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NFT: Knicks/NBA Chat, 5/14. IT'S LOTTERY DAY!

SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/14/2019 7:02 am
About 13 1/2 hours or so from now, we'll know where the ping pong have landed. As most know, the Knicks, Cavs, & Suns all have the same odds of winning the Zion sweepstakes @ 14 % each. The worse case for the Knicks is they end up with the 5th pick, but that's not going to happen. Think positively.

Going to be a long day at work looking @ the clock. Beer in the man cave fridge is cold & ready to be consumed.
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RE: Maybe its because  
Sean : 5/14/2019 12:23 pm : link
In comment 14442986 nygiants16 said:
Quote:
i feel the knicks are trading the pick no matter what i am not really sweating tonight, now where they pick will determine who they trade for or what they habe to give up alongside the pick...


That would suck. I’d much rather have Zion.
can run simulations of the lottery  
Steve in ATL : 5/14/2019 12:26 pm : link
on tankathon.com

Link - ( New Window )
RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
Harvest Blend : 5/14/2019 12:39 pm : link
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:
Quote:
on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )


Lol. Only ran it once.

Knicks 5th. Dallas 1st.
This is a three-player draft  
Vanzetti : 5/14/2019 12:40 pm : link
Zion: might not be as good in NBA as people are expecting since his athleticism will not be enough to dominate. But he will still be good.

Barrett: He will never be a top 5 player but he will be a solid scorer and all-around player. KD lite.

Morant: Boom=bust candidate. Could be best player in the draft or could be a guy whose game does not translate against better athletes in the NBA.

Huge dropp off to Hunter, White, Culver Reddish. This is actually a very weak draft after the top three. Hachimura is a wildcard.
colin cowherd  
nygiants16 : 5/14/2019 12:44 pm : link
said he talked to an nba veteran, 100 percent chance durant to knicks and said durant has already started calling players to join him
RE: This is a three-player draft  
Anakim : 5/14/2019 12:50 pm : link
In comment 14443259 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
Hachimura is a wildcard.



Or Garland considering he hasn't played college ball
IF  
bigbluehoya : 5/14/2019 12:51 pm : link
The Knicks really are going to end up with Durant and another max guy (likely Kyrie in the IF scenario), a player like Hunter would be a great piece to add to the mix. A super-athletic 3&D guy who can rebound and play inside/outside on both ends, with further upside if he improves his handle / learns to create his own shot.

Don't get me wrong, I want #1 about as much as anyone. But I won't let myself be destroyed if the ping pong balls don't fall right tonight.
100% - wow - Knicks would be in the mix come playoff time  
GiantsUA : 5/14/2019 12:53 pm : link
Simulator - 4 times - one 2nd place finish and 3 5th place finishes - ha!
RE: RE: This is a three-player draft  
Vanzetti : 5/14/2019 12:57 pm : link
In comment 14443278 Anakim said:
Quote:
In comment 14443259 Vanzetti said:


Quote:


Hachimura is a wildcard.




Or Garland considering he hasn't played college ball


I would take Garland 4 or 5. It's a risk because meniscus can be a tricky injury because of the lack of blood flow. But upside is there
RE: Reddish  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 1:00 pm : link
In comment 14443184 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
at 4 watch, ugh.


This is the terrible pit in my stomach.... this exactly.
RE: IF  
Mike in NJ : 5/14/2019 1:02 pm : link
In comment 14443280 bigbluehoya said:
Quote:
The Knicks really are going to end up with Durant and another max guy (likely Kyrie in the IF scenario), a player like Hunter would be a great piece to add to the mix. A super-athletic 3&D guy who can rebound and play inside/outside on both ends, with further upside if he improves his handle / learns to create his own shot.

Don't get me wrong, I want #1 about as much as anyone. But I won't let myself be destroyed if the ping pong balls don't fall right tonight.


I actually don’t think Reddish would be terrible in that scenario either. I know he struggled at times with Duke, but he is a shooter and can help stretch the floor for Durant/Irving. My only worry with him is he didn’t seem to respond well to being the third banana at Duke, and you have to wonder if that’ll be the case in the NBA as well.
RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
charlito : 5/14/2019 1:04 pm : link
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:
Quote:
on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )


Lakers got the 1st
Memphis 2nd
Phoenix 3rd
Knicks 4th. 😞
RE: RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/14/2019 1:06 pm : link
In comment 14443256 Harvest Blend said:
Quote:
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:


Quote:


on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )



Lol. Only ran it once.

Knicks 5th. Dallas 1st.


Bulls won it when I did it. Knicks...5. UFB.
RE: RE: RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
Harvest Blend : 5/14/2019 1:09 pm : link
In comment 14443311 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
In comment 14443256 Harvest Blend said:


Quote:


In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:


Quote:


on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )



Lol. Only ran it once.

Knicks 5th. Dallas 1st.



Bulls won it when I did it. Knicks...5. UFB.


Get your beer bong ready.
RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
Stu11 : 5/14/2019 1:11 pm : link
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:
Quote:
on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )

I've run that damn thing about 100 times the past month and The Knicks get 4th or 5th like over 80 times. I'm expecting doom and gloom. What surprise me is how many times teams like the Lakers/Grizzlies move up to #1.
give me the 2nd or 3rd and take Morant  
Platos : 5/14/2019 1:14 pm : link
Zion is giving me a greg oden vibe. too much hype. he's so big, the way he plays i can't see his knees holding up.

bring KD, Klay, draft Morant, keep Smith.
RE: RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
moze1021 : 5/14/2019 1:27 pm : link
In comment 14443316 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:


Quote:


on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )


I've run that damn thing about 100 times the past month and The Knicks get 4th or 5th like over 80 times. I'm expecting doom and gloom. What surprise me is how many times teams like the Lakers/Grizzlies move up to #1.


Well..probably felt like that but it was probably close to 60 out of 100...

Just for s&gs I ran it 100 times just now and got 17%,10%,12%,13%,48% vs the anticipated 14%,13.4%,12.7%,11.9%,47.9%
RE: RE: can run simulations of the lottery  
PaulBlakeTSU : 5/14/2019 1:29 pm : link
In comment 14443316 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 14443240 Steve in ATL said:


Quote:


on tankathon.com Link - ( New Window )


I've run that damn thing about 100 times the past month and The Knicks get 4th or 5th like over 80 times. I'm expecting doom and gloom. What surprise me is how many times teams like the Lakers/Grizzlies move up to #1.


The Knicks have a 60% of getting the 4th or 5th pick. It's not surprising that you would see that outcome often.
Ran it 5 times...  
Italianju : 5/14/2019 1:38 pm : link
knicks got first 3 times and fifth 2 times. So we will either be first or 5th i guess, lol.
Wow, ran it like 10 times, Knicks were either 4th or 5th.  
Jim in Hoboken : 5/14/2019 2:05 pm : link
Not gonna bother checking until the end of the night. Now just don’t want the Lakers to get it. This has the feel of the D Rose draft though, not optimistic.
Knicks future could be determined tonight  
Vanzetti : 5/14/2019 2:22 pm : link
There is a huge difference betweeb getting Zion vs. Reddish/Hunter at #5.

Whether you keep him or trade him, Zion adds big value to the franchise, which helps attract free agents.

So, let's not kid ourselves: those pingpong balls are huge tonight

If the league controls who gets the first pick - which may not be  
GeofromNJ : 5/14/2019 2:27 pm : link
an outlandish notion - I think the league would want the Lakers franchise to be restored to glory. For this reason, I will not be surprised if the Lakers "win" the lottery.
Shams said that if the Knicks win the lottery tonight, their focus  
Anakim : 5/14/2019 2:40 pm : link
will turn to acquiring AD
RE: Shams said that if the Knicks win the lottery tonight, their focus  
Chris684 : 5/14/2019 2:43 pm : link
In comment 14443470 Anakim said:
Quote:
will turn to acquiring AD


AD and KD is the dream scenario.

Pass on Kyrie.

Sign Kemba if you must sign a PG, otherwise keep Smith Jr. and use money to build the rest of a good roster around the big 2.
RE: Shams said that if the Knicks win the lottery tonight, their focus  
Stu11 : 5/14/2019 2:45 pm : link
In comment 14443470 Anakim said:
Quote:
will turn to acquiring AD

Honestly while I'm against it, if we do win the lottery and trade it for AD I really don't think we have to give up a hell of a lot more than that. Maybe one of the Dallas picks and a player or 2. When you factor in Zion's value and potential, as well as the cap $ saved I think that #1 is really worth a hell of a lot. Especially when you factor in the availability of other potential offers.
.  
Anakim : 5/14/2019 2:53 pm : link
I find  
DanMetroMan : 5/14/2019 2:53 pm : link
it very hard calling Reddish a "shooter" when the guy shot 36% from the field... 36!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 33% from the field. How many "shooters" at 19 were shooting that poorly that became "shooters"? He's going to be an older 1 and done (20) and has a questionable motor. PASS PASS PASS>
.  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 2:55 pm : link
I'd honestly prefer they keep the pick and just draft Zion if they were to get the 1. Obviously AD would be a great get, too - but I don't want to give up the pick + youth. I think the Knicks would be better off drafting Zion and maintaining some flexibility.
RE: RE: Shams said that if the Knicks win the lottery tonight, their focus  
Anakim : 5/14/2019 2:55 pm : link
In comment 14443479 Stu11 said:
Quote:
In comment 14443470 Anakim said:


Quote:


will turn to acquiring AD


Honestly while I'm against it, if we do win the lottery and trade it for AD I really don't think we have to give up a hell of a lot more than that. Maybe one of the Dallas picks and a player or 2. When you factor in Zion's value and potential, as well as the cap $ saved I think that #1 is really worth a hell of a lot. Especially when you factor in the availability of other potential offers.


Call me crazy, but I think Zion, Frank and Knox for AD is fair. They're going to want Mitch, for sure, but hellll no.
Zion  
Jon in NYC : 5/14/2019 2:56 pm : link
for AD is really close. But given the fact that AD isn't THAT much older and is already a top 5 all time PF, I think you have to make the move.

For 2-5 it's a no brainer.
NOLA will want more than what the Timberwolves received for Love  
Anakim : 5/14/2019 2:57 pm : link
.
I'll be happy to worry about what NOLA wants  
wigs in nyc : 5/14/2019 2:58 pm : link
once we're not picking 5th. I really hope this doesn't go the way the numbers say it most likely will.
.  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 2:58 pm : link
If it costs Robinson to get AD, that's where I'd say no.

The pick, Knox, Frank... that's all fine. But I'd much rather have Zion/Robinson than AD with Robinson being dealt to NOLA.
I am not too worried about tonight  
larryflower37 : 5/14/2019 3:01 pm : link
KD and another max player are more important than anyone in the lottery.

Top 3 we move for Davis anyway.

Davis, KD, and another max for the next 4 to 5 years is a dream come true.
Players will be lining up to be role players in NY on that team
RE: .  
larryflower37 : 5/14/2019 3:03 pm : link
In comment 14443507 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
If it costs Robinson to get AD, that's where I'd say no.

The pick, Knox, Frank... that's all fine. But I'd much rather have Zion/Robinson than AD with Robinson being dealt to NOLA.


Unless Robinson adds some post moves and some game away from the basket
he is not enough to hold up an AD deal.
I understand the hesitation on dealing Robinson  
wigs in nyc : 5/14/2019 3:11 pm : link
but this feels like a Mozgov/Melo type of concern.
RE: RE: .  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 3:16 pm : link
In comment 14443518 larryflower37 said:
Quote:
In comment 14443507 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


If it costs Robinson to get AD, that's where I'd say no.

The pick, Knox, Frank... that's all fine. But I'd much rather have Zion/Robinson than AD with Robinson being dealt to NOLA.



Unless Robinson adds some post moves and some game away from the basket
he is not enough to hold up an AD deal.


For picks 2-5, no -

The point I'm making is that if the Knicks do get the first pick and still want to trade it, I'd be against moving that pick + Robinson+ for AD.

In that instance, I'd prefer to just draft and keep Zion and still have Robinson here.

For any other pick, if we have to include Robinson to get AD, so be it.
Lets  
DanMetroMan : 5/14/2019 3:20 pm : link
not get silly. If Mitch seals the deal and KD and Kyrie are joining Davis you don't think twice.
I just ran the draft simulator 100 times. lol  
Beezer : 5/14/2019 3:22 pm : link
Logged the results.

47% Knicks pick 5th

9% Knicks pick 4th

11% Knicks pick 3rd

15% Knicks pick 2nd

18% Knicks pick 1st

So ...

56% Knicks pick 4 or 5

44% Knicks pick 1, 2 or 3
Darius Garland  
Pep22 : 5/14/2019 3:23 pm : link
from what little I've seen of him, he looks like an awfully impressive offensive player (Trey Young type).

...and yes, I'm assuming we score a 5th pick tonight :(
.  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 3:24 pm : link
I don't think it's "silly" to opine that the Knicks could potentially be better long-term with Zion, Robinson, KD, Kyrie/Kemba, Knox etc.

Davis misses time every year. He's a great player, but I'm not going to empty out the rest of the roster just to get him here and crush all . of our depth and hamstring our cap flexibility.

The guy basically never plays full seasons and he's coming off another one where he missed over 20 games. It's a fair concern.
.  
arcarsenal : 5/14/2019 3:27 pm : link
Anthony Davis has missed time with a shoulder issue, back spasms, elbow issues, ankle issues.

It's not a no brainer.

Look for yourself. The guy is a walking medical report.
Link - ( New Window )
RE: NOLA will want more than what the Timberwolves received for Love  
nygiants16 : 5/14/2019 3:28 pm : link
In comment 14443503 Anakim said:
Quote:
.


i would hope so, twolves got dog shit for love
RE: RE: RE: .  
Giantz_comeback : 5/14/2019 3:28 pm : link
In comment 14443535 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
In comment 14443518 larryflower37 said:


Quote:


In comment 14443507 arcarsenal said:


Quote:


If it costs Robinson to get AD, that's where I'd say no.

The pick, Knox, Frank... that's all fine. But I'd much rather have Zion/Robinson than AD with Robinson being dealt to NOLA.



Unless Robinson adds some post moves and some game away from the basket
he is not enough to hold up an AD deal.



For picks 2-5, no -

The point I'm making is that if the Knicks do get the first pick and still want to trade it, I'd be against moving that pick + Robinson+ for AD.

In that instance, I'd prefer to just draft and keep Zion and still have Robinson here.

For any other pick, if we have to include Robinson to get AD, so be it.


I highly highly doubt AD would cost BOTH Zion AND Mitchell. Zion on his own almost gets you AD. Then we will include some combo of knox, Frank, DSJ (partly as salary cap filler and partly added value). Take a look at many of the other superstar trades,maybe Im wrong but I don't know if anyone got a Zion level prospect back.
RE: .  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 5/14/2019 3:29 pm : link
In comment 14443546 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
I don't think it's "silly" to opine that the Knicks could potentially be better long-term with Zion, Robinson, KD, Kyrie/Kemba, Knox etc.

Davis misses time every year. He's a great player, but I'm not going to empty out the rest of the roster just to get him here and crush all . of our depth and hamstring our cap flexibility.

The guy basically never plays full seasons and he's coming off another one where he missed over 20 games. It's a fair concern.


I’d lean slightly against trading Zion for Davis for this reason. I truly buy the Zion hype, and think the depth/cap flexibility is too important.

You definitely don’t trade Zion + Robinson for Davis.
Unless KD demands it as part of coming to NY,  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 5/14/2019 3:29 pm : link
I wouldn't trade Zion.
RE: .  
Giantz_comeback : 5/14/2019 3:31 pm : link
In comment 14443546 arcarsenal said:
Quote:
I don't think it's "silly" to opine that the Knicks could potentially be better long-term with Zion, Robinson, KD, Kyrie/Kemba, Knox etc.

Davis misses time every year. He's a great player, but I'm not going to empty out the rest of the roster just to get him here and crush all . of our depth and hamstring our cap flexibility.

The guy basically never plays full seasons and he's coming off another one where he missed over 20 games. It's a fair concern.


Zion is an extremely high level prospect, Id laugh if the premise was including any pick in this draft other than him. But Zion has the look of one of those once in every decade or so type prospects .

That said I wouldnt be upset if we traded him for AD but its not a no brainer as some might think.
The AD rumor makes me not want to watch tonight  
Oscar : 5/14/2019 3:33 pm : link
I specifically want Zion, not a trade chip for Davis. The biggest Knicks move of all time would be trading Zion for AD before free agency, whiffing in free agency and AD walks. And then Zion has a better NBA career than Davis anyway.
I think Darius Garland will be an excellent pro.  
bceagle05 : 5/14/2019 3:34 pm : link
Not the most explosive athlete, but has enough “short area quickness” to get past defenders, and he has NBA range on his jumper. Someone will be very happy they drafted him.
If the Knicks trade  
90.Cal : 5/14/2019 3:34 pm : link
Zion OR Morant OR Barrett for Anthony Davis... the Knicks will continue to suck for the next decade or two... period
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