I posted this in 2 other threads already, and figured it was worthwhile to hit a broader audience.
If you respect Sy'56 as a draft player evaluator (I definitely do)... then you should be absolutely ECSTATIC about the way this draft went down, from a VALUE perspective.
These are his rankings of who we drafted 1st round compared to Josh Allen:
Dexter Lawrence - 85
DeAndre Baker - 83
Julian Love - 82
Josh Allen - 82
Daniel Jones - 80
We drafted 3 players he ranks at or ABOVE Josh Allen.
Aside from 3 first round grade defensive talents that rated on par with or above Josh Allen we also drafted a (potential) franchise QB that was not rated very far behind him (80 vs 82).
I'd say that is ONE HELL of a draft.
For sure. And it makes sense the Giants weren't lying that they had Jones at around the same ranking as Allen on their board. Not sure why we are getting drilled the way we are about Allen by the media. I wanted him as well, but look at the value we got without taking him... plus a potential franchise QB... I am elated.
I read more than a few draft articles that weren't so high on him. From CBS Sports:
That's from a Buyer beware article... which had Haskins and Allen as two of the top "Buyer beware" prospects.
I liked Lock better than Jones, and whether Jones is better than Lock or Haskins remains to be determined. And whether either would be a better QB for the Giants is another and slightly different question. Gettleman wasn't just talking BS when he said that for a QB to succeed in NY you need a certain personality and mental make up. There are unique challenges to living with the NY media and dealing with the temptations NY offers.
I think Lawrence is a great pick that won't be able to be judged by sacks and pressures alone, as what he is will allow so many others to be more effective. A trio of Tomlinson, Hill and Lawrence will be problematic for OL's. Tomlinson is solid, and Hill showed even more potential, add Lawrence clogging the middle and these three will occupy enough blockers it will free OLB's and blitzing DB's. I hate to jinx it, but if this DL comes together, THINGS COULD GET INTERESTING!
Can't wait for training camp...
Lawrence is more of a blue chipper in that his floor is higher, he his basically flawless.
So let’s say as an example the Giants have the same grades on Allen and Jones as Sy has. Is it possible a QB positional value is +5 and a pass rusher value is +3, giving Allen and Jones the same value of 85 when factoring in position?
I honestly don’t know how positional value factors in and this could be completely off-base. Hoping someone smarter than me can respond
90+: Elite, All Pro
85-89: Immediate starter, building block for a decade, franchise player
80-84: First round talent, starter and/or majority of the snaps each week
77-79: Day 2 pick, starter within their first 16-24 games as a pro
75-76: Fourth rounder, has starter traits but needs development
71-74: Fifth/Sixth rounder, should develop in to weekly contributor over rookie contract
68-70: Draftable, hopeful for special teams impact and long term development
67 and under: UDFA
Not sure that is a "crush"...
Blogger, agreed.... and count me in on liking the idea of Rosen. However it's quite possible based on what we trade for Rosen we not only miss out on any number of those 3 defensive players, but we actually end up with less value from who we end up selecting. Plus it's clear to me the Giants had a higher grade on Jones over Rosen or they would have been more active in pursuing him.
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Again, not sure where he stands on this, but Kirwan and Jim Miller, to name a few love Lawrence, even better than Allen. Fwiw
For sure. And it makes sense the Giants weren't lying that they had Jones at around the same ranking as Allen on their board. Not sure why we are getting drilled the way we are about Allen by the media. I wanted him as well, but look at the value we got without taking him... plus a potential franchise QB... I am elated.
The press is creating a false narrative, though, about Jones being a second round talent to make a splash and pile on in the criticism of the Giants. But, most people were calling Jones a day 1 pick for weeks before the draft.
Not sure that is a "crush"...
Of course I read his recap. I am just basing this on good old fashioned value, mostly to talk people off the ledge and throw it in the face of most of the media pundits.
Clearly the Giants valued Jones over Rosen (and Haskins for that matter), whether that was correct or not remains to be seen.... however from a grade perspective, which is really just projecting where these players may end up using an expert opinion... I will argue everyday, in every way we absolutely crushed it.
Does it remain to be seen? Well yeah, of course. But I'm feeling pretty good about it.
I mentioned this in a thread the other day, but I like the fact that he is building depth at key spots, such as the cluster drafting of CB’s. I felt like when Reese was here we were always an injury or two away from being doomed at certain positions because the cupboard was so bare.
Me too. Agree 100%. I wanted a DT. Thought it was a bigger need. #1 Stop the run and #2 rush the passer. I felt this does #1 and certainly helps #2
I don’t think it’s useful to grade drafts until they play. Rating the draft now is pretty useless. That said, I like the emphasis on the CB but would have preferred more big guy types on both lines. It bothers me big time we didn’t address the OL until so late which reminds me of Reese’s Engram draft
Furthermore Eli Manning was sacked 47 times last year (career-high) and somehow we didn’t take an o-lineman until round 7 despite having 12 picks to start out.
At the end of the day I’m happy we got some great value (Baker and Love will go a long way in helping this secondary) but you have to come out of this draft thinking we did still don’t have a team that can win or compete in this division. You can argue that 2019 was already a lost cause but IMO I prefer the idea of building from within the trenches to out, drafting BPA in all situations when you have as many holes as the Giants did, and building the team to a point where the QB is the final piece to an already clearly put together puzzle (seemed like the 2020 class was coming at the exact right time for that in our rebuild). I’m not an NFL GM though so I guess we’ll see, this is just my opinion.
We did reinforce the Secondary, where we were ridiculously thin.
Furthermore Eli Manning was sacked 47 times last year (career-high) and somehow we didn’t take an o-lineman until round 7 despite having 12 picks to start out.
We'll see about the pass rush, but as to the OL you are overlooking that we traded for a very good RG and appear to be signing a servicable RT in free agency, so I don't think the draft was as critical there.
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In comment 14424040 Big Blue '56 said:
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Again, not sure where he stands on this, but Kirwan and Jim Miller, to name a few love Lawrence, even better than Allen. Fwiw
For sure. And it makes sense the Giants weren't lying that they had Jones at around the same ranking as Allen on their board. Not sure why we are getting drilled the way we are about Allen by the media. I wanted him as well, but look at the value we got without taking him... plus a potential franchise QB... I am elated.
It's not just Allen, but Oliver and a couple of others who were there.
The press is creating a false narrative, though, about Jones being a second round talent to make a splash and pile on in the criticism of the Giants. But, most people were calling Jones a day 1 pick for weeks before the draft.
Jones was a draft riser as discussed on this site. It's the low information ESPN sports personality and unhinged Francessa that are completely triggered by the pick.
Reports were jets were not too enamored either. So Sy, Chucky and Woody Johnson agreed.
My take was F the noise, just look at his production. Production for QB and RB is often misleading, but for other more one one one positions like ER, specially from a smaller scholl going against topcompetition, it's very compelling.
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I think he liked the draft - if I had to put words in Sy's mouth I'd say he thought it was solid - but we didn't get the better QB option (Rosen) and there were better options at #6.
Not sure that is a "crush"...
Of course I read his recap. I am just basing this on good old fashioned value, mostly to talk people off the ledge and throw it in the face of most of the media pundits.
Clearly the Giants valued Jones over Rosen (and Haskins for that matter), whether that was correct or not remains to be seen.... however from a grade perspective, which is really just projecting where these players may end up using an expert opinion... I will argue everyday, in every way we absolutely crushed it.
Does it remain to be seen? Well yeah, of course. But I'm feeling pretty good about it.
I don’t think it’s useful to grade drafts until they play. Rating the draft now is pretty useless. That said, I like the emphasis on the CB but would have preferred more big guy types on both lines. It bothers me big time we didn’t address the OL until so late which reminds me of Reese’s Engram draft
I don't pay much attention to 'grades', and I think a few of the media 'experts' really didn't take into consideration why these kids were taken where they were.
I would think they would attempt trading 17 & 37 to Denver to draft Jones at 10. Taking Jones at 6 still allowed us to draft 2 very good defensive prospects.
I’m over it at this point, though. He’s gonna be our next QB. Hope he kills it.
I thought DG’s other picks were pretty good for the most part.
The pressure is schemed with diverse fronts. The DL occupy the OL (Lawrence) and penetrate (Hill) in front of CBs in press man coverage (guess what Baker and Love excel in).
Disrupt the OL, jam the WRs, scheme pressure to the QB.
This was likely a determining factor in Jones v Allen at 6, aside from the “conviction” or “blooming love” they had for Jones.
Furthermore Eli Manning was sacked 47 times last year (career-high) and somehow we didn’t take an o-lineman until round 7 despite having 12 picks to start out.
At the end of the day I’m happy we got some great value (Baker and Love will go a long way in helping this secondary) but you have to come out of this draft thinking we did still don’t have a team that can win or compete in this division. You can argue that 2019 was already a lost cause but IMO I prefer the idea of building from within the trenches to out, drafting BPA in all situations when you have as many holes as the Giants did, and building the team to a point where the QB is the final piece to an already clearly put together puzzle (seemed like the 2020 class was coming at the exact right time for that in our rebuild). I’m not an NFL GM though so I guess we’ll see, this is just my opinion.
It is true, we were 30th in sacks but we were 10th in presuming the qb, which I think is even more important. This article has been cited before but needs to be cited again. I think this gives me the most hope that we do have a plan and we d9nt necessarily have to be in the top 10 with sacks.
Lastly, hoping Golden, Carter, and Xman can help though with sacks, especially with the Beast, DLawrence, wrecking havoc inside.
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