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Markus Golden in FA - re-sign or pass?

jcn56 : 12/12/2019 9:37 am
It seems most (I won't say all, and never do) of BBI is trending towards relieving Shurmur (and at the very least, Bettcher) of his duties.

Golden is an AZ carry over, but unlike the others has been highly productive and really the only FA hit I can see in the past two seasons.

The Giants need an edge rusher, but with a change in coaching staff Golden's utility might be limited.

Without knowing right now who steps in for Golden, if you had to guess - are you retaining him or letting him walk? And if you are ready to retain, how far ($$-wise) are you willing to go?

To me this one seems like an underrated key decision for this offseason, and I'm not sure which way to lean. I think he's played very well, but not sure you get the same out of him at DE if the team were to decide to switch back to a 4-3. I also think TB might have some interest in him, and his price might be higher than expected.
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Pass  
Go Terps : 12/12/2019 9:49 am : link
At his current cost he's a nice player. That's as far as it goes.
RE: Depends on what’s left after we set aside $18 million  
bw in dc : 12/12/2019 9:50 am : link
In comment 14715570 The_Boss said:
Quote:
For Leonard Williams.


Excellent point. I’d rather invest in Golden, who has a real niche, than JAG Williams...

RE: Hope they stick with a 3-4  
Toth029 : 12/12/2019 9:50 am : link
In comment 14715583 beatrixkiddo said:
Quote:
If so definite yes. If they switch back to a 4-3 let him walk, would be frustrating as they have already invested time and resources in 3-4 DL up front. We would need to spend multiple drafts acquiring 4-3 DEs, as I’m. It sure we have anyone capable on the roster currently, maybe Ximines?


Lawrence and Williams can be excellent DEs in a 43 but problem is they wouldn't have any starting caliber ends. Xman maybe but needs to get stronger.
....  
Toth029 : 12/12/2019 9:51 am : link
DTs, not ends.
RE: Pass  
section125 : 12/12/2019 10:01 am : link
In comment 14715593 Go Terps said:
Quote:
At his current cost he's a nice player. That's as far as it goes.


Have to agree. He is more effective than OV, but not a game changer. Perhaps with a Chase Young on the other side, he gets there more often.
He does take some stupid offsides penalties a little to often.

At $6 mill, he might be worth it...
I mean...  
Dnew15 : 12/12/2019 10:01 am : link
I see the argument your making about LW being a niche player - but so is Golden.

LW is better at his niche (stopping the run) than Golden is at his (rushing the passer).

If Shurmur and co. are fired - who knows who fits where. It's impossible to say right now.
I'd resign him......  
Simms11 : 12/12/2019 10:03 am : link
He's relentless and gives a nice rush. If we can add another fearsome pass rusher, he'll be that much better IMO.
If they switch to a 43  
giants#1 : 12/12/2019 10:14 am : link
I think you let both Williams and Golden walk (if Eli goes elsewhere, they might actually net a comp pick in this scenario).

But if they stick with the 34, I'd re-sign Golden. As for his contract, I think the closest comp is Preston Smith and the 4 yr/$52M he signed for last season. Not sure I'd go that high, but a 3-4 yr deal worth $12-13M per would be reasonable.

Grab Chase Young to start at the other OLB spot with Williams, Lawrence and Tomlinson up front and the pass rush should be much improved with decent depth at both DL (Hill) and OLB (Ximenes, Carter). Get some ILBs and a FS (Love?) with some improvement from the young CBs (mainly Beal & Baker) and the D could be solid, particularly with a coaching improvement.
I'd give him  
LawrenceTaylor56 : 12/12/2019 10:17 am : link
Aaron Donald money. You need to keep him.
RE: All things considered  
Gatorade Dunk : 12/12/2019 10:20 am : link
In comment 14715571 Giant John said:
Quote:
I’d bring him back. At a reasonable cost.

With the amount of aggregate cap room available across the league this coming offseason, I'm not sure there will be such a thing as "a reasonable cost" in 2020. Or, at the very least, our idea of what constitutes a reasonable cost is about to be redefined.
RE: If they switch to a 43  
BillKo : 12/12/2019 10:25 am : link
In comment 14715636 giants#1 said:
Quote:
I think you let both Williams and Golden walk (if Eli goes elsewhere, they might actually net a comp pick in this scenario).

But if they stick with the 34, I'd re-sign Golden. As for his contract, I think the closest comp is Preston Smith and the 4 yr/$52M he signed for last season. Not sure I'd go that high, but a 3-4 yr deal worth $12-13M per would be reasonable.

Grab Chase Young to start at the other OLB spot with Williams, Lawrence and Tomlinson up front and the pass rush should be much improved with decent depth at both DL (Hill) and OLB (Ximenes, Carter). Get some ILBs and a FS (Love?) with some improvement from the young CBs (mainly Beal & Baker) and the D could be solid, particularly with a coaching improvement.


This has to be the thinking........and especially a coaching improvement!

Looking at things, the Giants are actually going to be an attractive landing spot.

There, I said it.
He's given more production this year  
montanagiant : 12/12/2019 10:25 am : link
Than Vernon gave us in 2.5 seasons. I would resign him
I'd  
AcidTest : 12/12/2019 10:28 am : link
like to resign him, but think he's just going to be too expensive. Pass rushers get excellent money. Somebody will throw a ton of coin at him.
He is our only pass rusher  
Chip : 12/12/2019 10:29 am : link
no brainer sign him unless he is being unreasonable
What does  
giant power : 12/12/2019 10:35 am : link
Chase Young do for Golden's production? Any impact? Just asking.
RE: What does  
giants#1 : 12/12/2019 10:38 am : link
In comment 14715680 giant power said:
Quote:
Chase Young do for Golden's production? Any impact? Just asking.


If he's as good as advertised, I think Young would free him up a little more since Young will at least occasionally draw some doubles and/or get some quick pressure that forces the QB in Golden's direction.
Depends on the  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 12/12/2019 10:38 am : link
$.
I would go up to about $17mm.  
cosmicj : 12/12/2019 10:41 am : link
I can see the Giants franchise tagging Golden, btw. Depends on how the Williams negotiations go.

The reality is that if we let Golden move on, we may be hard pressed to use that money effectively.
Definitely not for a long term top $ contract  
Coach Red Beaulieu : 12/12/2019 10:42 am : link
I could live even with a short term top $ contract, need some 4D chess thinking from DG on the cap sit.

The worst thing a GM could do is what Reese did, sign a bunch of FAs for a long term top $ contract at the same time. Yeesh.
RE: No idea - depends what type of defense we are going to run in 2020  
NYDCBlue : 12/12/2019 11:10 am : link
In comment 14715566 jlukes said:
Quote:
our new DC might run a 4-3


I hate Bettcher, and we lack critical parts for a 34 defense, but we simply can not switch gears and go back to a 43 now.... We are even further from fielding a decent 43 defense, and it would take longer for us to start over and build the necessary pieces than it would take to get a new 34 coach and continue down this line....
RE: I would go up to about $17mm.  
jcn56 : 12/12/2019 11:15 am : link
In comment 14715705 cosmicj said:
Quote:
I can see the Giants franchise tagging Golden, btw. Depends on how the Williams negotiations go.

The reality is that if we let Golden move on, we may be hard pressed to use that money effectively.


That second line is exactly where I am with this, and why I think they might have to overpay for Golden. I don't think the FA market for edge rushers is going to be robust.

The smart move if they have decided internally that they'd like to retain Golden was to try to extend him in-season.
Golden is interesting to me  
ShockNRoll : 12/12/2019 11:18 am : link
He's had a very productive season, but I don't feel like he's been a game changing player. Yes, he has a good number of sacks, has made some nice stops in the running game too, but I don't see him as a guy who is consistently wreaking havoc on opposing backfields.

That said, I think if he is opposite a guy like Chase Young or Yannick Ngakoue (even though I don't see Jax letting him go), that would increase his value. Personally, I would see if he would come back on a 2-3 year deal, but I have a feeling he's going to take this year's sack total which will be in double digits and go elsewhere for more money than the Giants should pay him.
well  
BleedBlue : 12/12/2019 11:28 am : link
i think they are going to stay with a 34 base front.

I think they bring him back if the price is reasonable and draft young. golden has been productive without a significant edge player opposite him. you draft young, the attention is off golden who in theory could be more productive because of it. i hope he has 3 poor games, anything to lower his value some because if they can get him for the right price, him and young could be nice with a DL of tomlinson, lawerence and williams with hill rotating in
RE: RE: No idea - depends what type of defense we are going to run in 2020  
giants#1 : 12/12/2019 11:32 am : link
In comment 14715768 NYDCBlue said:
Quote:
In comment 14715566 jlukes said:


Quote:


our new DC might run a 4-3



I hate Bettcher, and we lack critical parts for a 34 defense, but we simply can not switch gears and go back to a 43 now.... We are even further from fielding a decent 43 defense, and it would take longer for us to start over and build the necessary pieces than it would take to get a new 34 coach and continue down this line....


I'm not sure we're any further from a 43, unless you count Leonard Williams and/or Golden as part of the 2020+ team (and they're both currently UFAs):

DL: Lawrence and Tomlinson can start in either. Hill is solid depth for both
LB: Carter/Ximenes/Connelly - I view them as depth at this point, maybe 1 starter if the rest of the D is improved dramatically.

Either way they need pass rushing #1 especially if Golden leaves and a significant improvement at MLB/ILB.

34: DL is ok if LW returns. Need 1-2 ERs (depending on Golden) + 2 ILBs
43: LW/Golden are poor fits. Need 2 DEs (ERs) and 2-3 LBs.
We play mulitple fronts  
Rjanyg : 12/12/2019 11:38 am : link
We need to understand that first and foremost. Golden, Carter, Ximines have all played some DE in a 4 man front. They are rarely in a true 3-4 alignment. Since we have more personnel for the 3-4 I would expect we stay with it. If we draft Chase Young, he will be scheme diverse.

One of our defenses main problems this year is setting an edge in the run game and rushing the passer. Golden has done a very good job with sacks and pressure and is a high effort guy with a great attitude. He has been the best FA pick up by Gettlemen by far.

All this said, I think it would unwise to give Golden more than $10 Million per year. Williams will probably be re-signed and will cost aroun$15 Mill. If we are gonna go hard for an edge guy I would rather see Ngakoue or Dupree.

RE: We play mulitple fronts  
jcn56 : 12/12/2019 12:15 pm : link
In comment 14715818 Rjanyg said:
Quote:
We need to understand that first and foremost. Golden, Carter, Ximines have all played some DE in a 4 man front. They are rarely in a true 3-4 alignment. Since we have more personnel for the 3-4 I would expect we stay with it. If we draft Chase Young, he will be scheme diverse.

One of our defenses main problems this year is setting an edge in the run game and rushing the passer. Golden has done a very good job with sacks and pressure and is a high effort guy with a great attitude. He has been the best FA pick up by Gettlemen by far.

All this said, I think it would unwise to give Golden more than $10 Million per year. Williams will probably be re-signed and will cost aroun$15 Mill. If we are gonna go hard for an edge guy I would rather see Ngakoue or Dupree.


There are posters here convinced that Leonard Williams would command upwards of $15M on the open market. Not sure that I agree with them, but it is possible. If LW is worth that, can you imagine what Ngakoue and Dupree will be asking for on a market flush with cash?
alone among Gettleman's free agents, he's excelled  
Greg from LI : 12/12/2019 12:28 pm : link
But I'm not sure how much I'd want to pay him given that he may not be a fit in a new DC's scheme.
For the people arguing 3-4 vs 4-3  
Thankyoueli : 12/12/2019 12:29 pm : link
Like every other team in the league we spend most of our time in nickel, standard with 4 down lineman. The same role and responsibilities as a 4-3 DE. This is why 3-4 vs 4-3 doesnt matter as much as it used to. Nickel is now the base defense, on average you will used it upwards of 70+% of the time and against some teams (like the rams) will use it 90+% of the time.

That being said Golden is a tough case and is gonna come down to what the market for him is. Next season he will be 29 and we all know about his injury history. Could be one of those guys who you give a bunch of money and never see in the field again, let alone playing at this level.

He's also not very good against the run, but neither is Yannick. Teams will overlook this to some degree and pay through the nose for pass rush and big plays.

What will be interesting to see is how much money someone will be willing to guaruntee, and personally I would want a team option on anything past 3 years. Gun to my head, if I had to make a decision right now my offer would be 3 years 13m a year with 30% guarunteed and a 4th year team option. If another team goes nuts they can have him. He may be willing to take less guarunteed money for the potential of making more per year, players often bet on themselves this way and I'm sure his confidence is sky-high right now.
...  
christian : 12/12/2019 12:35 pm : link
Golden is exactly what a number of fans have wanted and criticized the Giants for missing out on with Vernon, Carter, Martin, etc.

He's a pure blitz edge rusher. He's going to end the season with 40+ pressures and double digits sacks.

He's going to get way more than 8M a year. The ghost of Kareem Martin got 6M a year 3 off seasons ago.

I'd offer him 3/30M fully guaranteed right now.
Uh...  
bw in dc : 12/12/2019 12:35 pm : link
LW is getting at least $18M/yr on the open market. $15M/yr is a pipe dream.

This likely his last chance to cash in. And with all the money in the market, and recent comps at DT, Team LW is going big.
RE: ...  
bw in dc : 12/12/2019 12:43 pm : link
In comment 14715966 christian said:
Quote:
Golden is exactly what a number of fans have wanted and criticized the Giants for missing out on with Vernon, Carter, Martin, etc.

He's a pure blitz edge rusher. He's going to end the season with 40+ pressures and double digits sacks.

He's going to get way more than 8M a year. The ghost of Kareem Martin got 6M a year 3 off seasons ago.

I'd offer him 3/30M fully guaranteed right now.


That would be a steal $30M/3. I'll take it for sure. But there is going to be some serious cap inflation this year.

I like Golden - much better than LW - and hope we can indeed find a way to keep. Unfortunately, we really messed that opportunity up by trading for LW...
RE: RE: We play mulitple fronts  
giants#1 : 12/12/2019 12:44 pm : link
In comment 14715914 jcn56 said:
Quote:
In comment 14715818 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


We need to understand that first and foremost. Golden, Carter, Ximines have all played some DE in a 4 man front. They are rarely in a true 3-4 alignment. Since we have more personnel for the 3-4 I would expect we stay with it. If we draft Chase Young, he will be scheme diverse.

One of our defenses main problems this year is setting an edge in the run game and rushing the passer. Golden has done a very good job with sacks and pressure and is a high effort guy with a great attitude. He has been the best FA pick up by Gettlemen by far.

All this said, I think it would unwise to give Golden more than $10 Million per year. Williams will probably be re-signed and will cost aroun$15 Mill. If we are gonna go hard for an edge guy I would rather see Ngakoue or Dupree.




There are posters here convinced that Leonard Williams would command upwards of $15M on the open market. Not sure that I agree with them, but it is possible. If LW is worth that, can you imagine what Ngakoue and Dupree will be asking for on a market flush with cash?


Ngakoue will ask for (and likely get) $20M+ per season. Frank Clark just signed for 5 yrs/$104M last offseason and D Lawrence got 5 yrs/$105M. You can make a case Yannick deserves more than either of those two plus he'll be 25 next season (Clark was 26 and DLaw 27 in the 1st years of their deals, respectively).
RE: Uh...  
giants#1 : 12/12/2019 12:46 pm : link
In comment 14715967 bw in dc said:
Quote:
LW is getting at least $18M/yr on the open market. $15M/yr is a pipe dream.

This likely his last chance to cash in. And with all the money in the market, and recent comps at DT, Team LW is going big.


$18M per is high. Name a non-pass rusher that gets that? I see LW in the $15-17M per range.
RE: RE: Uh...  
bw in dc : 12/12/2019 12:49 pm : link
In comment 14715995 giants#1 said:
Quote:
In comment 14715967 bw in dc said:


Quote:


LW is getting at least $18M/yr on the open market. $15M/yr is a pipe dream.

This likely his last chance to cash in. And with all the money in the market, and recent comps at DT, Team LW is going big.



$18M per is high. Name a non-pass rusher that gets that? I see LW in the $15-17M per range.


His franchise tag is going to be $17M+.

Grady Jarrett signed for $17M/yr this summer. His stats are very similar to LW. So add in the typical YoY salary increase per the cap and we are north of $18M...
I don’t understand  
mittenedman : 12/12/2019 12:52 pm : link
this cant play a 43 stuff.

Look how Golden is being used now - hand in the dirt on passing downs.

I’d resign him as a pass rushing specialist.
If Golden  
BigBlueinChicago : 12/12/2019 1:33 pm : link
was the team's #3 pass rusher in a rotation like the Giants used to have, that would be ideal.

Thinking back to the Strahan, Osi, Tuck and then Osi, Tuck and JPP.

If the plan is to draft Young, you then sign another high-end pass rusher for the other side, and then you add Golden to the mix.

But since they will have to made a decision on Williams, that will throw this off.
depends on price - at a reasonable amount I'd resign him  
Eric on Li : 12/12/2019 1:33 pm : link
if there are no other uses of $ a transition tag (1 year $15m) or even franchise tag wouldn't be the worst use of funds but I would prioritize him behind Williams who has less injury history, is a couple years younger, and probably more scheme versatile.

Golden will probably end up around 10 sacks this year which I'd prefer to keep, but I don't have interest in paying him Dee Ford money - and like it or not that may not be a crazy comp.
RE: Pass  
GiantsFan84 : 12/12/2019 1:52 pm : link
In comment 14715593 Go Terps said:
Quote:
At his current cost he's a nice player. That's as far as it goes.


Agree with this. He's going to get overpaid on his stats this year. He's a nice player but not one to pay. Take the comp pick that he will net and call it a day.

Furthermore, if they draft Chase Young, keeping Golden would mean no reps for Carter or Ximines. The plan needs to be to develop those two.
He's a nice 2nd tier player  
Rafflee : 12/12/2019 2:34 pm : link
I believe He's getting more from the solid interior DL play than they are getting from Him.

Interesting game against the Eagles for X.... His game is getting much better. He has really developed his hands, and I think he has a better upside than Golden.

I would absolutely resign Williams, whatever D they're playing. I'd like them to keep all 4 tackles. There is a good core growing there.
What if he played okay this season just for a big contract  
Danny Dimes : 12/12/2019 5:09 pm : link
Then he will go back to the garbage stats he had last year. He is still young though but with Chase Young, Carter and Ximines will get no play time
re-sign or pass?  
Torrag : 12/12/2019 5:47 pm : link
It depends on the price.
RE: Pass  
WillVAB : 12/12/2019 7:53 pm : link
In comment 14715593 Go Terps said:
Quote:
At his current cost he's a nice player. That's as far as it goes.


Agree. He’s created some pressure off the edge but I think he’s a little too undisciplined to be paid like a core player. I don’t like how he sets the edge vs the run. He’s also getting older and has the injury history.
Pass  
JoeyBigBlue : 12/12/2019 8:00 pm : link
He’s gonna command way more than he’s worth IMO.
RE: RE: Depends on what’s left after we set aside $18 million  
djm : 12/12/2019 8:08 pm : link
In comment 14715594 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 14715570 The_Boss said:


Quote:


For Leonard Williams.



Excellent point. I’d rather invest in Golden, who has a real niche, than JAG Williams...


Excellent point? It’s the same fucking point being posted on just about every thread and by and large is completely irrelevant here.
4-3 vs 3-4 matters  
giantstock : 12/13/2019 2:37 am : link
And as a result if Young is as good as many claim and GMen draft him and in addition GMEN sign LW-- then no you don't need Golden. The pass rush will be strong enough. You need to concern yourself with quick passing teams in which the rush can't do much.

There is a difference with a 4-3 vs 3-4. The 3-4 relies more on quickness. Strong running teams can get their OLinemen on a much smaller LB vs fighting against a DT. Not saying 3-4 is no good. Just that it's easier to push around unless you have at least one stud ILB - if they get a pass rush too.
The Williams vs Golden argument is a crucial one.  
BlueLou'sBack : 12/13/2019 4:43 am : link
And I think you might want to study which of them draws more attention from the opponents' OC. I'd bet Williams receives more than Golden, in terms of double team help, etc.

Not sure about that, just a strong hunch. I almost never see Golden double teamed. In fact, leave out the "almost".

Good point that Golden's market value is similar to, not better than, Preston Smith. IMHO.
Ximines and/or Carter might be better pieces at their  
BlueLou'sBack : 12/13/2019 4:47 am : link
respective salaries than a 13 mil plus deal for Golden is. His encroachment and lined up in the neutral zone penalties are really fucking stupid and inexcusable. Mental errors, have a tough time tolerating that stupidity.
I'd let him walk and try to get a comp pick  
armstead98 : 12/13/2019 8:27 am : link
Unlike others that think we should go on a spending spree of high prices free agents, I don't. Giants should bargain hunt and fill out the roster with depth. Save some cap space for bargain hunting late in the year too.

Let Golden walk and hope to get a 4th for him.
If the nickle is standard w 4 down  
idiotsavant : 12/13/2019 9:50 am : link
Linemen, I'm just saying you want 3 of those as in the 300lb variety for nfc east. As we were run on in our 4/2/5.

As opposed to 2/4/5 with two dts and two edge olbs, a 3/3/5 or even 3/2/6 can give you a 4 down nickle plus better run AND in the latter case better pass defense.

So I agree with those who said make Williams priority and resign golden if you also can. Because w Williams your less run liable
Typo  
idiotsavant : 12/13/2019 9:52 am : link
Were run on in our 2/4/5 (w 4 down)
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