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Draft order (after today's games)

ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:16 pm
NYG, OAK, IND, ARI 1-5
SF 1-4
ATL, BUF, DEN 2-4
DET 2-3

Tiebreaks
=============
The tiebreak for the draft order is strength of schedule. When comparing with another team one only has to consider the games they don’t have in common and total up the number of wins by those non-common opponents. I do not use a “if the season ended today” approach as that ignores the fact when the comparison is made the common opponents won’t matter (once the schedule is complete).

Vs. 1-5 teams: The Giants are trending to win the tiebreak against OAK, they have lesser advantage vs. ATL, ARI, and IND. (The lower number is better for NYG). It's certainly possible that the NYG-IND tiebreak could flip to IND next week.

NYG 41 OAK 50
NYG 34 ARI 39
NYG 23 ATL 26.5
NYG 24 IND 26

SF is a 1-4 team that could join the 1-5 or 2-4 groups after tomorrow night, that tie break is
NYG 37 SF 40

Tiebreaks against 2-4 teams:
NYG 39 DEN 47
NYG 30 BUF 36
NYG 23 ATL 26.5

And against a 2-3 team:
NYG 33 DET 37
Remember the Giants  
rich in DC : 10/14/2018 10:22 pm : link
play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.
And here's a couple more teams  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:23 pm : link
TB is 2-3: tiebreak is NYG 19 TB 23

CLE is 2-3-1. A tiebreak doesn't come into play unless CLE plays a tie game or NYG play a tie game
RE: Remember the Giants  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:24 pm : link
In comment 14128647 rich in DC said:
Quote:
play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.


Yes that helps them to finish with a worse record than those teams if they lose.

Note however, that the head-to-head result is not the tiebreaker if they finish with the same record as those teams.
RE: Remember the Giants  
St. Jimmy : 10/14/2018 10:26 pm : link
In comment 14128647 rich in DC said:
Quote:
play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.
Must lose games.
These favorable tiebreakers are occuring  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:26 pm : link
because the teams in our division and the AFC division we are playing have no more than 3 wins.

But IND is a problem because they have a similar situation.

hey ray  
shyster : 10/14/2018 10:29 pm : link
You've got ATL listed as both a 1-5 and a 2-4.
RE: hey ray  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:30 pm : link
In comment 14128659 shyster said:
Quote:
You've got ATL listed as both a 1-5 and a 2-4.


whoops. they should be under 2-4.
RE: hey ray  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 10:32 pm : link
In comment 14128659 shyster said:
Quote:
You've got ATL listed as both a 1-5 and a 2-4.


I should thank you, you've always been helpful with the playoff threads.
wow  
mpinmaine : 10/14/2018 10:32 pm : link
where do we stand for 2020?
I find myself being more concerned  
illmatic : 10/14/2018 10:36 pm : link
with which of these teams will likely want to spend a top 5-10 pick on a QB.

Denver is a sure thing. Oakland probably will. Indy is a maybe. Tampa Bay probably would. These are the teams that I want to see win every game.
RE: I find myself being more concerned  
FranchiseQB : 10/14/2018 10:45 pm : link
In comment 14128671 illmatic said:
Quote:
with which of these teams will likely want to spend a top 5-10 pick on a QB.

Denver is a sure thing. Oakland probably will. Indy is a maybe. Tampa Bay probably would. These are the teams that I want to see win every game.


Indy and Tampa would not use a top pick on a QB. Oakland is unlikely as well. They would more likely trade the pick to a team that is desperate for a qb, like the Giants or Redskins...
There are a bunch of games between 1-4/1-5 Teams  
Giants34 : 10/14/2018 10:48 pm : link
For example, the Colts and Raiders play in two weeks. The Raiders have games against the Niners and Cards up coming. The Cards have another game against the Niners, as well. And we have games against ATL, IND, and TB.

While I can't be certain we will lose those games - those teams are all putrid defensively - anyone who has seen us play knows to drop back in Cover 2, and that should short circuit us offensively. All of the aforementioned teams are great offensively, so they should have success moving the ball against us.

As was mentioned above, the biggest thing is for us to not lose a tiebreaker to a team needing a QB. We need to finish ahead of those teams (OAK is a big one, TB possibly as well, depending on Winston's performance from here on out).
RE: RE: hey ray  
shyster : 10/14/2018 10:53 pm : link
In comment 14128663 ray in arlington said:
Quote:
In comment 14128659 shyster said:


Quote:


You've got ATL listed as both a 1-5 and a 2-4.



I should thank you, you've always been helpful with the playoff threads.


Thank you ray; I know how hard it is to get every detail correct in a presentation as thorough as yours.

Let's hope we're talking playoff possibilities some year soon.
So the pats win  
ray in arlington : 10/14/2018 11:51 pm : link
IND picks up 1 to make it NYG 24 IND 27
BUF picks up 2 to make it NYG 30 BUF 38
DET picks up 1 to make it NYG 33 DET 38
Ugh, we need to get back to better times fast  
jcn56 : 10/15/2018 12:00 am : link
I don't know how much of 'control their own destiny' I can take when it essentially means 'hey, we'd better lose to those guys'.
178 days til draft time  
micky : 10/15/2018 6:10 am : link
Cant wait. Hurry up
Was really interested to read this post  
Jint Fan in Buc Land : 10/15/2018 6:36 am : link
Now I'm filled with all this anxiety we're going to end up behind the Colts Oakland and maybe even some other team. God that would be incredibly awful. I would hope we'd have enough sense to trade down in that scenario to stockpile ammo to move up next year if it were required.
RE: RE: Remember the Giants  
FStubbs : 10/15/2018 6:37 am : link
In comment 14128650 ray in arlington said:
Quote:
In comment 14128647 rich in DC said:


Quote:


play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.



Yes that helps them to finish with a worse record than those teams if they lose.

Note however, that the head-to-head result is not the tiebreaker if they finish with the same record as those teams.


Which always made no sense to me.
RE: RE: I find myself being more concerned  
FStubbs : 10/15/2018 6:38 am : link
In comment 14128694 FranchiseQB said:
Quote:
In comment 14128671 illmatic said:


Quote:


with which of these teams will likely want to spend a top 5-10 pick on a QB.

Denver is a sure thing. Oakland probably will. Indy is a maybe. Tampa Bay probably would. These are the teams that I want to see win every game.



Indy and Tampa would not use a top pick on a QB. Oakland is unlikely as well. They would more likely trade the pick to a team that is desperate for a qb, like the Giants or Redskins...


Indy wouldn't. Tampa and Oakland would.
It is October 15th and we are talking about next year’s draft  
Hammer : 10/15/2018 6:48 am : link
How pathetic is that?
Remember  
Giantophile : 10/15/2018 7:36 am : link
when these threads were about our chances of clinching playoff spots?

Those were the days.
RE: RE: RE: I find myself being more concerned  
FranchiseQB : 10/15/2018 7:36 am : link
In comment 14128917 FStubbs said:
Quote:
In comment 14128694 FranchiseQB said:


Quote:


In comment 14128671 illmatic said:


Quote:


with which of these teams will likely want to spend a top 5-10 pick on a QB.

Denver is a sure thing. Oakland probably will. Indy is a maybe. Tampa Bay probably would. These are the teams that I want to see win every game.



Indy and Tampa would not use a top pick on a QB. Oakland is unlikely as well. They would more likely trade the pick to a team that is desperate for a qb, like the Giants or Redskins...



Indy wouldn't. Tampa and Oakland would.


dude, I don't think Tampa is getting rid of Winston yet. He is 24 and was one of the best QBs in the NFL the second half of 2017. If he was available tomorrow the Giants would jump on him.
Other than Denver....  
EricJ : 10/15/2018 7:43 am : link
the rest of the teams on that list of bottom feeders have their franchise QB already.
RE: Other than Denver....  
Capt. Don : 10/15/2018 8:06 am : link
In comment 14128958 EricJ said:
Quote:
the rest of the teams on that list of bottom feeders have their franchise QB already.


Oakland saves $15 Million by releasing Derek Carr next year and Gruden has already traded away the best defensive player in the league, so no one is safe.
RE: RE: Other than Denver....  
superspynyg : 10/15/2018 8:40 am : link
In comment 14128989 Capt. Don said:
Quote:
In comment 14128958 EricJ said:


Quote:


the rest of the teams on that list of bottom feeders have their franchise QB already.



Oakland saves $15 Million by releasing Derek Carr next year and Gruden has already traded away the best defensive player in the league, so no one is safe.


Is Carr a bust or is he just a bust in Grudens system?
Tankathon  
Archer : 10/15/2018 9:22 am : link
Tankathon should be saved on everyone's favorite list.

Link - ( New Window )
1-15  
Harvest Blend : 10/15/2018 9:28 am : link
or bust. Moth ball Beckham and Barkley and forge on.
RE: RE: RE: Other than Denver....  
Capt. Don : 10/15/2018 9:28 am : link
In comment 14129035 superspynyg said:
Quote:
In comment 14128989 Capt. Don said:


Quote:


In comment 14128958 EricJ said:


Quote:


the rest of the teams on that list of bottom feeders have their franchise QB already.



Oakland saves $15 Million by releasing Derek Carr next year and Gruden has already traded away the best defensive player in the league, so no one is safe.



Is Carr a bust or is he just a bust in Grudens system?


He is having a rough year but he has NO weapons. None.
RE: Remember the Giants  
Beer Man : 10/15/2018 11:00 am : link
In comment 14128647 rich in DC said:
Quote:
play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.
I'm guessing that neither of those teams will be looking QB
RE: Was really interested to read this post  
rich in DC : 10/15/2018 11:08 am : link
In comment 14128915 Jint Fan in Buc Land said:
Quote:
Now I'm filled with all this anxiety we're going to end up behind the Colts Oakland and maybe even some other team. God that would be incredibly awful. I would hope we'd have enough sense to trade down in that scenario to stockpile ammo to move up next year if it were required.


Actually, I am really hoping that the Giants can clinch the #1 overall pick and then auction it off to a QB needy team and move down somewhere in the top 5 or so.

I know the Giants will need a QB soon as well. However, I strongly believe that with the cap impact now minimized, the Giants will trade or cut a vast majority of the remaining high salary vets on the team. That likely means that they will be really bad in 2019 as well- like top 5 pick bad.

Trading a top pick in this year's draft could net you an extra pick this year (Recoup that lost 3rd rounder?) as well as at least one future draft pick. Assuming they don't move outside the top 5, they still can get the best OL or pass rush guy available and rebuild the lines.

I firmly believe that the Giants need to rebuild the OL and pass rush before they can even think about a QB. By having Barkley and OBJ around, a young QB will have weapons to ease the transition, but as this year has demonstrated, with no OL, nothing else matters.
I’m very confident in our ability  
KWALL2 : 10/15/2018 12:19 pm : link
To lock up the #1 pick.

I see a 6’6” Mahones type from Oregon in the Giants future.
I can't believe we're all rooting for the #1 overall pick  
Mr. Bungle : 10/15/2018 12:22 pm : link
fewer than 6 months after picking #2 overall.

WTF happened to this franchise...
RE: RE: Remember the Giants  
Brown Recluse : 10/15/2018 12:25 pm : link
In comment 14129333 Beer Man said:
Quote:
In comment 14128647 rich in DC said:


Quote:


play ATL and IND this season, so the Giants control their destiny against those teams.

I'm guessing that neither of those teams will be looking QB


Maybe not but other teams can always leapfrog the Giants by swapping picks with one of these two teams and take the player the Giants want. Happened to Jerry Reese fairly often.
This sucks  
RutgersGiantsFan : 10/15/2018 1:41 pm : link
We should be going over playoff scenario threads in December, not draft order threads in October for the second straight year.
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