About 13 1/2 hours or so from now, we'll know where the ping pong have landed. As most know, the Knicks, Cavs, & Suns all have the same odds of winning the Zion sweepstakes @ 14 % each. The worse case for the Knicks is they end up with the 5th pick, but that's not going to happen. Think positively.
Going to be a long day at work looking @ the clock. Beer in the man cave fridge is cold & ready to be consumed.
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In comment 14443642 Dave in PA said:
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Premiere player at position of desperate need. Make it so!
Or we can just do some science experiment and combine Frank, Mudiay and DSJ
I'm curious what Mudiay brings to this amalgamation? Lots of minutes because of Fiz's love of the player?
I...ummm. He does that one thing well...no..no. Ummm.
Yeah, we'll go with what you said.
Davis is a great player - people are confusing what I'm saying or twisting it to frame this as me saying otherwise. I'm not. I just have concerns about how it'll all piece together and I think the Knicks could conceivably build a better team by simply drafting Zion. There would be more flexibility and a conceivably larger window.
If we go the KD/AD/Kyrie route, we better win a championship within 2-3 years. If we don't, we're probably going to be waiting a while for another shot.
I feel like Knicks fans are already trying to convince themselves that Zion won't be that good so that they can ultimately rationalize trading him and other pieces for Davis should we land the top pick.
What if Zion actually is the real deal? It's almost like no one here wants to consider that.. or we're talking about it like it's a major longshot.
I've been saying the same thing. I'm very on Ja Morant. Has everything you want in a stud point guard, from day 1 he'll be a good facilitator and a problem in transition. Not worried about his shot it'll become respectable. Excellent length for a point guard. Love the small school guys they always come in with a chip on their shoulder and work hard. He's my favorite player in the draft. Cameron Payne, Isaiah Canaan and Ja Morant...Murray State has been an impressive mid major as of late.
Fundamentally it's the difference between betting big on the next few years and being a legit contender almost for sure vs building the team more organically in parallel to FA, but not mortgaging the years following regardless of how that pans out. That's my preference too
But I totally get AD arguments. I do think he's a more difficult fit than everyone is making out - yet even so KD KI AD is a top 4 team in the East and will def get legit FAs to fill out the roster. Could be worse than this...!
But Zion is just a special type of player. I see his floor as some sort of freakish Julius Randle/Lance Stephenson combo, that’s still a nice player. His ceiling is Barkley with defense which would be a possible GOAT candidate.
If you bring KD and Kyrie you are in win now and for the next 4 years.
AD is ready for that.
Zion might end up a better pro down the road but he will need to develop.
I am Zion fan and if we decide to build in the draft he is a great first piece but unproven
Also I get people like building through the draft but Davis isnt getting much love here. Im a big Zion fan, but to act like he is some sure fire stud is crazy. He needs to be able to shoot better. His athleticism will def play at the next level but it wont be a man among boys like in college. Again im a huge fan, but AD is one of the top 5 players in this league and up there with Giannis/Kawhi as guys id start my franchise with right now.
Kawhi decides to come here. He’s the top FA out there No doubt I’d rather have him over AD and KD
Sign Klay
Robinson
Zion
Kawhi
Klay
Smith
Great defensive team here
Bench
Knox
DJ
Trier
Dotson
But Zion is just a special type of player. I see his floor as some sort of freakish Julius Randle/Lance Stephenson combo, that’s still a nice player. His ceiling is Barkley with defense which would be a possible GOAT candidate.
I think his floor is higher than that. I think it's Draymond Green. Add in elite athleticism and youth and I think it's very likely he'll move beyond that baseline and quickly.
Others may have made this point, but wouldn't the Knicks have to essentially trade everyone else to make an AD salary fit along with KD and Kyrie? The Celtics had a Big 3, but they got to keep Rondo, Perkins, Big Baby, and Tony Allen after the sweetheart deal with McHale. The Knicks might not be allowed to do that due to the salaries.
Zion gets the $9 mil rookie contract and we have him under control for 5 years.
Not to mention the other pieces we'd have to trade.
I can't believe this trade is even a consideration. I'm not trading Zion. What the hell had AD won in New Orleans anyway? He's not exactly all alone there. Randle and Holiday are good. Yet the team sucks.
If you bring KD and Kyrie you are in win now and for the next 4 years.
AD is ready for that.
Zion might end up a better pro down the road but he will need to develop.
I am Zion fan and if we decide to build in the draft he is a great first piece but unproven
Davis/Durant/Kyrie are a trio of injury prone players who have proven to be questionable off the court. Davis brings the least baggage yet he just sat out a half year because he wanted to play with Bron.
It’s a pretty damn nasty trio but there are concerns. Big3 teams are already lacking depth, which makes these guys’ injury prone factor more significant.
Zion + depth + flexibility is the way I’d go imo.
Morant Id trade for Davis because of Kyrie/Kemba in FA.
Also athleticism - I don't see it. We can name 8-10 similar athletes at guard (DSJ is more explosive for example), if not 8-10+ PGs who will give him trouble on both ends regardless (Teague, Brogdon). Sure he looks fast vs the OVC. (While Zion is a top 20 NBA athlete, conservatively)
He's got elite vision & passing, with a plus handle & great on the break. Otherwise paint finishes are just ok, no J, and decision-making he gets away with at that level. But NBA physicality & D? As you could argue vs Florida St (ACC is close as you get). Imagine him vs the Bucks or Raps day 1? That too w/ a weak motor off the ball & on D. He's another ball dominant player that takes more fitting unless he's your #1-2
I think he'll be good, but see a lot more bust potential than his proponents admit. And years of adjustment even if he hits his ceiling to be an efficient, winning NBA PG
Durant: 70
Davis: 67
Irving: 63
If that's your Big 3, the rest of your team will be trash. Are you guys really comfortable with that?
And some of you guys said you'd throw Mitch in with Zion for Davis which is ridiculous imo.
I'd do anyone but Zion for Davis. But if you get the chance at Zion, keep him imo.
Good Luck either way, the league and the city could use a fun to watch contending Knicks team.
And you know, unlikely things happen all the time. Pitchers hit home runs. It rains in the desert and snows in May.
Everything going chalk tonight is probably among the least-likely outcomes. Something unlikely will almost certainly happen. We just can't guess which unlikely thing or things it will be.
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There is a 48% chance they pick 5th, 86% chance they don’t pick first. It would be incredible luck if they did land #1 overall.
"Incredible" seems like hyperbole to me. It's a 14% chance, not a 1.4% chance. That's about 1/8.
And you know, unlikely things happen all the time. Pitchers hit home runs. It rains in the desert and snows in May.
Everything going chalk tonight is probably among the least-likely outcomes. Something unlikely will almost certainly happen. We just can't guess which unlikely thing or things it will be.
Great point. The reality is the odds are mathematically stacked against every team getting the #1 pick, when you look at their odds individually. But someone has to pick #1, and the Knicks do have the best odds they possibly could.
Durant: 70
Davis: 67
Irving: 63
If that's your Big 3, the rest of your team will be trash. Are you guys really comfortable with that?
Trash? They dont need to be all stars at that point just role players who do their job well.
Deandre Jordan, Mitchell (likely to stay if we get a top 2 pick), Trier, Dotson, then a couple ring chasing vets,
Miami did they same thing : almost all the cap on their big 3 and it worked pretty darn well.
Also athleticism - I don't see it. We can name 8-10 similar athletes at guard (DSJ is more explosive for example), if not 8-10+ PGs who will give him trouble on both ends regardless (Teague, Brogdon). Sure he looks fast vs the OVC. (While Zion is a top 20 NBA athlete, conservatively)
He's got elite vision & passing, with a plus handle & great on the break. Otherwise paint finishes are just ok, no J, and decision-making he gets away with at that level. But NBA physicality & D? As you could argue vs Florida St (ACC is close as you get). Imagine him vs the Bucks or Raps day 1? That too w/ a weak motor off the ball & on D. He's another ball dominant player that takes more fitting unless he's your #1-2
I think he'll be good, but see a lot more bust potential than his proponents admit. And years of adjustment even if he hits his ceiling to be an efficient, winning NBA PG
If Kyrie comes as a package deal then you deal Morant for AD.
Jordan/Mitchell
AD/Mitchell/KD
KD/Dotson/Ellenson
Dotson/Allen
Kyrie
This is not even considering a couple good ring chaser or two.
That team would win 60-65 games in the east.
Durant: 70
Davis: 67
Irving: 63
If that's your Big 3, the rest of your team will be trash. Are you guys really comfortable with that?
Is this a joke?
Absolutely!
I would keep all 3 under 65 games.
2 of those on the court wins most games.
I'm fine with keeping Zion in this hypothetical scenario, but the "typical Knicks" stuff if they decide to trade him is a bit much. They've never been in a position like this before.
I'm fine with keeping Zion in this hypothetical scenario, but the "typical Knicks" stuff if they decide to trade him is a bit much. They've never been in a position like this before.
Just draft Zion & keep him if you have the number 1 pick. Sign KD/Kyrie. Develop Knox, Robinson & company with Zion & you have a nice drafted core in addition to players brought in through FA.
Jeezus. You’ve been insufferable this entire thread. We get it. We have a greater chance at 5 than 1. You aren’t some genius passing along groundbreaking info like you seem to think you are. Now, can you allow us to dream for another half hour?
Jordan/Mitchell
AD/Mitchell/KD
KD/Dotson/Ellenson
Dotson/Allen
Kyrie
This is not even considering a couple good ring chaser or two.
That team would win 60-65 games in the east.
Agreed. I was just talking about Morant, but as you said w/ KI he's tradeable. Also agreed, JUST KD makes ring chasers a given IMO
I said above it's not just Mitch or Zion for AD, it's either / both PLUS several players & 1sts. You trade that for a ring no doubt, but it's a 3-4 yr window. I'd generally err on the side of no trade with hopes to build a system of scouting & developing vs a big bet now with a hole to dig out at the end
Still hypothetically KK, AT, DSJ, Dot, 2019 pick + a 1st for AD (def for another 1st, maybe even 1 of Mitch or Zion)? You might have to do that of course. So it's still dependent on the pkg, even for a great like AD
Now it's time to dial up the old man to discuss some hoops & crack open a couple of Wicked Weed Pernicious IPAs.
LET'S F*CKING GO. COME ON BASKETBALL GODS. WE'RE DUE!
Would love for the Knicks to get Zion but if I had to choose my Mega Millions ticket is more Than a tad ahead on the wish list.