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Sunday Night's Game is a Must Win

arcarsenal : 9/12/2018 9:31 am
I know - it's the 2nd game. It's Shurmur's 2nd game. Bettcher's 2nd game. Barkley's 2nd game. How can it be a "must win" ?

It is if we want to compete at all this year or be in the mix.

As it is, only ~12% of teams that start 0-2 make the playoffs, so the odds would obviously already be pretty heavily against us should we lose.

Dallas is not a good team this year. Dak Prescott isn't good. Their OL is a bit banged up and played poorly against CAR. There are very few weapons outside of Elliott. Their defense will probably be okay this year - not great.

There's really no excuse here. We need to score more than 15 points. We need to connect when plays are there to be made. We need to limit the mistakes.

If we can't win this game, this team isn't going anywhere anyway. But I 100% believe if we lose this game, the season will just spiral out of control and we'll be out of the mix by Halloween.

If the Giants want this season to mean something, they need to go into Dallas and make that evident. No excuses. No bullshit. Have to win.
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Yeah but..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 9/12/2018 7:58 pm : link
arc, while we are wondering if the season is almost over the Jets fans are on cloud 9. That must be the point.

I'm going to love when the old axiom about a football season being a marathon comes into play.
RE: You..  
Go Terps : 9/12/2018 8:01 pm : link
In comment 14073130 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:
do realize the Fassel "all in" move resulted in a Super Bowl run, right?



Quote:


This is a Fassel "all in" move



That's great. So go do it. Go make the playoffs. Make a run. I can only speak for myself - 8-8 and no playoffs this year and I'm not going to be interested in any excuses. We don't have McAdoo and Reese anymore to blame for everything.

A rookie head coach won the Super Bowl last year with his backup QB. The Rams and Bills both went to the playoffs last year with rookie head coaches. The Jaguars went to the AFCC with Marrone in his first full year as head coach there. Go and do likewise. We're in a division where Carson Wentz is missing significant time, the Cowboys look weak, and the Redskins are the Redskins. Go do it. I'll be the first guy to admit I was wrong, and be happy to do it. If they don't, I imagine a lot of fans (myself included) are going to want to know why we are a year closer to Gettleman's and Eli's retirement with nothing to show for it and no succession plan.
The only true must this week is the Giants need to play better  
Jimmy Googs : 9/12/2018 8:02 pm : link
than the team on the other side of the field. Play better than the other team and then move onto week 3. And then do it again.

They may still lose some those games because of a key injury, poor officiating, bad luck or even an act of God, but those things are not in our control.

The elite players need to play better, the average players need to play better and the Ereck Flowers of the world need to play better.

I dont care if the Dallas team sucks or is great. If the Giants play better than them, then we will slowly start climbing out of this hole one game st a time...
If the Giants go 0-2, then the odds are overwhelming  
baadbill : 9/12/2018 8:12 pm : link
that there will be no playoffs. The season may still be fun to watch, esp with so many players... but statistics dont lie... statistics are facts... esp statistics based upon years of data... and the truth is that close to 90% of the time you go 0-2 your season is over.
RE: Pretty depressing how standards have fallen around here.  
BigBlueinChicago : 9/12/2018 8:35 pm : link
In comment 14073113 Dave in Hoboken said:
Quote:
"We only lost by 5 in our home opener against one of the best teams in the league that didn't have their best offensive player the entire second half!"

That doesn't even take into consideration the past 6 seasons.

Alright.


That is the part I don't understand.

The standards have been lowered so much for this team based on the past performance that anything that now resembles not looking terrible is considered progress

Giants since SB46 have lost 34 of their last 46 games (.260 win percentage) against the teams that finished with a winning record spanning the last 6 seasons (4-18 record on the road). To put that number in perspective, the '62 Mets had a .250 winning percentage when they lost 120 games.

Too many times we've seen them play a good team "close" and then after the game say that if they only did A, B, and C they would have won.

If we are still in those days, then let's declare that now and judge accordingly. But if they are not, and the expectation now is that they should be beating good teams because they believe this team is now good enough to win and make the playoffs, then they should not be given any excuses when they don't win, particularly at home.
You cant see the forest thru the statistical trees  
Jimmy Googs : 9/12/2018 8:37 pm : link
If the Giants beat the Jags 15-13 and they beat the Cowboys 15-14 to the start the season 2-0, and continue to avg 15 points per game for the entire season, I will bet you a million dollars that we dont make the playoffs.

Yes, going 0-2 has statistically shown teams will not make the playoffs.

However, being able to score 15 points a game already covers it so dont even worry about looking at the standings...
It goes beyond this Sunday for me  
The_Boss : 9/12/2018 8:39 pm : link
Yes, its one game but it looks like issues still plague this team in 2018 that have been a problem since 2012:
Bad OL play
Inconsistent, if not poor, QB play
Drops
Absence of pass rush
Inability to get off the field on third downs
Negative ST play

The NYG will be the inferior team, on paper, arguably except this week and perhaps the Redskin game right before the bye. Those 2 have to be wins. A split is not acceptable. Then, to be relevant in the 2nd half of the year, they have to steal one of @ Houston, New Orleans, @Carolina, Philadelphia, or @ Atlanta. Get to the bye at 3-5. Anything less and this year is over and a failure.
RE: You..  
chopperhatch : 9/12/2018 8:40 pm : link
In comment 14073130 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:
do realize the Fassel "all in" move resulted in a Super Bowl run, right?



Quote:


This is a Fassel "all in" move



Also, pretty sure old Jints Central got the origin of the quote wrong. I dont think "all in" was Fassel...it was the 2011 run. Fassel was "pushing my chips to the center of the table."
RE: RE: You..  
chopperhatch : 9/12/2018 8:43 pm : link
In comment 14073143 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 14073130 FatMan in Charlotte said:


Quote:


do realize the Fassel "all in" move resulted in a Super Bowl run, right?



Quote:


This is a Fassel "all in" move





That's great. So go do it. Go make the playoffs. Make a run. I can only speak for myself - 8-8 and no playoffs this year and I'm not going to be interested in any excuses. We don't have McAdoo and Reese anymore to blame for everything.

A rookie head coach won the Super Bowl last year with his backup QB. The Rams and Bills both went to the playoffs last year with rookie head coaches. The Jaguars went to the AFCC with Marrone in his first full year as head coach there. Go and do likewise. We're in a division where Carson Wentz is missing significant time, the Cowboys look weak, and the Redskins are the Redskins. Go do it. I'll be the first guy to admit I was wrong, and be happy to do it. If they don't, I imagine a lot of fans (myself included) are going to want to know why we are a year closer to Gettleman's and Eli's retirement with nothing to show for it and no succession plan.




Mmmmph, maybe check your facts before using them to support your argument.

Incorrect...Pederson was chastised quite a bit for his rookie campaign. Try again?
And you will  
chopperhatch : 9/12/2018 8:44 pm : link
NEVER admit that you were wrong Terps. Its probably the most annoying thing about you.
Well those were valuable corrections to set everybody straight  
Jimmy Googs : 9/12/2018 8:46 pm : link
what a chucklehead...
I was wrong about Pederson  
Go Terps : 9/12/2018 8:46 pm : link
My mistake. Feel better?
RE: .....  
Boy Cord : 9/12/2018 8:57 pm : link
In comment 14073064 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
To jump off GT's point, if the team isn't competitive right now - with an expensive 30 year old LT, good D players in their prime, some elite skill players in their primes - how does the team become competitive as Eli declines (or continues to decline, depending on your view of his play)?


The answer is to build an NFL-caliber OL. It is absolutely amazing what can happen to an NFL team when their OL can pave the way for a RB and give the QB that little extra sliver of time. Unfortunately, the Giants have demonstrated that they are incapable of building such a line.
RE: RE: You..  
bw in dc : 9/12/2018 8:57 pm : link
In comment 14073180 chopperhatch said:
Quote:
In comment 14073130 FatMan in Charlotte said:


Quote:


do realize the Fassel "all in" move resulted in a Super Bowl run, right?



Quote:


This is a Fassel "all in" move





Also, pretty sure old Jints Central got the origin of the quote wrong. I dont think "all in" was Fassel...it was the 2011 run. Fassel was "pushing my chips to the center of the table."


Technically, I think you are right. I was thinking of the part when Fassel said "anybody wants in, get in...anybody wants out, get out..." Or something like that...
But here's..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 9/12/2018 8:59 pm : link
what people keep forgetting:

Quote:
Unfortunately, the Giants have demonstrated that they are incapable of building such a line.


It wasn't the "Giants". It was Reese.
Yeah, but Gettleman threw good money after bad  
jcn56 : 9/12/2018 9:02 pm : link
so far at least. And that's assuming Hernandez pans out.

It could be that there just aren't enough good OL left in the league to protect a slower pocket passer. That's not a shot at Eli, that's looking at OL play around the league and seeing what even a mediocre LT grabbed in the FA market.
What??  
FatMan in Charlotte : 9/12/2018 9:07 pm : link
"so far at least"??

You mean 4 preseason games and week one?

I'd like to see the OL against a team that isn't one of the best units in the league before making proclamations.

I know people are gunshy, but using this line of thinking, after spags first two games as DC, he probably should've been fired.
RE: What??  
jcn56 : 9/12/2018 9:12 pm : link
In comment 14073200 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:
"so far at least"??

You mean 4 preseason games and week one?

I'd like to see the OL against a team that isn't one of the best units in the league before making proclamations.

I know people are gunshy, but using this line of thinking, after spags first two games as DC, he probably should've been fired.


Yup, that's what so far means.

It means they could certainly turn it around. Or, they could continue to suck like they have so far this year, just like they did last year. Next step is Dallas, if they shit the bed do we then have cause for concern, or should we let it ride the year first?
RE: You cant see the forest thru the statistical trees  
baadbill : 9/12/2018 9:16 pm : link
In comment 14073173 Jimmy Googs said:
Quote:
If the Giants beat the Jags 15-13 and they beat the Cowboys 15-14 to the start the season 2-0, and continue to avg 15 points per game for the entire season, I will bet you a million dollars that we dont make the playoffs.

Yes, going 0-2 has statistically shown teams will not make the playoffs.

However, being able to score 15 points a game already covers it so dont even worry about looking at the standings...


That makes zero sense. Nobody is saying that 2-0 means the Giants make the playoffs. The only thing being said is that 0-2 means they most certainly won't.
And a lot..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 9/12/2018 9:23 pm : link
of this statement is projection:

Quote:
It means they could certainly turn it around. Or, they could continue to suck like they have so far this year, just like they did last year


They actually didn't "suck" in the preseason. In two of the games, our OL outplayed the DL.

Flowers and Onameah have been very uneven. Halapio has had a couple decent games and a couple poor ones, and Solder and Hernandez have mostly been solid.

But things get magnified. I've heard that the entire line and Engram blocked like shit Sunday. Solder is even taking abuse and Engram has been said by a few posters that he can't block at all.

"Thus far" is really one game, and like I said it sure would be nice to see how they do against a D that isn't considered one of the best. We should see a marked difference on Sunday.
RE: I was wrong about Pederson  
chopperhatch : 9/12/2018 9:25 pm : link
In comment 14073187 Go Terps said:
Quote:
My mistake. Feel better?


Not really. Because the issues on which you have quadrupled down on is to what I was referring. If we are 4-1 with Philly coming to town you will still beat the same damn horse.
Zero sence sums it up alright  
Jimmy Googs : 9/12/2018 9:36 pm : link
...
Its refreshing to see folks stick up for our Oline & TE blocking  
Jimmy Googs : 9/12/2018 9:39 pm : link
clueless as hell but refreshing

Defenders of the faith...
I hate posts like this....  
weaverpsu : 9/12/2018 9:52 pm : link
We went 0-2, let up the most points in the first 2 weeks and went on to win the Super Bowl. So...no. It is not a must win. We will however win this game. And I typically like your posts but not this one :)
The issues I have been quadrupling down on are the reason we've sucked  
Go Terps : 9/12/2018 10:15 pm : link
If you want to keep to your limp standard where scoring 15 points in a loss at home is a good showing, that's your business. I'm not going to join you and the others that have been swallowing this shit and rationalizing it to boot.
Sooo...  
exiled : 9/12/2018 10:43 pm : link
A lot of you guys have given up on the season already.

Snowflakes
RE: I hate posts like this....  
Boy Cord : 9/12/2018 11:14 pm : link
In comment 14073237 weaverpsu said:
Quote:
We went 0-2, let up the most points in the first 2 weeks and went on to win the Super Bowl. So...no. It is not a must win. We will however win this game. And I typically like your posts but not this one :)


How often does that happen? How many teams have started 0-3 and made the playoffs? How about 0-4? Giants still not mathematically eliminated at 0-4. What depths do the Giants have to reach for you to call it a must win?

If the Giants want to make the playoffs they better right this ship and win this weekend. It doesnt mean they are a playoff caliber team today. But, they can improve during the season and play at that level come playoff time.

In the interim, they have to win as many games as possible now to keep their hopes alive. Wouldnt it be a shame if the Giants were firing on all cylinders in late December but missed the playoffs because they lost too many games in September?
RE: The issues I have been quadrupling down on are the reason we've sucked  
chopperhatch : 9/13/2018 12:24 am : link
In comment 14073255 Go Terps said:
Quote:
If you want to keep to your limp standard where scoring 15 points in a loss at home is a good showing, that's your business. I'm not going to join you and the others that have been swallowing this shit and rationalizing it to boot.


Yea, thats the standard Im setting....way yo put words in my mouth Terps. This is exactly why I think youre an asshole. You will morph a selection of words from another poster and present that as their thesis on the matter. You post like a politician...whatever you can grasp at to suit your pessimistic, monotonous and boring agenda, you will. Ugh.
Now cue the  
chopperhatch : 9/13/2018 12:26 am : link
"Who? Me?" post in response.
RE: Rob  
Kev in Cali : 9/13/2018 2:05 am : link
In comment 14073074 Go Terps said:
Quote:


3. Paying Beckham (or any other WR) doesn't make sense to me when the OL can't block and the QB is 37, immobile, and quite possibly shell shocked after years of abuse. We aren't going to get the return on the investment if we can't get him the ball in the best possible situations for him to succeed. We just saw clear examples of that Sunday. Since we drafted Beckham in 2014 our offense has averaged 21 PPG. It's a question of roster construction - his position is heavily reliant on the rest of the offense functioning properly.


This is one of the most thought out and sensible comments I've read here in a long while.

Eli will retire here. The offense has weapons. The true potential of this offense may actually be bottle necked through Eli.
0-15  
micky : 9/13/2018 6:24 am : link
Is week 17 a "must win" then?

😂🤣😂😁
RE: And a lot..  
jcn56 : 9/13/2018 7:37 am : link
In comment 14073209 FatMan in Charlotte said:
Quote:
of this statement is projection:



Quote:


It means they could certainly turn it around. Or, they could continue to suck like they have so far this year, just like they did last year



They actually didn't "suck" in the preseason. In two of the games, our OL outplayed the DL.

Flowers and Onameah have been very uneven. Halapio has had a couple decent games and a couple poor ones, and Solder and Hernandez have mostly been solid.

But things get magnified. I've heard that the entire line and Engram blocked like shit Sunday. Solder is even taking abuse and Engram has been said by a few posters that he can't block at all.

"Thus far" is really one game, and like I said it sure would be nice to see how they do against a D that isn't considered one of the best. We should see a marked difference on Sunday.


Of course it's projection - it's a thread about the prospects for the future if we lose this game, we're talking about the future here.

But since when history doesn't repeat itself it usually rhymes, the inconsistent blocking in the preseason is a problem (save for a game against Detroit, who looks like they stink on ice). Couple that with a first game where the highly touted replacement parts looked almost as bad as the guys we had (IIRC, PFF had Solder and Omameh as our worst graded players of the day), and things already don't look great.

They should look much better against Dallas - but if they don't, it doesn't take a lot of math to plot out a downward course for the rest of the year.
RE: RE: You..  
bigbluescot : 9/13/2018 7:43 am : link
In comment 14073143 Go Terps said:
Quote:
In comment 14073130 FatMan in Charlotte said:


Quote:


do realize the Fassel "all in" move resulted in a Super Bowl run, right?



Quote:


This is a Fassel "all in" move





That's great. So go do it. Go make the playoffs. Make a run. I can only speak for myself - 8-8 and no playoffs this year and I'm not going to be interested in any excuses. We don't have McAdoo and Reese anymore to blame for everything.

A rookie head coach won the Super Bowl last year with his backup QB. The Rams and Bills both went to the playoffs last year with rookie head coaches. The Jaguars went to the AFCC with Marrone in his first full year as head coach there. Go and do likewise. We're in a division where Carson Wentz is missing significant time, the Cowboys look weak, and the Redskins are the Redskins. Go do it. I'll be the first guy to admit I was wrong, and be happy to do it. If they don't, I imagine a lot of fans (myself included) are going to want to know why we are a year closer to Gettleman's and Eli's retirement with nothing to show for it and no succession plan.


Last year was Pederson's second year with the Eagles. He's been head coach there since 2016. He went 7-9 in his rookie season.
The second game of a 16-game season is  
Mr. Bungle : 9/13/2018 8:47 am : link
never, ever, ever a must-win.
Agree. Maybe fans will settle down if we look at it more as  
Jimmy Googs : 9/13/2018 8:54 am : link
only the second game in a new 3-year rebuild...
Its a must win game for me  
dep026 : 9/13/2018 8:56 am : link
with a win, we are 1-1. With a division/NFC win. And our season continues to hopefully a playoff spot.

With a loss, we are 0-2, season is essentially over because we play much better teams as the year goes on. With a loss, watching interest becomes less and less and Sundays dont seem as exciting anymore.

Must?  
Thegratefulhead : 9/13/2018 9:34 am : link
If we want a reasonable chance of playing meaningful games later in the year we MUST win games against beatable division opponents. We won a SB after being 0-2, but this is NOT that team and the circumstances are NOT the same. We need to beat Dallas, actually I believe we need to thump them. When was the last time we truly thumped anyone, I can't remember without looking. Been too long.
I am in the minority, but I was actually encouraged last week  
PatersonPlank : 9/13/2018 9:44 am : link
and am looking forward to Sunday. I think we have a great chance to win. If we win, after playing tough against the team that should have been in the SB last season, I think this season looks very different
RE: The second game of a 16-game season is  
arcarsenal : 9/13/2018 10:08 am : link
In comment 14073445 Mr. Bungle said:
Quote:
never, ever, ever a must-win.


It is if you've watched the Giants at all in the last 5 years.
I'm still hopeful  
LG in NYC : 9/13/2018 12:08 pm : link
mostly b/c of Shurmer and Barkley, and my hope that the team /O Line will gel over time while staying in the hunt.

but if we find ourselves out of it by week 8-10, it is going to get very interesting around here - particularly as it relates to debates around Eli.
Yeah, with their first half schedule  
jeff57 : 9/13/2018 12:20 pm : link
it pretty much is.
RE: I'm still hopeful  
Thegratefulhead : 9/13/2018 2:48 pm : link
In comment 14073778 LG in NYC said:
Quote:
mostly b/c of Shurmer and Barkley, and my hope that the team /O Line will gel over time while staying in the hunt.

but if we find ourselves out of it by week 8-10, it is going to get very interesting around here - particularly as it relates to debates around Eli.
If we are out of it by week 8-10, the decision to stick with Eli will have been wrong, subjective reasons, even if valid, will not matter.Only reason to stay with Eli was the argument that he gives us the best chance to win, right now. If we are not competitive this year that all goes out the window.
RE: RE: Rob  
RobCarpenter : 9/13/2018 3:18 pm : link
In comment 14073378 Kev in Cali said:
Quote:
In comment 14073074 Go Terps said:


Quote:




3. Paying Beckham (or any other WR) doesn't make sense to me when the OL can't block and the QB is 37, immobile, and quite possibly shell shocked after years of abuse. We aren't going to get the return on the investment if we can't get him the ball in the best possible situations for him to succeed. We just saw clear examples of that Sunday. Since we drafted Beckham in 2014 our offense has averaged 21 PPG. It's a question of roster construction - his position is heavily reliant on the rest of the offense functioning properly.



This is one of the most thought out and sensible comments I've read here in a long while.

Eli will retire here. The offense has weapons. The true potential of this offense may actually be bottle necked through Eli.


To me it's less about Eli's age than about how he performs. Perhaps the Maras are too sentimental here, and maybe I'm being naive, but if Shurmur believed that the offense couldn't perform with Eli the Giants would have a different QB. The roster has been totally overhauled from last season. If he didn't like Eli, he wouldn't be here. I trust Shurmur's judgment.

What I really don't understand from those who wanted to trade Eli and OBJ is what they would have expected from this season. A Giants team without OBJ would be horrible on O. Is the assumption that Darnold would be the QB? Who would be the WR? Or would this have simply been a terrible season with draft capital built up for next year?

As to the anemic performance since 2014 under McAdoo (either as OC or head coach)-- I think that's due to crappy coaching from him, crappy drafting for the OL by Reese, and no stud RB. I'm not ready to say this O can't score points based on one game vs. one of the top Ds in the league.
Rob  
Go Terps : 9/13/2018 4:02 pm : link
We've had Eli and Beckham for the last four years, and the results have been poor. I don't understand the hesitation to try something else.

For years something has been amiss with this team. We can all agree on that. All options should be considered - but I'm not sure the front office agrees.
RE: RE: The second game of a 16-game season is  
Mr. Bungle : 9/14/2018 11:15 am : link
In comment 14073603 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
In comment 14073445 Mr. Bungle said:


Quote:


never, ever, ever a must-win.



It is if you've watched the Giants at all in the last 5 years.

But here's the thing. If you're saying that 0-2 is a huge hole because the following games don't look winnable, that pretty much means that the Giants will stink whether they win or lose in week 2.

In today's NFL, what happened last week barely matters for the current week. And what happens in the current week will barely matter for the next week.

I believe that "must-win" means one thing and one thing only -- if you lose, you're eliminated. So you "must" win that game. There's no other option.

No team wants to start 0-2. But it's far from a death sentence.
RE: RE: RE: The second game of a 16-game season is  
baadbill : 9/14/2018 7:25 pm : link
In comment 14074768 :
Quote:
Mr. Bungle said:
... No team wants to start 0-2. But it's far from a death sentence.


That is, simply, factually incorrect. As a matter of statistical fact, only 12% of teams that start 0-2 make the playoffs. Or, put another way, if a team starts 0-2 10 years in a row, it will make the playoffs only one time.


OMG, got it. We are briefed. 0-2 mean no playoffs  
Jimmy Googs : 9/14/2018 7:42 pm : link
How about we focus on what it takes to actually build a better team and not worry about being 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0.

Until you start seeing an Offense score more than 15 points per game, there is not a stat that is any more important...
RE: RE: RE: RE: The second game of a 16-game season is  
Mr. Bungle : 9/14/2018 8:11 pm : link
In comment 14075266 baadbill said:
Quote:
In comment 14074768 :


Quote:


Mr. Bungle said:
... No team wants to start 0-2. But it's far from a death sentence.



That is, simply, factually incorrect. As a matter of statistical fact, only 12% of teams that start 0-2 make the playoffs. Or, put another way, if a team starts 0-2 10 years in a row, it will make the playoffs only one time.


What's, simply, factually correct is that the majority of teams that start 0-2 and miss the playoffs are just bad teams. They didn't miss the playoffs because they started 0-2. They missed the playoffs because they kept losing after that.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: The second game of a 16-game season is  
baadbill : 9/14/2018 8:14 pm : link
In comment 14075300 Mr. Bungle said:
Quote:
In comment 14075266 baadbill said:


Quote:


In comment 14074768 :


Quote:


Mr. Bungle said:
... No team wants to start 0-2. But it's far from a death sentence.



That is, simply, factually incorrect. As a matter of statistical fact, only 12% of teams that start 0-2 make the playoffs. Or, put another way, if a team starts 0-2 10 years in a row, it will make the playoffs only one time.




What's, simply, factually correct is that the majority of teams that start 0-2 and miss the playoffs are just bad teams. They didn't miss the playoffs because they started 0-2. They missed the playoffs because they kept losing after that.


We're talking data that spans decades. We're talking every kind of team. Good teams with slow starts. Bad teams. Etc.

Bottom line is this: It is a statistical fact that once a team starts 0-2, 9 teams out of 10 that start 0-2 do not make the playoffs.
Here's an article about the importance of avoiding 0-2  
baadbill : 9/14/2018 8:30 pm : link
(note it was written after the 2014 season and before the 2015 season)
Link - ( New Window )
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