for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

Giants Bills Betting Line

armstead98 : 9/14/2019 8:09 am
A few notes on the line:

* Bills are -2 (home team typically gets 3 points so Vegas thinks Bills are 5 points better).

* Line opened at -2.5 and dropped down to -1.5 before the Shepard news.

* Betting is pretty even, 56% of bets (not money) on Bills

Reading the board it seems like people here think the Bills are a lock.
If I were a betting man  
justafan : 9/14/2019 8:38 am : link
I'd take that. Of course, I was a betting man once and I found there were better ways to lose money.
Books crush the public week 2 due to overreaction to week 1  
Zeke's Alibi : 9/14/2019 9:12 am : link
Actually feel a lot better if public was all over Bills.
RE: If I were a betting man  
ron mexico : 9/14/2019 9:14 am : link
In comment 14574774 justafan said:
Quote:
I'd take that. Of course, I was a betting man once and I found there were better ways to lose money.


Haha, so true
I love, love  
GmeninPSL : 9/14/2019 10:43 am : link
Both the Giants and Falcons getting 2 at home this weekend.
Did I mention L O V E . . . . .
RE: I love, love  
ron mexico : 9/14/2019 12:53 pm : link
In comment 14574855 GmeninPSL said:
Quote:
Both the Giants and Falcons getting 2 at home this weekend.
Did I mention L O V E . . . . .


I love the eagles. Atlanta’s o line is terrible. Ryan is getting the Eli treatment.
Dolphins are 18.5 dogs  
Manny in CA : 9/14/2019 1:44 pm : link

To the Pats AT Miami !

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_odds.shtml
I have been a Giants fan since 1955, I have lived through decades of  
SterlingArcher : 9/15/2019 12:19 am : link
bad, really bad football, but I have always believed the Giants could win every game they played. This is the first week in over 60 years I feel the Giants will not win this game and go on a log losing streak. I hope I am wrong and the Giants defense shows up this week.
Ed Oliver > Saquan  
Danny Dimes : 9/15/2019 12:22 am : link
Bills pass rush vs Giants letting Josh Allen 20 years on the pocket
Been a Giants fan since 1956. That said,  
GeofromNJ : 9/15/2019 8:54 am : link
I think many are underestimating Allen's talent. Without a pass rush, Allen will sit back in the pocket and look for open receivers and when he finds them, he'll connect. If the Giants pressure him, (and don't shadow him) he'll escape and run for first downs.

Bills 24, Giants 17
This game has a shockingly low amount of handle for a Giants game  
Zeke's Alibi : 9/15/2019 9:46 am : link
looks like the pros are staying off.

But on the bright side, the most glaring thing looking at the board is a ton of tickets on the Cowboys, but the line has moved the other way. Pros like the Skins to cover 6.
RE: Been a Giants fan since 1956. That said,  
Zeke's Alibi : 9/15/2019 9:50 am : link
In comment 14575488 GeofromNJ said:
Quote:
I think many are underestimating Allen's talent. Without a pass rush, Allen will sit back in the pocket and look for open receivers and when he finds them, he'll connect. If the Giants pressure him, (and don't shadow him) he'll escape and run for first downs.

Bills 24, Giants 17


Yeh the Giants are a prime candidate for a teaser leg, home dog of 2, but I couldn't include them today. Our history vs running QBs is worrisome. Connelly starting is encouraging, but his shoe string tackles won't get it down against him. And who knows how our offense does against that defense. I think they are too good on all levels for us just to say we are going to establish the run, and who the fuck are we going to throw to?
The O/U is 44.5...  
bw in dc : 9/15/2019 10:42 am : link
I have no faith in either offenses. So that number feels too high. All signs seem to point to the under.

But that's where I usually stop and start questioning the obvious. And then go the other way...

So I'm going over and expecting some craziness in the 4th quarter.

RE: I have been a Giants fan since 1955, I have lived through decades of  
cosmicj : 9/15/2019 10:46 am : link
In comment 14575413 SterlingArcher said:
Quote:
bad, really bad football, but I have always believed the Giants could win every game they played. This is the first week in over 60 years I feel the Giants will not win this game and go on a log losing streak. I hope I am wrong and the Giants defense shows up this week.


Sterling - this is a surprising statement. I know the D looked unprepared last week, but please explain why you feel this way.
Betting lines are NOT Vegas' opinion of how many points better  
Mr. Bungle : 9/15/2019 11:11 am : link
one team is than another.

Vegas sets lines trying to get as close to 50/50 betting as possible.
RE: Been a Giants fan since 1956. That said,  
Jim in Fairfax : 9/15/2019 11:13 am : link
In comment 14575488 GeofromNJ said:
Quote:
I think many are underestimating Allen's talent. Without a pass rush, Allen will sit back in the pocket and look for open receivers and when he finds them, he'll connect. If the Giants pressure him, (and don't shadow him) he'll escape and run for first downs.

Bills 24, Giants 17

You must have been wearing rose colored glasses the last 60 years. They have played many, many games over the years where they had far less chance of winning than they do today.
RE: Betting lines are NOT Vegas' opinion of how many points better  
Zeke's Alibi : 9/15/2019 11:56 am : link
In comment 14575605 Mr. Bungle said:
Quote:
one team is than another.

Vegas sets lines trying to get as close to 50/50 betting as possible.


I don't know how many times this needs to be disputed. Sure the anticipated public action will sway the opening line a point or two, but if they just set lines based on what they thought they were getting 50/50 pros would hammer them. There are plenty of times where books will set a line to grab a ton of public action and feel completely comfortable leaving it there because they believe the line will go the other way. It isn't all about 50/50 action.
I see the line has moved to -1  
ron mexico : 9/15/2019 12:42 pm : link
Money must be coming in for the Giants.
RE: I see the line has moved to -1  
Zeke's Alibi : 9/15/2019 12:44 pm : link
In comment 14575721 ron mexico said:
Quote:
Money must be coming in for the Giants.


1 to 2 isn't that big of deal. I think its because the Giants were probably a popular teaser choice at 1.5 2
Back to the Corner