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NFT: Mets Chat: Dom or Alonso?

DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 9:15 am
Fun battle going on

-Drew Smith back to NY for an MRI on his elbow (not good)

-Oswalt has touched 94-95, I like him as an "extra" guy but I remain concerned with the SP depth. Brodie has done a strong job adding to the positional depth (OF not great) but the SP is insanely thin.

-Don't like the idea being pushed of Rosario 8th. CF should hit 8th at least until Lowrie returns.

-This lineup should be very solid (especially once Lowrie returns) really think they need to add additional SP depth. They will need roughly 10 to get through the season and those arms barring a rapid ascent from guys like Kay or Peterson simply don't exist.

-Please sign Josh Fields. Thanks.
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Dom  
pjcas18 : 3/11/2019 9:18 am : link
gets two week audition, Alonso gets his time served in Syracuse and if Dom earns it he buys more time unless Alonso keeps hitting the cover off the ball. If he does you swap Alonso for Dom once Alonso gets his two weeks in Syracuse.

Howie  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 9:29 am : link
Rose (who I love) had the most asinine idea at 1b to open the season (platoon). Serves zero purpose.

- Alonso posted a .962 OPS vs. righties last year, he likely won't do that (or close) as a big leaguer but he hits righties, you're going to sit him vs. them?

-First 11 games includes 6 with the Nats, 3 with the Marlins 2 with the Twins. The Nats have 1 LH starter, the Marlins have 1 (Chen), Twins none. How many starts is Alonso getting over those first 11 to throw away a year of service time? 3? 4? Would be truly idiotic.
Makes no sense  
pjcas18 : 3/11/2019 9:35 am : link
to start Alonso in Queens. Especially since they have options.

He won't be happy with it, no rookie is, but until MLB changes that rule, it's a no-brainer.
RE: Dom  
Mike in NY : 3/11/2019 9:37 am : link
In comment 14323628 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
gets two week audition, Alonso gets his time served in Syracuse and if Dom earns it he buys more time unless Alonso keeps hitting the cover off the ball. If he does you swap Alonso for Dom once Alonso gets his two weeks in Syracuse.


My feelings exactly. Dom has done well enough this preseason to earn that audition. After the last few seasons perhaps it will help his confidence to know that performance is rewarded. As for pitching depth, Lockett has looked better than I expected though he needs to keep the ball in the ballpark. Also glad to see Avilan have a strong Spring because it would be nice to have a lefty in the pen who can pitch to more than one batter.
I agree with the Starting Depth being a concern.  
debo_GIANTS : 3/11/2019 9:39 am : link
Gio is still out there, how long do you think he waits before accepting a 1-year deal?

It would make a lot of sense from both sides, especially for the Mets since Dowdy has been awful.
As to 8 hole  
Mike in NY : 3/11/2019 9:40 am : link
I would consider putting McNeil there. I know it sounds crazy, but he is probably the best hitter on the Mets in terms of not swinging and missing at balls out of the strike zone. My concern with Rosario in that spot is with pitchers on deck they won't give him anything to hit because he won't be willing to draw a walk.
..  
Named Later : 3/11/2019 9:46 am : link
If you're going to send Pete to the minors -- you might as well make it for the full length and get credit for the Service Time.

A 2-week audition for Dom ?? They play the Nats 6 times in the first 2 weeks.....what kind of stats would Dom put up against that pitching staff ?? Dom Smith might benefit from a longer stretch of solid playing time. He might actually improve his trade value.

I believe just about every team in the League, including the Yankees would take advantage of that Service Time clause.

Oswalt  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 9:56 am : link
and Lockett have been cut from MLB camp.
Here's what I think will happen....  
No Where Man : 3/11/2019 9:58 am : link
Both Dom & Pete will make the team on Opening Day. Frazier to the 60 Day disabled list. Lowrie to the regular Disabled list. Davis is your everyday 3rd Baseman.
RE: As to 8 hole  
JayBinQueens : 3/11/2019 10:00 am : link
In comment 14323681 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
I would consider putting McNeil there. I know it sounds crazy, but he is probably the best hitter on the Mets in terms of not swinging and missing at balls out of the strike zone. My concern with Rosario in that spot is with pitchers on deck they won't give him anything to hit because he won't be willing to draw a walk.

I can see them doing something similar to last year with either Rosario or Mcneil in the 9 hole and having the P bat 8th
The Dom/Alonso "problem" is one I'm happy to have...  
Chris684 : 3/11/2019 10:00 am : link
Let Dom play for two weeks. Either he earns more time or you bring up Alonso at that point.

RE: Here's what I think will happen....  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:00 am : link
In comment 14323717 No Where Man said:
Quote:
Both Dom & Pete will make the team on Opening Day. Frazier to the 60 Day disabled list. Lowrie to the regular Disabled list. Davis is your everyday 3rd Baseman.


This makes absolutely no sense. You are starting Alonso's clock, losing a year of control to have him play at best 5-6 games? This option makes the least sense of all of them.

1) Dom starting
2) Biting the bullet, accepting losing a year on Alonso and he's your guy

Those are the only 2 options that make sense

Both is mind blowingly bad especially when they can't be in the lineup at the same time.
Agree on Dom Smith - he's earned a shot  
Eric on Li : 3/11/2019 10:05 am : link
and to a lesser degree JD Davis too. Alonso gives you someone that can provide a spark 2-3 weeks down the road if the team starts off a little flat. Unlike the other 2 he's also never faced big league pitching in the regular season. Let him get his feet under him in the minors then call him up.

I'm really encouraged to see the positive signs from Mcneil, Rosario, and Conforto this spring. Cano too. There is just a different vibe in terms of how the entire team is approaching at bats in a more comfortable way. Maybe that works maybe it doesn't, but we know the old way of doing things led to awful situational hitting year after year after year.

I'm also less enthused about the depth on the pitching side of things. For the life of me I have no idea whey they spent somewhere between $5-10m (depending on which options hit) on TDA/Mesoraco/Hechavarria instead of putting that money on the pitching staff. Guillorme (9/21 this spring with 3 XBH) and 1 of the catchers could suffice and I guess there's still time if they choose.
My ideal starting line-up until Lowrie is back  
Mike in NY : 3/11/2019 10:05 am : link
1) Nimmo/CF
2) Rosario/SS
3) Conforto/RF
4) Ramos/C
5) Cano/2B
6) Davis/3B
7) Smith/1B
8) McNeil/LF

That gives you L/R/L/R/L/R/L/L otherwise you can have Cano and Ramos swap and Davis and Smith swap so your back to back lefties will be 3/4 rather than 7/8
I can't believe..  
moze1021 : 3/11/2019 10:07 am : link
we have Wilson Ramos hitting cleanup.

Ugh.

Honestly how can the front office say they are going for it/the team to beat when that's the case?

Gross.
Pitching  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:17 am : link
depth 100% is an issue/concern. No way around it. I choose to be positive about this roster but as Eric noted they made some very curious budgetary decisions. Hech in particular was an odd addition at 3 million. He has PROVEN he can't hit MLB pitching. He's glove only, Guillorme could have provided that for 1/6th of the price.
RE: My ideal starting line-up until Lowrie is back  
Eric on Li : 3/11/2019 10:31 am : link
In comment 14323731 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
1) Nimmo/CF
2) Rosario/SS
3) Conforto/RF
4) Ramos/C
5) Cano/2B
6) Davis/3B
7) Smith/1B
8) McNeil/LF

That gives you L/R/L/R/L/R/L/L otherwise you can have Cano and Ramos swap and Davis and Smith swap so your back to back lefties will be 3/4 rather than 7/8


I know it's not ideal, but I think they need to just stack the lefties.

Cano should hit 3rd, Conforto should hit 4th, and Ramos 5th.

Rosario vs. Mcneil for 2nd can go either way. I'd probably ride the hot hand, especially in the rare games when we face a L.
DMM, I'm fully aware of the Alonso year of control issue.....  
No Where Man : 3/11/2019 10:32 am : link
I'm just taking BVW at his word here. I believe Alex Cora said that right now, Alonso is the best hitter in Florida, bar none. Would it make sense to send him down for the first few games to get another year of control? Of course it would. But what I believe the GM is trying to do here is send a clear message that the best players will play regardless of any contractual situation. That wasn't always the case with this team. See the Oliver Perez debacle for proof....
RE: DMM, I'm fully aware of the Alonso year of control issue.....  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:35 am : link
In comment 14323792 No Where Man said:
Quote:
I'm just taking BVW at his word here. I believe Alex Cora said that right now, Alonso is the best hitter in Florida, bar none. Would it make sense to send him down for the first few games to get another year of control? Of course it would. But what I believe the GM is trying to do here is send a clear message that the best players will play regardless of any contractual situation. That wasn't always the case with this team. See the Oliver Perez debacle for proof....


So then you don't carry Dom Smith. He's exclusively a 1b and he needs reps. What does Dom Smith add to the Mets roster while on the bench? Can't carry Alonso, JD Davis and Dom Smith at the same time.
Also minor pet peeve re: the catcher situation - Maldonado  
Eric on Li : 3/11/2019 10:40 am : link
they should have added him as the backup at that price.
Quote:
Sports Info Solutions
@SportsInfo_SIS
Royals C Martín Maldonado is very good at pitch-framing and preventing SB

Ranks T-5th in our "Strike Zone Runs Saved" stat and T-3rd in our SB Runs Saved stat over last 2 seasons

He's 4th among C in Defensive Runs Saved in that span

2m
Martín Maldonado threw out 15 of 33 attempting to steal on him last season (45%).

Both the results and limited number of attempts make him valuable from a statistical perspective.


I don't know whose pitch framing stats are better and baseball prospectus' say Maldonado had a down year last year, but even his arm alone would have been helpful to slow down the running game in those few series a year where teams try to run wild on Thor.
Past  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:46 am : link
2 seasons clouds Maldonado's numbers. Showed steep decline in 2018 and is 32. Catchers have shown to fall off VERY quickly with even pitch framing. I'd take him over TDA but he very well might have been waiting on a starting/platoon job (not an option here).
Both  
giantsFC : 3/11/2019 10:49 am : link
Are hot bats, why take a chance on their max confidence for a year of control?
You send Alonso down, by the time he comes back up he may be in a slump in AAA or he won’t be used to that MLB life again. A lot of it is confidence and comfort. Thiucal mets will make writ decision.
Alonso at 1st
Smith in the corner OF w McNeil & backup PH?
RE: I can't believe..  
Rory : 3/11/2019 10:56 am : link
In comment 14323735 moze1021 said:
Quote:
we have Wilson Ramos hitting cleanup.

Ugh.

Honestly how can the front office say they are going for it/the team to beat when that's the case?

Gross.


yo do you ever do anything on Mets threads other then complain. Go find another team if your gonna bitch all the time
RE: Both  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:58 am : link
In comment 14323845 giantsFC said:
Quote:
Are hot bats, why take a chance on their max confidence for a year of control?
You send Alonso down, by the time he comes back up he may be in a slump in AAA or he won’t be used to that MLB life again. A lot of it is confidence and comfort. Thiucal mets will make writ decision.
Alonso at 1st
Smith in the corner OF w McNeil & backup PH?


You're talking about legit 5 or so games for each player for that single year of control not to mention what confidence are they they gaining riding the pine 50% of the time?
RE: Both  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 10:58 am : link
In comment 14323845 giantsFC said:
Quote:
Are hot bats, why take a chance on their max confidence for a year of control?
You send Alonso down, by the time he comes back up he may be in a slump in AAA or he won’t be used to that MLB life again. A lot of it is confidence and comfort. Thiucal mets will make writ decision.
Alonso at 1st
Smith in the corner OF w McNeil & backup PH?


Smith also is no longer going to play OF (nor should he) and has not taken any OF reps.
RE: Pitching  
debo_GIANTS : 3/11/2019 11:07 am : link
In comment 14323758 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
depth 100% is an issue/concern. No way around it. I choose to be positive about this roster but as Eric noted they made some very curious budgetary decisions. Hech in particular was an odd addition at 3 million. He has PROVEN he can't hit MLB pitching. He's glove only, Guillorme could have provided that for 1/6th of the price.


DMM - you say this as if it is a forgone conclusion Hech has already made the opening day roster. I think they will try to send him to Syracuse and keep him there for as long as possible, only calling him up if Rosario goes down for an extended period.

Think of him like a $3M insurance option in case we need a SS. I believe he only gets paid for making the roster and for games played.
Both come North  
bigschott : 3/11/2019 11:10 am : link
Nimmo (CF)
Alonso (1b)
Cano (2b)
Ramos (c)
Conforto (RF)
McNeil (SS)
Rosario (SS)
Dom (LF)

I'd save the year of service time  
Metnut : 3/11/2019 11:18 am : link
on Alonso, especially with Smith looking like a viable option at 1B with a strong spring. Hopefully Brodie's comments don't end up costing us a year of Alonso.

Dan's right about the pitching and we've been harping on it for a while. It looks like the front office isn't going to do anything there given the late date. Nice to see Oswalt flashing a little bit this spring but it's pretty thin when he's the #6 guy.
RE: RE: Pitching  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 11:19 am : link
In comment 14323923 debo_GIANTS said:
Quote:
In comment 14323758 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


depth 100% is an issue/concern. No way around it. I choose to be positive about this roster but as Eric noted they made some very curious budgetary decisions. Hech in particular was an odd addition at 3 million. He has PROVEN he can't hit MLB pitching. He's glove only, Guillorme could have provided that for 1/6th of the price.



DMM - you say this as if it is a forgone conclusion Hech has already made the opening day roster. I think they will try to send him to Syracuse and keep him there for as long as possible, only calling him up if Rosario goes down for an extended period.

Think of him like a $3M insurance option in case we need a SS. I believe he only gets paid for making the roster and for games played.


Mickey has talked him up as if he's making the roster. I can only take the manager at his word. Hech aside, TDA same thing, 3+ million if he makes the roster. Money better spent on one of the flier SP's.
RE: RE: RE: Pitching  
Metnut : 3/11/2019 11:21 am : link
In comment 14323966 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 14323923 debo_GIANTS said:


Quote:


In comment 14323758 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


depth 100% is an issue/concern. No way around it. I choose to be positive about this roster but as Eric noted they made some very curious budgetary decisions. Hech in particular was an odd addition at 3 million. He has PROVEN he can't hit MLB pitching. He's glove only, Guillorme could have provided that for 1/6th of the price.



DMM - you say this as if it is a forgone conclusion Hech has already made the opening day roster. I think they will try to send him to Syracuse and keep him there for as long as possible, only calling him up if Rosario goes down for an extended period.

Think of him like a $3M insurance option in case we need a SS. I believe he only gets paid for making the roster and for games played.



Mickey has talked him up as if he's making the roster. I can only take the manager at his word. Hech aside, TDA same thing, 3+ million if he makes the roster. Money better spent on one of the flier SP's.


Would you take Hech and TDA or Guillorme/Mesoraco and Derek Holland (1 yr $7M deal)? I'd take the latter and it's not even close. Not a huge difference in money.
2nd  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 11:25 am : link
one without thinking twice. Holland, Buchholz, Santana, Brett Anderson (1.5 guaranteed!), Tyson Ross, Miley 4.5! There were plenty of these guys who made some sense.
TDA has made the team barring health (he's healthy right now)  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 11:38 am : link
per Rosenthal source.

They keep saying the best 25 are going north  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 11:40 am : link
That makes me nervous they will take Alonso over Smith but if they do do that at least be fair. Take Guillorme over Hech who's clearly earned that spot based on the spring.
Frazier passed a big test today apparently in his rehab  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 11:43 am : link
Bleh. I kind of like the Smith, Alonso, JD Davis battles brewing without Frazier gunking things up.
One reason I also think Smith might head to Syracuse  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 11:52 am : link
is they simply want to avoid the confrontation all together. Might sound stupid but what do you do in 2 weeks if Smith is hitting ok but Alonso is still clearly the better long term option in AAA? "Sorry Smith, you have done nothing wrong... you're hitting now... but See ya! Off to AAA you go!"

Really bad optics.
The  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 11:52 am : link
RP's Sandy traded for are really having a wonderful go of it aren't they? lol

Mariners rookie right-hander Gerson Bautista left today’s game after suffering an injury to his upper arm and/or pectoral muscle. (MLB.com’s Greg Johns was among those to report the details.) There’s no word yet on the severity of the injury, though Bautista left the mound in visible discomfort. Bautista was part of the trade package acquired from the Mets as part of the Robinson Cano/Edwin Diaz trade, and the 23-year-old has been making a good case to win a bullpen job during an impressive spring.
So we are carrying 3 catchers north?  
bhill410 : 3/11/2019 11:58 am : link
Or has Shecky alluded to TDA starts year on DL.

And I am petrified that the Mets will do something silly like break camp with Alonso since BVW has seemingly made it a mission to be more player centric. I told myself I won’t get beyond annoyed but I have zero confidence in my ability to do so.
This works out perfectly  
larryflower37 : 3/11/2019 11:58 am : link
Mets can justify starting Dom and sending down Alonso.
Both get AB's and you look at it again in May.
RE: So we are carrying 3 catchers north?  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:01 pm : link
In comment 14324075 bhill410 said:
Quote:
Or has Shecky alluded to TDA starts year on DL.

And I am petrified that the Mets will do something silly like break camp with Alonso since BVW has seemingly made it a mission to be more player centric. I told myself I won’t get beyond annoyed but I have zero confidence in my ability to do so.


Mesoraco signed a minor league deal. He can opt out but not sure he would really want to. It's not like he's having a huge spring and teams would be beating down the door for him.
..  
DanMetroMan : 3/11/2019 12:03 pm : link
Guillorme (.429/.520/.667) vs. Hechavarria (.167/.250/.333, and costs 6 times more)

Go with Guillorme
TDA clearly isn't  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:04 pm : link
starting on the DL if he's catching in games and hitting bombs with 2 weeks to go IMO.
RE: ..  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:05 pm : link
In comment 14324095 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Guillorme (.429/.520/.667) vs. Hechavarria (.167/.250/.333, and costs 6 times more)

Go with Guillorme


Heck yeah. He looks stronger to me this year too. Put on some muscle and is hitting with more authority.
The one thing being overlooked in this thread  
Shecky : 3/11/2019 12:06 pm : link
is the 40 man juggling act when deciding who makes/stays on the OD roster and beyond. As much as the service time thing is a no brainier, so are some 40 man moves.
RE: The one thing being overlooked in this thread  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:10 pm : link
In comment 14324110 Shecky said:
Quote:
is the 40 man juggling act when deciding who makes/stays on the OD roster and beyond. As much as the service time thing is a no brainier, so are some 40 man moves.


True but they just removed TJ Rivera so they can easily add Alonso there. Who else? Guillorme is on the 40, Hech isnt. Same for TDA over Mesoraco.
Ive seen enough of Espinosa  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:12 pm : link
Just release him.
I think we are all unanimous here in wanting Alonso  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:15 pm : link
to get the extra year of service time but if the Mets feel Alonso is "their guy" and he's the next Goldschmidt or whatever... Im not going to be mad about it. We are trying to win in 2019 and every game counts so I semi-get it.
Alonso  
Shecky : 3/11/2019 12:29 pm : link
They may bring him north
BUT
Under literally no scenario does it make sense.
Unless you think he’s a monster and have zero alternatives. Well they have several alternatives, and if he IS a monster... that would literally be the number one reason you would WANT to control him an extra year...
RE: Alonso  
Eric on Li : 3/11/2019 12:33 pm : link
In comment 14324182 Shecky said:
Quote:
They may bring him north
BUT
Under literally no scenario does it make sense.
Unless you think he’s a monster and have zero alternatives. Well they have several alternatives, and if he IS a monster... that would literally be the number one reason you would WANT to control him an extra year...


Also starting the year with your best team isn't as important as finishing the year with your best team. Even if Alonso ends up the better 1B, Dom Smith could be an important chip to trade at some point to help accomplish the latter. Developing both of them is the optimal result for the team.
Alonso  
Jerry from Maine : 3/11/2019 12:43 pm : link
Me. I would trade Dom. Bring back some young talent.
RE: Alonso  
ZGiants98 : 3/11/2019 12:57 pm : link
In comment 14324182 Shecky said:
Quote:
They may bring him north
BUT
Under literally no scenario does it make sense.
Unless you think he’s a monster and have zero alternatives. Well they have several alternatives, and if he IS a monster... that would literally be the number one reason you would WANT to control him an extra year...


True.
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