I apologize if there is already an active discussion going, and if so I will gladly delete this.
I’m reading more and more articles insinuating the Yankees are not really pursuing Machado or Harper at this point. Mostly that they are not willing to spend the money on them in a long term deal. It’s pretty rare you see guys that young and that good in free agency. Are the Yankees out of the race/bidding war on them? And if so is it the right move? It’s strange to be a Yankees fan and not see them willing to spend. Their rotation might be the biggest concern and they will need to pay Judge and Severino at some point, but can they compete with the Astros and Sox as is?
Fair enough, but say they pass on both, is it the right move?
Manny's probably wanting to wait to see what happens there and Yanks see no reason to have an offer hanging in the meantime.
If Phils win Harper, good for Yanks. If not, and Phils are left with stupid money to spend, good for Manny.
My take is that Machado is leaning toward the Yanks right now just because he didn't get the offer he wanted from any team. There is no reason to make a decision now so he is waiting. The teams aren't really deeling pressure. I also heard no formal offer has been made to him by the Yanks or Phils.
I personally like the approach the Yanks are taking. We are the Yankees. We shouldn't have to pay top dollar to get talent similar to the Pats in the NFL. Yes, the NFL has a salary cap and are differenf sports but the Yanks have been burned by these long ass contracts many times before.
Ellsbury
Chapman
Tanaka (maybe they re-sign? maybe not)
Happ
Sabathia
Gardner
Britton (probably)
That's almost $100M annually.
They have plenty of flexibility, the term structure of their salary commitments graphs out quite nicely.
Maybe they pick 1-2 of the young ones and lock them up early to save a few bucks down the road. Hasn't been their MO in quite a few years (but they also haven't had success building a dynasty in quite a few years).
There's also a surefire (and severe) labor dispute on the near horizon which could alter the rules of engagement quite a bit.
I don't see any reason to fret.
But the rotation could be significantly better, the bullpen is deep, and the lineup (warts and all) is still a top 2-3 lineup in baseball.
I'd feel more comfortable passing on Manny and Harper if they had a real contingency plan for SS/2B.
This is exactly why neither Harper nor Machado will become Yankees!
If Harper signs with Philly then it's a couples years and we can chase Trout for center field.
...out there who have vivid memories of George Steinbrenner throwing money around like it's Rotisserie Baseball.
But there's a different Steinbrenner running the team now, and as someone else posted earlier there are huge paydays for several young Yankee stars.
Translation: Dream on about Harper or Machado, but neither one will be wearing Pinstripes.
I don't mean to be rude but no shit. The problem is that there are no legit SP FA that improve us much and Machado isn't preventing us from signing a top SP.
of course. Point is, they have flexibility. The bad contracts are all damn close to over. The fact that we can see tough decisions in the future is a good indication that there are a lot of assets. If you don't have those tough decisions in front of you, it's probably a good indicator that you're not going to have a lot of sustained success.
"But the Yankees need starting pitching!"
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Starting pitching!!!!!!
I don't mean to be rude but no shit. The problem is that there are no legit SP FA that improve us much and Machado isn't preventing us from signing a top SP.
true but something is better than nothing. We need bodies. Proven bodies to then get the real players up from the farm. Anyone at this point.
They need to focus on that.
"But the Yankees need starting pitching!"
sure... get it but then they still need starting pitching first and foremost. Pitching is the biggest help
But the rotation could be significantly better, the bullpen is deep, and the lineup (warts and all) is still a top 2-3 lineup in baseball.
I'd feel more comfortable passing on Manny and Harper if they had a real contingency plan for SS/2B.
I completely disagree on the thought that the Yanks need to spend money like they print it or something. That's how you end up with Ellsbury deals.
Now, I think that the Yanks are playing this smart. They likely know that all things being equal, Manny wants to play in NY. However, the Yanks see no reason to bid against themselves. They can wait for the field to present their best offers and then they can present an offer that is at least competitive with the others- and expect to win the bidding.
I do think that Cashman might have concerns that if he signs Manny, that will necessitate other moves- at the least, moving Andujar off 3B to some other position or trade him- but that creates problems too.
I also think people are drastically underestimating Tulo's impact. Obviously at 34 years old, he is not going to be 2009-2014 Tulo with the bat, but if he is 2016 Tulo, that's good enough.
People also appear to forget that Tulo has always been an outstanding defensive SS- he has at least two well deserved Gold Gloves.
Tulo does come with some injury history- but the bone spur operations may resolve some of the lower body issues- and the year and a half off may well help his recovery. Remember when ARod got suspended (and injured) and missed a year plus? He came back in his mid-30's and had an outstanding season- likely because he was healthy and rested (as well as the fact that he was a star to begin with).
Back to topic though- I think that it might be February before Harper or Machado sign- simply because the expected $400M market isn't there for them. The Nats are reportedly offering over $300M for Harper- and appear to be making the largest offer- but obviously, with Boras as his agent- Harper is looking for more than that.
I think Machado's market is even slower- and he isn't even getting a Harper offer- and might not ever get it. Still, I think he and his agent know that if he is in NY, he gets a ton of outside revenue through endorsements and the like in NYC.
Let's settle down with the panic in January- the FA market is historically slow and just because the Yanks haven't spent yet doesn't mean that they won't.
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In comment 14255156 GMAN4LIFE said:
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Starting pitching!!!!!!
I don't mean to be rude but no shit. The problem is that there are no legit SP FA that improve us much and Machado isn't preventing us from signing a top SP.
true but something is better than nothing. We need bodies. Proven bodies to then get the real players up from the farm. Anyone at this point.
They need to focus on that.
That's nice. Who, pray tell, should they be pursuing? Past-peak Bumgarner? Past-peak Keuchel? If Max Scherzer at age 29 was on the open market and the Yankees weren't a player I'd be right there with you, but there is nothing resembling an ace available right now. Kluber or Bauer are going to require the Yankees to take a bite out of the MLB team. My guess is the pricetag starts with Gleyber. I wouldn't do that, would you?
...out there who have vivid memories of George Steinbrenner throwing money around like it's Rotisserie Baseball.
But there's a different Steinbrenner running the team now, and as someone else posted earlier there are huge paydays for several young Yankee stars.
Translation: Dream on about Harper or Machado, but neither one will be wearing Pinstripes.
I love Didi and Hicks but calling them stars is a bit of a stretch. Hicks will also be 30 when he becomes a FA next year and Didi will be before the 2020 season as well.
One of Jeter's best season's (2009) was in his age 34 year. My concern with Tulo is the injuries and will he hold up during the day in and day out grind of a 162 game season. This is the big doubt for me.
This chart says it all. They shed payroll with the specter of Machado and Harper being free agents as they enter their prime. This is exactly who the NY Yankees should be signing. If the Yankees miss out on both, I really hope that the rumors that Hal was looking at selling the Yankees comes to fruition and he gets out. He's a bean counter. He's not his father and with the passing of this mother, there are no Earthly ties for him to keep "the Mona Lisa" as George called them.
If that's the case I'd hope, if I was a WS fan, that they put a deadline on it.
I think that too and it would be hilarious if the White Sox pulled their offer after X date. They can tell their fanbase they tried and didn't want to get dicked around. I know i'd respect that.
The Yankees and Phillies are the two other known serious suitors for the 26-year-old Machado, who's considered the prize of free agency alongside star outfielder Bryce Harper. Machado is expected to make a decision within a week, sources said, as all three of the aforementioned teams have made bids and would like an answers soon. There may be a fourth, unknown team in the Machado bidding, agent sources said.
Link - ( New Window )
I don't want to deal Gleyber and I wouldn't, but that is what the Indians are going to want for Corey Kluber.
I don't want to deal Gleyber and I wouldn't, but that is what the Indians are going to want for Corey Kluber.
This chart says it all. They shed payroll with the specter of Machado and Harper being free agents as they enter their prime. This is exactly who the NY Yankees should be signing. If the Yankees miss out on both, I really hope that the rumors that Hal was looking at selling the Yankees comes to fruition and he gets out. He's a bean counter. He's not his father and with the passing of this mother, there are no Earthly ties for him to keep "the Mona Lisa" as George called them.
This might win the award for the most off-base post in the thread.
Context matters. Throwing out numbers because they appear to make your case without placing them in proper context is the equivalent of claiming an apple is an orange because both are fruits.
Revenue for ALL MLB teams is up dramatically as the new contracts for TV contracts have resulted in new streams of revenue for teams. Thus, it is not just the Yanks rolling in money- but all of them are.
There are other reasons to cut payroll as well. Why pay other teams your money in luxury taxes? I don't think you would willingly give your co-workers a slice of your paycheck just because they make less than you do. Why should any owner do that?
In addition, the Yanks need to keep an eye on future CBA negotiations. The luxury tax, IFA hard caps and draft caps are all aimed at the Yanks and big money teams. The Yanks have been able to successfully hold off full revenue sharing (like the NFL and NBA owners must do) and have avoided a salary cap.
If the Yanks decided to spend like drunk sailors, there is no doubt that the small and mid-market owners (who constitute a majority of the owners) would demand one or both of these under the argument that they cannot survive or compete against such spending.
The Yanks are taking every step to take away their opponents ammunition- they got under the luxury tax line, they have not set the market in FA out of range of the smaller market teams, and they bring in big revenue when they travel- an argument against revenue sharing.
Finally, the Yanks spend a LOT of money on the team outside of payroll- minor league coaching and facilities, new stadium spending and financing (remember, the Stadium isn't free- they have a mortgage on it), scouting and many other areas some teams skimp on. Payroll is not the total spending by the Yanks- and is likely just a small fraction of total spending by the team.
This narrowly focused argument that ignores all other factors outside of revenue and payroll is just a "look at me" platform for the whiny fan to make the argument that they are not acting self-entitled ("they have the money, why shouldn't I expect them to spend it so I can enjoy it") and failing miserably at it.
Well, they havent done crap. I know they dont want all the long contracts but then why go and get Stanton??
Meanwhile Houston and Boston have been active and won titles.
I want Machado, Harper, Corbin, Noah, Kluber and etc - but I am more than fine with NYY as currently constructed.
Kevin(formerly Tiki4Six) : 11:47 am : link : reply
up our asses.... For the last few years the Front Office has claimed they wanted to get under the threshold for the Luxury tax. Once they did it would put them in position to be a very active in FA and turn this team into a powerhouse again.
Well, they havent done crap. I know they dont want all the long contracts but then why go and get Stanton??
Meanwhile Houston and Boston have been active and won titles.
The Yankees supposedly "haven't done crap" but then they are called out for signing Stanton? And Boston and Houston are active, which is why they are winning titles?
The Yanks haven't been active?
As things stand right now, I would be surprised if there isn't some sort of work stoppage prior to agreeing on the next CBA. The current CBA is absolutely broken. Record revenues are being produced year over year while player payrolls have been lowered by 20 teams from 2017 to 2018 and looking like it will continue to be lowered for 2019. When you have guys like Mike Moustakas who cant even find 8 mil a year type contract, the current agreement will most definitely be called into question. I believe (and many have written) that the luxury tax thresholds all stand to be extremely inflated come next round of negotiations. So one could say us arguing about the financial restrictions the signing of Machado or Harper would create when we have to eventually pay large amounts to guys like Gleyber Torres / Sanchez/ Judge etc. in the future could end up being null and void because by the time those guys contracts actually do get expensive the tax threshold may be no where near where it is today.
Also, the argument that the Yankees are funding these other teams through luxury tax is also a joke; the luxury tax bill each year has been at an absolute maximum of $30M. That means the Yanks would have paid $1M max in a year to every team in baseball, chump change, and that isn't even how the tax money actually gets distributed.
I don't want to sound like I'm attacking you specifically, but the magnitude of the luxury tax inhibiting a team financially is so overblown its absurd at this point and the current financial system the league is based on may be drastically different in a very short time. Add on the fact that you have teams that are flat out tanking now, the market for low to mid level players is all but gone when the best teams are hamstrung by the tax and the bad teams don't want to spend on marginal talent. Something will have to give in the current state of baseball.
If owners go into the next CBA appreciating that some form of reapportionment of revenue is going to be necessary and the conversation is about managing it (payroll floors, increases in minimum salaries across the board, movement on a luxury tax, etc etc) it may still be contentious but it wouldn't necessarily result in a strike.
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IMO they all blew smoke
Kevin(formerly Tiki4Six) : 11:47 am : link : reply
up our asses.... For the last few years the Front Office has claimed they wanted to get under the threshold for the Luxury tax. Once they did it would put them in position to be a very active in FA and turn this team into a powerhouse again.
Well, they havent done crap. I know they dont want all the long contracts but then why go and get Stanton??
Meanwhile Houston and Boston have been active and won titles.
The Yankees supposedly "haven't done crap" but then they are called out for signing Stanton? And Boston and Houston are active, which is why they are winning titles?
The Yanks haven't been active?
ok.. let me re-word that
the Yanks havent done crap THIS year but sign their own and make one trade. We still need SP and have no LH bats other than Hicks and Gardner with Didi being out...
I wasnt a fan of the Stanton move because I feared it would mess with future signings.
The Yanks as currently constructed will not beat Houston or Boston.
Guys are still paid very well. But the days of 10 year deals with outrageous money are waning. Poor risk and hurts the team . Harper and Machado don't guarantee a WS. You need more then one guy to put you over the top and it will be hard to get the other players when you dole out 30 million plus per year 10 year deals.
The only leverage players have is a threat of a strike. But most players are well paid considered their production. Time is fleeting for their careers. I doubt they will hold out because a Harper doesn't get 400 million. They will never sniff that payday
One chart doesn't sniff the whole story but I believe it fairly reinforces the ongoing efforts by franchise owners to minimize the cost of running their franchises. They were saved after the last lockout by turning a blind-eye to PED use and then hung those players out to dry. They are now taking it a step further and potentially colluding (as they did in the 80s) in preparation for 2021.
As a fan, I hate that I even have to read about any of this crap. I don't actually care beyond hoping for the continued growth of MLB worldwide.
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This makes no sense:
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IMO they all blew smoke
Kevin(formerly Tiki4Six) : 11:47 am : link : reply
up our asses.... For the last few years the Front Office has claimed they wanted to get under the threshold for the Luxury tax. Once they did it would put them in position to be a very active in FA and turn this team into a powerhouse again.
Well, they havent done crap. I know they dont want all the long contracts but then why go and get Stanton??
Meanwhile Houston and Boston have been active and won titles.
The Yankees supposedly "haven't done crap" but then they are called out for signing Stanton? And Boston and Houston are active, which is why they are winning titles?
The Yanks haven't been active?
ok.. let me re-word that
the Yanks havent done crap THIS year but sign their own and make one trade. We still need SP and have no LH bats other than Hicks and Gardner with Didi being out...
I wasnt a fan of the Stanton move because I feared it would mess with future signings.
The Yanks as currently constructed will not beat Houston or Boston.
Over 70% of the FAs haven't even signed yet. You act like Spring Training is tomorrow. Hell, there will still be players out there in ST. Stop panicking. Britton wasn't their own cause he was a FA. Boston and Houston haven't gone out and done a ton either. The trade you mention was for a FRONT LINE STARTER so it wasn't just one trade since you badly want starting pitching. And where will these LH bats you want play? Seriously, chill out dude. They won 100 games last year. They kind of are a powerhouse with gasp...young players who will get better rather than an old free agent driven team.
This notion that the Yankees suck from Yankees fan might be the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life.
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was convincing Yankee fans that they should run their club like a mid market franchise and concern themselves with the luxury tax.
This chart says it all. They shed payroll with the specter of Machado and Harper being free agents as they enter their prime. This is exactly who the NY Yankees should be signing. If the Yankees miss out on both, I really hope that the rumors that Hal was looking at selling the Yankees comes to fruition and he gets out. He's a bean counter. He's not his father and with the passing of this mother, there are no Earthly ties for him to keep "the Mona Lisa" as George called them.
This might win the award for the most off-base post in the thread.
Context matters. Throwing out numbers because they appear to make your case without placing them in proper context is the equivalent of claiming an apple is an orange because both are fruits.
Revenue for ALL MLB teams is up dramatically as the new contracts for TV contracts have resulted in new streams of revenue for teams. Thus, it is not just the Yanks rolling in money- but all of them are.
There are other reasons to cut payroll as well. Why pay other teams your money in luxury taxes? I don't think you would willingly give your co-workers a slice of your paycheck just because they make less than you do. Why should any owner do that?
In addition, the Yanks need to keep an eye on future CBA negotiations. The luxury tax, IFA hard caps and draft caps are all aimed at the Yanks and big money teams. The Yanks have been able to successfully hold off full revenue sharing (like the NFL and NBA owners must do) and have avoided a salary cap.
If the Yanks decided to spend like drunk sailors, there is no doubt that the small and mid-market owners (who constitute a majority of the owners) would demand one or both of these under the argument that they cannot survive or compete against such spending.
The Yanks are taking every step to take away their opponents ammunition- they got under the luxury tax line, they have not set the market in FA out of range of the smaller market teams, and they bring in big revenue when they travel- an argument against revenue sharing.
Finally, the Yanks spend a LOT of money on the team outside of payroll- minor league coaching and facilities, new stadium spending and financing (remember, the Stadium isn't free- they have a mortgage on it), scouting and many other areas some teams skimp on. Payroll is not the total spending by the Yanks- and is likely just a small fraction of total spending by the team.
This narrowly focused argument that ignores all other factors outside of revenue and payroll is just a "look at me" platform for the whiny fan to make the argument that they are not acting self-entitled ("they have the money, why shouldn't I expect them to spend it so I can enjoy it") and failing miserably at it.
Good points Rich but one you didn't mention might be even more important to the bottom line that Hal works for. That is his attempt to rebuy a large portion of the YES Network that he stupidly sold some years back. And,although as fans, this is an afterthought, it becomes a huge expenditure for the Yankees & where Hal is concentrating on spending Yankee money!
One chart doesn't sniff the whole story but I believe it fairly reinforces the ongoing efforts by franchise owners to minimize the cost of running their franchises. They were saved after the last lockout by turning a blind-eye to PED use and then hung those players out to dry. They are now taking it a step further and potentially colluding (as they did in the 80s) in preparation for 2021.
As a fan, I hate that I even have to read about any of this crap. I don't actually care beyond hoping for the continued growth of MLB worldwide.
If you think fans will side with players in a work stoppage cause Harper and Machado can't get 10 year $350 million dollar deals, you are probably sadly mistaken. Never have fans thought players deserve more and would support them in a strike. Yet fans don't really care if the owners pocket more money. It's just the way fans are.