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Hypothetical Trade Article by CBS- Derek Carr to the Giants

Danny Kanell : 10/17/2018 1:59 pm
Just thought it was interesting to discuss.

Quote:
The logic here is the Raiders are trying to reboot everything and want a cheap, young quarterback. The Giants are trying NOT to reboot, but put themselves in a position where they only have an aging, washed-up Eli Manning under center. They need a veteran upgrade and Carr might be the answer to pair with Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham and a host of offensive weapons.

"That makes all the sense in the world to me. The Giants don't really want to rebuild. And they don't really want to admit they screwed up by not taking a quarterback, right?" La Canfora said. "So they trade what will be a fairly high [first-round pick] or maybe they do it for a future [first-round pick] if this one looks like it's going to be top two or three. I think that's what they do and they plug him right in there with Barkley, Odell and Shephard and [Evan Engram] and they try to keep that thing going."

It sounds pretty wild, but when you think about the motivations for both of the teams, it's not that out of control. The Giants wouldn't give up their 2019 first-round pick (it should be high) but might be willing to part with their 2020 first-round pick, believing they can win next year and not face a high pick if they land Carr.


Would a 2020 1st rd pick be enough? Would that be something you'd consider?

Here are his contract details:

2019: $19.9M
2020: $18.9M
2021: $19.25M
2022: $19.8M
2023 UFA

I think he has about $22M guaranteed remaining on his current deal.

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he doesnt suck  
hitdog42 : 10/17/2018 2:44 pm : link
ideally the raiders would have taken an out on the contract after sucking--- and can get him as a free agent-- but gruden just endorsed him
I'm not against the idea of Carr  
arniefez : 10/17/2018 2:45 pm : link
no way in hell for a 1st round pick. As a free agent on a cap friendly contract? Probably yes. Under any other circumstances no way.
How do you set this team further back for years?  
Jay on the Island : 10/17/2018 2:46 pm : link
Trade a 1st round pick for Derek Carr. LaCanfora is a fool if he thinks this is a good idea for the Giants.
Not Another Carr  
DeepBlueJint : 10/17/2018 2:52 pm : link
Please, God no!
For a first, absolutely not  
jcn56 : 10/17/2018 2:53 pm : link
but for a 2nd I don't see that as a terrible idea.

All of the bonus accelerates in Oakland before he gets here, so he's low risk - all you're out is the 2nd round pick.

I'm not a huge fan of Carr's - maybe I'm like the NFL before he was drafted and hold his name against him - but if the draft doesn't hold a solid QB this year, you could do worse. That also frees you up to draft the best DE/OT this year.

Depends on whether they'd take anything but a 1st, and what the QB prospects in 2019 are.
He'd be as productive for them as anyone they might have picked  
Bill L : 10/17/2018 2:56 pm : link
this past year, he'd be contribute a year or two quicker. And thy would have a solid QB, plus still have Barkley and Bosa (or the top OT).

The combination is greater aggregate value than any other possible scenario.
My first reaction is...  
Chris684 : 10/17/2018 2:59 pm : link
Those totally dismissing Carr or the idea seem a little off base.

Now, I wanted give them whatever they wanted, I probably wouldn't give them a 1st.

But if we could add a talent like Derek Carr, a QB with experience who has put up good numbers and is just entering his prime, for a 2nd? I'd have to think long and hard about it.
Should read  
Chris684 : 10/17/2018 3:00 pm : link
"I wouldn't* give them whatever they wanted"
RE: That about sums up how I feel, Mike.  
Jay on the Island : 10/17/2018 3:03 pm : link
In comment 14133009 bceagle05 said:
Quote:
Paul Dottino LOVES Derek Carr - you can't count on him pounding this drum if the rumors actually start to swirl.

Paul Dottino also said that Webb was the next franchise QB for the Giants.
The only way I would do this is if it was for a 5th  
Jay on the Island : 10/17/2018 3:05 pm : link
or 6th round pick. Take Herbert in the draft still but now he can have a full year or two to develop while they try to win now with Carr.
Good chance Raiders end up with top pick  
UberAlias : 10/17/2018 3:09 pm : link
Gruden loves his QBs and will not pass on chance to pick his guy, IMO.

I don’t think Carr is bad. Team could offer our 2nd rounder for him. Then sign an OT in FA and use our #1 pick on elite edge rusher.
There are a lot of bad teams this year  
AcesUp : 10/17/2018 3:09 pm : link
So as bad as we are, there is a very real possibility that we play our way out of Herbert or another franchise QB. If that happens and Oakland's price is right, this is an option. It's not ideal but it's not the worst option given the desperate area we'll be in at the position.
RE: Problem is....  
BillKo : 10/17/2018 3:11 pm : link
In comment 14132952 dep026 said:
Quote:
Derek Carr sucks


How can you say he sucks? Look at his numbers...he was probably the MVP of the league few years ago before he was hurt, right?

At 27.....I'd think long and hard about it. A second round pick? Absolutely.
Last QB Trade That Worked Well for Giants  
clatterbuck : 10/17/2018 3:20 pm : link
involved a guy named Y.A. Tittle. The draftf picks surrendered for Tarkenton and Craig 'effin Morton, even Jim Gel Gaizo, were major contributors to the dark age of Giants football and if some fans think we're in a dark age now, you really have no idea how bad it was back then. Also, Giants need to find out what they have in Lauletta before they even think about giving up draft picks for Carr, Bridgewater, Brissett (OMG) or anyone else.
RE: The only way I would do this is if it was for a 5th  
jcn56 : 10/17/2018 3:23 pm : link
In comment 14133085 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
or 6th round pick. Take Herbert in the draft still but now he can have a full year or two to develop while they try to win now with Carr.


At that point it would make no sense for Oakland to trade him, all they'd get is some cap relief (if any, due to the acceleration of his bonus). They could just as easily keep him another season and let the rookie QB they draft sit on the bench and get ready.
You'd be losing a huge benefit of a young QB...cap space  
Go Terps : 10/17/2018 3:25 pm : link
I think the guy to compare him to (for our purposes) isn't Herbert or another rookie, it's Lauletta.

Lauletta's cap number is almost negligible. Between now and 2021 his cap hit never reaches $1M. If we enter 2019 with him as our starting QB, that's like finding $20M in cap space.

I'd like to blow up the entire team and build it around Barkley and Lauletta. While that isn't going to happen, entering 2019 with Lauletta as the starter (getting starter's reps all offseason) is IMO the fastest track to getting this team competitive again within the current model they are trying to install.

Priority #1 this season now, to me, is to get Lauletta significant playing time.
RE: You'd be losing a huge benefit of a young QB...cap space  
giants#1 : 10/17/2018 3:33 pm : link
In comment 14133124 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I think the guy to compare him to (for our purposes) isn't Herbert or another rookie, it's Lauletta.

Lauletta's cap number is almost negligible. Between now and 2021 his cap hit never reaches $1M. If we enter 2019 with him as our starting QB, that's like finding $20M in cap space.

I'd like to blow up the entire team and build it around Barkley and Lauletta. While that isn't going to happen, entering 2019 with Lauletta as the starter (getting starter's reps all offseason) is IMO the fastest track to getting this team competitive again within the current model they are trying to install.

Priority #1 this season now, to me, is to get Lauletta significant playing time.


This! Find out if KL even has a chance to develop into an average (or better) QB. If he can demonstrate that potential it opens up a ton of possibilities, including drafting the best DE/OT at the top of the 1st or dealing the pick to a QB needy team (e.g. Broncos/Raiders) and then filling multiple holes with cheap (relatively) young talent.
RE: You'd be losing a huge benefit of a young QB...cap space  
Tim in Eternal Blue : 10/17/2018 3:37 pm : link
In comment 14133124 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I think the guy to compare him to (for our purposes) isn't Herbert or another rookie, it's Lauletta.

Lauletta's cap number is almost negligible. Between now and 2021 his cap hit never reaches $1M. If we enter 2019 with him as our starting QB, that's like finding $20M in cap space.

I'd like to blow up the entire team and build it around Barkley and Lauletta. While that isn't going to happen, entering 2019 with Lauletta as the starter (getting starter's reps all offseason) is IMO the fastest track to getting this team competitive again within the current model they are trying to install.

Priority #1 this season now, to me, is to get Lauletta significant playing time.


Building around a 4th round QB with a weak arm. This is a terrible idea. Ride out the season, send Eli off into the sunset and draft A bluechip QB. KL isn't the answer.
Come on, be real Lauletta is not why you say not to this trade  
pjcas18 : 10/17/2018 3:38 pm : link
if you're the Giants.

It's the 2019 1st round pick why you say no.

If the Giants remain on this downward spiral they'll have their pick of the 2019 draft QB's and that is more valuable than a highly paid mediocre veteran QB.

and the odds of Lauletta doing anything on a football field to say "no way do the Giants bring in a veteran, highly paid QB" to replace Eli is beyond remote.

This would feel like a NY Knick move..  
Sean : 10/17/2018 3:42 pm : link
The reasoning is not awful though:

-Signed Solder
-Traded for Ogletree
-Drafted Barkley
-Extended Beckham

I could see the logic in not wanting to put in a rookie QB & retool. But, I would NOT do this.
How do we know about Lauletta?  
Go Terps : 10/17/2018 3:44 pm : link
We haven't seen much of him, and I actually thought he looked like something in the preseason. He looked like he at least belonged.

It is not just about Lauletta. It's about the resource in hand vs. what we don't have in hand. If we go forward with Lauletta we can draft a blue chip at another position AND have an additional $20M in cap space to spend elsewhere.
RE: Last QB Trade That Worked Well for Giants  
aquidneck : 10/17/2018 3:44 pm : link
In comment 14133116 clatterbuck said:
Quote:
involved a guy named Y.A. Tittle. The draftf picks surrendered for Tarkenton and Craig 'effin Morton, even Jim Gel Gaizo, were major contributors to the dark age of Giants football and if some fans think we're in a dark age now, you really have no idea how bad it was back then. Also, Giants need to find out what they have in Lauletta before they even think about giving up draft picks for Carr, Bridgewater, Brissett (OMG) or anyone else.


1970 was a fun season.
Rookie QB does not always mean retool  
pjcas18 : 10/17/2018 3:50 pm : link
within two years of selecting the rookie these teams have all had success (recently):

Eagles: Wentz
Rams: Goff
Seattle: Wilson
Chiefs: Mahomes
Texans: Watson
Tampa: Winston (9 - 7 with 2nd year Winston, though missed playoffs)

and more...

Even Mariota made the playoffs (without a superlative surrounding cast - though he seems to have regressed)

My point is the great supporting cast with Barkley, Beckham, Shepard, etc. should not be a deterrent to going with a rookie.
Why?  
montanagiant : 10/17/2018 3:58 pm : link
WTF would we ever do this and giving up a #1 pick in the bargain?
he's a legacy like Flounder  
gtt350 : 10/17/2018 4:09 pm : link
.
Why not Foles  
ImThatGuy : 10/17/2018 4:11 pm : link
If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno
RE: Why not Foles  
Jay on the Island : 10/17/2018 4:21 pm : link
In comment 14133184 ImThatGuy said:
Quote:
If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno

Why give up anything for Foles when he is a free agent at seasons end?
RE: Last QB Trade That Worked Well for Giants  
YAJ2112 : 10/17/2018 4:25 pm : link
In comment 14133116 clatterbuck said:
Quote:
involved a guy named Y.A. Tittle. The draftf picks surrendered for Tarkenton and Craig 'effin Morton, even Jim Gel Gaizo, were major contributors to the dark age of Giants football and if some fans think we're in a dark age now, you really have no idea how bad it was back then. Also, Giants need to find out what they have in Lauletta before they even think about giving up draft picks for Carr, Bridgewater, Brissett (OMG) or anyone else.


I dunno, the trade for Eli worked out pretty well.
RE: RE: Why not Foles  
ImThatGuy : 10/17/2018 4:26 pm : link
In comment 14133200 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
In comment 14133184 ImThatGuy said:


Quote:


If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno


Why give up anything for Foles when he is a free agent at seasons end?


Yea fair point. If he hits FA I just assumed his asking $ is going to be too high.
RE: RE: RE: Why not Foles  
YAJ2112 : 10/17/2018 4:28 pm : link
In comment 14133206 ImThatGuy said:
Quote:
In comment 14133200 Jay on the Island said:


Quote:


In comment 14133184 ImThatGuy said:


Quote:


If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno


Why give up anything for Foles when he is a free agent at seasons end?



Yea fair point. If he hits FA I just assumed his asking $ is going to be too high.


Umm, if we trade for him we still have to give him a new contract before he hits FA.
Look Kyle has had 1/2 a season and full camp  
MotownGIANTS : 10/17/2018 4:35 pm : link
he cant be worse than Eli .... and we'll have a better gauge has to how to operate in FA and the draft ....


Eli my dude and I wanted him to do well but the OL is avg at best but Eli is done ... at best he can be a backup at this stage ... he needs a Utopian situation and that is not realistic in the NFL not for sustained success over a full season or post-season run.
Rookie QBs  
Big_Pete : 10/17/2018 4:52 pm : link
I can see a case for trading for a solid veteran at QB.

We do need to remember that drafting a QB high is no guarantee of success. There are a ton of busts and should we swing and miss, the team is set back a long way. ANY rookie is a risk, particularly at QB.

I remember Dave Brown, who was supposed to be the next franchise QB for us, but there are plenty of other examples.

Whether or not Carr is the right guy, that is a different story.

From a contract perspective Carr is affordable for a veteran QB and locked up through the 2022 season. If we traded for him, the annual cost is around $19.6m per year with no guaranteed money, which means there is minimal risk.
Considering veteran QBs are up around $27m-$30m per year at the moment (and will only get higher).

It would all depend on what it would cost to acquire Carr in a trade. I would expect it would cost our early second round pick to get him. The merit here is we still keep our first round pick to address other positions.

Carr is young at 27 and has great intangibles, the question for me is whether he is the guy we want and if Gettleman and Shurmur believe he is the answer. Given his brother's time here, Carr will certainly be very familiar with what Giants football is all about.

Another option could equally be Jacoby Brissett, who I would expect would have a similar cost to acquire. Although he is off contract after 2019 so would likely be planning for his mega deal. (Remember the Franchise Tag will be prohibitive should it be needed).

If we want to go down the veteran path, the question will be timing. This needs to be carefully considered given how the Eli Manning situation was handled last year. In either case, the most likely scenario is after the season. But a mid season trade for either Carr or Brissett is a viable option. For Carr, he was a $7.4m base salary this year, so we would currently need to have $4.625m. With Brissett we would need $460k.

I don't think Eli is the solution for us past this year. In which case we need to find a solution either through the draft, free agency or trade. Trading for Carr or Brissett gives us an affordable young veteran for Shurmuur to work with and will keep some of our premium resources to fix other areas of the team.

I am not advocating any particular option, but the trade does make business sense.
absolutely NO!  
xtian : 10/17/2018 5:48 pm : link
draft a QB with #1 pick next year, even if it means trading up to #1 overall!
RE: absolutely NO!  
Bill L : 10/17/2018 6:25 pm : link
In comment 14133299 xtian said:
Quote:
draft a QB with #1 pick next year, even if it means trading up to #1 overall!
I certainly agree with your rationale. A well-founded opinion, I must say.
RE: Look Kyle has had 1/2 a season and full camp  
clatterbuck : 10/17/2018 6:27 pm : link
In comment 14133218 MotownGIANTS said:
Quote:
he cant be worse than Eli .... and we'll have a better gauge has to how to operate in FA and the draft ....


Eli my dude and I wanted him to do well but the OL is avg at best but Eli is done ... at best he can be a backup at this stage ... he needs a Utopian situation and that is not realistic in the NFL not for sustained success over a full season or post-season run.


Lauletta had a training camp with limited reps and less than half a season with almost no reps other than scout team. It's unfair to him and the team to throw him in when he isn't ready. To say he can't be worse than a 15-year vet whose had a great career -- even one who isn't playing well at the moment -- is just not accurate.
RE: RE: Last QB Trade That Worked Well for Giants  
clatterbuck : 10/17/2018 6:29 pm : link
In comment 14133203 YAJ2112 said:
Quote:
In comment 14133116 clatterbuck said:


Quote:


involved a guy named Y.A. Tittle. The draftf picks surrendered for Tarkenton and Craig 'effin Morton, even Jim Gel Gaizo, were major contributors to the dark age of Giants football and if some fans think we're in a dark age now, you really have no idea how bad it was back then. Also, Giants need to find out what they have in Lauletta before they even think about giving up draft picks for Carr, Bridgewater, Brissett (OMG) or anyone else.



I dunno, the trade for Eli worked out pretty well.


Fair point but not quite the same situation.
---  
Peppers : 10/17/2018 6:30 pm : link
Carr has struggled since breaking his leg.. He's watching the pass rush and hearing the footsteps. Everything he's throwing is short.

Sound familiar..
RE: absolutely NO!  
Jim in Tampa : 10/17/2018 7:30 pm : link
In comment 14133299 xtian said:
Quote:
draft a QB with #1 pick next year, even if it means trading up to #1 overall!

Here's the problem with your plan and with the thought that it's easy to trade up for a QB.

Let's say the Giants end up drafting at #2 or higher (meaning 3-32) and the team with the number #1 overall pick (like Oak) is dead set on taking a QB.

And then let's also say that either Herbert decides to stay in school and/or there's only only QB worthy of a high 1st RD grade.

That would mean the Giants' choices for QB in 2019 would be Eli, Lauletta, over-drafting a rookie QB or signing/trading for a vet QB.

In that scenario I'd consider a 2nd rd this coming draft or a 2 and a conditional 4 the following year for Carr.
I son t think I ve ever  
joeinpa : 10/17/2018 9:05 pm : link
Read a thread here quouting a writer, radio guy, tv guy, regarding a take on the Giants that hasn't includes the phrase:

"Stopped reading when I got to, (said name). "

Awful idea  
djm : 10/17/2018 9:48 pm : link
And the rationalization by laconforia is bullshit.
RE: Why not Foles  
BillKo : 10/17/2018 10:41 pm : link
In comment 14133184 ImThatGuy said:
Quote:
If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno


Anyone who things Foles is better than Carr.......sheesh.

Foles is nothing more than a backup QB.
RE: How do we know about Lauletta?  
bw in dc : 10/17/2018 10:47 pm : link
In comment 14133150 Go Terps said:
Quote:
We haven't seen much of him, and I actually thought he looked like something in the preseason. He looked like he at least belonged.

It is not just about Lauletta. It's about the resource in hand vs. what we don't have in hand. If we go forward with Lauletta we can draft a blue chip at another position AND have an additional $20M in cap space to spend elsewhere.


I endorse this. In fact, I’d jumpstart the idea by benching Manning now and giving Lauletta the keys to the car. If the season is sunk, and a loss to Atlanta would essentially seal it, then may as well jump into the deep end of the pool.

This season could be a big blessing in disguise if Jints Central plays it right.
RE: Why not Foles  
Ten Ton Hammer : 10/18/2018 12:06 am : link
In comment 14133184 ImThatGuy said:
Quote:
If we are going to consider trading for a QB - why don't we consider Foles? Presumably the price is high but I dunno


Because he's 30 and mediocre. Did you not see the games he started this year or are we still pretending he's a super bowl mvp?
Lauletta will be lucky to ever  
NikkiMac : 10/18/2018 4:33 am : link
Start for a pro team , he has the worst arm I’ve ever seen in pro football

Sorry draft Herbert even if you have to tank Lauletta was picked just to satisfy the fans that the team can say we took Barkley but we might have a future QB too .......bullshit
if you had to do it..  
Tom from LI : 10/18/2018 6:55 am : link
Trade Vernon for Carr straight up. Then draft Bosa with the #1.

Oakland needs a pass rusher.

We keep our draft picks.

A Raiders Fan on Carr  
Vanzetti : 10/18/2018 11:52 am : link
“He is so soft against pressure. Worse than his brother”
RE: if you had to do it..  
giants#1 : 10/18/2018 11:58 am : link
In comment 14133715 Tom from LI said:
Quote:
Trade Vernon for Carr straight up. Then draft Bosa with the #1.

Oakland needs a pass rusher.

We keep our draft picks.


Vernon's too young for Gruden, but he might be interested in Barwin!
RE: .  
Mike in Long Beach : 10/18/2018 1:13 pm : link
In comment 14132961 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
Granted I don't watch a ton of Raider games but does he really suck?

2014 (Rookie year) 59% Comp 3270 yards 21 TD 12 INT
2015: 61% Comp 3987 yards 32 TD 13 INT
2016: 64% Comp 3937 yards 28 TD 6 INT
2017: 63% comp 3496 yards 22 TD 13 INT
2018: 72% comp 1783 yards 7 TD 8 INT

He's 27 years old and entering his prime. He's only missed 2 regular season games in his career. I know he broker his leg but he's been durable. He's mobile.

He needs out of Oakland.

I wouldn't say he sucks.


Haha, of course he doesn't suck. Gotta love this place, sometimes.
RE: You'd be losing a huge benefit of a young QB...cap space  
djm : 10/19/2018 12:44 pm : link
In comment 14133124 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I think the guy to compare him to (for our purposes) isn't Herbert or another rookie, it's Lauletta.

Lauletta's cap number is almost negligible. Between now and 2021 his cap hit never reaches $1M. If we enter 2019 with him as our starting QB, that's like finding $20M in cap space.

I'd like to blow up the entire team and build it around Barkley and Lauletta. While that isn't going to happen, entering 2019 with Lauletta as the starter (getting starter's reps all offseason) is IMO the fastest track to getting this team competitive again within the current model they are trying to install.

Priority #1 this season now, to me, is to get Lauletta significant playing time.


I’m not against this at all either but I’m scared of hitching our wagon to a supposed low ceiling talent like lauletta. Maybe that’s unfair though.

I’ve long been of the belief to go big or go home when drafting the qb. I don’t like taking a low risk shot with these mid round qb picks like Webb or lauletta. I won’t kill the org for doing so but I don’t love it. I’d rather take the premium qb high and live or die there.

But if they were all but convinced that lauletta was worth a long term look, have at it. Wtf do I know...
djm  
Go Terps : 10/19/2018 12:52 pm : link
Going all in on a cheap mid round prospect is exactly what Seattle did with Wilson. And before they paid him they were able to assemble a hell of a team that should have won back to back titles.
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