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NFT: Mets sign Porcello

DanMetroMan : 12/12/2019 9:06 am
Per Rosenthal, 1 year deal
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Cot's has Mets 5.5 under the luxury tax without Wacha's salary  
Vanzetti : 12/12/2019 3:14 pm : link
Assuming the 3 million is accurate, that puts them 2.5 under.

So really they can't do any more deals unless it is something like Dan suggested above, with getting a cost controlled catcher like one of the guys from Toronto.

I think using a player like Dom to move a salary like Lowrie's is a bad move longterm. This is not a team guaranteed to make the playoffs. See how they start the season before you start giving away young talent to move short-term contracts.

.  
DanMetroMan : 12/12/2019 3:16 pm : link
LeClerc has an extremely team-friendly contract, however I think Dom would be a great target for Texas. RP are volatile and LeClerc has had major command issues for the majority of his career. Huge 2018 for sure. Big risk with him. 68.2 innings 33 walks in 2019
RE: .  
Metnut : 12/12/2019 3:20 pm : link
In comment 14716354 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:

Michael Mayer
@mikemayerMMO
·
1m
Sources: Mets have talked to the Rangers about right-hander reliever Jose Leclerc.

Leclerc, 25, had 4.33 ERA, 100 K in 68 innings in 2019

@Ken_Rosenthal
was the first to mention that the Rangers and Mets had talked about a deal potentially including Dom Smith and Jed Lowrie.


Leclerc is good. Would be a nice add.

If we trade both Smith and Lowrie, we're left with, Mcneil, Rosario, Cano, Alonso, Davis in the IF. And, Conforto, Nimmo, the Astros guy we added, Cespedes and Davis in OF.

Our depth looks a lot thinner after a deal like that. Cano is likely to be on the DL at some point. Nimmo and Conforto havn't exactly been healthy all the time. Cespedes is obviously a question mark. McNeil seemed like he needed rest days last year at times.

Are we really sure we want to give up all of that depth just to add an RP? Why not keep the depth and just sign Betances without giving anything up?
LeClerc  
DanMetroMan : 12/12/2019 3:22 pm : link
scares me. 5.1 BB/9 in 2019, career 5.6. Not saying I'd hate Dom and Lowrie for him but I could also see it working out poorly for us and well for Texas.
RE: LeClerc  
Vanzetti : 12/12/2019 3:25 pm : link
In comment 14716386 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
scares me. 5.1 BB/9 in 2019, career 5.6. Not saying I'd hate Dom and Lowrie for him but I could also see it working out poorly for us and well for Texas.


I agree. Not another reliever with control problems. However, it might be too tempting for BVW to turn down since it would free up the extra cap space, while also adding another arm to the bullpen. Lowrie really has no place on this team
RE: RE: LeClerc  
Rory : 12/12/2019 4:01 pm : link
In comment 14716392 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
In comment 14716386 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


scares me. 5.1 BB/9 in 2019, career 5.6. Not saying I'd hate Dom and Lowrie for him but I could also see it working out poorly for us and well for Texas.



I agree. Not another reliever with control problems. However, it might be too tempting for BVW to turn down since it would free up the extra cap space, while also adding another arm to the bullpen. Lowrie really has no place on this team


disagree, he's the Mets only real depth in the infield.
Mets  
DanMetroMan : 12/12/2019 4:06 pm : link
sign Pedro Payano to a minor league deal.. the numbers... NOT good
Link - ( New Window )
Not a bad decade for Boras  
pjcas18 : 12/12/2019 4:25 pm : link
and he's still got 3 weeks.

Quote:
Tucker Boynton
@Tucker_TnL
·
17h
UPDATE- In this decade alone, Scott Boras has negotiated

Holliday, 7y / 120M
Werth, 7y / 126M
Fielder, 9y / 214M
Andrus, 8y / 120M
Ellsbury, 7y / 153M
Choo, 7y / 130M
Scherzer, 7y / 210M
Harper, 13y / 330M
Strasburg, 7y / 245M
Cole, 9y / 324M
Rendon, 7y / 245M

2.2 BILLION+
I'd hesitate to deal Dom for a RP  
Eric on Li : 12/12/2019 4:50 pm : link
a talent like Dom under control for multiple years has surplus value way beyond the $10m it would cost to add Betances. It's just a foolish decision.
LeClerc...  
Torrag : 12/12/2019 6:44 pm : link
Hard pass on relievers with bad walk analytics. Wins are too hard to come by to jeopardize them with pitchers that can't or won't throw strikes.
Lmao  
Nine-Tails : 12/12/2019 8:40 pm : link
Van Wagenen is frickin joke
interesting  
CMicks3110 : 12/12/2019 8:54 pm : link
and not totally relevant, but Mets have 15 players on their roster that have made at least 1 all start game. That does not include Nimmo, Lugo or J.D. Davis
Yes just  
XBRONX : 12/12/2019 9:12 pm : link
what the Mets need a pitcher with shit for control.
RE: RE: RE: LeClerc  
Vanzetti : 12/12/2019 9:29 pm : link
In comment 14716448 Rory said:
Quote:


Lowrie really has no place on this team



disagree, he's the Mets only real depth in the infield.


He is only depth at SS.

If Cano goes down, McNeil goes to 2B and JD to 3B.
If McNeil goes down, JD takes his spot

So, Lowrie only really will be used extensively if Rosario goes down and he played in 154 and 157 games the last two years.

Plus, I doubt Lowrie can play SS full time at a high level any more. He is obviously better defensively than JD at 3B. But they have Luis G to be a defensive replacement.

So, yeah, Lowrie is a good guy to have but in no way is he essential even as a backup. Then, if you factor in that he missed almost all of last season with a variety of injuries and he is due to make 11.5 million, you trade him in a heartbeat if anybody wants him.

Then you take that money and sign Betances.


RE: interesting  
ZGiants98 : 12/12/2019 9:36 pm : link
In comment 14716696 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
and not totally relevant, but Mets have 15 players on their roster that have made at least 1 all start game. That does not include Nimmo, Lugo or J.D. Davis



Oooohhh.. Fun.

1.) deGrom
2.) Syndergaard
3.) Stroman
4.) Porcello
5.) Wacha
6.) Familia
7.) Diaz
8.) Brach
9.) Cespedes
10.) Conforto
11.) McNeil
12.) Cano
13.) Alonso
14.) Ramos
15.) Lowrie

Brach was the trickiest!
Wait... I dont think Porcello was an all star  
ZGiants98 : 12/12/2019 10:00 pm : link
So who am I missing?
Best NYM winter meetings news ever  
Eric on Li : 12/12/2019 10:02 pm : link
Quote:
Michael Mayer @mikemayerMMO
5m
FWIW, Jeff Wilpon was not at the Winter Meetings this year.
RE: RE: RE: RE: LeClerc  
Rory : 12/12/2019 10:08 pm : link
In comment 14716736 Vanzetti said:
Quote:
In comment 14716448 Rory said:


Quote:




Lowrie really has no place on this team



disagree, he's the Mets only real depth in the infield.



He is only depth at SS.

If Cano goes down, McNeil goes to 2B and JD to 3B.
If McNeil goes down, JD takes his spot

So, Lowrie only really will be used extensively if Rosario goes down and he played in 154 and 157 games the last two years.

Plus, I doubt Lowrie can play SS full time at a high level any more. He is obviously better defensively than JD at 3B. But they have Luis G to be a defensive replacement.

So, yeah, Lowrie is a good guy to have but in no way is he essential even as a backup. Then, if you factor in that he missed almost all of last season with a variety of injuries and he is due to make 11.5 million, you trade him in a heartbeat if anybody wants him.

Then you take that money and sign Betances.



not certain I want JD playing extensively at 3B. That feeling could change but right now hard pass on that idea.

Also can we not shift McNeil around again like we've been doing, give him 3b full time.
Dont know why people are in a rush to trade away  
ZGiants98 : 12/12/2019 10:15 pm : link
Lowrie, Dom, and JD.

Thats a ton of depth and I guarantee 3 regular everyday players will be out at the same time this coming year, at least once.

Lowrie backs up 3B, SS, and 2B. Dom backs up CO/1B but is also the primary LH bat off the bench. JD backs up CO/3B and is probably starting multiple times a week resting Ces.

Marisnick plays against lefties and comes in late in just about every game with a lead.

Thats a really nice bench. Leave it alone.
I swear I just want one more quality reliever  
ZGiants98 : 12/12/2019 10:26 pm : link
And one defensive backup C that can maybe hit a little.

That's it.

Im not asking a lot am I? lol
RE: I swear I just want one more quality reliever  
Chris684 : 12/13/2019 8:07 am : link
In comment 14716812 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
And one defensive backup C that can maybe hit a little.

That's it.

Im not asking a lot am I? lol


Betances and Maldonado would be nice.
How the f*  
CMicks3110 : 12/13/2019 8:18 am : link
did the Wilpons lose $60 million dollars the last two years? It's unreal to me. Baseball is growing like crazy, teams like the Phillies and Braves are spending enormous sums of money and we're LOSING money?

Those Debt payments are what killed this organization. And they were too stupid to be ahead of the curve in analytics like the Rays.

Without the debt payments though, they almost certainly would be turning a profit.

Cohen can't get here soon enough. We have an incredibly rabid fanbase that will turn out with a winner.
RE: Dont know why people are in a rush to trade away  
Rory : 12/13/2019 9:01 am : link
In comment 14716807 ZGiants98 said:
Quote:
Lowrie, Dom, and JD.

Thats a ton of depth and I guarantee 3 regular everyday players will be out at the same time this coming year, at least once.

Lowrie backs up 3B, SS, and 2B. Dom backs up CO/1B but is also the primary LH bat off the bench. JD backs up CO/3B and is probably starting multiple times a week resting Ces.

Marisnick plays against lefties and comes in late in just about every game with a lead.

Thats a really nice bench. Leave it alone.


1000% agree, the lux tax will cost peanuts vs what they will make in a winning season's revenue.

alot of RP's still available, some can probably be got cheaply or with minor league deals.

Cischek, Joe Smith, Vizcaino, Pat Neshek
RE: RE: I swear I just want one more quality reliever  
ZGiants98 : 12/13/2019 9:44 am : link
In comment 14716981 Chris684 said:
Quote:
In comment 14716812 ZGiants98 said:


Quote:


And one defensive backup C that can maybe hit a little.

That's it.

Im not asking a lot am I? lol



Betances and Maldonado would be nice.


Sold.
BVW's 2nd failure at deadline was not adding Maldonado + a RP then  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 10:04 am : link
MM was traded twice last year, first by KC to the Cubs for a 30 year old reliever. Then by the Cubs at the deadline to the Astros for Tony Kemp.

In 98 PA's for the Astros he went on to post a .781 OPS and on the season he was as usual 1 of the best defensive C's overall (+8 DRS). He made like $3m total last year, so presumably this was a decision over $1m.

Not sure which reliever would have made the most sense, but flash to September 3rd vs. the Nats and a lot of guys could have been the difference in both of those team's trajectories from that moment forward. As could have firing Callaway in June like he should have been.

A lot of "what ifs" from last year unfortunately, and all linked to shit decisions made but our beloved CEO, who fortunately had "prior obligations" instead of attending the WM like usual this year.
Just  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 10:07 am : link
guessing but baseball prospectus's catching metrics don't like Maldonado at all and the Mets have hired people from BP since Brodie was hired so I'm guessing they like him less than you'd think.
RE: Just  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 10:11 am : link
In comment 14717180 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
guessing but baseball prospectus's catching metrics don't like Maldonado at all and the Mets have hired people from BP since Brodie was hired so I'm guessing they like him less than you'd think.


Certainly possible, but presumably there's something there if the Astros keep adding him and getting to WS with him. The C position is a complete wasteland.
RE: RE: Just  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 10:13 am : link
In comment 14717188 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 14717180 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


guessing but baseball prospectus's catching metrics don't like Maldonado at all and the Mets have hired people from BP since Brodie was hired so I'm guessing they like him less than you'd think.



Certainly possible, but presumably there's something there if the Astros keep adding him and getting to WS with him. The C position is a complete wasteland.


BP's system really, really dislike him.. not saying they or the Mets are right, it's just a theory I have.
Link - ( New Window )
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 10:18 am : link
What does Jacob Stallings cost @Mets? Better hitter than Nido and both @baseballpro and statcorner seem very high on his work behind the plate. No real future in Pittsburgh #Mets
DMM the only part of that theory that's off a little  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 10:28 am : link
is that in 2017 MM was #1 in the BP stats and in 2018 he was not as good but still a positive (#18, tied with Zunino). So when he was a FA right around the time we cut TDA he didn't rank poorly, and we know they had spoken to him prior to signing Ramos in the offseason so there was some level of interest.

So while his 2019 metrics very well could have been crap, whatever he had accrued by July probably needed to be taken with a grain of salt not only because they were SSS but because he mostly pitched for a new team, with a terrible pitching staff he was new to, and without a ST.

By statcast Maldonado was still top of the league in pop time and arm so whatever regression he had doesn't seem to have been due to a loss of athletic ability which is usually the main concern with aging regression.
RE: DMM the only part of that theory that's off a little  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 10:33 am : link
In comment 14717293 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
is that in 2017 MM was #1 in the BP stats and in 2018 he was not as good but still a positive (#18, tied with Zunino). So when he was a FA right around the time we cut TDA he didn't rank poorly, and we know they had spoken to him prior to signing Ramos in the offseason so there was some level of interest.

So while his 2019 metrics very well could have been crap, whatever he had accrued by July probably needed to be taken with a grain of salt not only because they were SSS but because he mostly pitched for a new team, with a terrible pitching staff he was new to, and without a ST.

By statcast Maldonado was still top of the league in pop time and arm so whatever regression he had doesn't seem to have been due to a loss of athletic ability which is usually the main concern with aging regression.


BP had him 86th in framing runs (which is obviously very bad) and 34th in overall defense (FRAA) for whatever the reason their metrics are very low on him.
right but that's from an odd year that was split on 3 teams w/ no ST  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 10:54 am : link
I have no idea how they calculate framing runs in the first place, but I'd imagine familiarity impacts any stat that has variables from other players (pitchers).
Really  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 11:08 am : link
liking what the Marlins have done so far adding Villar, Garcia, Aguilar and Sharp
RE: How the f*  
Vanzetti : 12/13/2019 12:56 pm : link
In comment 14716990 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
did the Wilpons lose $60 million dollars the last two years? It's unreal to me. Baseball is growing like crazy, teams like the Phillies and Braves are spending enormous sums of money and we're LOSING money?

Those Debt payments are what killed this organization. And they were too stupid to be ahead of the curve in analytics like the Rays.

Without the debt payments though, they almost certainly would be turning a profit.

Cohen can't get here soon enough. We have an incredibly rabid fanbase that will turn out with a winner.


They didn't. It's an accounting trick. They are not counting the increase in the team's value, just revenue.

RE: .  
figgy2989 : 12/13/2019 1:00 pm : link
In comment 14717221 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
What does Jacob Stallings cost @Mets? Better hitter than Nido and both @baseballpro and statcorner seem very high on his work behind the plate. No real future in Pittsburgh #Mets


Dan, quick question. Do you copy and paste what you put on twitter? Just wondering why some of your posts look like a twitter post and some are normal.
RE: RE: .  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 1:24 pm : link
In comment 14717832 figgy2989 said:
Quote:
In comment 14717221 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


What does Jacob Stallings cost @Mets? Better hitter than Nido and both @baseballpro and statcorner seem very high on his work behind the plate. No real future in Pittsburgh #Mets



Dan, quick question. Do you copy and paste what you put on twitter? Just wondering why some of your posts look like a twitter post and some are normal.


Only when I use my phone which I’m doing right now with my computer doing some weird error check thing for the past few hours.
Marlins  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 3:12 pm : link
in on Puig, nice low risk move
RE: Really  
Mike in NY : 12/13/2019 4:04 pm : link
In comment 14717487 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
liking what the Marlins have done so far adding Villar, Garcia, Aguilar and Sharp


Considering he is likely to come cheap I understand getting Aguilar. I just don't think there is much there and he benefitted from playing home games in Milwaukee. Sharp was one of the few names in the Rule 5 Draft I liked this year, but I figured that he would not fall to the Mets even if we had a slot available for him.
RE: RE: Really  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 4:13 pm : link
In comment 14718182 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 14717487 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


liking what the Marlins have done so far adding Villar, Garcia, Aguilar and Sharp



Considering he is likely to come cheap I understand getting Aguilar. I just don't think there is much there and he benefitted from playing home games in Milwaukee. Sharp was one of the few names in the Rule 5 Draft I liked this year, but I figured that he would not fall to the Mets even if we had a slot available for him.


Aguilar is nothing special but he's going to cost the Marlins pennies and put up a 3.1 fWAR season in 2018, maybe it was a total fluke but for "free" he was a nice add. Villar was a steal and Garcia could be one as well.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 4:23 pm : link
Andy Martino
@martinonyc
Sources: The Mets have reached an agreement with Yoenis Cespedes to amend his contract and 2020 salary. Still working on details.
Clearly  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 4:29 pm : link
they had a strong case to void his deal.


Jeff Passan
@JeffPassan
Yoenis Cespedes and the New York Mets have agreed on an amended contract, a source tells ESPN. While he remains with the team, the settlement significantly lower his salary from the planned $29.5 million.
And now we know why BVW was mum on him a few weeks ago  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 4:38 pm : link
hopefully that savings can get injected into signing Betances.

Do that and swap Dom or JDD for 1 of the Toronto catchers (or another strong defensive catcher) and even with Wheeler leaving I'd consider this offseason a major success. Especially knowing the end of the Wilpon era is near.
Def sounds like they had a good case, maybe BVW went player friendly?  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 4:41 pm : link
Anthony DiComo
@AnthonyDiComo
The reduction in Céspedes' 2020 salary is "significant," a source said. He had been due to make $29.5 million before this restructuring.
RE: Def sounds like they had a good case, maybe BVW went player friendly?  
Four Aces : 12/13/2019 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14718231 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
Anthony DiComo
@AnthonyDiComo
The reduction in Céspedes' 2020 salary is "significant," a source said. He had been due to make $29.5 million before this restructuring.


Wow, that's huge! Definitely didn't see that happening. That can change a lot going forward.
RE: And now we know why BVW was mum on him a few weeks ago  
speedywheels : 12/13/2019 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14718229 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
hopefully that savings can get injected into signing Betances.


That would be awesome if they actually spend the money, but I'm too cynical - those fuckers are probably just pocket it. Hopefully I'm wrong...
will probably  
speedywheels : 12/13/2019 5:19 pm : link
..
I had a feeling they were going after the contract never heard of this  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 5:19 pm : link
type of mutual agreement to amend significantly.
Union got involved so it appears the Mets had a legit grievance...  
Four Aces : 12/13/2019 5:23 pm : link
Passan says a reduction of more than 10 million of his 2020 salary.
.  
DanMetroMan : 12/13/2019 5:53 pm : link

Jacob Resnick
@Jacob_Resnick
The details on Michael Wacha’s incentives:

He gets a “point” for each start or relief appearance of at least three innings. He will earn $500K at points 10, 14, 18, and 20 and at each additional point through 30.

He would earn $250K for 40, 45, 50, and 55 relief appearances.
interesting concept for a contract  
Eric on Li : 12/13/2019 6:05 pm : link
im really annoyed at how obvious of a signing Betances should be right now. Would be nice to see the new manager get a guy he has a relationship after Callaway the pitching guru was like 0-3 with "his guys" who hit FA.
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