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Draft order (coming into Week 10)

ray in arlington : 11/10/2018 8:22 pm
Giants are still trending toward the #1 pick in the draft. They have a 5.5 game advantage over OAK in tiebreak. Lose to SF, and NYG are very likely #1, unlikely #2. Beat SF, and NYG are most likely #3, possibly #4 or #5.
Number in parenthesis is # of games back in SOS, e.g. -5.5 means the Giants SOS is 5.5 games weaker than the listed team which (if continued) would have them pick ahead of that team in case of a tie. So negative numbers are good for picking ahead in case of a tie, and positive numbers are bad.
1. NYG 1-7
2. OAK 1-7 (-5.5)
3. SF 2-7 (+0.5)
4. BUF 2-7 (-3)
5. ARI 2-6 (-3)
6. CLE 2-6-1 (-8)*
7. NYJ 3-6 (+4)
8. DEN 3-6 (-2.5)
9. IND 3-5 (+4.5)
10. DAL (traded to OAK) 3-5 (-0.5)**
11. DET 3-5 (0)
12. JAC 3-5 (-3)
13. TB 3-5 (-5.5)

*NYG or CLE would have to play a tie game for this tiebreaker to be relevant
**Tiebreak comes down to comparison of two NYG opponents (CHI and SF) with two DAL opponents (SEA and DET)

This does not take into account that there are future games that automatically add 1 win and 1 loss to SOS (i.e. when two teams on a teamís schedule play each other). Iíll start doing that around week 12.

Games this week:
LAC at OAK BUF at NYJ ARI at KC ATL at CLE (DEN bye) JAC at IND WAS at TB
Looking good ....  
short lease : 11/10/2018 8:24 pm : link
i mean bad.
ray  
Danny Kanell : 11/10/2018 8:28 pm : link
I know itís sad that we have to look at draft seeding instead of playoff seeding but regardless, your contribution to this site is really helpful with these updates. So thank you!
Thanks for this update.  
FStubbs : 11/10/2018 8:32 pm : link
Oakland is almost assuredly going to finish 1-15. Giants might win another one as soon as this Monday/Tuesday/whenever the game is played.
When I say #1 (or whatever) is likely...  
ray in arlington : 11/10/2018 8:35 pm : link
I mean in the next listing. I'm not attempting the forecast results of future games.
The Raiders  
allstarjim : 11/11/2018 1:10 am : link
go into Arizona to play the Cardinals in week 11. That is probably their last chance to win a game. They do get the Broncos at home in week 16.

Their other games are against the Chargers (tomorrow), Ravens, Chiefs (twice), Steelers, and Bengals, so it would be an enormous shocker if they won any of those games.

The Giants have obviously the Niners sometime, somewhere, and the Bucs at home. Both of those games could be winnable. Perhaps the Titans at home but it's a stretch. Other games are Eagles, Bears, Colts, Redskins, and Cowboys. I don't see any wins there. Need to lose to the Niners this week.
They might not be top 5..  
Zepp : 11/11/2018 5:01 am : link
The Giants have 4 winnable games left on the schedule. To think that they would lose all of them is probably unrealistic. At this point 3-13 is more realistic.

The good thing is they might need to be #1 to get the QB they want. A lot of those teams already have their #1 QB.
According to OBJ  
micky : 11/11/2018 8:08 am : link
They'll be picking #32
Still early  
NYG27 : 11/11/2018 1:38 pm : link
Although the Bills are playing well agains the Jets, leading 14-0 in the 1st quarter.
Bills up 31-3 at halftime  
NYG27 : 11/11/2018 2:41 pm : link
Plus Browns up 21-10 in the 3rd quarter.

Good that a couple of 2 win teams might pickup their 3rd wins on the season.

If the Giants lose against the 49ers, their draft prospects look good.
so now that DAL beat PHI  
ray in arlington : 11/11/2018 11:35 pm : link
Giants holding #1 position in draft if they lose to SF. If they beat SF, SF becomes #2 and NYG #3.

Number in parenthesis is # of games back in SOS, e.g. -5.5 means the Giants SOS is 5.5 games weaker than the listed team which (if continued) would have them pick ahead of that team in case of a tie. So negative numbers are good for NYG picking ahead in case of a tie, and positive numbers are bad.

1. OAK 1-8
2. NYG 1-7 (-5.5)
3. SF 2-7 (+2.5)
4. ARI 2-7 (-2.5)
5. NYJ 3-7 (+5)
6. BUF 3-7 (0)
7. DET 3-6 (+0.5)
8. DEN 3-6 (-1.5)
9. JAC 3-6 (-3)
10. TB 3-6 (-4.5)
11. CLE 3-6-1 (-5)*


*NYG or CLE would have to play a tie game for this tiebreaker to be relevant
**Tiebreak comes down to comparison of two NYG opponents (CHI and SF) with two DAL opponents (SEA and DET)

This does not take into account that there are future games that automatically add 1 win and 1 loss to SOS (i.e. when two teams on a teamís schedule play each other). Iíll start doing that around week 12.


and  
ray in arlington : 11/11/2018 11:37 pm : link
the comment about the ** shouldn't be there, since DAL is no longer on this list
FACK  
Jon in NYC : 11/12/2018 11:28 pm : link
.
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