for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

What are Realistic Expectations for this Offense?

arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 2:27 pm
Knowing what we know now...

We might have one offensive lineman playing passably (Hernandez)

Solder has been a massive disappointment. Omameh has been awful and was already benched. Spencer Pulley sucks. John Greco is an "okay" center at best. He can't play RG. Chad Wheeler has been horrendous. He gets thrown around like a ragdoll by edge rushers and DE's.

Our QB is 37 years old, is obviously not able to overcome what's in front of him right now, has declined, and may be in his last season.

We have a guy who might be the best RB in football, who gets routinely hit behind or at the LOS. On virtually every carry, there's no running lane. He has to make things happen himself by breaking the first tackle, bouncing outside, or finding room where there isn't much.

We have a top tier WR and pretty good slot WR, but teams are literally just keeping safeties deep, and either jamming at the line or giving 10 yard cushions - inviting us to throw WR screens or short passes that don't go anywhere. When defenses play off our WR's, by the time Odell even eats the cushion, there's usually pressure on Eli already.

This isn't another "is it the OL or is it Eli?" thread. It's both.

The question is... if we're evaluating Pat Shurmur right now, what do we realistically expect him to get out of this offense this year?

I think he deserves criticism just like anyone else on a 1-7 football team. But I think it's also fair to ask how much more than this we should realistically expect from the offense given the personnel and shortcomings.

Forget clock management or timeout usage or any of that right now. Just focusing on the offense - knowing the personnel we have here - where would you expect them to rank by seasons' end?

As it stands now, we are 27th in point scored and 21st in yards.

We are dead last in rush attempts - but we are 19th in YPC.

We are 11th in pass yards, but 29th in pass TD's.

We haven't been terrible turning the ball over. We are 13th in the league with 11.

We've been pretty disciplined in terms of penalties. We have the 7th fewest per game so far.

So - the question is, how much better should an offense with the holes this one has actually be?
Simply put, improve the OL  
Big Blue '56 : 11/4/2018 2:29 pm : link
and our O comes alive. Broken record I know, but that’s all I’ve got
It all starts up front  
Chip : 11/4/2018 2:33 pm : link
Our up front sucks. Until that is fixed it doesn't matter who the QG is. Brady drops back and he has time to look around the field eli drops back and there are people all over him.. Zeke gets a hand off and he has holes to run through. When Saquon gets the hand off and there is nothing to run through. It starts up front and nothing else matters.
RE: Simply put, improve the OL  
EricJ : 11/4/2018 2:35 pm : link
In comment 14164187 Big Blue '56 said:
Quote:
and our O comes alive. Broken record I know, but that’s all I’ve got


I agree but there is something else going on here. It is intangible and I cannot put my finger on it but something is rotten. There are a lot of negative vibes coming off of this offense and even with all of the positive energy that Barkley is bringing. It seems like they step on the field defeated.
.  
arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 2:37 pm : link
I agree with you guys... the line is awful.

But if we think the line is so bad that we can't run any sort of productive offense until i gets better.... then I guess I'm wondering how much blame should really fall at the feet of the coach.

He didn't choose the personnel. He's shuffling deck chairs on the Titanic with this OL - we're probably going to have Jamon Brown starting as soon as next week. And we just claimed him.

I see a lot of people criticizing Shurmur - and some of it is deserved. But the thing is... if you look at the players here, especially up front on this OL - how can anyone run a productive offense with this? Would it be any better with a different coach?
RE: It all starts up front  
short lease : 11/4/2018 2:37 pm : link
In comment 14164191 Chip said:
Quote:
Our up front sucks. Until that is fixed it doesn't matter who the QG is. Brady drops back and he has time to look around the field eli drops back and there are people all over him.. Zeke gets a hand off and he has holes to run through. When Saquon gets the hand off and there is nothing to run through. It starts up front and nothing else matters.


so true ...
....  
BrettNYG10 : 11/4/2018 2:39 pm : link
I think Shurmur needs to put Barkley out wide more often.

The best hope for the offense is that Barkley/Odell break a few plays a game. This isn't an offense that can move the chains. It's going to be more dependent on individual effort/opposing team breakdowns than anything else.
Well, it is 2 coaches now-  
Sean : 11/4/2018 2:43 pm : link
We all killed McAdoo for the putrid offense last year & we are now seeing the same from Shurmur.

The best players need to get involved as much as possible. We saw some creativity in the Carolina game and it yielded 31 points. Need to see more of that.
RE: ....  
arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 2:49 pm : link
In comment 14164204 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I think Shurmur needs to put Barkley out wide more often.

The best hope for the offense is that Barkley/Odell break a few plays a game. This isn't an offense that can move the chains. It's going to be more dependent on individual effort/opposing team breakdowns than anything else.


I agree - a lot of good things are happening when we split Saquon out wide.

It sounds counterproductive, but going empty when you cant pass protect actually can work. You're forcing the defense to use more DB's and play lighter and you're pulling bodies off the LOS.

We've had a lot of success with Barkley lined up wide - I'd definitely go to that more.
OL and QB...  
silverfox : 11/4/2018 2:59 pm : link
... must both be upgraded. One or either won't be good enough. Given that out current offense is pathetic despite Barkley and OBJ.
We need to shore up the interior OL  
SHO'NUFF : 11/4/2018 3:01 pm : link
Eli needs to be able to step up
RE: Well, it is 2 coaches now-  
mattyblue : 11/4/2018 3:20 pm : link
In comment 14164208 Sean said:
Quote:
We all killed McAdoo for the putrid offense last year & we are now seeing the same from Shurmur.

The best players need to get involved as much as possible. We saw some creativity in the Carolina game and it yielded 31 points. Need to see more of that.


Totally agree, in fact Macadoo did a much better job getting the ball to Odell during the 2016 season than Shurmur is currently doing. The line sucks and he makes changes, but he doesn’t change his playcallingor formations. Eli under center with a 3 step drop would help getting the ball out. This nonstop shotgun stuff is not working.

I am not trying to stick up for Macadoo he sucked, but Shurmur has shown me very little to feel confident about as well.
RZ offense  
WillVAB : 11/4/2018 3:20 pm : link
The OL is a problem but his RZ playcalling has been atrocious.

Also, if you know you have OL issues, why not try to minimize the problem? Run more screens. Run more shallow crossing routes. Design some runs so Barkley is running off tackle.

I just don’t see much schematically to cover an obvious weakness.
RE: RZ offense  
arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 3:28 pm : link
In comment 14164247 WillVAB said:
Quote:
The OL is a problem but his RZ playcalling has been atrocious.

Also, if you know you have OL issues, why not try to minimize the problem? Run more screens. Run more shallow crossing routes. Design some runs so Barkley is running off tackle.

I just don’t see much schematically to cover an obvious weakness.


Barkley is already on pace for like 100+ catches. I know a lot of them are dumps and not designed screens - but I'm not sure how much that would help.

I'm sure we'd like to run off tackle more - but we can't do it to the right side because Chad Wheeler can't block anyone.

Solder has been a good run blocker in the past - I'd like to see some more off tackle runs called to the left. A toss/sweep here and there wouldn't kill us.

We've been running a lot of shallow routes. We have to get the ball down the field. Defenses just aren't letting us.
RE: RZ offense  
Simms11 : 11/4/2018 4:05 pm : link
In comment 14164247 WillVAB said:
Quote:
The OL is a problem but his RZ playcalling has been atrocious.

Also, if you know you have OL issues, why not try to minimize the problem? Run more screens. Run more shallow crossing routes. Design some runs so Barkley is running off tackle.

I just don’t see much schematically to cover an obvious weakness.


How about some misdirection? Get the Oline flowing one way and pitch the ball back to Barkley going the other way. There’s, of course many variations, but we can’t just let the Defense line up and take us out if our game at the snap!
I attended the 2008 Giants-Bengals game ...  
Manny in CA : 11/4/2018 4:44 pm : link

It was a pretty even game, but the Giants defense were punishing the Bengals most of the game. Carson Palmer was getting hit on every play, it seemed. Palmer's throwing elbow was injured.

It seemed that the Giants were just about ready to wave bye-bye. Then at the half, the Bengals put in a max protect, and the Giants couldn't get at Palmer. The Giants finally won in OT.

Similarly, I think that is the only way to salvage anything this season - max protect our QB and running back; I mean SIX offensive linemen on every play.
RE: RE: RZ offense  
WillVAB : 11/4/2018 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14164264 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
In comment 14164247 WillVAB said:


Quote:


The OL is a problem but his RZ playcalling has been atrocious.

Also, if you know you have OL issues, why not try to minimize the problem? Run more screens. Run more shallow crossing routes. Design some runs so Barkley is running off tackle.

I just don’t see much schematically to cover an obvious weakness.



Barkley is already on pace for like 100+ catches. I know a lot of them are dumps and not designed screens - but I'm not sure how much that would help.

I'm sure we'd like to run off tackle more - but we can't do it to the right side because Chad Wheeler can't block anyone.

Solder has been a good run blocker in the past - I'd like to see some more off tackle runs called to the left. A toss/sweep here and there wouldn't kill us.

We've been running a lot of shallow routes. We have to get the ball down the field. Defenses just aren't letting us.


I see a lot of slants but not a lot of shallow crossing routes.

I don’t see much creativity in route concepts to get guys open.

RZ playcalling has been terrible. Too many sweeps/edge plays and too many passing plays into traffic.

I’m not minimizing the poor play of the OL as I’m one of the biggest proponents here of the need to invest in the OL. But I just don’t see much from Shurmur adapting to the situation.
RE: I attended the 2008 Giants-Bengals game ...  
GiantsRage2007 : 11/4/2018 5:23 pm : link
In comment 14164413 Manny in CA said:
Quote:

It was a pretty even game, but the Giants defense were punishing the Bengals most of the game. Carson Palmer was getting hit on every play, it seemed. Palmer's throwing elbow was injured.

It seemed that the Giants were just about ready to wave bye-bye. Then at the half, the Bengals put in a max protect, and the Giants couldn't get at Palmer. The Giants finally won in OT.

Similarly, I think that is the only way to salvage anything this season - max protect our QB and running back; I mean SIX offensive linemen on every play.


It won’t help

6 shitty OL < 5 good OL
We should  
Jerry in DC : 11/4/2018 6:02 pm : link
also consider how culpable the coaches are for the players being terrible on the field. Could they be developed better? Could they be deployed better?

It's not like solder was horrible last year. Now he is. Teams play with no name and backup offensive lineman all the time.

It's not possible to answers these questions definitively, but I think they're legitimate considerations. I guess it's possible that everyone just sucks and that makes it impossible to have even a moderately functional offense. maybe that's true. maybe there are other factors
.  
arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 6:06 pm : link
Solder wasn't necessarily "horrible" last year, but it might have been one of his worst years in pass pro.

He allowed 51 pressures. His run blocking was a bit better, but his pass pro was not good.

At age 30, he should have a couple of good years left - but we also hired an OL coach with basically no recent success, which I don't understand at all.

Right now for  
crick n NC : 11/4/2018 6:09 pm : link
Me it's pretty simple. The OL is so horrendous upfront that it makes it quite difficult to evaluate anything after that. For the most part the center can get the ball snapped to the qb, after that it's a big Ol' mess.
Realistic Expectations for this Offense  
David B. : 11/4/2018 6:15 pm : link
I expect them to suck until they fix the OL. And I expect them to get Eli killed and make his last seasons intolerable.
As for  
crick n NC : 11/4/2018 6:26 pm : link
Realistic expectations using the data we have? I realistically expect a horribly inconsistent offense at best until the blocking becomes consistently reasonable
Don’t love shurmur’s overall (HC) body of work here or with Cleveland  
djm : 11/4/2018 6:55 pm : link
But I think he knows how to coach offensive personnel. I don’t think poor play design or poor play calling is holding back this offense. I think the OL and qb are struggling mightily. In that order..
.  
arcarsenal : 11/4/2018 7:04 pm : link
Really, the purpose of this is to objectively look at an offense that has an offensive line as poor as this one and a QB that is at the stage that Eli is and determine what a realistic expectation is for a coach like Shurmur to get out of this offense.

I think he deserves a good deal of criticism. But when I look at the personnel, the trouble we have in pass pro, the trouble we have creating running lanes, the plays Eli has missed... I also wonder how fair it is to pile all of it on him.

How many more wins could a different coach squeeze out of this situation? Is there a similar situation somewhere else in the league where a team is still overcoming this?

If we fire him after one year, so be it - but just like when we switched DC's in 2014-15 and brought Spagnoulo back, I said the defense was still going to be very bad until we improved the personnel. Sure enough, we fielded a historically poor defense in 2015 - spent a shitload of money on that side of the ball that offseason, and then magically, the defense was top 5.

Coaching is super important in this league - but so is personnel.

It's probably really hard to coach an offense when they can't block anything and the QB doesn't have the ability to overcome that.
Need new right tackle, new center  
Jimmy Googs : 11/4/2018 7:06 pm : link
and someone else to snap the ball to...
One big issue  
Coach Red Beaulieu : 11/4/2018 7:51 pm : link
Oddell hasn't been breaking anything for a long TD. He used to outright win us several games a year we otherwise would have lost.
.....  
Micko : 11/4/2018 7:54 pm : link
Watching the saints/rams game reassured me how bad our offensive line is.
RE: RZ offense  
LauderdaleMatty : 11/4/2018 10:31 pm : link
In comment 14164247 WillVAB said:
Quote:
The OL is a problem but his RZ playcalling has been atrocious.

Also, if you know you have OL issues, why not try to minimize the problem? Run more screens. Run more shallow crossing routes. Design some runs so Barkley is running off tackle.

I just don’t see much schematically to cover an obvious weakness.


This. He was supposed to a good mind who would work w what he had. He’s as dogmatic as McAdoo was. Yeah the OL is a shit show but he’s coaching like it isn’t
RE: One big issue  
EricJ : 11/4/2018 10:52 pm : link
In comment 14164735 Coach Red Beaulieu said:
Quote:
Oddell hasn't been breaking anything for a long TD. He used to outright win us several games a year we otherwise would have lost.


you dont notice a difference in how teams defend us?
arc - I pretty much agree with your point  
.McL. : 11/5/2018 12:38 am : link
I said on the Who are you disappointed in thread that Shurmur gets a pass for now because he got a 55 gallon drum of shit that he was asked to make smell nice.

None of this should be a surprise to anybody paying attention. I said it before and after the draft. This line would be marginally better than last year, if at all. Turns out its worse.

How many year of this have we seen?

With an OL this bad, this is what you get.

Play calling wont fix this.
Scheme wont fix this.

Only fixing the OL will fix this.

However, I think its fair to question the job Hal Hunter is doing. Pretty much all these guys have performed better under other OL coaches.
there is no way to have any expectations other  
gidiefor : Mod : 11/5/2018 6:04 am : link
than this team - with 2 of the biggest stars in the NFL on Offense -- sucks
Some improvement even if it is minor in OL run blocking  
Rick in Dallas : 11/5/2018 6:36 am : link
To give Barkley a chance to impact games running the ball.
Having said that I believe the odds are against that actually happening. What a sad state of affairs on the offensive side of the ball.
Some improvement ANYWHERE on the offense  
jcn56 : 11/5/2018 7:38 am : link
It's not just a matter of scheme - individual performances have been really bad.

Not one player - on any side of good or bad, based on how you view them - has performed better than they did last season.

That should sound an alarm. Look at what happened in LA - Jeff Fisher was there, and they were putrid. Bring in a real coach, and the turnaround is night and day.

Well, out goes McAdoo - in a season where he completely lost the team, where injuries took a flawed unit and magnified it 100x, and he's replaced by Shurmur - who with some changes to the roster and some guys back healthy and two very high draft picks - somehow manages to have just as bad if not worse performance on that side of the ball?

Something is rotten from inside of Giants HQ. It was before the turnover, and it seems to still be there. I didn't have great expectations for this team, so this isn't just some severe disappointment causing a reaction. I figured 6-10 - a flawed team needing some time to adapt to a new system and a roster rebuild. But I did figure at least a few guys would look to turn a corner, to start playing better, and to cast a little light toward the future. No such luck.
The Rams- Saints game  
Dave on the UWS : 11/5/2018 8:26 am : link
showed me how FAR we have to go. This will take a LONG time.
RE: RE: One big issue  
Andrew in Austin : 11/5/2018 10:42 am : link
In comment 14165019 EricJ said:
Quote:
In comment 14164735 Coach Red Beaulieu said:

Quote:

Oddell hasn't been breaking anything for a long TD. He used to outright win us several games a year we otherwise would have lost.

you dont notice a difference in how teams defend us?


It would be good to understand Odell's YAC this year vs. previous years. While teams can tee off on Eli/Saquon with apparently only 4 people since our OL sucks and put the rest in the secondary, I still don't see the Odell who can just hits the afterburners after making a catch.

Frankly I didn't expect it this year anyway - it is his first back from injury. Probably will be mentally ready to go next season.
I know I shouldn't place too much stock  
Section331 : 11/5/2018 10:46 am : link
in a waiver wire pickup, but I am really excited to see what Jamon Brown can do. He was a starter at RG for most of the year last year for the Rams. Nick Turchyn did a nice write up on him on Twitter, and I like what I saw. Big, strong, with good feet for a 340-lb guy.

Slide him to RG, and that may help solidify the OL a bit. Solder has always been a finesse LT, better at sliding the ER back in the pocket than stoning them, and that requires his guards to prevent their guys from penetrating. Hernandez has been better there lately, and a Hernandez/Brown G tandem could help the run game.
After watching Eli for his entire career and seeing what has happened  
Ivan15 : 11/5/2018 1:07 pm : link
In the past couple of years, I’m pretty convinced that Eli’s real strength is his pre-snap reads (no great insight there) but he actually is pretty weak at finding his second or third option. Now given the fact that he has very little time to look to other options, he rarely can find his second option and never gets to a third option.

So, what to do? Play to Eli’s strength, not his weakness. Send out Beckham (always option 1), use a second WR or TE, and try to use Barkley in the passing game. Beckham and Barkley are the real playmakers so they should be the first and second options. Shepard and Engram can’t be relied upon anyway. Everyone else, whether using a FB or second TE will be part of max protection.

And when it is called for, RUN the ball with the best RB in football.
agree with WillVAB  
JonC : 11/5/2018 1:12 pm : link
I'm not the pro coach with a guru cv, but it's maddening PS doesn't call some typically solid RZ plays ... screens, misdirection, get the TE to chip and release into the defense, etc.

If he doesn't at least TRY those types of plays, this offense is what it will be in 2018. No OL miracles are coming from within ...
Back to the Corner