then I truly hope some other things fall into place to increase the chances of the Giants going after Wilson. It doesn't mean it will not happen if those things don't happen first but I would feel a lot better about it. I seem to be one of the few that really want them to go after Wilson too. We all asked the question is there any QB that could overcome the Giants' terrible OL the last 5 years. I thought about it and only come up with Wilson. Brady, Rogers, Brees etc would have struggled nearly as bad as Eli IMHO. Wilson is the only QB I feel could still have gotten the Giants' into the playoffs. That being said, as I have previously mentioned, I would still like to see some other things fall into place first.
1. The Giants would have to pass on all the QBs in this year's draft first. There is no point in going after Wilson if you grab any of the top 5 QBs coming out of college this year. That would be the KC model after all. However, if they don't grab a QB then you don't have to extend Eli for a rookie to learn from. Grabbing a veteran of Wilson's caliber is the only other option there.
2. Giants really need to do well in this draft. Sure they have 12 picks but it's not like they are all high picks. There are a lot of holes and I don't think any QB can overcome such a poor defense. The defense needs a stud run defender in the middle and a stud pass rusher to get after the QB. Get this defense to at least average and a dominant run-first offense can take the league by storm.
3. Wilson really will have to want to leave Seattle AND want to come to NY. It's possible the Seahawks could just let him walk next season but that's highly unlikely. Wilson would have to make it clear to Seattle he wants out of Seattle. Seahawks could let him go out of respect and do not want a disgruntled QB. Hell of a reach. WILSON WILL GET HIS! Believe that but Seahawks want to get something out it too. Neither the Seahawks or the Giants have much money to play with this year but he's already under contract with Seahawks this year. Next year both the Giants and Seahawks have a lot more money to play with. However, the Seahawks have substantially more. They will franchise him with either the exclusive or non-exclusive tag to secure his rights. Hopefully, it's the exclusive tag so the Giants could possibly make a deal for less than 2 first rounders.
- Exclusive Tag: Seahawks would hold all the cards. Giants' would have to want Wilson as bad as he wants NY (if that's truly what he wants) because only the Seahawks can negotiate. Wilson doesn't have any say in it.
- Non-Exclusive Tag: Seattle would give Wilson (and his people) the right to negotiate with another team and sign an offer sheet. Said team would have to have to be willing to give 2 first round picks to sign him. This would likely be the highest (or very close) contract for a QB in the league. The reason is it has to be high enough that Seattle doesn't want to match it. However, it would also cost 2 first rounders so that's a lot to give up.
If all of that falls into place, I'd love it if they went after Wilson. If not (more likely), I think they go after a QB next year in the draft and maybe sell the farm to trade up and get him as well. In that scenario, Eli probably gets extended as well. Sure they give up prime draft picks to move up just like they would with Wilson but they will also get a much cheaper QB in the process. Unfortunately, he wouldn't be as sure a thing as Wilson.
A 4th. Pete Carroll wants to start over with a rookie Â
I'm not counting on Rosen. Doubt the Giants will pay what the Cards want in draft picks for Rosen and I doubt the Giants would pay what the Seahawks want in a trade and be willing to take on that salary.
RE: RE: If DG doesn't draft a QB this year, or trade for Rosen, Â
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
Wilson is already 31, right? Next year he'll be 32. Giving him a big contract like Eli's and we'll be right back where we are right now in a couple years. An aging QB with a big salary hit, which will handcuff us again for a few years.
Something reasonable whatever that may be, Yes . Long term
... NO!
Seattle was great when they were paying all the other players and had him on a cost controlled salary.
The reason they aren't great anymore isn't because of Wilson's contract. It's because the Seahawks GM has been bad at his job. Since 2013 they've only drafted in the 1st round twice. Germain Ifedi & Rashaad Penny.
Here are there picks in the first 3 rounds since 2016 and their PFF grades.
Germain Ifedi 55.2
Jarran Reed 69.2
CJ Prosise 54.6
Nick Vannett 63.3
Rees Odhiambo was cut after 15 games
Malik McDowell never played a game
Ethan Pocic 45.9
Shaq Griffin 50.7
Delano Hill 62.1
Nazair Jones 56.8
Amara Darboh 8 career catches
Rashaad Penny 63.8
Rasheem Green 46.5
So they've drafted all these bad players. Yet they are still 29-18-1 the last 3 years. Without Russ they are probably a 3-4 win team.
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
I'm not opposed to signing a market rate contract. But giving up the draft collateral (2 first round picks) for the privilege of paying that contract is a big No for me. Currently Rodgers is at the top. Wilson will eclipse that benchmark and will require $34M/yr.
Good QB, but he's a mobile QB on the other side of 30. That's a bad investment.
Because he's fucking awesome? He's a Top 5 QB in the NFL.
Russ isn't a running QB. He's a pocket passer who can move. He's easily got 5 years left in him. More then likely he'll be playing for another 7-9 years.
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
I'm not opposed to signing a market rate contract. But giving up the draft collateral (2 first round picks) for the privilege of paying that contract is a big No for me. Currently Rodgers is at the top. Wilson will eclipse that benchmark and will require $34M/yr.
It all depends on the picks used. If they can get him for 17 overall and a 2020 first rounder I'd do it. I wouldn't give up the 6th pick.
I'd much rather give up those two picks for Russ then draft Daniel Jones at 17 and keep our 2020 first rounder.
About this. Paying him 35+ million plus at least 2-3 premium draft picks is just dumb. Seattle isn’t going to give him away for nothing. Plus, they will have 2 years after this year to franchise him as well.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
About this. Paying him 35+ million plus at least 2-3 premium draft picks is just dumb. Seattle isn’t going to give him away for nothing. Plus, they will have 2 years after this year to franchise him as well.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
I have no problem paying him the money because in two years that will be an average contract for a top QB. My issue is giving up the compensation you referenced.
gives him more leverage in negotiations IMO. Even if these rumors were true, I don’t see the Giants, especially DG, hamstringing the Giants with another huge salary right now. Build the team, get yourself a young aspiring QB with a low cap hit and continue to build the team.
this team is rebuilding. They will add vets like Tate and others to provide leadership and experience, and yes they want to win games, but this is rebuilding.
Toward that end, you rebuild with a you d QB with potential who is cost controlled, not a veteran who eats up much of your cap space. That allows you the freedom to plug holes with vets as you look to correct longer term through the draft. Every team will have draft picks that bust and injuries that need to be patched.
If this team was about winning now, Wilson makes a ton of sense as he is an elite QB and will be for several more years. He is just not the right player for where this team is now.
This is becoming like the Odell situation. Keeps coming up and everyone keeps laughing about it until the shoe actually drops randomly one day
Well the Odell thing was beaten to death for a long time. I think the biggest issue with this trade scenario for Wilson is what we do with Eli immediately after the trade. Wilson obviously becomes the starter immediately. I just dont see this happening.
It makes no sense for the Giants, with their various holes/problems, to give up multiple valuable assets in a trade and pay Wilson max money.
His contract is Seattle’s problem.
No it's not. Their problem is the GM has done a horrible job for the 3 years. Their draft picks are listed above. They aren't good.
Their cap space isn't good, but that really isn't due to Russ. It's more the rest of the team.
Frank Clark has a 17 million dollar cap hit. He's worth big money, but it should be a long term deal.
Doug Baldwin had 500 yards in 13 games last year. He has a 13.1 million dollar cap hit.
Kam Chancellor retired and has a 12.5 million dollar hit.
Justin Britt was PFF 29th ranked Center with an 8 million dollar cap hit.
Barkevious Mingo has 10 sacks in 6 seasons with a 5 million dollar hit.
Ed Dickson is a good blocking TE, but he averages 240 yards and 1.7 TDs a year for his career with a 4.5 million dollar hit.
That's 60 million tied up into 1 very good player, 1 above average, 1 retired player and 3 below average players. That's the Seahawks problem. Not Russ. Yet they're still 29-18-1 over the last 3 years. With 2 playoff appearances and 1 playoff win. In 2016 they lost to a very good Falcons team that should have won the Super Bowl.
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
This.
I’d give up 6, 17 and 37 right now for him.
RE: RE: RE: If DG doesn't draft a QB this year, or trade for Rosen, Â
Wilson is already 31, right? Next year he'll be 32. Giving him a big contract like Eli's and we'll be right back where we are right now in a couple years. An aging QB with a big salary hit, which will handcuff us again for a few years.
Something reasonable whatever that may be, Yes . Long term
... NO!
Sorry but this is not a justification as it's a whole lot of wrong.
First, Wilson is 30 and turns 31 in late November
Born: November 29, 1988 (age 30)
Second, a couple years? Eli started this last contract at age 34. It was for 5 years thus making him start the final year on this contract at age 38 (he will turn 39 season's end). Wilson on a 5 contract (next year) would start the season under a new contract at age 31 and if the contract also for 5 years, would start the final year of his contract at age 35. Those are all still prime years for a QB of his caliber.
There are good reasons to go another direction but Wilson's age is not one of them.
I'll keep posting this as well as I have done now in several threads. So many here keep wanting/expecting a great player but don't want to pay for him. It's hard enough to find a franchise worthy QB (or any player) in the draft but one that will come out of the gate the best in the game with sustainability is even more rare.
Only 2 QBs in the last 15 years made it to the show and won on their rookie deal. Roethlisberger and Wilson (Ironically). Both had a good supporting cast and DID NOT do it on their own. Hell Roethlisberger's first SB win is regarded as one of the worst QB performances ever by a QB in a SB. Steelers won despite the QB's performance, not because of it.
-Brown's (Mayfield) finished 7-8
--From 1999 through week 4 of the 2018 season, the team had 30 different players start at quarterback.
-Chief's (Mahommes) finished 12-4.
--They already had a great team before the year they drafted him. Won their division at 10-4 the previous year while sitting Mahommes to learn from Alex Smith. Now he only has 2 cheap years left before the 5th year option. The 5th year option IS NOT cheap. They will pay the man before then.
-Stopping here but it can continue with every other starting QB in the league.
I'll end with this. Everyone is concerned with making a QB the highest paid and claiming it's not worth it. Nobody seems to notice that they only top that list in the first year or two. Maybe more for a player like Rogers that always demands a re-work when he's out of the top 5. Let's look at those yearly averages with an extra focus on Roethlisberger, Eli, and Rivers as measuring sticks (drafted together and often compared with each other). I'll also specify Wilson since he also re-signed his contract in 2015.
By average yearly salary:
2015 (when Eli signed his last deal)
Rogers was 1st
Wilson was 2nd
Roethlisberger was 3rd
Manning was 4th (Contrary to popular belief, not the highest paid QB in the league)
Rivers was 5th
2016
In order; Luck, Palmer, Brees, and Flacco jumped ahead of them
Wilson was 6th (already out of the top 5 after just 1 year)
Roethlisberger was 7th
Manning was 8th (already out of the top 5 after just 1 year)
Rivers was 9th
2017
In order; Stafford and Carr joined in the mix to be 1st and 2nd. Cousins jumped in the middle as the 6th highest that year.
Wilson was 9th
Roethlisberger was 10th
Manning was 11th (Out of the top 10 after 2 years)
Rivers was 12th
2018
In order: Rogers moves back to #1. Ryan gets a new deal for 2nd. Cousins moves up to 3rd. Garoppolo enters the fray at 4th. Alex Smith jumps in the middle at 9th.
Wilson was 11th (Out of the top 10 after 3 years)
Roethlisberger was 12th
Manning was 13th
Rivers was 14th
So in conclusion, it's not the money I am concerned with either. That whole #1 paid thing is overblown and changes very fast. Let's not forget as well that the Giants are currently estimated to have $80M in cap space next year.
trade and don’t look back. He’s got at least 5 pro bowl years left in him. Imagine an offense with Wilson, Barkley, Tate, Shepard, Engram. And more importantly a solid offensive line.
The $$ aspect is overblown. Every year a new QB becomes the highest paid. That’s what happens when you have a rising salary cap.
RE: RE: If DG doesn't draft a QB this year, or trade for Rosen, Â
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
If and when Wilson signs a FA contract with Seattle or anyone it’s going to be the richest contract ever. You better make peace with that.
And he's worth every penny. The Seahawks roster sucks. Especially on offense. The Giants have better are better at RB, WR, TE and OL. They have a better defense then us as of right now, but we have 12 draft picks and they have 4. Also I believe we will sign guys after May 8th. That's when UFAs aren't counted in the compensatory formula. So come June 1st I think the defenses will be much closer.
They honestly haven't drafted well since 2012 (Look it up). Their free agent signings have been bad. Yet the last 3 years they are 29-18-1 with 2 playoff appearances.
at a high level for 5 more years. It's worth considering, but I wouldn't be inclined to give up our first 3 picks this year either. I doubt DG would do that; It's pretty obvious what DG is doing, he is stockpiling picks to find his own guys.
Maybe some combo involving 17 and future picks, but Seattle is going to want 6.
but there is smoke and it does seem to keep building up.
I know Seattle doesn't usually work the contract this early but it still seems unusual given the timeline Wilson gave them. Are they trying to make a point by holding off? Are they heavily considering other options? Is, perhaps, Wilson pushing back because he wants out? Could there already be some kind of a deal being worked out that involves the Giants? It's just odd that they haven't re-signed him yet.
Source Spotrac.com: Seattle shows a little less than $3M in cap space for 2019 but around $85M for 2020. Giants show around $4.7M for 2019 but around $74M for 2020.
Seattle saves trading Wilson now: $17M
Giants savings if cutting Eli: $12M
Giants are clearly short of even being able to pay him on his final year as it currently stands. They would have to adjust some contracts (Zeitler still hasn't been re-worked) and probably sign him to a new contract soonest and backload some of the money. I suppose the loss of high draft picks from the Giants would save a little money when they spend on their draft picks as well.
It would be tough to do for this season. I'm thinking it's a real possibility in 2020 if Seattle doesn't re-sign him earlier. So the options for 2020 now look like Wilson, Tua, Fromm, and maybe Herbert for 2020. Who's got more upside? Which will cost less in cap space? Which will cost less in draft capital? Risk vs reward? I'm liking the options better for next year than this year more and more.
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s mostly about dollars and what we’d have to give up for him that is concerning, at least to me. No question, a great player
But if he truly wants to be here maybe he takes a deal that’s fair to both sides. He’ll get paid either way but maybe not necessarily the highest contract in league history.
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
If that is not just lip service, then they should be all in on Wilson if he is available. I think it would be hard to find many people- except maybe within the Giants organization - who believe Wilson would not be a significant upgrade to Eli at this point.
Your argument is misleading. Seattle has lost a ton of talented players over the years bc of Wilson’s contract. Earl Thomas, Richard Sherman, Bennett, the list goes on and on.
Has Seattle’s drafting declined? Sure, but they haven’t been Reese level bad.
It makes no sense for the Giants, with their various holes/problems, to give up multiple valuable assets in a trade and pay Wilson max money.
His contract is Seattle’s problem.
It makes plenty of sense. If the Giants feel they are a win now or 'win soon' you get a vet QB who is significantly younger than Eli and an excellent fit for what Shurmur wants in a QB for his system.
You trade out Elis salary and while he will get paid more you get a known commodity who will likely play at a high level for another 5+ years.
is how far we are away from competing. How we need to draft better. How we need to get better drafts and build through the draft...
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
is how far we are away from competing. How we need to draft better. How we need to get better drafts and build through the draft...
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Drafting better is not generally how you “win now” which is what JT is insisting the view is within the Giants front office. If you are trying to win now the only decision is “which player gives us a better chance to win next Sunday.” Yes if the cost in picks is too high you don’t mortgage the future, but having an elite QB under center for the next 5 years certainly makes this team winning consistently much more likely.
Russ is in my opinion an elite qb. The salary doesn't scare me because the Giants are healthy cap wise and will still be able to build the team with a 30 mil plus cap hit. And those that are scared off by his salary, Eli hasn't justified his cap hit in many years, yet some have no problem trotting him out at his cap hit and argue that he needs better pieces.
The cost to trade for him will be big, but we would have to trade assists anyway to get a top qb in 2020 if we don't take one this year and need to move up. Except with Wilson, we're guaranteed a top qb.
The Giants already have a top 10 run game. Unfortunately, it took them half the season to either realize that or felt forced to run more. Let's hope the run/pass ratio is cleaned up next season. All signs point toward that being the case IMHO.
NY Giants ranked 24th in YPG last year but 7th in average yards per rush. 1st in fewest fumbles rushing the ball. Barkley has a 5.0 YPA. Gallman a respectable 3.5 YPA as his relief.
However, they ranked 5th in their rush vs pass attempt. They rushed the ball 38.98% of the time for the whole year so that includes when they stepped it up the 2nd half of the season and still only rushed the 5th LEAST in the league. Seattle ranked as the #1 rushing offense in the league and that's because they rushed the ball 52.44% which is also good for #1 in the league. So it ranks them as the #1 rushing offense but I don't think anyone believes Seattle has the best rushing offense in the league. If you do, you're not paying attention.
This shows the Giants are more effective at running the ball than most of the NFL and yet don't run the damn ball enough. If they don't focus on the run in 2019, regardless of every team defending against it with OBJ gone, I'll be pissed off. If you didn't see me do it game thread or any other thread, be ready to see the following quote, "RUN THE DAMN BALL!"
Go defense heavy in this draft and maybe a RT if one is there at 17 or 37 rated higher than the remaining defenders. Maybe an OC in the 3rd if one drops. All other positions are on defense. They should also trade lower draft picks to move up and get more defenders or trade them for higher picks next year as they may need that draft capital more in 2020. Next year weigh and measure your options for Tua, Fromm, Herbert, Wilson, Eli, and anyone else that's at least competant.
About this. Paying him 35+ million plus at least 2-3 premium draft picks is just dumb. Seattle isn’t going to give him away for nothing. Plus, they will have 2 years after this year to franchise him as well.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
You're right that it isn't smart. But look at how ancient our starting QB is right now, if you think Wilson is old or on the verge of being old.
About this. Paying him 35+ million plus at least 2-3 premium draft picks is just dumb. Seattle isn’t going to give him away for nothing. Plus, they will have 2 years after this year to franchise him as well.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
You're right that it isn't smart. But look at how ancient our starting QB is right now, if you think Wilson is old or on the verge of being old.
They need to go young...draft one or get Rosen. Wilson IS one of the best in the game. I'd love for him to be in Blue. The cost will be crazy that is my beef.
Your argument is misleading. Seattle has lost a ton of talented players over the years bc of Wilson’s contract. Earl Thomas, Richard Sherman, Bennett, the list goes on and on.
Has Seattle’s drafting declined? Sure, but they haven’t been Reese level bad.
Their drafts have been just as bad as Reese's drafts. At least Reese got Odell, Shepard, Engram, Landon. Not to mention guys like Pugh, Richburg, Kennard who got big contracts from other teams.
They didn't lose those guys because of Wilson's contract.
Sherman played for the Seahawks for 3 years after the Russ extension. He declined significantly and had an injury. That's why he was let go.
Thomas got an extension and played for the Seahawks for 4 years after Wilson's extension. Was injured 3 of the 4 years of his contract and then flipped the bird to the sideline. That's why he's gone.
Michael Bennett played for Seattle for 3 years after Wilson's extension. Bennett was supposedly a pain in the ass the year before he got released and was 32.
So those guys got extensions after Russ. Their problem was they didn't plan to replace those guys and they drafted horribly.
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
No knock on Wilson but giving a huge contract to
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
RE: If you can get this guy for 6, 17, and 37 you make Â
trade and don’t look back. He’s got at least 5 pro bowl years left in him. Imagine an offense with Wilson, Barkley, Tate, Shepard, Engram. And more importantly a solid offensive line.
The $$ aspect is overblown. Every year a new QB becomes the highest paid. That’s what happens when you have a rising salary cap.
No way, the defense is a mess. Stick to the rebuild.
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
Didn’t we sign a HOF QB in his prime and piss it away with shitty OL and defenses?
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
Didn’t we sign a HOF QB in his prime and piss it away with shitty OL and defenses?
We would be upgrading from the least elusive qb in the league to the most. We wouldn’t have to hear “he just needs an elite o line to play well!”
No knock on Wilson but giving a huge contract to
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
How many quality years left? You're saying Eli could play to 40, by that logic Wilson has eight years.
No knock on Wilson but giving a huge contract to
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
How many quality years left? You're saying Eli could play to 40, by that logic Wilson has eight years.
For those that don't want to give up a lot of cap space AND a lot draft capital, I respect that. I share those concerns. That's a ton to give up when combined together. Taking a shot with a rookie starts to sound more appealing. However, those saying no to just one of those are crazy. At least read the follow-up posts to the OP. He wouldn't be the highest paid for more than a year and the draft picks are worth it to sign a known commodity that's an "ELITE" (yes ELITE) QB. However, combine the two together and it's a tougher sell. I completely respect that stance.
However, dear god I've said it once already on this thread and several other threads. Wilson just turned 30 last November. Barely 30. Not 31. Not 32. He won't turn 31 until the end of November which is most of the way through the next season.
In comparison to Eli Manning. Wilson started in the pros at age 24 and Eli started at age 23. Wilson has played in half the games Eli has but like Eli (except for that one infamous game), Wilson has never missed a game. Wilson has played 7 seasons and Eli has played 15 (again less than half). Wilson has been sacked on average 43 times a season to Eli Manning's 27 times a season. Both are as durable as you could possibly hope for in a QB.
If Wilson is signed this year or the next it will likely be for 4-5 years. Wilson will still be in his prime for those years and then he will still be good for 3-5 more years after that contract. AGE IS NOT A FACTOR IN THIS!
is how far we are away from competing. How we need to draft better. How we need to get better drafts and build through the draft...
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Having Pro Bowl QB play makes competing a hell of a lot easier.
Would not they have to change the whole offense ... Â
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
Why would you laugh hysterically to see our team fail? Great fan.
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
He’s working hard to get his poster of the year trophy. This is right on cue with pretty much everything else he posts. All negativity, lots of drama.
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
He’s working hard to get his poster of the year trophy. This is right on cue with pretty much everything else he posts. All negativity, lots of drama.
Poster of the Year? Sweet. I'm in for that. Better to be awful than just mediocre. In fact, that goes for football as well, where you might as well tank and get the 1 pick, not try to go 9-7. But, hey, the Giants haven't picked that up.
And that's the funny part. According to JT, the Giants are not trying to "win-now". They are trying to win some games now. They don't even think they can win a Super Bowl. They just want to compete...for a playoff spot.
I'm not rooting for this team to fail. But until they start making the right moves, they are doomed to fail. And if Gettleman is going to act all smug about being right when he ignores our obvious QB problem, well, then I'm going to have that same reaction when I'm right about his decisions putting this franchise into an abysmal abyss.
So you can hate me, but my opinion is 100% valid. And if it makes me poster of the year because I don't blindly believe in Eli or foolishly think we can turn it around with no effort, well then that is what it will be. Let's see who's right after this season.
Great. Now that you have your QB for the next 5 to 8 years or so, the rest of your team is absolute shit because you gave away all your draft picks. Your cap situation is also shit because in order to make any improvements at all, you had to sign expensive free agents like Jerry Reese all over again since you cant draft anyone.
So you can hate me, but my opinion is 100% valid. And if it makes me poster of the year because I don't blindly believe in Eli or foolishly think we can turn it around with no effort, well then that is what it will be. Let's see who's right after this season.
Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one, so yes your opinion is 100% valid .......... to you, not for the rest of us.
And they won a Super Bowl with a 9-7 record, didn't they?
No effort, you mean like 16 players left from Jan 2018 roster. And they are not doing anything?
Also, nobody is blindly following Eli. 95% of the posters want a new QB. But competent QBs don't grow on vines and you cannot just get one that will consistently win games.
Let's see who will be right at the end of the season? What does that mean? Right about what? That they won't be in the playoffs? Why not wait until after the draft and before camp to see what the roster looks like?
RE: Would not they have to change the whole offense ... Â
is how far we are away from competing. How we need to draft better. How we need to get better drafts and build through the draft...
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Having Pro Bowl QB play makes competing a hell of a lot easier.
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
RE: RE: RE: All I have heard the last 2-3 seasons Â
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Quote:
From 1997 through 2017, only 57.5% of playoff teams (145 of 252) had a positive team rush efficiency. The visual of rush efficiency for playoff teams shows a random scatter of points with both positive and negative values. A strong run game or stout rush defense has little effect in helping an NFL team win enough games to make the playoffs.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Quote:
From 1997 through 2017, only 57.5% of playoff teams (145 of 252) had a positive team rush efficiency. The visual of rush efficiency for playoff teams shows a random scatter of points with both positive and negative values. A strong run game or stout rush defense has little effect in helping an NFL team win enough games to make the playoffs.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
Rushing Efficiency - ( New Window )
Although the Giants defense is putrid right now I think they have one of the best rushing offenses in the league. The stats don't show it because the Giants didn't run the ball as much as they should have. I've already gone into this previously when someone made the same argument about having a good rushing offense and defense being equally important. They are just as important.
I don't disagree that both are important. However, I would be remiss if I didn't point out something. The Giants' had the 32nd ranked rushing offense and the 27th ranked defense the last year they won the Super Bowl. Both stepped it up during the playoffs but all the SB winning teams stepped it up in the playoffs because, well, that's what you have to do.
RE: RE: RE: RE: All I have heard the last 2-3 seasons Â
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Quote:
From 1997 through 2017, only 57.5% of playoff teams (145 of 252) had a positive team rush efficiency. The visual of rush efficiency for playoff teams shows a random scatter of points with both positive and negative values. A strong run game or stout rush defense has little effect in helping an NFL team win enough games to make the playoffs.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
Rushing Efficiency - ( New Window )
Good luck with this one. JC will probably just accuse you of being an Eagles or Cowboys fan like he usually does when he disagrees with someone who is actually making a point.
just isn't a clear path to Russell joining the Giants unless he demands it. He can be franchized the next two years after this one, and we can't afford to wait that long.
just isn't a clear path to Russell joining the Giants unless he demands it. He can be franchized the next two years after this one, and we can't afford to wait that long.
The union really needs to push hard to change the franchise tag in the next CBA. The fact a 30 year old player can be prevented from truly hitting FA isn’t a great model for the players.
Because we are not dropping 50M on the QB position
How would it be $50M? $39M to RW in the first year of a contract? Seems reasonable.
Eli and his contract combined pushes it over 50M. If they wait a year then you take Eli's contract out of it
But you're not keeping Eli at full price if you acquire Wilson. In this fictional scenario, Eli is almost certainly released (or traded with his consent, I suppose) the moment the Giants trade for Wilson. With that in mind, Eli only costs $11.2MM this year if the Giants were to trade for Wilson this offseason.
So I ask again, how do you arrive at $50MM combined? You're not keeping both, are you?
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
1. The Giants would have to pass on all the QBs in this year's draft first. There is no point in going after Wilson if you grab any of the top 5 QBs coming out of college this year. That would be the KC model after all. However, if they don't grab a QB then you don't have to extend Eli for a rookie to learn from. Grabbing a veteran of Wilson's caliber is the only other option there.
2. Giants really need to do well in this draft. Sure they have 12 picks but it's not like they are all high picks. There are a lot of holes and I don't think any QB can overcome such a poor defense. The defense needs a stud run defender in the middle and a stud pass rusher to get after the QB. Get this defense to at least average and a dominant run-first offense can take the league by storm.
3. Wilson really will have to want to leave Seattle AND want to come to NY. It's possible the Seahawks could just let him walk next season but that's highly unlikely. Wilson would have to make it clear to Seattle he wants out of Seattle. Seahawks could let him go out of respect and do not want a disgruntled QB. Hell of a reach. WILSON WILL GET HIS! Believe that but Seahawks want to get something out it too. Neither the Seahawks or the Giants have much money to play with this year but he's already under contract with Seahawks this year. Next year both the Giants and Seahawks have a lot more money to play with. However, the Seahawks have substantially more. They will franchise him with either the exclusive or non-exclusive tag to secure his rights. Hopefully, it's the exclusive tag so the Giants could possibly make a deal for less than 2 first rounders.
- Exclusive Tag: Seahawks would hold all the cards. Giants' would have to want Wilson as bad as he wants NY (if that's truly what he wants) because only the Seahawks can negotiate. Wilson doesn't have any say in it.
- Non-Exclusive Tag: Seattle would give Wilson (and his people) the right to negotiate with another team and sign an offer sheet. Said team would have to have to be willing to give 2 first round picks to sign him. This would likely be the highest (or very close) contract for a QB in the league. The reason is it has to be high enough that Seattle doesn't want to match it. However, it would also cost 2 first rounders so that's a lot to give up.
If all of that falls into place, I'd love it if they went after Wilson. If not (more likely), I think they go after a QB next year in the draft and maybe sell the farm to trade up and get him as well. In that scenario, Eli probably gets extended as well. Sure they give up prime draft picks to move up just like they would with Wilson but they will also get a much cheaper QB in the process. Unfortunately, he wouldn't be as sure a thing as Wilson.
Quote:
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
Wilson is already 31, right? Next year he'll be 32. Giving him a big contract like Eli's and we'll be right back where we are right now in a couple years. An aging QB with a big salary hit, which will handcuff us again for a few years.
Something reasonable whatever that may be, Yes . Long term
... NO!
The reason they aren't great anymore isn't because of Wilson's contract. It's because the Seahawks GM has been bad at his job. Since 2013 they've only drafted in the 1st round twice. Germain Ifedi & Rashaad Penny.
Here are there picks in the first 3 rounds since 2016 and their PFF grades.
Germain Ifedi 55.2
Jarran Reed 69.2
CJ Prosise 54.6
Nick Vannett 63.3
Rees Odhiambo was cut after 15 games
Malik McDowell never played a game
Ethan Pocic 45.9
Shaq Griffin 50.7
Delano Hill 62.1
Nazair Jones 56.8
Amara Darboh 8 career catches
Rashaad Penny 63.8
Rasheem Green 46.5
So they've drafted all these bad players. Yet they are still 29-18-1 the last 3 years. Without Russ they are probably a 3-4 win team.
How would it be $50M? $39M to RW in the first year of a contract? Seems reasonable.
Quote:
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
I'm not opposed to signing a market rate contract. But giving up the draft collateral (2 first round picks) for the privilege of paying that contract is a big No for me. Currently Rodgers is at the top. Wilson will eclipse that benchmark and will require $34M/yr.
Because he's fucking awesome? He's a Top 5 QB in the NFL.
Russ isn't a running QB. He's a pocket passer who can move. He's easily got 5 years left in him. More then likely he'll be playing for another 7-9 years.
Quote:
In comment 14385570 BlueLou'sBack said:
Quote:
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
I would have no problem giving RW the biggest contract ever just like I didn't have a problem when we did it for Eli
I'm not opposed to signing a market rate contract. But giving up the draft collateral (2 first round picks) for the privilege of paying that contract is a big No for me. Currently Rodgers is at the top. Wilson will eclipse that benchmark and will require $34M/yr.
It all depends on the picks used. If they can get him for 17 overall and a 2020 first rounder I'd do it. I wouldn't give up the 6th pick.
I'd much rather give up those two picks for Russ then draft Daniel Jones at 17 and keep our 2020 first rounder.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
His contract is Seattle’s problem.
Or maybe we are just trying to win now??
this is all so confusing, we need another DG press conference...
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
I have no problem paying him the money because in two years that will be an average contract for a top QB. My issue is giving up the compensation you referenced.
Toward that end, you rebuild with a you d QB with potential who is cost controlled, not a veteran who eats up much of your cap space. That allows you the freedom to plug holes with vets as you look to correct longer term through the draft. Every team will have draft picks that bust and injuries that need to be patched.
If this team was about winning now, Wilson makes a ton of sense as he is an elite QB and will be for several more years. He is just not the right player for where this team is now.
Well the Odell thing was beaten to death for a long time. I think the biggest issue with this trade scenario for Wilson is what we do with Eli immediately after the trade. Wilson obviously becomes the starter immediately. I just dont see this happening.
His contract is Seattle’s problem.
No it's not. Their problem is the GM has done a horrible job for the 3 years. Their draft picks are listed above. They aren't good.
Their cap space isn't good, but that really isn't due to Russ. It's more the rest of the team.
Frank Clark has a 17 million dollar cap hit. He's worth big money, but it should be a long term deal.
Doug Baldwin had 500 yards in 13 games last year. He has a 13.1 million dollar cap hit.
Kam Chancellor retired and has a 12.5 million dollar hit.
Justin Britt was PFF 29th ranked Center with an 8 million dollar cap hit.
Barkevious Mingo has 10 sacks in 6 seasons with a 5 million dollar hit.
Ed Dickson is a good blocking TE, but he averages 240 yards and 1.7 TDs a year for his career with a 4.5 million dollar hit.
That's 60 million tied up into 1 very good player, 1 above average, 1 retired player and 3 below average players. That's the Seahawks problem. Not Russ. Yet they're still 29-18-1 over the last 3 years. With 2 playoff appearances and 1 playoff win. In 2016 they lost to a very good Falcons team that should have won the Super Bowl.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
This.
I’d give up 6, 17 and 37 right now for him.
Wilson is already 31, right? Next year he'll be 32. Giving him a big contract like Eli's and we'll be right back where we are right now in a couple years. An aging QB with a big salary hit, which will handcuff us again for a few years.
Something reasonable whatever that may be, Yes . Long term
... NO!
Sorry but this is not a justification as it's a whole lot of wrong.
First, Wilson is 30 and turns 31 in late November
Born: November 29, 1988 (age 30)
Second, a couple years? Eli started this last contract at age 34. It was for 5 years thus making him start the final year on this contract at age 38 (he will turn 39 season's end). Wilson on a 5 contract (next year) would start the season under a new contract at age 31 and if the contract also for 5 years, would start the final year of his contract at age 35. Those are all still prime years for a QB of his caliber.
There are good reasons to go another direction but Wilson's age is not one of them.
I'll keep posting this as well as I have done now in several threads. So many here keep wanting/expecting a great player but don't want to pay for him. It's hard enough to find a franchise worthy QB (or any player) in the draft but one that will come out of the gate the best in the game with sustainability is even more rare.
Only 2 QBs in the last 15 years made it to the show and won on their rookie deal. Roethlisberger and Wilson (Ironically). Both had a good supporting cast and DID NOT do it on their own. Hell Roethlisberger's first SB win is regarded as one of the worst QB performances ever by a QB in a SB. Steelers won despite the QB's performance, not because of it.
-Brown's (Mayfield) finished 7-8
--From 1999 through week 4 of the 2018 season, the team had 30 different players start at quarterback.
-Chief's (Mahommes) finished 12-4.
--They already had a great team before the year they drafted him. Won their division at 10-4 the previous year while sitting Mahommes to learn from Alex Smith. Now he only has 2 cheap years left before the 5th year option. The 5th year option IS NOT cheap. They will pay the man before then.
-Stopping here but it can continue with every other starting QB in the league.
I'll end with this. Everyone is concerned with making a QB the highest paid and claiming it's not worth it. Nobody seems to notice that they only top that list in the first year or two. Maybe more for a player like Rogers that always demands a re-work when he's out of the top 5. Let's look at those yearly averages with an extra focus on Roethlisberger, Eli, and Rivers as measuring sticks (drafted together and often compared with each other). I'll also specify Wilson since he also re-signed his contract in 2015.
By average yearly salary:
2015 (when Eli signed his last deal)
Rogers was 1st
Wilson was 2nd
Roethlisberger was 3rd
Manning was 4th (Contrary to popular belief, not the highest paid QB in the league)
Rivers was 5th
2016
In order; Luck, Palmer, Brees, and Flacco jumped ahead of them
Wilson was 6th (already out of the top 5 after just 1 year)
Roethlisberger was 7th
Manning was 8th (already out of the top 5 after just 1 year)
Rivers was 9th
2017
In order; Stafford and Carr joined in the mix to be 1st and 2nd. Cousins jumped in the middle as the 6th highest that year.
Wilson was 9th
Roethlisberger was 10th
Manning was 11th (Out of the top 10 after 2 years)
Rivers was 12th
2018
In order: Rogers moves back to #1. Ryan gets a new deal for 2nd. Cousins moves up to 3rd. Garoppolo enters the fray at 4th. Alex Smith jumps in the middle at 9th.
Wilson was 11th (Out of the top 10 after 3 years)
Roethlisberger was 12th
Manning was 13th
Rivers was 14th
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/2018/average/quarterback/
So in conclusion, it's not the money I am concerned with either. That whole #1 paid thing is overblown and changes very fast. Let's not forget as well that the Giants are currently estimated to have $80M in cap space next year.
He will most likely be tagged.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
If and when Wilson signs a FA contract with Seattle or anyone it’s going to be the richest contract ever. You better make peace with that.
Quote:
.. qb “dilemma” turns laughable. World keeps spinning.
He will most likely be tagged.
Oh. Well.... never mind then?
The $$ aspect is overblown. Every year a new QB becomes the highest paid. That’s what happens when you have a rising salary cap.
Quote:
Wilson coming to the Gmen will be on the table next off season.
But not at the richest contract ever, just don't see that angle going down.
If and when Wilson signs a FA contract with Seattle or anyone it’s going to be the richest contract ever. You better make peace with that.
And he's worth every penny. The Seahawks roster sucks. Especially on offense. The Giants have better are better at RB, WR, TE and OL. They have a better defense then us as of right now, but we have 12 draft picks and they have 4. Also I believe we will sign guys after May 8th. That's when UFAs aren't counted in the compensatory formula. So come June 1st I think the defenses will be much closer.
They honestly haven't drafted well since 2012 (Look it up). Their free agent signings have been bad. Yet the last 3 years they are 29-18-1 with 2 playoff appearances.
Maybe some combo involving 17 and future picks, but Seattle is going to want 6.
I know Seattle doesn't usually work the contract this early but it still seems unusual given the timeline Wilson gave them. Are they trying to make a point by holding off? Are they heavily considering other options? Is, perhaps, Wilson pushing back because he wants out? Could there already be some kind of a deal being worked out that involves the Giants? It's just odd that they haven't re-signed him yet.
Source Spotrac.com: Seattle shows a little less than $3M in cap space for 2019 but around $85M for 2020. Giants show around $4.7M for 2019 but around $74M for 2020.
Seattle saves trading Wilson now: $17M
Giants savings if cutting Eli: $12M
Giants are clearly short of even being able to pay him on his final year as it currently stands. They would have to adjust some contracts (Zeitler still hasn't been re-worked) and probably sign him to a new contract soonest and backload some of the money. I suppose the loss of high draft picks from the Giants would save a little money when they spend on their draft picks as well.
It would be tough to do for this season. I'm thinking it's a real possibility in 2020 if Seattle doesn't re-sign him earlier. So the options for 2020 now look like Wilson, Tua, Fromm, and maybe Herbert for 2020. Who's got more upside? Which will cost less in cap space? Which will cost less in draft capital? Risk vs reward? I'm liking the options better for next year than this year more and more.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s mostly about dollars and what we’d have to give up for him that is concerning, at least to me. No question, a great player
In their two SB appearances Seattle was #1 in overall and scoring defense...not to mention #4 and #1 in rushing respectively...
Further illustrating football is the ultimate team game and even great QB's need a good team around them...
Would certainly fit the “win now” narrative
But would mean Eli gone
I don’t see how this would happen IMO
Playing with Barkley would be fun for him.
If that is not just lip service, then they should be all in on Wilson if he is available. I think it would be hard to find many people- except maybe within the Giants organization - who believe Wilson would not be a significant upgrade to Eli at this point.
Has Seattle’s drafting declined? Sure, but they haven’t been Reese level bad.
His contract is Seattle’s problem.
It makes plenty of sense. If the Giants feel they are a win now or 'win soon' you get a vet QB who is significantly younger than Eli and an excellent fit for what Shurmur wants in a QB for his system.
You trade out Elis salary and while he will get paid more you get a known commodity who will likely play at a high level for another 5+ years.
Well that settles it.
Ridiculous.
You could be right.
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Quote:
I'm not giving him $30 mill.
Well that settles it.
Ridiculous.
You want to pay him $30 mill?
How about a top 10 defense? Or a top 10 run game?
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Drafting better is not generally how you “win now” which is what JT is insisting the view is within the Giants front office. If you are trying to win now the only decision is “which player gives us a better chance to win next Sunday.” Yes if the cost in picks is too high you don’t mortgage the future, but having an elite QB under center for the next 5 years certainly makes this team winning consistently much more likely.
Not at $30 mill, no. I just think QB salaries are way out of control. And I like Wilson, just not at 1/6 of the cap.
The cost to trade for him will be big, but we would have to trade assists anyway to get a top qb in 2020 if we don't take one this year and need to move up. Except with Wilson, we're guaranteed a top qb.
Quote:
You don't want a top 10 QB ever again?
How about a top 10 defense? Or a top 10 run game?
The Giants already have a top 10 run game. Unfortunately, it took them half the season to either realize that or felt forced to run more. Let's hope the run/pass ratio is cleaned up next season. All signs point toward that being the case IMHO.
NY Giants ranked 24th in YPG last year but 7th in average yards per rush. 1st in fewest fumbles rushing the ball. Barkley has a 5.0 YPA. Gallman a respectable 3.5 YPA as his relief.
However, they ranked 5th in their rush vs pass attempt. They rushed the ball 38.98% of the time for the whole year so that includes when they stepped it up the 2nd half of the season and still only rushed the 5th LEAST in the league. Seattle ranked as the #1 rushing offense in the league and that's because they rushed the ball 52.44% which is also good for #1 in the league. So it ranks them as the #1 rushing offense but I don't think anyone believes Seattle has the best rushing offense in the league. If you do, you're not paying attention.
This shows the Giants are more effective at running the ball than most of the NFL and yet don't run the damn ball enough. If they don't focus on the run in 2019, regardless of every team defending against it with OBJ gone, I'll be pissed off. If you didn't see me do it game thread or any other thread, be ready to see the following quote, "RUN THE DAMN BALL!"
Go defense heavy in this draft and maybe a RT if one is there at 17 or 37 rated higher than the remaining defenders. Maybe an OC in the 3rd if one drops. All other positions are on defense. They should also trade lower draft picks to move up and get more defenders or trade them for higher picks next year as they may need that draft capital more in 2020. Next year weigh and measure your options for Tua, Fromm, Herbert, Wilson, Eli, and anyone else that's at least competant.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
You're right that it isn't smart. But look at how ancient our starting QB is right now, if you think Wilson is old or on the verge of being old.
Quote:
About this. Paying him 35+ million plus at least 2-3 premium draft picks is just dumb. Seattle isn’t going to give him away for nothing. Plus, they will have 2 years after this year to franchise him as well.
By the time you have a chance for him, he will be 33-34 years old and that’s not a smart rebuilding plan.
You're right that it isn't smart. But look at how ancient our starting QB is right now, if you think Wilson is old or on the verge of being old.
They need to go young...draft one or get Rosen. Wilson IS one of the best in the game. I'd love for him to be in Blue. The cost will be crazy that is my beef.
That’s the rumor but Wilson is now married to the singer Ciara, I doubt he even cares about that shit anymore
Has Seattle’s drafting declined? Sure, but they haven’t been Reese level bad.
Their drafts have been just as bad as Reese's drafts. At least Reese got Odell, Shepard, Engram, Landon. Not to mention guys like Pugh, Richburg, Kennard who got big contracts from other teams.
They didn't lose those guys because of Wilson's contract.
Sherman played for the Seahawks for 3 years after the Russ extension. He declined significantly and had an injury. That's why he was let go.
Thomas got an extension and played for the Seahawks for 4 years after Wilson's extension. Was injured 3 of the 4 years of his contract and then flipped the bird to the sideline. That's why he's gone.
Michael Bennett played for Seattle for 3 years after Wilson's extension. Bennett was supposedly a pain in the ass the year before he got released and was 32.
So those guys got extensions after Russ. Their problem was they didn't plan to replace those guys and they drafted horribly.
Quote:
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
This.
I’d give up 6, 17 and 37 right now for him.
Thank Christ neither of you are GMs then.
Wilson is not worth that.
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
The $$ aspect is overblown. Every year a new QB becomes the highest paid. That’s what happens when you have a rising salary cap.
No way, the defense is a mess. Stick to the rebuild.
Quote:
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
Didn’t we sign a HOF QB in his prime and piss it away with shitty OL and defenses?
Quote:
In comment 14385639 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
But I can’t believe people are so against this. Do you guys realize how good he is? Put him on this team as currently constructed and we are already a playoff contender.
We have a ton of money coming the next few years even with a potential huge contract we would have to pay him.
He is not a good player. He’s a great player and will probably be so for a good 5-7 years at least.
It’s maddening. A legitimate HOF qb in his prime.
Didn’t we sign a HOF QB in his prime and piss it away with shitty OL and defenses?
We would be upgrading from the least elusive qb in the league to the most. We wouldn’t have to hear “he just needs an elite o line to play well!”
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
How many quality years left? You're saying Eli could play to 40, by that logic Wilson has eight years.
We would be upgrading from the least elusive qb in the league to the most. We wouldn’t have to hear “he just needs an elite o line to play well!”
God are you the king of overreaction or just incapable of reading? No one said we needed an elite OLine on this board ever. Holy shit.
Quote:
No knock on Wilson but giving a huge contract to
him who will be 32 next year how many Quality years
does he have left . I don't feel he is a long term solution
I would rather draft the replacement or go after Rosen
I'm kinda on the fence with him but Eli has got two more
seasons at best he has a ton of miles on that arm .
We were blessed to have him what a Great clutch QB
Iron man and Class act in every sense of the word .
Two of the Best MVP super-bowls ever .
How many quality years left? You're saying Eli could play to 40, by that logic Wilson has eight years.
For those that don't want to give up a lot of cap space AND a lot draft capital, I respect that. I share those concerns. That's a ton to give up when combined together. Taking a shot with a rookie starts to sound more appealing. However, those saying no to just one of those are crazy. At least read the follow-up posts to the OP. He wouldn't be the highest paid for more than a year and the draft picks are worth it to sign a known commodity that's an "ELITE" (yes ELITE) QB. However, combine the two together and it's a tougher sell. I completely respect that stance.
However, dear god I've said it once already on this thread and several other threads. Wilson just turned 30 last November. Barely 30. Not 31. Not 32. He won't turn 31 until the end of November which is most of the way through the next season.
In comparison to Eli Manning. Wilson started in the pros at age 24 and Eli started at age 23. Wilson has played in half the games Eli has but like Eli (except for that one infamous game), Wilson has never missed a game. Wilson has played 7 seasons and Eli has played 15 (again less than half). Wilson has been sacked on average 43 times a season to Eli Manning's 27 times a season. Both are as durable as you could possibly hope for in a QB.
If Wilson is signed this year or the next it will likely be for 4-5 years. Wilson will still be in his prime for those years and then he will still be good for 3-5 more years after that contract. AGE IS NOT A FACTOR IN THIS!
Quote:
In comment 14385762 section125 said:
Quote:
I'm not giving him $30 mill.
Well that settles it.
Ridiculous.
You want to pay him $30 mill?
If I didn’t have to trade a lot of resources for him? In a fucking heartbeat. He’s a terrific qb.
But we’d have to trade the sun moon and stars for Wilson and then pay him....if this was 2020 and the roster was deeper and better I’d do it.
If I didn’t have to trade a lot of resources for him? In a fucking heartbeat. He’s a terrific qb.
But we’d have to trade the sun moon and stars for Wilson and then pay him....if this was 2020 and the roster was deeper and better I’d do it. [/quote]
This team has too many holes to spend that kind of money for one player.
Retool with whatever remaining picks we have. Be aggressive in FA next year and go for gold.
Retool with whatever remaining picks we have. Be aggressive in FA next year and go for gold.
He's a FA in 2020. You want to blow up every pick and rely on FA?
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Having Pro Bowl QB play makes competing a hell of a lot easier.
Would he fit here?
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
Quote:
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
Why would you laugh hysterically to see our team fail? Great fan.
Quote:
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
Quote:
In comment 14385728 jtgiants said:
Quote:
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
He’s working hard to get his poster of the year trophy. This is right on cue with pretty much everything else he posts. All negativity, lots of drama.
Quote:
In comment 14386204 Giants38 said:
Quote:
In comment 14385728 jtgiants said:
Quote:
This team views itself as a team trying to win now. You may not believe it but they are not just saying it. They believe it
What's going to be fun is when this team falls flat on its face - and it will (I know you disagree with me on this) - to see just how long DG and Shurmur last. I don't think John Mara is particularly competent, so they'll probably get some time. But I'm going to laugh hysterically when this thing goes sideways and the entire organization finally realizes it has no choice but to rebuild. When that will happen? I don't know. I'm telling you, this team is no better than a 4 or 5 win team. The fact that they don't know it is alarming, but you can't stop stupid.
While I basically agree they will not win much this year unless they get a great draft and lucky in UDFA, your wishing for a bad season so that DG and PS appear to fail is pretty strange for a fan.
Why wouldn't the team try to compete this season? Why wouldn't you want them to compete? You appear to want them to be bad. Why is that?
He’s working hard to get his poster of the year trophy. This is right on cue with pretty much everything else he posts. All negativity, lots of drama.
Poster of the Year? Sweet. I'm in for that. Better to be awful than just mediocre. In fact, that goes for football as well, where you might as well tank and get the 1 pick, not try to go 9-7. But, hey, the Giants haven't picked that up.
And that's the funny part. According to JT, the Giants are not trying to "win-now". They are trying to win some games now. They don't even think they can win a Super Bowl. They just want to compete...for a playoff spot.
I'm not rooting for this team to fail. But until they start making the right moves, they are doomed to fail. And if Gettleman is going to act all smug about being right when he ignores our obvious QB problem, well, then I'm going to have that same reaction when I'm right about his decisions putting this franchise into an abysmal abyss.
So you can hate me, but my opinion is 100% valid. And if it makes me poster of the year because I don't blindly believe in Eli or foolishly think we can turn it around with no effort, well then that is what it will be. Let's see who's right after this season.
Great. Now that you have your QB for the next 5 to 8 years or so, the rest of your team is absolute shit because you gave away all your draft picks. Your cap situation is also shit because in order to make any improvements at all, you had to sign expensive free agents like Jerry Reese all over again since you cant draft anyone.
Great sensible plan.
The absurdity around here just never ends.
So you can hate me, but my opinion is 100% valid. And if it makes me poster of the year because I don't blindly believe in Eli or foolishly think we can turn it around with no effort, well then that is what it will be. Let's see who's right after this season.
Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one, so yes your opinion is 100% valid .......... to you, not for the rest of us.
And they won a Super Bowl with a 9-7 record, didn't they?
No effort, you mean like 16 players left from Jan 2018 roster. And they are not doing anything?
Also, nobody is blindly following Eli. 95% of the posters want a new QB. But competent QBs don't grow on vines and you cannot just get one that will consistently win games.
Let's see who will be right at the end of the season? What does that mean? Right about what? That they won't be in the playoffs? Why not wait until after the draft and before camp to see what the roster looks like?
Would he fit here?
Shurmur is somewhat multiple and adaptable but I think his preferred type is a mobile QB.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pINwrNmsNc - ( New Window )
Quote:
is how far we are away from competing. How we need to draft better. How we need to get better drafts and build through the draft...
Yet a lot of those same people want to give up all your premium picks plus sign a QB to a long term deal that will be at least 35 million per year for 5 years.
Just doesnt make any sense at all.
And love how people are saying playing Barkley will make him better.... he has had the best rush game offense in like 5 of his 7 years...lol.
Having Pro Bowl QB play makes competing a hell of a lot easier.
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
Rushing Efficiency - ( New Window )
Quote:
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Quote:
From 1997 through 2017, only 57.5% of playoff teams (145 of 252) had a positive team rush efficiency. The visual of rush efficiency for playoff teams shows a random scatter of points with both positive and negative values. A strong run game or stout rush defense has little effect in helping an NFL team win enough games to make the playoffs.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
Rushing Efficiency - ( New Window )
Although the Giants defense is putrid right now I think they have one of the best rushing offenses in the league. The stats don't show it because the Giants didn't run the ball as much as they should have. I've already gone into this previously when someone made the same argument about having a good rushing offense and defense being equally important. They are just as important.
I don't disagree that both are important. However, I would be remiss if I didn't point out something. The Giants' had the 32nd ranked rushing offense and the 27th ranked defense the last year they won the Super Bowl. Both stepped it up during the playoffs but all the SB winning teams stepped it up in the playoffs because, well, that's what you have to do.
Quote:
So does having top ranked defenses and rushing attacks...
One of those isn’t as true as you think it is.
Quote:
From 1997 through 2017, only 57.5% of playoff teams (145 of 252) had a positive team rush efficiency. The visual of rush efficiency for playoff teams shows a random scatter of points with both positive and negative values. A strong run game or stout rush defense has little effect in helping an NFL team win enough games to make the playoffs.
Moreover, running the football doesn’t suddenly become important in the playoffs. If it did, the teams with positive values of team rush efficiency would make the Super Bowl. Instead, only 26 of 42 Super Bowl teams from 1997 through 2017 had a positive rush efficiency value, a rate of 61.9%.
For example, Indianapolis won the Super Bowl after the 2006 season despite having the NFL’s worst team rush efficiency during the regular season. Green Bay ranked 31st out of 32 teams in rush efficiency during the 2010 regular season, but the Packers won the Super Bowl anyway.
Rushing Efficiency - ( New Window )
Good luck with this one. JC will probably just accuse you of being an Eagles or Cowboys fan like he usually does when he disagrees with someone who is actually making a point.
Quote:
Because we are not dropping 50M on the QB position
How would it be $50M? $39M to RW in the first year of a contract? Seems reasonable.
Eli and his contract combined pushes it over 50M. If they wait a year then you take Eli's contract out of it
The union really needs to push hard to change the franchise tag in the next CBA. The fact a 30 year old player can be prevented from truly hitting FA isn’t a great model for the players.
Quote:
In comment 14385568 montanagiant said:
Quote:
Because we are not dropping 50M on the QB position
How would it be $50M? $39M to RW in the first year of a contract? Seems reasonable.
Eli and his contract combined pushes it over 50M. If they wait a year then you take Eli's contract out of it
But you're not keeping Eli at full price if you acquire Wilson. In this fictional scenario, Eli is almost certainly released (or traded with his consent, I suppose) the moment the Giants trade for Wilson. With that in mind, Eli only costs $11.2MM this year if the Giants were to trade for Wilson this offseason.
So I ask again, how do you arrive at $50MM combined? You're not keeping both, are you?