Giants are still trending toward the #1 pick in the draft. They have a 5.5 game advantage over OAK in tiebreak. Lose to SF, and NYG are very likely #1, unlikely #2. Beat SF, and NYG are most likely #3, possibly #4 or #5.
Number in parenthesis is # of games back in SOS, e.g. -5.5 means the Giants SOS is 5.5 games weaker than the listed team which (if continued) would have them pick ahead of that team in case of a tie. So negative numbers are good for picking ahead in case of a tie, and positive numbers are bad.
1. NYG 1-7
2. OAK 1-7 (-5.5)
3. SF 2-7 (+0.5)
4. BUF 2-7 (-3)
5. ARI 2-6 (-3)
6. CLE 2-6-1 (-8)*
7. NYJ 3-6 (+4)
8. DEN 3-6 (-2.5)
9. IND 3-5 (+4.5)
10. DAL (traded to OAK) 3-5 (-0.5)**
11. DET 3-5 (0)
12. JAC 3-5 (-3)
13. TB 3-5 (-5.5)
*NYG or CLE would have to play a tie game for this tiebreaker to be relevant
**Tiebreak comes down to comparison of two NYG opponents (CHI and SF) with two DAL opponents (SEA and DET)
This does not take into account that there are future games that automatically add 1 win and 1 loss to SOS (i.e. when two teams on a team’s schedule play each other). I’ll start doing that around week 12.
Games this week:
LAC at OAK BUF at NYJ ARI at KC ATL at CLE (DEN bye) JAC at IND WAS at TB
Their other games are against the Chargers (tomorrow), Ravens, Chiefs (twice), Steelers, and Bengals, so it would be an enormous shocker if they won any of those games.
The Giants have obviously the Niners sometime, somewhere, and the Bucs at home. Both of those games could be winnable. Perhaps the Titans at home but it's a stretch. Other games are Eagles, Bears, Colts, Redskins, and Cowboys. I don't see any wins there. Need to lose to the Niners this week.
The good thing is they might need to be #1 to get the QB they want. A lot of those teams already have their #1 QB.
Good that a couple of 2 win teams might pickup their 3rd wins on the season.
If the Giants lose against the 49ers, their draft prospects look good.
Number in parenthesis is # of games back in SOS, e.g. -5.5 means the Giants SOS is 5.5 games weaker than the listed team which (if continued) would have them pick ahead of that team in case of a tie. So negative numbers are good for NYG picking ahead in case of a tie, and positive numbers are bad.
1. OAK 1-8
2. NYG 1-7 (-5.5)
3. SF 2-7 (+2.5)
4. ARI 2-7 (-2.5)
5. NYJ 3-7 (+5)
6. BUF 3-7 (0)
7. DET 3-6 (+0.5)
8. DEN 3-6 (-1.5)
9. JAC 3-6 (-3)
10. TB 3-6 (-4.5)
11. CLE 3-6-1 (-5)*
*NYG or CLE would have to play a tie game for this tiebreaker to be relevant
**Tiebreak comes down to comparison of two NYG opponents (CHI and SF) with two DAL opponents (SEA and DET)
This does not take into account that there are future games that automatically add 1 win and 1 loss to SOS (i.e. when two teams on a team’s schedule play each other). I’ll start doing that around week 12.