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NFT: Yanks talk 12-14

superspynyg : 12/14/2018 8:17 am
With the rotation pretty set and the Gray trade to eventually happen (IMO no way we are keeping him). We m6 add another sp but it won’t be anything huge. There has been so much talk about Machado or Harper, but what about 1st base???

I am not happy with Voit or bird as our two options. With the trade of Golschmidt Cards have made Jose Martinez is available for trade. 300 hitter last year. Can play RF in a pinch. Not sure about his defense though?

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RE: This is the starting pitching market right now  
Milton : 12/14/2018 3:10 pm : link
Quote:
IDK about you, but I'd rather have Sonny Gray than anyone on that list save Keuchel, and Keuchel could get 4-5 years.
I think if the Yankees add another starter it will be via trade.
I kinda hope they don't...  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 3:14 pm : link
They have a lot of kids, and even if they don't end up working out next year's FA starting pitching class has a lot of big names. Mostly older guys, but not all of them. It would be unfortunate if they lacked the roster flexibility to make a move for a starter because they're locked into multi-year commitments with everyone on the staff.
RE: Hill is fast and the farm doesn't have a ton of speed...  
mavric : 12/14/2018 3:47 pm : link
In comment 14218710 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
at the higher levels, but he wasn't particularly highly rated on their farm. I wouldn't get too excited.


Probably not, but just sticking a finger in the Red Sox's eye gives me a bit of pleasure.
Hope he pans out to be a stud!
Yanks don’t have to get an elite starting pitcher right now  
djm : 12/14/2018 3:59 pm : link
This staff and team will win. 95-100 games as is. If they can get that big pitcher during the season or pre deadline that’s when to strike. That guy may not be available right now or is overpriced . No need to panic.
Sevy was a top 5 pitcher in baseball through the ASB...  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 4:02 pm : link
and some measure of fatigue, injury or mechanical flaw (tipping?) made him bad down the stretch. He didn't forget how to pitch. If he's healthy, he has at least as much potential to be an ace next year as anyone on the market, save for Kluber.
RE: I kinda hope they don't...  
Tesla : 12/14/2018 4:12 pm : link
In comment 14218746 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
They have a lot of kids, and even if they don't end up working out next year's FA starting pitching class has a lot of big names. Mostly older guys, but not all of them. It would be unfortunate if they lacked the roster flexibility to make a move for a starter because they're locked into multi-year commitments with everyone on the staff.


Totally agree. We have 5 starters already, let's let the kids like German and Loaisiga fill in when needed, and hope that one of them develops into a frontline starter (both have front-line stuff but just need to work on controlling it).
.  
arcarsenal : 12/14/2018 4:14 pm : link
The only trade I think I'd want to see for another pitcher would be an Andujar-centered deal that nets someone like Kluber (provided we also sign Machado)

I'm kinda warming to the idea of just signing Keuchel if the price tag isn't outrageous. It seems like the market on him is kind of cool right now.

What I wonder is how they're going to handle it positionally should they sign Machado but NOT deal Miggy.

I would assume in that case, Miggy stays @ 3B and Machado plays SS - but then there's a logjam when Didi is back. Who sits? You have Torres, Andujar, Machado and Gregorius all battling for 3 IF spots and all 4 of those guys need to be in the lineup every day.

Punting is also an option - we could look to make an in-season deal to address it.

But I worry about the defensive aspect when you're talking about an Andujar/Machado left side. Compound that with the below average defense we're going to get @ 1B and the fact that Torres isn't even naturally a 2B... things could get a little messy there.
Minor asshat info  
Mike from SI : 12/14/2018 4:27 pm : link
but from what I've heard Machado only wants to play SS. Maybe he changes his mind, idk, but that's what I heard....
Didi may only play 70 games this year...  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 4:34 pm : link
and it's no guarantee he is an everyday player in the field when he does come back, at least not immediately.

And I love Didi, but he could legitimately command 5/$80 or more next offseason. I think Bogaerts is the only other SS of consequence scheduled to be on the market. There is zero guarantee they give a 30 year old shortstop a 5 year deal.

Zero problem with signing Manny and figuring out the rest later.
RE: Didi may only play 70 games this year...  
arcarsenal : 12/14/2018 4:38 pm : link
In comment 14218851 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
and it's no guarantee he is an everyday player in the field when he does come back, at least not immediately.

And I love Didi, but he could legitimately command 5/$80 or more next offseason. I think Bogaerts is the only other SS of consequence scheduled to be on the market. There is zero guarantee they give a 30 year old shortstop a 5 year deal.

Zero problem with signing Manny and figuring out the rest later.


No disagreement there -

I guess the question is, are we comfortable with Machado playing SS long-term? Especially if it's Andujar to his right. We might have some adventurous grounders hit to the left side.

Machado isn't a terrible SS - he actually played pretty well there in LA from what I saw. It just seems he's a much better fit @ 3B.
There's an article in athletic today about Andujar  
arniefez : 12/14/2018 4:41 pm : link
and how he projects going forward. I won't link it or paste much from it directly since it's behind a pay wall. But it does not paint a pretty picture.

About 650 rookies in all positions have played in MLB since they started keeping defensive stats publically. Adnjuar was 16th worst. They broke it down to bottom of the list 3B's. None of them lasted at 3B very long after their rookie years.

Then they looked at plate discipline by rookies and if it improves over time. They identified 25 rookies who hit above league average at their positions with a less than 6% walk rate since 2000. Over half of them never had an above average walk rate. The ones that did improve, improved very little.

The Athletic conclusion was that "Andújar is a less than 50/50 shot to improve either his defense or his walk rate, and that means he’s an even lesser chance to improve both".

They also projected him at 1B where his offense projects just a tick above league average. It's much better at 3B but not close to elite there either.

I wonder if he has a lot less value than some of us thought as a trade chip.

arnie....  
Tesla : 12/14/2018 4:46 pm : link
That's a really good post, thanks for the info. I think all of those concerns are completely valid. I also think it's possible that Andujar is going to become an elite MVP level hitter who's bat is so good we can live with the crappy defense or even simple plug him at 1B or DH.

He's a tough one to project for sure.
We'll see...  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 4:50 pm : link
A lot of his "range issues" involved handling the balls once he got to them rather than getting to them. If his exchange smooths out he could be serviceable. Has plenty of arm for it.
As for Manny  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 4:51 pm : link
I'm not going to say he's a GG shortstop, because he may never be even above average. But yeah, he was a lot better playing with an analytically-driven team that believed strongly in positioning. The Yankees are similar.
He needs to throw over the top rather than sidearm, where his throws  
yatqb : 12/14/2018 4:53 pm : link
are very inconsistent. That's something he can learn. I can't speak to his range, but more of his errors seemed to me to be throwing ones than fielding ones.
Things might get awkward with Gray  
Dave in PA : 12/14/2018 5:21 pm : link
It would be stupid to trade him just for the sake of trading him if the return doesn’t make sense. Also, if we’re relying on CC Sabathi to stay healthy all year that’s a foolish gamble in my view.
RE: There's an article in athletic today about Andujar  
shyster : 12/14/2018 5:34 pm : link
In comment 14218858 arniefez said:
Quote:


Then they looked at plate discipline by rookies and if it improves over time. They identified 25 rookies who hit above league average at their positions with a less than 6% walk rate since 2000. Over half of them never had an above average walk rate. The ones that did improve, improved very little.


You know who had lower walk rate than Andujar in their rookie years?

Robinson Cano and Manny Machado.

RE: RE: RE: My two cents and Christmas wish list  
Beer Man : 12/14/2018 5:58 pm : link
In comment 14218709 mavric said:
Quote:
In comment 14218685 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 14218676 mavric said:


Quote:


- I have to believe a package of Sonny Gray and Clint Frazier could bring in a stellar starting pitcher


It's entirely possible that we define "stellar" differently, but I don't see how Gray and Frazier would return anything more than a mid-rotation guy.



Sonny Gray is a rock solid pitcher away from Yankee Stadium. Maybe they keep him and only let him pitch in away games. Seen it before where a good player gets the Yankee-Yips when under the bright lights and fold like a well-oiled lawn chair. They'vee talked about a 6-man rotation this year and maybe they could work him when he's away from home field. For whatever reason, he only sucks when he's pitching at the stadium.

I don't want to see us lose Frazier because I think he's going to be a stud when he's healthy. He's a valuable commodity. A package of Gray/Frazier should make low budget teams salivate - IMHO
Speaking of. There was a blurb yesterday that Frazier has resumed baseball activities. Hopefully he is out of the woods and the extra time of the offseason will allow him to put the concussion behind him
RE: Didi may only play 70 games this year...  
RasputinPrime : 12/14/2018 6:01 pm : link
In comment 14218851 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
and it's no guarantee he is an everyday player in the field when he does come back, at least not immediately.

And I love Didi, but he could legitimately command 5/$80 or more next offseason. I think Bogaerts is the only other SS of consequence scheduled to be on the market. There is zero guarantee they give a 30 year old shortstop a 5 year deal.

Zero problem with signing Manny and figuring out the rest later.


Sadly, I agree. I still can't believe Didi's bad luck.
I'd gladly give Didi 5 years at a fair salary if he comes back healthy  
yatqb : 12/14/2018 6:04 pm : link
He's a heck of a player.
Love Didi  
Dunedin81 : 12/14/2018 7:07 pm : link
But five years for a 30 year old shortstop is a gamble.
It doesn't make sense to trade Gray at this point.  
Ron from Ninerland : 12/14/2018 7:11 pm : link
Their starting pitching is still shaky at this point. Cashman said from the start that they would try to deal Gray but if they couldn't find a deal that makes sense they'd keep Gray. At this point it doesn't make sense to trade Gray unless they get a pitcher back. The pitcher doesn't need to be a world beater, but its unlikely they'll even get that. Gray was an ace in Oakland and was decent for us in 2017, even into the post season. The best thing to do is to hang on to him and hope he mans up.
RE: Love Didi  
Tesla : 12/14/2018 7:13 pm : link
In comment 14218980 Dunedin81 said:
Quote:
But five years for a 30 year old shortstop is a gamble.



Yup. Which is why we should have given him a 5 year extension 2 years ago. Instead we'll either let him walk or overpay him.

The Yankees refusal to extend their young players is just stupid and is going to damage the franchise.
RE: Things might get awkward with Gray  
bigbluehoya : 12/14/2018 7:16 pm : link
In comment 14218902 Dave in PA said:
Quote:
It would be stupid to trade him just for the sake of trading him if the return doesn’t make sense. Also, if we’re relying on CC Sabathi to stay healthy all year that’s a foolish gamble in my view.


I don’t think there’s anything to worry about with Gray. He’ll be traded for something or somethings of real value. Don’t expect a Homeric return. Much like making the Happ signing “official”, I don’t think they are operating with their hair on fire because there are 40-man roster implications. No reason to hurry along the moves that create 40-man roster cuts if there are moves in the hopper that may simultaneously create space.

I suspect that the win/lose on Machado is the first domino that determines what follows.
RE: Minor asshat info  
section125 : 12/14/2018 7:20 pm : link
In comment 14218845 Mike from SI said:
Quote:
but from what I've heard Machado only wants to play SS. Maybe he changes his mind, idk, but that's what I heard....


Mike that is not asshat info. Manny said he want to play SS and that is why the Orioles moved him there this year. But, money talks and BS walks. He will take the money and play where the Yanks put him.
I like Didi's range. I suspect he'll be fine in his 35th year.  
yatqb : 12/14/2018 7:32 pm : link
.
RE: I like Didi's range. I suspect he'll be fine in his 35th year.  
section125 : 12/14/2018 7:41 pm : link
In comment 14219004 yatqb said:
Quote:
.


Or he can go to 3rd base....
RE: RE: Minor asshat info  
Jay on the Island : 12/14/2018 7:50 pm : link
In comment 14218991 section125 said:
Quote:
In comment 14218845 Mike from SI said:


Quote:


but from what I've heard Machado only wants to play SS. Maybe he changes his mind, idk, but that's what I heard....



Mike that is not asshat info. Manny said he want to play SS and that is why the Orioles moved him there this year. But, money talks and BS walks. He will take the money and play where the Yanks put him.

This, he would rather play SS but he will play whatever position the highest bidder wants him to.
It absolutely makes sense to deal Gray  
Greg from LI : 12/14/2018 7:58 pm : link
He is done with the Yankees, D O N E done. How could you send him out to the mound again with the slightest confidence that he will be anything but batting practice
I am curious how the starting pitching is shaking, as many say?  
LarmerTJR : 12/14/2018 8:08 pm : link
If Sevy is still messed up, sure, your ace is in trouble, but after that, most teams would die for CC as a fifth starter. Happ as a 4th? I am not sure where all the fans think they can Gary an all star at each spot....
If Sonny Gray's road splits are good  
xman : 12/14/2018 8:09 pm : link
there is a good chance he pitched lights out against the bottom feeders like Baltimore et al. The guy flat out can't be counted on ever.

If you can get a pair of shoes with holes in them for him take it. Seriously he likely got lucky with road match ups last year drawing some soft teams.But I am all for selling high if you can bamboozle someone
RE: It absolutely makes sense to deal Gray  
Ron from Ninerland : 12/14/2018 8:15 pm : link
In comment 14219039 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
He is done with the Yankees, D O N E done. How could you send him out to the mound again with the slightest confidence that he will be anything but batting practice
At worst he’ll be a long reliever/spot starter. How can you just throw that away ? If anything of value was being offered a deal would have happened by now. Does it make sense just to throw him away just because we’re pissed that he sucked last year ?
Looks like Robertson is looking to make a killing and wont even share  
xman : 12/14/2018 8:26 pm : link
a penny with an agent. I think the Yanks did notice a slight downward trend in his arm and stats.

Better to get out a year early then a year late.Not worth the 15 million a year for an aging reliever pitching 7th or 8th inning. You could go bankrupt that way. Probably have a guy in the minors that can handle the one inning for peanuts. Save the bucks for the big guys.

You can find a Robertson many times over. The Machado's not so easily.
RE: RE: It absolutely makes sense to deal Gray  
section125 : 12/15/2018 6:08 am : link
In comment 14219060 Ron from Ninerland said:
Quote:
In comment 14219039 Greg from LI said:


Quote:


He is done with the Yankees, D O N E done. How could you send him out to the mound again with the slightest confidence that he will be anything but batting practice

At worst he’ll be a long reliever/spot starter. How can you just throw that away ? If anything of value was being offered a deal would have happened by now. Does it make sense just to throw him away just because we’re pissed that he sucked last year ?


He probably the best SP available on the market (short of Kluber) and the least expensive to get. Cash will get something decent for him.
.  
Bill2 : 12/15/2018 7:52 am : link
I read an article in The Athletic to the effect that one reason the Yankees liked Sanchez was that he followed the game plan and pitching plan per opponent very well. Apparently, the pitching plans are very driven by analytics. In sum, the FO cares about and measures pitching adherence to plan.

It made me wonder if Grey pitches by his current feel for his pitches and ignores the weaknesses of opponent batters?

The reason I bring that up is that the hard up for pitching Yankees sure seem very clear they are done with the guy...to the point of self harming their own negotiating position.


Hopeful  
PaulN : 12/15/2018 2:51 pm : link
That Gray will yield the shortstop or second baseman they need. The only scenario I like signing Machado is if we trade Stanton, then you can eventually put Andujar at DH, work with him on his defense at first base and outfield, let him be a DH/utility player that gets 500 - 600 at bats. If they add Machado and keep Stanton, they are really going to regret it big time, and it still ma not bring a single title, what it will do is prevent you from keeping all the future free agents you will want to keep. The organization will then be all screwed up with outsiders having huge contracts and players coming through the system gone, no way to run a railroad. but I don't see Cashman being that big a fool.
Paul  
Bill2 : 12/15/2018 2:56 pm : link
How much will Stanton actually cost the Yankees each year in the future?
RE: Hopeful  
section125 : 12/15/2018 3:25 pm : link
In comment 14219520 PaulN said:
Quote:
That Gray will yield the shortstop or second baseman they need. The only scenario I like signing Machado is if we trade Stanton, then you can eventually put Andujar at DH, work with him on his defense at first base and outfield, let him be a DH/utility player that gets 500 - 600 at bats. If they add Machado and keep Stanton, they are really going to regret it big time, and it still may not bring a single title, what it will do is prevent you from keeping all the future free agents you will want to keep. The organization will then be all screwed up with outsiders having huge contracts and players coming through the system gone, no way to run a railroad. but I don't see Cashman being that big a fool.


So you don't like adding 35 to 40 HRs per season to Stanton's 35-40 HRs per season and a gold glove 3rd baseman, to boot. Adding Machado seriously increases the chances of winning multiple World Series, which is the goal of putting together a team. Teams are always kicking the salary can down the road and the Yanks have time to sort it out.
RE: Paul  
Dunedin81 : 12/15/2018 3:45 pm : link
In comment 14219527 Bill2 said:
Quote:
How much will Stanton actually cost the Yankees each year in the future?


Roughly $22/per, which is below market for his bat.
Dune  
Bill2 : 12/15/2018 3:57 pm : link
Exactly
I don't get all the Stanton hate  
GiantJake : 12/15/2018 4:06 pm : link
Stanton 2018: .266 38 HRs 100 RBIs 102 Runs scored

Machado 2018: .297 37 HRs 107 RBIs 84 Runs scored

Harper 2018: .249 34 HRs 100 RBIs 103 Runs scored

First of all, i would bet that Stanton has an uptick across the board in his stats in 2019. His performance was actually pretty damn good considering he was on a new team, in a new league and playing LF or DH which was new territory. It also must be taken into account that Judge, Sanchez, Hicks and Gregorius missed chunks of time and Stanton (although dealing with some injuries himself) held the fort.

Finally we come to money. Stanton is due to make $25 mil in 2019 and 2020. Harper and Machado will probably be getting 30+ million a season. Looking at the how close the production numbers above are and the real possibility that Stanton could see an improvement means he could be playing for 5-10 mil less a season than the other guys. To make things more interesting, Stanton has a buyout after the 2020 season. If he decides to pass on it, which is probable, the Yanks receive $30 million from the Marlins. That means the rest of his contract will be 7 years at 154 mil or $22 mil per season.

The ends of these mega-contracts are never pretty, but if Stanton stays productive (it will help that he can eventually become a full-time DH in the AL), he could be playing for 8-10 mil less than Machado or Harper while still providing similar production.
With Stanton, we can’t look at his stats in a vacuum. Obviously  
Jim in Hoboken : 12/15/2018 4:49 pm : link
on paper, his salary matches his production, if not more, and probably will be so for a few years. It’s the last few years that are worrisome. His presence also limits our roster flexibility, his addition took place when we already had a surplus of DH/OF types. Now Andujar almost has to go, Sanchez has to continue to struggle behind the plate defensively, and Frazier has no role at all.

But, most importantly, did you see him in the playoffs and against good pitching in general? We are comfortably projecting that he will produce better being familiar with the surroundings but I am not so sure he will improve against better pitching. I can’t imagine he will age well being such a guess, mistake hitter.

I won’t gripe too much if we have one of Stanton, Harper, or Machado on the roster. Having two of them, with big deals for Judge on the horizon, is not a good idea in my opinion.
Or since there is balance in context  
Bill2 : 12/15/2018 5:22 pm : link
He becomes very valuable in context when there are injuries (as there are every year).

And because he is there at above average production at below average price per production...we don't have to sell all out to add those bats at years or amounts beyond sanity.
The Cano lesson  
Dunedin81 : 12/15/2018 6:09 pm : link
Lack of apparent hustle is pretty easy to swallow with stellar defense and a mid-.800s OPS.
RE: With Stanton, we can’t look at his stats in a vacuum. Obviously  
JPinstripes : 12/15/2018 7:00 pm : link
In comment 14219578 Jim in Hoboken said:
Quote:
on paper, his salary matches his production, if not more, and probably will be so for a few years. It’s the last few years that are worrisome. His presence also limits our roster flexibility, his addition took place when we already had a surplus of DH/OF types. Now Andujar almost has to go, Sanchez has to continue to struggle behind the plate defensively, and Frazier has no role at all.

But, most importantly, did you see him in the playoffs and against good pitching in general? We are comfortably projecting that he will produce better being familiar with the surroundings but I am not so sure he will improve against better pitching. I can’t imagine he will age well being such a guess, mistake hitter.

I won’t gripe too much if we have one of Stanton, Harper, or Machado on the roster. Having two of them, with big deals for Judge on the horizon, is not a good idea in my opinion.


Horizon? Judge is not a FA until 2023. Why would anyone be worried about this now that's not named Hal or one of his bean counters. ?
obviously  
Bill2 : 12/15/2018 7:11 pm : link
We have to trade Stanton for a more expensive less productive player and then trade Judge now before he is less attractive as a trade chip with fewer cost controlled years left.

That way when some of those 2018 draft 17 year old International signings want their 10 year contracts we will have some room under the luxury tax.

Im worried about those new guys because all know the last years of those contracts never work out for the Yankees.

Maybe we should throw them in the Judge trade
The Red Sox  
JPinstripes : 12/15/2018 9:03 pm : link
received the luxury tax bill from MLB today after spending 240+ million dollars this year... 12 Million dollar tax.

NYY reset the luxury tax % this year, no excuses not to spend at level terms as the Sox.
RE: obviously  
section125 : 12/16/2018 6:17 am : link
In comment 14219678 Bill2 said:
Quote:
We have to trade Stanton for a more expensive less productive player and then trade Judge now before he is less attractive as a trade chip with fewer cost controlled years left.

That way when some of those 2018 draft 17 year old International signings want their 10 year contracts we will have some room under the luxury tax.

Im worried about those new guys because all know the last years of those contracts never work out for the Yankees.

Maybe we should throw them in the Judge trade


Never saw you with that much sarcasm. But you are right. The Yanks need to plan for something 5 yrs down the road that may not happen.

The hell with it. Trade everyone for prospects now. Then, bring up the entire River Dogs team because they are cost controlled for about 5-8 years.
Eh?  
Bill2 : 12/16/2018 10:25 am : link
I did not mean to be sarcastic to other posters.

I was spoofing the unlikely to materialize concerns and trades the boredom of offseason brings us to consider
RE: Eh?  
section125 : 12/16/2018 10:43 am : link
In comment 14220084 Bill2 said:
Quote:
I did not mean to be sarcastic to other posters.

I was spoofing the unlikely to materialize concerns and trades the boredom of offseason brings us to consider


Read it as you dressing down some of the folks whose thinking is spending now precludes being able to pay for our own players down the road. And I agree with you. Now is the time to win. The Yanks can reboot whenever they want with their deep pockets.

Just wish they'd get Manny, stop fooling around, and finalize the juggernaut.
Manny gets them a huge bat, strengthens the left side of the infield at either third base or shortstop(temporarily until Didi returns), keeps Torres at 2nd where he is best. Win, win, win all around.
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