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Kyler Murray

GiantGrit : 1/9/2019 11:22 am
Supposedly leaning towards entering the draft and putting his baseball career on hold, per Bleacher Report.

Curious to see how he does if he declares.
I'll never understand  
MattyKid : 1/9/2019 11:26 am : link
Why someone in that position would walk away from a guaranteed contract, assuming he'd get one as a #1 pick (outside of his signing bonus).
That would be a special kind of stupid  
BlueHurricane : 1/9/2019 11:27 am : link
If he is truly a MLB level talent.
RE: That would be a special kind of stupid  
GiantGrit : 1/9/2019 11:28 am : link
In comment 14255318 BlueHurricane said:
Quote:
If he is truly a MLB level talent.


He got picked #9 overall in the MLB draft. Maybe he likes football more.
Personally I don't think he'll make it in the NFL as a QB  
PatersonPlank : 1/9/2019 11:29 am : link
Maybe at some other position
I  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 11:43 am : link
don't see it as crazy at all. Murray got 4.66 million to sign with the A's, the last pick in the 2018 NFL draft (and the guy people will surely be comparing Murray to) was Lamar Jackson who got 8 million guaranteed. The Giants 2nd round pick Will Hernandez got 5.6 million guaranteed. If he loves football and is being top he's a top 2 round pick it's far from nutty.
See Dan  
figgy2989 : 1/9/2019 11:50 am : link
That is the key, which round will he be drafted in. It would behoove him to go through the combines and pro-day and find out where he might go in the draft.

You would have to think teams might be a little hesitant to use premium draft capital if there is not a 100% commitment from him to play football over baseball.

Also, his size may will definitely be a factor.
RE: I  
widmerseyebrow : 1/9/2019 11:55 am : link
In comment 14255337 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
don't see it as crazy at all. Murray got 4.66 million to sign with the A's, the last pick in the 2018 NFL draft (and the guy people will surely be comparing Murray to) was Lamar Jackson who got 8 million guaranteed. The Giants 2nd round pick Will Hernandez got 5.6 million guaranteed. If he loves football and is being top he's a top 2 round pick it's far from nutty.


It is nutty considering his long term outlook is better in baseball, both from a skill set and career longevity point of view. The potential future earnings are far from equal.
I'd put in a bid for him in the  
SHO'NUFF : 1/9/2019 11:55 am : link
later rounds
He will go Round 1  
AdamBrag : 1/9/2019 12:00 pm : link
Tebow went in the first round, I don't see why Murray won't.
RE: RE: I  
cokeduplt : 1/9/2019 12:01 pm : link
In comment 14255360 widmerseyebrow said:
Quote:
In comment 14255337 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


don't see it as crazy at all. Murray got 4.66 million to sign with the A's, the last pick in the 2018 NFL draft (and the guy people will surely be comparing Murray to) was Lamar Jackson who got 8 million guaranteed. The Giants 2nd round pick Will Hernandez got 5.6 million guaranteed. If he loves football and is being top he's a top 2 round pick it's far from nutty.



It is nutty considering his long term outlook is better in baseball, both from a skill set and career longevity point of view. The potential future earnings are far from equal.



A lot of first round mlb draft picks don’t even make it to the majors though
I would use a 4th onhim.  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 12:07 pm : link
I'd consider trading up into the 3rd and grabbing him if he is 100% committed to football. He can always go back to baseball in a few years if it doesn't work out but he won't be able to make it in the NFL if he is out for several years playing baseball.

My favorite part about this move is that it screws over Boras.
Yeah  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 12:12 pm : link
people act like future earnings in baseball are a given. The 2015 MLB draft to this point has 4 players to have played in at least 100 games, and 7 who have played 30 or more games. 2014 5 total players to have played 100 or more MLB games 2013 has 10 players who have played 100 or more games, 6 who have played a "full-season" of games. This isn't the NBA, 1st round means very little.
RE: I would use a 4th onhim.  
SHO'NUFF : 1/9/2019 12:14 pm : link
In comment 14255388 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
I'd consider trading up into the 3rd and grabbing him if he is 100% committed to football. He can always go back to baseball in a few years if it doesn't work out but he won't be able to make it in the NFL if he is out for several years playing baseball.

My favorite part about this move is that it screws over Boras.


Not like we value 3rd rounders anyway...oh wait, Reese is gone. I'd love to have Brees II with a 3rd rounder.
Giants  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 12:15 pm : link
3rd rounder Lorenzo Carter is still banking 1 million guaranteed. I'm FAR from a college football expert I'm just saying it's not as if he's walking away from 100 million in guaranteed future earnings.
RE: He will go Round 1  
ZogZerg : 1/9/2019 12:15 pm : link
In comment 14255372 AdamBrag said:
Quote:
Tebow went in the first round, I don't see why Murray won't.


How did Tebow work out?
Before  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 12:19 pm : link
people jump all over my typo above, I meant last pick in the first round in regard to Jackson
I don't think it is crazy at all...  
Jarvis : 1/9/2019 12:21 pm : link
1) As mentioned, the early money is definitely better in the NFL if he is a 1st or 2nd round pick.

2) He will get to his 2nd contract way earlier in the NFL. Any financial person will tell you, money up front is better than down the road because you can use that money to make more if you have good people around you. (which is why almost everyone takes lotto winnings up front even though it is significantly less than if you take it over the 30 years).

3) He is famous because of football...That's why we know about him as the 9th pick in the baseball draft. There are many top 10 baseball picks that never make it to the big 2nd contract.

4) He will likely have to grind through the minor leagues in baseball for several years before even getting to the show.

5) QB longevity is on par with baseball. Many QBs are playing into their late 30's. Not to mention all the new rules recently implemented to protect QBs even further.

I am not saying it is a no-brainer decision, but it is far from stupid.
Future baseball earnings aren't a given  
widmerseyebrow : 1/9/2019 12:22 pm : link
and neither are future football earnings as a (generously listed) 5'10" quarterback.

I'd also say it's a big assumption that he will be a late first/high second round pick at this stage in the draft process.
RE: RE: He will go Round 1  
Mad Mike : 1/9/2019 12:26 pm : link
In comment 14255414 ZogZerg said:
Quote:
How did Tebow work out?

I'm not really sure what your point is, since people are talking about money, not career success. And Tebow earned about $10 million in the NFL, so, financially, that worked out quite well.

This isn't complicated. Murray may have a brighter future as a baseball player than a football player. But he will get significantly more guaranteed upfront money from the NFL than from MLB. And even as a highly regarded prospect, there's a pretty good chance he'll never succeed enough to earn big salaries in baseball. Without success, he'll make a lot more as a high pick in football than he will from baseball. That doesn't necessarily mean the NFL is the better choice. But it certainly means that it's a reasonable one which could be the more financially beneficial route.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 12:28 pm : link
Mayfield's size didn't concern me - nor does Tagivailoa's. But Murray is too small, IMO. I can't see him surviving as an NFL QB.

He's a heck of an athlete and he has a really interesting skill set - I think there are ways you can use him. But as a full time QB, I just think he's too small and the durability won't be there.

If anyone is concerned about Lamar Jackson holding up long-term... Murray would be far more worrisome.
RE: .  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 12:30 pm : link
In comment 14255450 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Mayfield's size didn't concern me - nor does Tagivailoa's. But Murray is too small, IMO. I can't see him surviving as an NFL QB.

He's a heck of an athlete and he has a really interesting skill set - I think there are ways you can use him. But as a full time QB, I just think he's too small and the durability won't be there.

If anyone is concerned about Lamar Jackson holding up long-term... Murray would be far more worrisome.

I think the height concern, and questions about him going back to baseball, would prevent me from taking him in the 1st or 2nd round. Now if he is there in the 3rd or 4th then I would take a chance on him. Yes I know the Giants don't have a 3rd but they could package a couple of picks to get one. I would prefer Tyree Jackson but I don't think he will fall to the 3rd round.
Good point Arc  
figgy2989 : 1/9/2019 12:31 pm : link
Jackson is 6'3 and has a chance to fill out.

Murray at 5'10 (on a good day), not so much. I remember at the combine, there was so much hype around Mayfield and what his actual height was going to be. When he measured 6'0, he immediately went into the top 10 discussion.
All  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 12:34 pm : link
due respect but you guys are ignoring a key aspect here... maybe the kid just loves the game of football? I mean happiness is underrated. Maybe his dream growing up was to win a SB, to QB an NFL team. Hard argue with someone chasing their dream. It's not as if trying this means 0 money or even a backup plan (baseball). Drew Henson thinks he should give the NFL a go. There is some buzz he may stay in school and play both. Would likely minimize his risk. Either have a monster year playing QB and legitimize being a high pick or move on to baseball.
RE: .  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 12:39 pm : link
In comment 14255450 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Mayfield's size didn't concern me - nor does Tagivailoa's. But Murray is too small, IMO. I can't see him surviving as an NFL QB.

He's a heck of an athlete and he has a really interesting skill set - I think there are ways you can use him. But as a full time QB, I just think he's too small and the durability won't be there.

If anyone is concerned about Lamar Jackson holding up long-term... Murray would be far more worrisome.


He's essentially the same exact height as Russell Wilson. If Wilson is taller it's by millimeters.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 12:42 pm : link
In comment 14255471 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
In comment 14255450 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


Mayfield's size didn't concern me - nor does Tagivailoa's. But Murray is too small, IMO. I can't see him surviving as an NFL QB.

He's a heck of an athlete and he has a really interesting skill set - I think there are ways you can use him. But as a full time QB, I just think he's too small and the durability won't be there.

If anyone is concerned about Lamar Jackson holding up long-term... Murray would be far more worrisome.



He's essentially the same exact height as Russell Wilson. If Wilson is taller it's by millimeters.


Wilson is 20lbs heavier. He's stronger and better built.

Murray is very small.
The height isn't the major concern anymore with what you can do with  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 12:47 pm : link
qbs now. But frame size certainly is and Murray is very slight. Wilson is built and actually cut some weight this last year.
Wilson has at least  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 12:49 pm : link
40 lbs on Murray.
The frame is the big issue  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 12:50 pm : link
Its why there are legit concerns over Lamar and Rosen.
Murray needs time to physically develop  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 12:52 pm : link
A year as a backup would do wonders as this would be the first time that Murray has focused solely on football.
I saw a pic of him and Baker M  
edavisiii : 1/9/2019 12:54 pm : link
...Mayfield looked big compared to him and Baker was considered smallish
It is exciting  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 1:00 pm : link
to think about the offense with Murray and Barkley. The concerns about his height are valid but nobody can question his athleticism or his arm strength.
Murray's size doesn't bother me either.  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 1/9/2019 1:03 pm : link
My issues with him are arm strength (especially in NY) and his lack of experience. We talk about the successful short QBs like Brees, Wilson, and perhaps one day Mayfield. But those guys each started 3+ years in college. His size can be mitigated with his athletic ability and with Saquon Barkley standing behind him.

If I was confident in his arm strength and accuracy, I'd definitely use a first round pick on him. He's a far superior passer to Lamar Jackson.
People saying he can't make it as an NFL QB...  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 1:04 pm : link
Dude is going to prove a lot of people wrong if he chooses the football route.

1) Mayfield came from the same system and his production has translated to the NFL. Murray had essentially the same exact 2018 season statistically as Mayfield's 2017 in terms of passing, except Murray also tacked on 1000 yards and 12 TDs rushing as well. Murray's measurables will be better than Mayfield's (aside from height which will literally only be 1 (no more than 2) inches shorter.

2) Don't get the comparisons to Lamar Jackson. Murray completed 69% of his passes last year compared to Jackson's 57% career completion percentage. Also: 11.6 yards per attempt, compared to Jackson's 8.5. (Also much higher than Haskins at 9.1) ... Murray has a baseball arm and he can certainly chuck it downfield.

3) The guy is just a flat out athlete and a gamer. Anyone who can go in the 1st round of a professional draft in 2 separate sports is just naturally gifted and is going to be a difference-maker on the field.

I would absolutely love to see the Giants take this guy if he enters the NFL draft. He and Saquon together alone would be awesome, and add Odell into the mix and you're talking about a big play waiting to happen at any second. I can't believe more people on this board aren't getting hyped about this possibility of him coming out. Ignoring height, just look at the stats, look at the tape, look at the measurables and make a decision from there. Don't over-think this thing.
RE: That would be a special kind of stupid  
santacruzom : 1/9/2019 1:08 pm : link
In comment 14255318 BlueHurricane said:
Quote:
If he is truly a MLB level talent.


People keep saying that and I get why from a money and health perspective, but the negative is that you'd be playing... baseball.
RE: RE: RE: I  
santacruzom : 1/9/2019 1:10 pm : link
In comment 14255374 cokeduplt said:
Quote:
In comment 14255360 widmerseyebrow said:


Quote:


In comment 14255337 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


don't see it as crazy at all. Murray got 4.66 million to sign with the A's, the last pick in the 2018 NFL draft (and the guy people will surely be comparing Murray to) was Lamar Jackson who got 8 million guaranteed. The Giants 2nd round pick Will Hernandez got 5.6 million guaranteed. If he loves football and is being top he's a top 2 round pick it's far from nutty.



It is nutty considering his long term outlook is better in baseball, both from a skill set and career longevity point of view. The potential future earnings are far from equal.




A lot of first round mlb draft picks don’t even make it to the majors though


Also, I imagine he'd make more from endorsements as a football player. This is speculative, but based on the fact that I can't name more than 5 baseball players (and just hitting that total would require a bit of luck).
RE: I saw a pic of him and Baker M  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 1:10 pm : link
In comment 14255500 edavisiii said:
Quote:
...Mayfield looked big compared to him and Baker was considered smallish


Looking at this pic... I don't see enough of a size difference to warrant a ton of worry.


Link - ( New Window )
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 1:11 pm : link
Psst...

No one has compared anything about Murray's actual game to Lamar Jackson's.

Jackson was brought up twice. Once by Dan to illustrate a financial point and once by me simply to point to the fact that if his durability is a concern to anyone, it will be even more of one with Murray.

Yes, height wise he's about the same as Russell Wilson - but the extra 20-25lbs. Wilson has on him is a big deal. That's all muscle and helps him absorb contact.

Murray won't last one year taking hits from NFL linebackers at his size. He doesn't even weigh 200 lbs. He's tiny. Yes, he's a great athlete and he can sling it... but I see a great college QB, not a great pro prospect.

Murray isn't a QB you can build a team around.
RE: .  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 1:16 pm : link
In comment 14255550 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Psst...

No one has compared anything about Murray's actual game to Lamar Jackson's.

Jackson was brought up twice. Once by Dan to illustrate a financial point and once by me simply to point to the fact that if his durability is a concern to anyone, it will be even more of one with Murray.

Yes, height wise he's about the same as Russell Wilson - but the extra 20-25lbs. Wilson has on him is a big deal. That's all muscle and helps him absorb contact.

Murray won't last one year taking hits from NFL linebackers at his size. He doesn't even weigh 200 lbs. He's tiny. Yes, he's a great athlete and he can sling it... but I see a great college QB, not a great pro prospect.

Murray isn't a QB you can build a team around.

I disagree. I agree with you that he has to add to his frame because he is currently too slight but i think he has the upside to be the type of QB you build your team around. He is truly a special athlete who scouts say already has clean throwing mechanics. He has also been spending his time focusing on two sports. I am intrigued by the potential of adding him to Barkley, Beckham, Engram, and Shepard and I would have no problem drafting him. Not as 6 obviously but in round 2-3.
If Murray was 3 inches taller  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 1:20 pm : link
There would be daily threads about trading up to the #1 spot to take Murray.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 1:23 pm : link
I wouldn't hitch my wagon to a QB who weighs less than 200lbs and is under 6ft tall. I don't think the durability will be there and I don't think he'll be able to withstand taking hits from NFL defenders who are bigger, stronger, and faster than the guys he played against @ OU.

He won't last.
RE: .  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 1/9/2019 1:24 pm : link
In comment 14255550 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Psst...

No one has compared anything about Murray's actual game to Lamar Jackson's.

Jackson was brought up twice. Once by Dan to illustrate a financial point and once by me simply to point to the fact that if his durability is a concern to anyone, it will be even more of one with Murray.

Yes, height wise he's about the same as Russell Wilson - but the extra 20-25lbs. Wilson has on him is a big deal. That's all muscle and helps him absorb contact.

Murray won't last one year taking hits from NFL linebackers at his size. He doesn't even weigh 200 lbs. He's tiny. Yes, he's a great athlete and he can sling it... but I see a great college QB, not a great pro prospect.

Murray isn't a QB you can build a team around.


I only brought up Jackson for the reason that a NFL team thought he was worthy of a first round pick and he can't throw remotely as well as Murray. He's running a fluke offense where he's taking hits left and right. I don't think that would be an issue with Murray.

For me, his body type as a collegian is far less of a concern than his arm talent.
RE: .  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 1:26 pm : link
In comment 14255581 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
I wouldn't hitch my wagon to a QB who weighs less than 200lbs and is under 6ft tall. I don't think the durability will be there and I don't think he'll be able to withstand taking hits from NFL defenders who are bigger, stronger, and faster than the guys he played against @ OU.

He won't last.

That's a valid concern but I think it is worth taking a chance with a late 1st or early 2nd round pick. I wouldn't touch him at 6 but If he can be had with their 2nd round pick I wouldn't complain even if they traded up a few spots. Murray would be ready to go in 2020 after a year learning behind a veteran and more importantly a year in an NFL strength and conditioning program.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 1:27 pm : link
Here's the other thing...

Murray will probably be drafted in the same area of the draft that Jackson was. And we're picking in the same area we were last year.

If you really want Murray, you'll likely have to move back up into the tail end of the first round to do it. We do have a bunch of picks and could probably package something to do it, but I don't think we'd be able to get Murray by standing pat with the picks we currently have.

6 is too early - we'd be sacrificing better value elsewhere. Have to take the best player on the board there and it won't be Murray.
RE: .  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 1:45 pm : link
In comment 14255592 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Here's the other thing...

Murray will probably be drafted in the same area of the draft that Jackson was. And we're picking in the same area we were last year.

If you really want Murray, you'll likely have to move back up into the tail end of the first round to do it. We do have a bunch of picks and could probably package something to do it, but I don't think we'd be able to get Murray by standing pat with the picks we currently have.

6 is too early - we'd be sacrificing better value elsewhere. Have to take the best player on the board there and it won't be Murray.

I would be willing to trade up into the end of round 1 to get him. The Giants would be moving up just 7-8 spots most likely. Now that is contingent upon Murray completely convincing the Giants that he is committed to football. That is my main concern with Murray. If he suffers a concussion in the preseason will he begin to question his decision?
If Murray enters the draft  
GoDeep13 : 1/9/2019 3:37 pm : link
He is the numbe one QB I want. His size doesn’t concern me at all since he plays very smart and doesn’t let himself take hits. He’s also not gonna be easy to get your hands on. He’s small but he’s is as elusive (if not more) as Lamar Jackson in the pocket. It be essentially like trying to catch a rabbit. He may not be able to bust 60+ yard runs on scrambles mike he did in college but I’m confident in his ability to avoid taking punishment.
Murray is a good baseball prospect...  
Dunedin81 : 1/9/2019 3:55 pm : link
and elite prospects actually do have a pretty good chance of making the bigs. But it's far from a sure thing, and even if he makes it and sticks he's likely going to need 3-4 years before he's established. So that's roughly 6 years of getting paid peanuts, slightly more peanuts, and then $500-$600K in his pre-arb years. And the minor league years are shitty. They're bus trips and hokey bullshit at parks and hoping you get called up to be the low man on an MLB totem pole.

The NFL is more dangerous and he may not get picked early, but the big payday - if it does come - would come much sooner, and the paychecks in the meantime will be quite good. In fact, he could have a solid NFL playing career and be done with it before he'd ever get to MLB free agency.

It's not as easy a decision as you suppose.
Personally I wouldn't consider #6 too early to take him  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 5:38 pm : link
But it seems a lot of people here are thinking we can get him at the end of round 1 if we trade up (a la Jackson last year). I don't know how confident I am that he'll still be there at the end of round 1. If he enters the draft I would feel more comfortable trading down from #6 and taking him in the middle of the first round. Obviously trading up from #38 to #30 to take him would be ideal considering we have the extra picks to make it happen, but I just don't see a playmaker like him lasting that long. He is a much better thrower of the ball than Jackson was, and he put up almost identical numbers to Baker Mayfield in the same offense and Mayfield just went #1 overall last year and may win rookie of the year.
RE: If Murray was 3 inches taller  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 5:47 pm : link
In comment 14255572 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
There would be daily threads about trading up to the #1 spot to take Murray.


Exactly this. Someone needs to explain to me why Baker Mayfield who just went #1 overall is a better prospect than Kyler Murray. They put up almost identical numbers in the same offense. Okay Baker is slightly bigger... well Murray is much quicker and faster. I'd take RB-like speed over an extra inch in height any day.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 5:53 pm : link
Again... Mayfield is 25lbs heavier than Murray.

It's a durability issue. Murray doesn't do you any good if he's not on the field. How many hits do you think a 5'10", 195lb QB is going to withstand?

I will be stunned if Murray has any sort of long career in the NFL as a QB. How many QB's in the history of the NFL have had legitimately successful careers at that size? Not just his height... his height and weight.
The size/weight is a concern  
Jay on the Island : 1/9/2019 5:58 pm : link
but I think Kyler Murray is going to be very similar to Deshaun Watson if he focuses solely on football. He won't make an immediate impact IMO but he will develop into a good player. The Giants will need to invest in a good backup though.
I dont understand the weight thing.  
Default : 1/9/2019 6:00 pm : link
Can't he put on some muscle via strength training and conditioning?
RE: I dont understand the weight thing.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:06 pm : link
In comment 14255941 Default said:
Quote:
Can't he put on some muscle via strength training and conditioning?


Sure. Do you think he's going to add 20lbs of muscle, though? How much weight is he realistically going to add to his frame?

Even at the combine, Wilson was 10lbs heavier.

His game also revolves around quickness and speed. At what point does adding weight start to negatively impact the parts of his game that make him so dangerous?

Murray the player is intriguing - I just have no faith in him being durable in the NFL.
RE: .  
Leg of Theismann : 1/9/2019 6:09 pm : link
In comment 14255581 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
I wouldn't hitch my wagon to a QB who weighs less than 200lbs and is under 6ft tall. I don't think the durability will be there and I don't think he'll be able to withstand taking hits from NFL defenders who are bigger, stronger, and faster than the guys he played against @ OU.

He won't last.


arc,

Murray is listed at 5'11" 194 lbs. Even if he just adds 10-15 lbs he will be about the size of an average NFL RB. Oh, and by the way, he is not a RB, he is a QB, and just because he is a "mobile QB" does not mean he is going to be taking hits on every single play. He does not rely on his running game nearly as much as Jackson did in college. Please don't tell me you're going to bring back the argument that mobile QBs are more prone to injury than immobile QBs, an argument that has been debunked by actual facts many times over.

Mayfield is 6'1" 209 lbs. Drew Brees is 6'0" 209 lbs. Technically speaking, if Murray just adds 10-15 lbs when he gets into an NFL workout program and thereby matches Mayfield's/Brees's weight, he would be more "solidly built" because he is shorter.

Russell Wilson is currently listed at 5'11" 215 lbs. You can't tell me that just because Murray weighs 20 lbs less at age 21 before even touching an NFL workout program he is therefore too slight of frame and will never "last" taking hits in the NFL.

You are basing your analysis of his frame entirely on just what you see with your naked eye as an amateur NFL fan/observer. Looks can be deceiving, and any NFL player can be either durable or injury-prone regardless of their listed height and weight and regardless of how "slight of frame" they appear to the naked eye. People certainly thought RGIII was solidly built, but that didn't stop him from having an injury-riddled career. More often than not a QB's durability is often determined by how well he avoids contact, along with numerous factors we can't measure with the naked eye.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:22 pm : link
Mayfield is 215, not 209 - he's 20lbs heavier than Murray is right now. The idea that Murray is going to just snap his fingers and add 20lbs of muscle is a little easier said than done. Not everyone has the same body type or responds the same way to adding weight.

I'm not sold that Murray even weighs 195. I think he's closer to 190.

And he's not a pure pocket passer. His athleticism is where so much of his value comes from. He's going to need to use his legs to succeed and he's inevitably going to take some hits. No one is going to draft Murray and then strip him of his running ability.

If you have faith in a QB this small holding up for the long haul when there's basically no example of this in NFL history - go ahead. It would surprise me, personally. I'm not going to just assume that Murray is going to be the same player as Russell Wilson because they are about the same height. Wilson also had a lot more college experience. Murray was a starter for one season.
People were saying the same thing about Mayfield last year  
NoGainDayne : 1/9/2019 6:24 pm : link
put me down as someone who would not mind Murray at #6 right now.

Our offense could be explosive with him. He might be smaller but his arm is better than Mayfield and Murray just oozes talent.

Not saying Murray is better than Mayfield but Mayfield went #1, I don't think Murray is much worse of one. No reason to think that since Murray is a better athlete than Mayfield this won't ensure he takes less hits.

What it comes down to is some players know how to avoid taking hits because they can strategize and play smart, others don't. There isn't anything about Murray that I can see right now that doesn't point to him being a smart player and good person. Let's not forget that Mayfield also had some character concerns in terms of being too egocentric especially. Murray doesn't seem like that at all, seems the opposite.
How is durability a size thing?  
csb : 1/9/2019 6:24 pm : link
Darren Sproles rarely missed a game until he was 34 years old and is a RB <200lbs. Carson Wentz is 6'5 240lb and can't play more than 10 games in a season. Doug Flutie wasn't injury prone.

Injuries are a combination of physics (how you take a hit alal Tiki) vs. genetics. Some people are very injury prone, some are extremely durable. Placing an "injury prone" label on a guy who is 5'9/10 with no evidence is presumptuous.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:27 pm : link
Darren Sproles is a 3rd down scatback who never even eclipsed 100 carries in a season. We're comparing him to a QB? Really?
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:35 pm : link
Mayfield was also a more advanced passer than Murray. It's not just about stats or size. Mayfield was much better at seeing the field and going through his progressions. He was more NFL ready as a passer.

Murray has work to do there. He's not a "throw your WR open" type of guy. I think some of you guys are just comparing numbers and assuming Murray is every bit as good as Mayfield. He's not, and he'd be a reach @ 6 overall. There will be better players there.

Want to trade up and nab him late 1st round? I could find a way to be okay with that. I wouldn't be in favor of taking him @ 6, though.
serious question  
santacruzom : 1/9/2019 6:35 pm : link
Is it accepted as true that muscle mass is beneficial in avoiding injury when you take a hit? I'd think things like flexibility would be more beneficial. Does muscle as a substance act as "armor" in some way?
Darren Sproles  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:37 pm : link
is also stout as fuck. Look at Murray, his listed numbers are extremely generous. Baker is pretty built, while Murray is definetly slender. I wouldn't be against him in second round though, he's definitely a player. Going to need to tailor your offense to him though. Him taking hits in the pocket, he won't last too long. Guys like him can last if they know how to protect themselves scrambling.
RE: How is durability a size thing?  
santacruzom : 1/9/2019 6:38 pm : link
In comment 14255955 csb said:
Quote:
Darren Sproles rarely missed a game until he was 34 years old and is a RB <200lbs. Carson Wentz is 6'5 240lb and can't play more than 10 games in a season. Doug Flutie wasn't injury prone.

Injuries are a combination of physics (how you take a hit alal Tiki) vs. genetics. Some people are very injury prone, some are extremely durable. Placing an "injury prone" label on a guy who is 5'9/10 with no evidence is presumptuous.


Yeah... I'm just not sure how self-evident it is that size in and of itself will help protect a player from hits. I can see how it can contribute to momentum and what not, which may be beneficial in some positions. But I'm sure we can find a large amount of QBs who weigh more than Eli Manning, take less hits on average, and STILL wind up getting hurt.
RE: serious question  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:39 pm : link
In comment 14255964 santacruzom said:
Quote:
Is it accepted as true that muscle mass is beneficial in avoiding injury when you take a hit? I'd think things like flexibility would be more beneficial. Does muscle as a substance act as "armor" in some way?


Muscle stabilizes joints. The more strength the muscle has around the ligaments and joints the more force it can receive.
RE: serious question  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:39 pm : link
In comment 14255964 santacruzom said:
Quote:
Is it accepted as true that muscle mass is beneficial in avoiding injury when you take a hit? I'd think things like flexibility would be more beneficial. Does muscle as a substance act as "armor" in some way?


Of course it does. Muscle is essentially a barrier. Why do you think boxers spend time developing their abdomens? It helps absorb the impact of punches to the gut and helps them to withstand the hits.
RE: RE: How is durability a size thing?  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:42 pm : link
In comment 14255969 santacruzom said:
Quote:
In comment 14255955 csb said:


Quote:


Darren Sproles rarely missed a game until he was 34 years old and is a RB <200lbs. Carson Wentz is 6'5 240lb and can't play more than 10 games in a season. Doug Flutie wasn't injury prone.

Injuries are a combination of physics (how you take a hit alal Tiki) vs. genetics. Some people are very injury prone, some are extremely durable. Placing an "injury prone" label on a guy who is 5'9/10 with no evidence is presumptuous.



Yeah... I'm just not sure how self-evident it is that size in and of itself will help protect a player from hits. I can see how it can contribute to momentum and what not, which may be beneficial in some positions. But I'm sure we can find a large amount of QBs who weigh more than Eli Manning, take less hits on average, and STILL wind up getting hurt.


This is gonna be a really unpopular opinion here, but Eli has made a career of avoiding the big hit in the pocket. A lot of his detractors make the point that point that Eli has been known as a chuck and duck guy in the face of pressure. He also has takes a seat if he knows he's zeroed in on because he knows he isn't scrambling out. I actually have no issue with it, better to stay healthy than to take big hits.
I'd be totally cool with the Giants taking Murray.  
Strahan91 : 1/9/2019 6:42 pm : link
I get the size and resulting durability concerns but his ceiling is sky high and I think that's a risk you take, especially if it's not at 6 overall. Given the rule changes in the last couple of years, QB's are better protected than they've ever been. Murray also shows an innate ability to avoid contact. His instincts are great there and his experience in baseball lends itself well to sliding.
Flexibility is important  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:43 pm : link
when it comes to training injuries or repetitive type injuries too.
I can see how it would be useful when being punched  
santacruzom : 1/9/2019 6:44 pm : link
to prevent those punches from diminishing your performance... but is it inherently useful in preventing injuries when you're being tackled, particularly when you're already receiving that sort of protection from pads?
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:46 pm : link
I'll actually put myself on an island here and bet that Dwayne Haskins has a better NFL career than Murray if Murray does indeed declare and wind up drafted.
Your ligaments also become stronger  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:47 pm : link
as your body puts on muscle to support the new found muscle. This is why steroid guys have a tendency to get hurt because the increase of ligament strength lags to the increase of muscle strength.
The only two QBs I'd want in blue  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:50 pm : link
are Haskins and Murray. I really like Murray and his fit in this new NFL. But his frame is pushing the limits of what will stay healthy at the NFL level. He looks slender when he's playing on an NCAA field. Big risk there with big reward.
People were also saying Mayfield would be a reach at #2  
NoGainDayne : 1/9/2019 6:51 pm : link
I don't think Murray makes it past pick #10 if he declares. I don't think he would be too keen to enter the draft if that weren't the case as well, and I think he's probably getting good advice.

The days of QBs falling based on size alone IMO is over. I think people were scared off by the Crouch's of the world but there is a big difference between an option QB that puts up stats and a more pro style offense.
RE: I can see how it would be useful when being punched  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 6:53 pm : link
In comment 14255980 santacruzom said:
Quote:
to prevent those punches from diminishing your performance... but is it inherently useful in preventing injuries when you're being tackled, particularly when you're already receiving that sort of protection from pads?


Muscle helps protect the more delicate parts of the skeleton and organs. Not every part of the body is protected or padded on the football field and contact usually finds its way around the pads.

Muscle can help soften the blow of a fall and provide "cushion" when getting hit.

Obviously in the NFL, speed, quickness, and flexibility are also vital - which is why you can't just put Arnold on the football field and have him own the league. There's a certain point where too much muscle can slow you down or be too much for your frame and create other issues...

But when we're talking about QB's and NFL players - yes, Russell Wilson's body will absorb contact better than Kyler Murray's will right now for the most part because his bones are better protected and his ligaments are stronger.
People conflate height and size at the QB position.  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/9/2019 6:55 pm : link
Frame size is paramount to staying healthy in the NFL. It is a big man's game. You better have some special skill ala Desean Jackson if you don't possess a larger frame. Even then Desean is pretty one dimensional on what he can do on a football field. Like people keep using height as this barometer, but Mayfield and Wilson are stout motherfuckers. If Rosen had a bigger frame you could make the argument he's the second qb taken off the board last year.
Murray is only 21 years old  
BigBlueShock : 1/9/2019 7:14 pm : link
Why are we acting like he’s not going to get bigger? His height may not change much, but I keep seeing people talking about his weight and saying Russell Wilson is 25 lbs heavier. Wilson was only 9 lbs heavier when he was drafted. He was 204. Hell, Murray could be up to that by time the combine rolls around. And they are the same height.
.  
arcarsenal : 1/9/2019 7:22 pm : link
He'll add some weight. But it's not like you just snap your fingers and add 20-25lbs. of muscle. That's a fairly significant change. Will it work naturally for him? Will he still maintain his quickness? His flexibility?

Russell Wilson isn't the type of player who just comes around every year. We need to stop just casually comparing Murray to him because they're the same height.

Wilson was a fantastic passer in college. He was accurate, his mechanics were really good - he was a natural signal caller and had all of the traits you want a QB to have between the ears.

Murray isn't on the same level. Doesn't mean Murray can't play in the NFL or sucks - I'm just skeptical, personally.
RE: RE: .  
speedywheels : 1/9/2019 7:25 pm : link
In comment 14255946 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:

Murray is listed at 5'11" 194 lbs.


I'll be surprised if he hits either of those numbers at the combine. Maybe he'll hit the weight. Maybe.
RE: RE: RE: .  
speedywheels : 1/9/2019 7:27 pm : link
In comment 14256029 speedywheels said:
Quote:
In comment 14255946 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:



Murray is listed at 5'11" 194 lbs.



I'll be surprised if he hits either of those numbers at the combine. Maybe he'll hit the weight. Maybe.


And even if he puts on that 10-15 pounds, there is no guarantee he'll keep the quickness that makes him so intriguing as a prospect
I loved  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 1/9/2019 9:18 pm : link
Brian Sipe when he played for the Browns. He was 5'11" and about 190 lbs, but that was 30 years ago. OTs and DTs weighed 250 - 275 lbs. Now they are 300-350 lbs. Sipe didn't last long -- though he was talented. Murray would not survive for long either. Picture Fletcher Cox grabbing Murray with one hand and flinging him like a toy.
I don't think it's crazy  
Natek212 : 1/9/2019 9:36 pm : link
if it doesn't work out at QB he can always return to baseball. He's much closer to being a great QB than he is a great baseball player, I would guess.

Baseball is a grind. He's looking at 2-3 years in the minor leagues. NFL he could start right away, and look at the success of certain rookies lately.
Murray reminds me of Flutie  
gary_from_chester : 1/9/2019 9:37 pm : link
Arguably Doug Flutie had a great professional career. The NFL thought he was too small and he set all kinds of records in the Canadian league. When he got his chance in the NFL in his later years he had some magical moments. I believe Flutie was 5 ft 9 and assume his weight was similar to Murray’s. I think Murray has that Flutie magic in him but some team in the NFL has to take a chance on him. I would love the Giants to draft him, but he does not fit their mold.
A's  
DanMetroMan : 1/9/2019 10:15 pm : link
expect Murray to enter the draft. Breaking.
OU & Giants fan here...  
oreojenkins : 1/9/2019 10:36 pm : link
Baker Mayfield was a SUBSTANTIALLY better NFL QB prospect than Kyler Murray is. So many people on here didn't want Baker due to his size; Baker is probably 3 inches and 20 lbs. heavier than Murray. Baker was an all-time prospect, whereas Murray would be an OK one IMO. I'd trust DG/Shurmur if they took him at #6, but I wouldn't be mad if they passed on him. If Murray enters the draft, he knows he's going in the first round, and I'd bet he goes in the top 10 for sure.
RE: OU & Giants fan here...  
Giants38 : 1/9/2019 10:49 pm : link
In comment 14256239 oreojenkins said:
Quote:
Baker Mayfield was a SUBSTANTIALLY better NFL QB prospect than Kyler Murray is. So many people on here didn't want Baker due to his size; Baker is probably 3 inches and 20 lbs. heavier than Murray. Baker was an all-time prospect, whereas Murray would be an OK one IMO. I'd trust DG/Shurmur if they took him at #6, but I wouldn't be mad if they passed on him. If Murray enters the draft, he knows he's going in the first round, and I'd bet he goes in the top 10 for sure.


You're an OU fan, so I'm sure you watched a ton of Murray, so I have no doubt you know what you are talking about. But I respectfully disagree. I just don't get why people don't see Murray as an absolutely fantastic prospect.

He can make all the throws, and he can do them while avoiding the rush. People wanted to see him do it against quality competition. Well - he threw for 300 and ran for 100 against Alabama, which is unequivocally good competition. He had a rough first couple of drives, but once he settled in, Alabama could not stop him (Oklahoma scored on their final 6 full drives). What's most impressive is Murray did that while getting pummeled and without his top WR even catching a pass.

He shows the ability to drive the ball to all levels of the field with accuracy, including the dime he dropped on the 50 yard pass while moving against Alabama.

And then he has Lamar Jackson like mobility, which adds an entire other dimension to your offense. I'm not suggesting running the guy until he breaks, but when you have a guy like that back there, it makes Saquon that much more difficult to stop, and when he breaks the pocket, there are going to be a lot of busted coverages downfield.

Think about the D the Chargers had to use to stop the Ravens on Sunday - the "Double Eagle". If you try that nonsense with the Giants, the Giants will drop 40 on you.
RE: .  
djm : 1/10/2019 12:15 am : link
In comment 14255957 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
Darren Sproles is a 3rd down scatback who never even eclipsed 100 carries in a season. We're comparing him to a QB? Really?


So you’re saying sproles takes less hits in a season than a running qb? You sure about that?
I think something teams have to consider is coaching QB durability  
Go Terps : 1/10/2019 2:33 am : link
More emphasis may need to be placed on practicing when to slide, how to slide, how to get out of bounds, how to identify the sticks, etc. It seems to make sense given the amount of athletic quarterbacks coming out of college.
RE: I think something teams have to consider is coaching QB durability  
Zeke's Alibi : 1/10/2019 3:09 am : link
In comment 14256336 Go Terps said:
Quote:
More emphasis may need to be placed on practicing when to slide, how to slide, how to get out of bounds, how to identify the sticks, etc. It seems to make sense given the amount of athletic quarterbacks coming out of college.


Trubisky actually does an excellent job of this. 1 and 2 down he'll slide before sticks and slides right after picking up 1st down.
If Murray had normal qb height, he might be the first player taken  
Ira : 1/10/2019 5:44 am : link
in the draft.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 1/10/2019 4:07 pm : link
In comment 14256307 djm said:
Quote:
In comment 14255957 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


Darren Sproles is a 3rd down scatback who never even eclipsed 100 carries in a season. We're comparing him to a QB? Really?



So you’re saying sproles takes less hits in a season than a running qb? You sure about that?


I'm saying we're comparing apples to oranges. Sproles is also like 4 inches shorter, but nearly the same weight. He has a very low center of gravity and is actually pretty built for his size.

There's also a difference between a RB running behind blockers on a designed run and a QB getting blindsided by an edge rusher.

It's not a good comparison.
RE: If Murray had normal qb height, he might be the first player taken  
arcarsenal : 1/10/2019 4:09 pm : link
In comment 14256347 Ira said:
Quote:
in the draft.


And if Lamar Jackson was an accurate passer capable of throwing the entire route tree, he probably would have been the first player taken last year...

He doesn't, and Murray isn't normal QB height - nor will he grow into it. This is what he is.
Drew Brees  
Rong5611 : 1/10/2019 6:05 pm : link
Is 2 inches taller...

If this kid is similar in skill level to Mayfield, we have to think about taking him at #6, if he makes it that far.

.  
arcarsenal : 1/10/2019 6:41 pm : link
Murray is probably 5'9" or 5'10" in all reality - so Brees is probably closer to 3-4" taller than Murray.

And again, Brees is probably about 20lbs heavier.

Lastly - height is one of about 20 different important factors. Just because Murray is "close" to Brees' height doesn't mean he's going to be anything like him as a pro QB.

I know some of you guys don't want to hear it, but the size is a real concern with this player. If you think my analysis or credentials aren't good enough, go read what Sy has to say about him. He's saying the same things I am and isn't even sure he's 5'10". I think in another thread, he said he wouldn't even be surprised if Murray was 5'8".

Beyond that - like I said yesterday, Mayfield was a better passing prospect. It goes deeper than the numbers. Mayfield was more advanced seeing the field and running through his progressions. Murray is still one of those "see WR open, throw to WR" QB's - he hasn't displayed the ability to actually throw his guys open like the real good QB's do.

Murray has a really nice arm - the arm strength is legit and so is his athleticism. I think he has a place in the NFL - I just don't think it's QB. And if it's not QB, is he going to stick around? I'd guess if playing QB doesn't work out for him, he'll want to go back to baseball.

Murray @ 6 would be tremendously risky.
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