sum of the parts, looking at the season as a whole AND his career says that April was an extreme outlier, and that the rest of his season looks like the rest of his career.

It would take a near collapse of the SP off-season market for the Yanks to spend a lot of time trying to get Corbin to sign anything more than a one-year, make-good type of deal.
Corbin cooled down at the start of June...  
Milton : 7/20/2018 8:39 am : link
But has heated up again. In his last five starts, 29 1/3 innings, 32K, 8BB, 24H, and 8 ER (also zero HRs). That's good for an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.09 in his last five starts.
I can’t believe Houston hasn’t made a move yet  
Dave in PA : 7/20/2018 9:15 am : link
Heir bullpen is the only thing keeps them from potentially winning consecutive titles. I’m sure they’ll add someone, but they really need a legitimate closer not just a pretty good guy. I had Hand pegged for Houston all season, oh well.
RE: I can’t believe Houston hasn’t made a move yet  
robbieballs2003 : 7/20/2018 9:24 am : link
In comment 14016649 Dave in PA said:
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Heir bullpen is the only thing keeps them from potentially winning consecutive titles. I’m sure they’ll add someone, but they really need a legitimate closer not just a pretty good guy. I had Hand pegged for Houston all season, oh well.


If I am not mistaken Rendon has been excellent for them.
RE: I can’t believe Houston hasn’t made a move yet  
BigBlueShock : 7/20/2018 9:40 am : link
In comment 14016649 Dave in PA said:
Quote:
Heir bullpen is the only thing keeps them from potentially winning consecutive titles. I’m sure they’ll add someone, but they really need a legitimate closer not just a pretty good guy. I had Hand pegged for Houston all season, oh well.

They are thought to be the front runner for Britton
I was reading recently that Houston  
Jay on the Island : 7/20/2018 9:55 am : link
will have a ton of money to spend in free agency. They will likely target Kimbrel to add to that bullpen. They could afford both Kimbrel and Herrera.
Red Sox in on Britton  
pjcas18 : 7/20/2018 9:59 am : link
I posted above Chavis (their top prospect) was suspended, I forgot it was 80 games and he recently returned.

Orioles have been scouting him.

I wouldn't mind the Mets trading Familia for damaged goods like Chavis or Groome.
Britton's market will be interesting...  
Dunedin81 : 7/20/2018 12:02 pm : link
healthy and performing he would have brought back a ton. As-is he'll still command something decent, maybe a back-end Top 100 guy, but nowhere near what he would have gotten a year ago. Baltimore waited too long on just about everyone, though the return on Machado was pretty substantial.
.  
arcarsenal : 7/20/2018 12:07 pm : link
I still think Britton is going to fetch a pretty good return.

His ERA is misleading because of one really crappy outing. He hasn't given up a run in his last 7 appearances and has been pitching really well. He's only given up 3 hits in his last 7 IP.
The Braves have also spoken to Baltimore  
Jay on the Island : 7/20/2018 2:45 pm : link
regarding Britton. I don't expect them to pay the prospect cost of adding him though.
RE: Britton's market will be interesting...  
Jay on the Island : 7/20/2018 2:48 pm : link
In comment 14016864 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
healthy and performing he would have brought back a ton. As-is he'll still command something decent, maybe a back-end Top 100 guy, but nowhere near what he would have gotten a year ago. Baltimore waited too long on just about everyone, though the return on Machado was pretty substantial.

Baltimore was foolish not to trade him last year or the year before. They would have gotten a massive return more than the Yankees got for Miller or Chapman.
The Miller/Chapman returns were singular...  
Dunedin81 : 7/20/2018 3:10 pm : link
I think you'd be hard pressed to see ANY reliever bring back significantly more than those returns. But yeah, Britton a season or two ago would have been pretty impressive. Angelos is an idiot, he has taken a franchise with both a strong history and a good regional market - the Cardinals lite, at least for a 30-odd year stretch - and turned it into a dumpster fire.
The Chapman deal in particular was unusual  
Greg from LI : 7/20/2018 3:35 pm : link
The Cubs' history meant they would give up almost anything to get over the hump. A pure rental reliever that brings back a player like Torres? Crazy.
.  
arcarsenal : 7/20/2018 3:48 pm : link
Random, but is it true that Joey Votto has only popped out seven times since 2010?

Is that possible? That's fucking crazy.
RE: .  
pjcas18 : 7/20/2018 3:54 pm : link
In comment 14017045 arcarsenal said:
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Random, but is it true that Joey Votto has only popped out seven times since 2010?

Is that possible? That's fucking crazy.


I was reading that I think (from memory) they said in his entire career he's never popped out to the pitcher, catcher or first baseman. I don't know the context to say if it's truly amazing, but it sure sounds like it.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 7/20/2018 4:01 pm : link
In comment 14017051 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 14017045 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


Random, but is it true that Joey Votto has only popped out seven times since 2010?

Is that possible? That's fucking crazy.



I was reading that I think (from memory) they said in his entire career he's never popped out to the pitcher, catcher or first baseman. I don't know the context to say if it's truly amazing, but it sure sounds like it.


He has one of the best hitter's eyes I've ever seen. Pretty remarkable.
The Kimbrel deal is probably the closest analog...  
Dunedin81 : 7/20/2018 4:03 pm : link
Margot and Guerra were both Top 100 prospects at one point, but Guerra was way overrated. Margot has not hit his stride, but he still has ceiling left to tap. Asuaje and Allen were meh prospects, and Asuaje is (predictably) a fringe major leaguer.

Torres was a better prospect than Margot by a wide margin. McKinney is not much worse than Guerra in terms of esteem at the time, and Crawford was a lotto ticket that, to date, has not hit. So the Chapman package is comparable to, probably greater than, the Kimbrel return.

As for the Miller return, Frazier was probably the better prospect than Margot, though it was closer at trade time than Torres. Sheffield wasn't quite as highly regarded but was still a premium prospect in his own right, and better than Guerra. Feyereisen and Heller were decent relief prospects, but the going rate for decent relief prospects isn't that high. But on the whole, a better package than Kimbrel.

So yeah, you'd be hard-pressed to find a significantly better return than either Miller or Chapman.
For a trip down memory lane....  
Milton : 7/20/2018 5:35 pm : link
MLB Prospects 2016
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