I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
Prob $$ line. My buddy did same thing and I told him to fade. Didn’t listen
Quote:
I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
Oh well. Still going to be tough for either one to get out of the NFC. The Eagles won't get past the Saints.
I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas beats the Rams, but I wouldn't bet on that either.
It is what it is. It sucks but it's just wild card weekend. As long as one loses next weekend, we'll still have a good shot at not having to deal with either one in the SB.
Oh well. Still going to be tough for either one to get out of the NFC. The Eagles won't get past the Saints.
I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas beats the Rams, but I wouldn't bet on that either.
It is what it is. It sucks but it's just wild card weekend. As long as one loses next weekend, we'll still have a good shot at not having to deal with either one in the SB.
They feel like the 9-7 Giants from 2011. I keep thinking they will loose but it just keeps happening.
Bart Starr (2) Round 17 Player 200
Roger Staubach (2)Round 10 Player 129
Ken Stabler Round 2 Player 52
Joe Montana (4) Round 3 Player 82
Joe Theismann Round 4 Player 99
Jeff Hostetler Round 3 Player 59
Mark Rypien Round 6 Player 146
Brett Favre Round 2 Player 33
Kurt Warner undrafted
Tom Brady (5) Round 6 Player 199
Brad Johnson Round 9 Player 227
Russell Wilson Round 3 Player 75
Nick Foles Round 3 Player 88
Joe Namath Round 1 Player 1
Len Dawson Round 1 Player 5
Earl Morrall Round 1 Player 2
Bob Griese (2) Round 1 Player 4
Terry Bradshaw (4)Round 1 Player 1
Jim Plunkett (2) Round 1 Player 1
Jim McMahon Round 1 Player 5
Phil Simms Round 1 Player 7
Doug Williams Round 1 Player 17
Troy Aikman (3) Round 1 Player 1
Steve Young Round 1 Player 1
John Elway (2) Round 1 Player 1
Trent Dilfer Round 1 Player 6
Eli Manning (2) Round 1 Player 1
Ben RoethlisbergerRound 1 Player 11
Aaron Rodgers Round 1 Player 24
Joe Flacco Round 1 Player 18
Peyton Manning (2) Round 1 Player 1
31 quarterbacks have won 51 Super Bowls.
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
The breakdown on the 26 SBs won by players drafted AFTER position 11, Round One is as follows:
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
Okay, now divide 26 by the number of QBs who were drafted at position 11 or lower and the number 25 by number of QBs who were drafted at position 10 or higher and that will give you the percentage chances of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select in the top 10 vs the percentage chance of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select outside of the top 10. You will find that your chances of success with a QB selected in the top 10 is more than ten times better than your chances of success with a QB selected outside the top 10.
RE: RE: As I have been saying since before last year's draft Â
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
Okay, now divide 26 by the number of QBs who were drafted at position 11 or lower and the number 25 by number of QBs who were drafted at position 10 or higher and that will give you the percentage chances of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select in the top 10 vs the percentage chance of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select outside of the top 10. You will find that your chances of success with a QB selected in the top 10 is more than ten times better than your chances of success with a QB selected outside the top 10.
Basically you've created a good argument for using a day three pick on a QB just about each and every draft (if there is room), but it is not an argument against spending a top 10 pick on a QB. In other words, if you're drafting in the top 10, you should be on the lookout for a QB if there is one worth the pick because that gives you your best shot at the next Peyton Manning or John Elway. Short of that, you should be taking a chance on a QB with one of your later picks because you never know which will be the one who is the next Tom Brady or Joe Montana among the plethora of Ryan Nassibs and Davis Webbs.
I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
I bet all four games straight up (no point spread).
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
Cheer up, not all bad news, it also activated a 500K bonus for Nick Foles.
Quote:
I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
Cheer up, not all bad news, it also activated a 500K bonus for Nick Foles.
More. $500K for playing 33% or more of the offensive snaps in the playoffs. And $500K for winning a playoff game.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
Prob $$ line. My buddy did same thing and I told him to fade. Didn’t listen
Quote:
I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas beats the Rams, but I wouldn't bet on that either.
It is what it is. It sucks but it's just wild card weekend. As long as one loses next weekend, we'll still have a good shot at not having to deal with either one in the SB.
I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas beats the Rams, but I wouldn't bet on that either.
It is what it is. It sucks but it's just wild card weekend. As long as one loses next weekend, we'll still have a good shot at not having to deal with either one in the SB.
They feel like the 9-7 Giants from 2011. I keep thinking they will loose but it just keeps happening.
Bart Starr (2) Round 17 Player 200
Roger Staubach (2)Round 10 Player 129
Ken Stabler Round 2 Player 52
Joe Montana (4) Round 3 Player 82
Joe Theismann Round 4 Player 99
Jeff Hostetler Round 3 Player 59
Mark Rypien Round 6 Player 146
Brett Favre Round 2 Player 33
Kurt Warner undrafted
Tom Brady (5) Round 6 Player 199
Brad Johnson Round 9 Player 227
Russell Wilson Round 3 Player 75
Nick Foles Round 3 Player 88
Joe Namath Round 1 Player 1
Len Dawson Round 1 Player 5
Earl Morrall Round 1 Player 2
Bob Griese (2) Round 1 Player 4
Terry Bradshaw (4)Round 1 Player 1
Jim Plunkett (2) Round 1 Player 1
Jim McMahon Round 1 Player 5
Phil Simms Round 1 Player 7
Doug Williams Round 1 Player 17
Troy Aikman (3) Round 1 Player 1
Steve Young Round 1 Player 1
John Elway (2) Round 1 Player 1
Trent Dilfer Round 1 Player 6
Eli Manning (2) Round 1 Player 1
Ben RoethlisbergerRound 1 Player 11
Aaron Rodgers Round 1 Player 24
Joe Flacco Round 1 Player 18
Peyton Manning (2) Round 1 Player 1
31 quarterbacks have won 51 Super Bowls.
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
The breakdown on the 26 SBs won by players drafted AFTER position 11, Round One is as follows:
Lower Round One: 4 players, 4 SB wins.
Round Two: 2 players, 2 SB wins
Round Three: 4 players, 7 SB wins
Nick Foles is a Super Bowl winning QB, and he has a shot at doing it again (Round 3, player #88). Carson Wentz may never be (Round 1, player #2).
31 quarterbacks have won 51 Super Bowls.
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
Quote:
31 quarterbacks have won 51 Super Bowls.
Of these 51 Super Bowls, 26 have been won by QBs drafted at position 11 in the Round One or lower, and 25 have been won by QBs drafted at position 10 or higher in Round One.
Okay, now divide 26 by the number of QBs who were drafted at position 11 or lower and the number 25 by number of QBs who were drafted at position 10 or higher and that will give you the percentage chances of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select in the top 10 vs the percentage chance of winning a Super Bowl with the QB you select outside of the top 10. You will find that your chances of success with a QB selected in the top 10 is more than ten times better than your chances of success with a QB selected outside the top 10.
Basically you've created a good argument for using a day three pick on a QB just about each and every draft (if there is room), but it is not an argument against spending a top 10 pick on a QB. In other words, if you're drafting in the top 10, you should be on the lookout for a QB if there is one worth the pick because that gives you your best shot at the next Peyton Manning or John Elway. Short of that, you should be taking a chance on a QB with one of your later picks because you never know which will be the one who is the next Tom Brady or Joe Montana among the plethora of Ryan Nassibs and Davis Webbs.
Fool's gold. Foles takes them all the way to the SB, maybe even wins it, and then they trade him to Jacksonville for the Jag's 1st pick at 7...
We can only pray TC makes the Iggles take Bortles along with their #1 pick.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
So sorry to hear that, did you ML Chicago? Philadelphia with the points was the better play IMO
Quote:
I lost $100 on a four-way parlay instead of winning $940.
First bet I've made since 2011.
Ugh.
How? The spread was Chicago -6.5. That kick was meaningless for the spread wasn't it? Unless you teased it but I don't think you are getting 9-1 on a 4 team parlay with teaser.
I bet all four games straight up (no point spread).