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NFT: NBA draft lottery question

jnoble : 4/14/2019 4:20 pm
Can someone explain to me why the NBA doesn't work more like the NFL and award the #1 pick to the team with the worst record? I've never understood how or why they run things they way they do
To prevent  
TommyWiseau : 4/14/2019 4:21 pm : link
tanking or some dumb shit like that
To prevent tanking  
Mike in NY : 4/14/2019 4:22 pm : link
Or teams resting star players at the end of the year if a position was secured. NFL it is much harder to do that because you only get a limited number of inactive players and you need everyone active to contribute.
To add excitement.  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 4/14/2019 4:23 pm : link
And to prevent tanking, though it doesn't.

Anyways, I'll be clutching my rosary beads come 5/14, along with some beers.
Itís supposed to incentivize teams to win  
Oscar : 4/14/2019 4:24 pm : link
The Knicks were fucking dogshit this year and barely have a chance at the first pick, they are over 3x as likely to have pick #5. Deliberately losing does not make a lot of sense in that situation.
You can simulate the draft lottery  
Steve in ATL : 4/14/2019 4:31 pm : link
on tankathon.com
http://www.tankathon.com/ - ( New Window )
RE: Itís supposed to incentivize teams to win  
jnoble : 4/14/2019 4:53 pm : link
In comment 14386235 Oscar said:
Quote:
The Knicks were fucking dogshit this year and barely have a chance at the first pick, they are over 3x as likely to have pick #5. Deliberately losing does not make a lot of sense in that situation.


How are those odds figured? In other words, if you have the worst record but low odds to get the 1 pick then who would and why? I don't understand the math involved
Well the bottom three teams have the highest odds at #1  
Oscar : 4/14/2019 5:00 pm : link
They just arenít very good odds. And this year they were reduced, historically it was like 25% for #1 I think. Now itís 14%. The NBA flattened the lottery odds to further randomize the lottery and disincentive tanking.

There are some even more wild lottery proposals out there including the lottery wheel which is no draft lottery at all, literally just a rotating wheel of the #1 pick so you would get it once every 29 years. No incentive at all to tank in that scenario. The downside is not every bad team is tanking, sometimes bad teams are just bad and need talent.
Houston Rockets  
bluepepper : 4/14/2019 5:03 pm : link
tanked two years in a row. Got Sampson in '83 and Olajuwon in '84. NBA instituted the lottery in 1985.
Lakers will win the lottery.  
FStubbs : 4/14/2019 5:29 pm : link
Zion + LeBron.
All  
TommyWiseau : 4/14/2019 7:18 pm : link
I know is the Knicks need a top 3 pick and Dallas lost the tie breakers to Memphis and NO which is good. We need Dallas to finish outside the top 5 so the pick goes to Atlanta
is the lottery honest?  
TJ : 4/14/2019 8:04 pm : link
Anybody else think NBA is not above fixing the result?
RE: is the lottery honest?  
TommyWiseau : 4/14/2019 8:06 pm : link
In comment 14386435 TJ said:
Quote:
Anybody else think NBA is not above fixing the result?


When the Lakers get #1 you will know the answer
Itís a crap system.  
Giant John : 4/14/2019 9:25 pm : link
Worst should pick first. Teams tank anyway. Itís a skill so they should be rewarded.
RE: is the lottery honest?  
Jim in Fairfax : 4/14/2019 9:27 pm : link
In comment 14386435 TJ said:
Quote:
Anybody else think NBA is not above fixing the result?

Ernst & Young oversees the drawing.
here is the process  
PaulBlakeTSU : 4/15/2019 9:20 am : link
One player can change a basketball franchise far easier than a player in any other sport. There are only 5 starters on the court and they play both ways. That's why tanking is a bigger issue in the NBA than in, say, the NFL.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBA_draft_lottery#Process - ( New Window )
While the lottery won't prevent  
Metnut : 4/15/2019 9:51 am : link
tanking, it at least decreases the reward for doing so by a little bit.
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