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The chase for Chase: this weekend's games and the draft

ray in arlington : 12/13/2019 9:29 pm
want:

CIN over NE
DET over TB
WAS over PHI
JAC over OAK
ARI over CLE
LAR over DAL (to help with tiebreaks)
ATL over SF

The quick summary is:

Giants at 2-14 pick #1 if CIN wins a game and #2 if CIN loses out. (CIN plays NE, MIA and CLE)

Giants at 3-13 pick #1 if CIN wins 2 or 3 games and #2 otherwise, with a very small possibility that they would have to pick behind MIA too.

Giants at 4-12 possibilities range from #1 (requires CIN to win out) to #7.

And for completeness, Giants at 5-11 possibilities range from #2 to #9, with #9 requiring a very unlikely tiebreak.


1. CIN 1-12 clinched picking behind NYG in case of a tie
2. NYG 2-11
3. WAS 3-10 clinched picking behind NYG in case of a tie
4. MIA 3-10 ##
5. DET 3-9-1*
6. ARI 3-9-1*
7. JAC 4-9 #
8. ATL 4-9 clinched picking behind NYG in case of a tie
9. NYJ 5-9 ##

DEN, CAR and LAC are 5-8 but have clinched picking behind NYG

## almost certainly pick behind NYG in case of a tie.
# likely to pick behind NYG in case of a tie
* NYG or DET or ARI would have to play a tie game for this tie to occur















we can lock chase young this week if...  
mphbullet36 : 12/13/2019 9:35 pm : link
We lose to miami

Skins beat the eagles
Detroit beats tampa
Arizona beats cleveland

if those 3 things happen (all the teams we need to win our home in potential winnable games)

we will lock the #2 pick down with two games to play. So basically even if we beat the skins and eagles we would be 4-12 but would basically win every tiebreaker vs anyone at 4-12 at that point.

That would be a dream come true to lock the #2 pick this week. Which is a possibility.
RE: we can lock chase young this week if...  
ray in arlington : 12/13/2019 9:45 pm : link
In comment 14718479 mphbullet36 said:
Quote:
We lose to miami

Skins beat the eagles
Detroit beats tampa
Arizona beats cleveland

if those 3 things happen (all the teams we need to win our home in potential winnable games)

we will lock the #2 pick down with two games to play. So basically even if we beat the skins and eagles we would be 4-12 but would basically win every tiebreaker vs anyone at 4-12 at that point.

That would be a dream come true to lock the #2 pick this week. Which is a possibility.


That's a good post. I do consider the JAC tiebreak to be not
quite done yet. There would have to be 6 more wins picked up
in a Giants set of 14 games than a JAC set of 16 games, or something close to that. Like being 6 games back with 15
left to play, I think.




These next two games a re big when it comes to the draft  
Optimus-NY : 12/13/2019 9:46 pm : link
Gotta lose them both to ensure a top 2 pick (it would also help to ensure mor significant change in the organization with the ouster of not only Shurmur, but Gettleman as well, along with Tisch hopefully making more noise to John Mara, but that's a topic for another thread).

I have confidence that Flores will have his team ready to rock and roll for the second week in a row in Northern Jersey. They must feel robbed after last week. Skins on deck for next week are playing better too.
Bengals aren't beating NE  
Mr. Nickels : 12/13/2019 9:46 pm : link
Lol.

Root for them to beat Miami and Cleveland and I will take a final home win for Eli Sunday.
If Washington beats Philly  
Rjanyg : 12/13/2019 10:06 pm : link
And we beat Miami, we still have the inside track to the 2nd pick, correct?
RE: If Washington beats Philly  
ray in arlington : 12/13/2019 10:09 pm : link
In comment 14718499 Rjanyg said:
Quote:
And we beat Miami, we still have the inside track to the 2nd pick, correct?


what do you mean by "inside track"?
Race* for Chase  
Thankyoueli : 12/13/2019 10:15 pm : link
Chase for Chase just sounds stupid.
RE: RE: If Washington beats Philly  
Thankyoueli : 12/13/2019 10:16 pm : link
In comment 14718500 ray in arlington said:
Quote:
In comment 14718499 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


And we beat Miami, we still have the inside track to the 2nd pick, correct?



what do you mean by "inside track"?


Assuming he means tiebreakers
RE: Bengals aren't beating NE  
JerryNicklebag : 12/13/2019 10:38 pm : link
In comment 14718490 Mr. Nickels said:
Quote:
Lol.

Root for them to beat Miami and Cleveland and I will take a final home win for Eli Sunday.


Hell no, I could care less about everyone wanting to see Eli win one more for sentimental value... We need to land the only blue chip player coming out. I've seen the only 2 Eli Manning wins that matter and we aren't getting another one of those ever again with E at the helm. Time to move on bud,
We can't win 5 Ray  
Reale01 : 12/13/2019 10:50 pm : link
I expect it was a cut and paste error. Thanks for your hard work on this. Sad that it has come to this.
RE: We can't win 5 Ray  
ray in arlington : 12/13/2019 10:57 pm : link
In comment 14718524 Reale01 said:
Quote:
I expect it was a cut and paste error. Thanks for your hard work on this. Sad that it has come to this.


2-11 can become 5-11, at least in theory...
RE: RE: Bengals aren't beating NE  
Thankyoueli : 12/13/2019 11:02 pm : link
In comment 14718518 JerryNicklebag said:
Quote:
In comment 14718490 Mr. Nickels said:


Quote:


Lol.

Root for them to beat Miami and Cleveland and I will take a final home win for Eli Sunday.



Hell no, I could care less about everyone wanting to see Eli win one more for sentimental value... We need to land the only blue chip player coming out. I've seen the only 2 Eli Manning wins that matter and we aren't getting another one of those ever again with E at the helm. Time to move on bud,


I want Chase badly too but he's not the only blue chip prospect coming out... idk if I've ever once seen a draft where that's the case.
I have confidence that the Giants  
fivehead : 12/13/2019 11:16 pm : link
will f*ck this up.
What am I missing  
allstarjim : 12/13/2019 11:16 pm : link
Theoretically we could beat Miami, beat the Skins at FedEx Field then beat the Eagles at home, who may not have anything to play for at home, right? That would get us to five wins.

Don't want to see it, and it's unlikely, but definitely in the realm of possibility.

Hopefully Miami brings their A+ game Sunday, which would help A LOT.
Obviously ATL isn't beating SF  
allstarjim : 12/13/2019 11:58 pm : link
on the road (at least I don't think).

But in week 16, ATL and JAX play each other. Meaning, a Jax win this week on the road vs Oakland might be the biggest game to us. A win there, and an Atlanta win at home vs Jax would be enormous.
BTW  
allstarjim : 12/14/2019 12:00 am : link
That scenario above would put both teams at 5 wins and basically make them a non-factor to the Giants.
Considering that the Giants secondary now consists mostly of kids  
shockeyisthebest8056 : 12/14/2019 2:25 am : link
born during the Clinton Administration and Bethea, who was born during the Lincoln Administration, I wouldn't worry about the Giants winning games.
I see Eli Manning beating Miami...  
M.S. : 12/14/2019 6:20 am : link

...this weekend.
I could be wrong....  
BlueManCrew : 12/14/2019 7:29 am : link
But isn’t there still an excellent chance that the Bengals take Young with the number one pick???
RE: RE: RE: If Washington beats Philly  
stoneman : 12/14/2019 8:38 am : link
In comment 14718503 Thankyoueli said:
Quote:
In comment 14718500 ray in arlington said:


Quote:


In comment 14718499 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


And we beat Miami, we still have the inside track to the 2nd pick, correct?



what do you mean by "inside track"?



Assuming he means tiebreakers


Yes, we still have the inside track, but would need to lose to Wash next week. If you assume Cinn and Mia want QBs (big assumptions), then we only have to stay ahead of Wash. We would of course need to lose the last PHL game as well. Not really looking good, even with the inside track, if we beat Mia tomorrow.
RE: I could be wrong....  
LakeGeorgeGiant : 12/14/2019 8:40 am : link
In comment 14718621 BlueManCrew said:
Quote:
But isn’t there still an excellent chance that the Bengals take Young with the number one pick???


There is this assumption the the Bengals are definitely taking Burrow, but I could definitely see them taking Young.

If that happens, trade back for a haul.
RE: I could be wrong....  
stoneman : 12/14/2019 8:42 am : link
In comment 14718621 BlueManCrew said:
Quote:
But isn’t there still an excellent chance that the Bengals take Young with the number one pick???


Possible, but not probable as some of the history above states. Chase is currently not rated high enough that would force Cinn's hand.

The real question is, would Mia take the 2nd QB if they were picking ahead of NYG.
RE: RE: RE: RE: If Washington beats Philly  
ray in arlington : 12/14/2019 8:49 am : link
In comment 14718661 stoneman said:
Quote:
In comment 14718503 Thankyoueli said:


Quote:


In comment 14718500 ray in arlington said:


Quote:


In comment 14718499 Rjanyg said:


Quote:


And we beat Miami, we still have the inside track to the 2nd pick, correct?



what do you mean by "inside track"?



Assuming he means tiebreakers



Yes, we still have the inside track, but would need to lose to Wash next week. If you assume Cinn and Mia want QBs (big assumptions), then we only have to stay ahead of Wash. We would of course need to lose the last PHL game as well. Not really looking good, even with the inside track, if we beat Mia tomorrow.


In this scenario, if the Giants beat MIA and WAS, it doesn't matter what WAS does in their other games. The Giants would pick ahead of WAS even if WAS lost their other games, so WAS beating PHI wouldn't be necessary.
Giants need to put up a smokescreen they’re  
NikkiMac : 12/14/2019 9:12 am : link
Not happy with Jones and trade own
I know easier said then done
RE: RE: I could be wrong....  
FStubbs : 12/14/2019 6:03 pm : link
In comment 14718664 LakeGeorgeGiant said:
Quote:
In comment 14718621 BlueManCrew said:


Quote:


But isn’t there still an excellent chance that the Bengals take Young with the number one pick???



There is this assumption the the Bengals are definitely taking Burrow, but I could definitely see them taking Young.

If that happens, trade back for a haul.


I could too. If Young is this great a prospect, AND you have to factor in he plays right up the road at Ohio State.
RE: I could be wrong....  
allstarjim : 12/14/2019 6:29 pm : link
In comment 14718621 BlueManCrew said:
Quote:
But isn’t there still an excellent chance that the Bengals take Young with the number one pick???


Not a chance in hell. If less than zero % was possible then it would be less than zero % chance. Anyone who says otherwise doesn't know anything. I'll go back to another post I made about this...they haven't had a true franchise QB they could win with since Esiason. It's been about 30 years, they aren't passing on a franchise QB. It absolutely will not happen. If they drafted Chase Young, that fan base should burn the stadium to the ground.
RE: Race* for Chase  
Milton : 12/14/2019 6:39 pm : link
In comment 14718502 Thankyoueli said:
Quote:
Chase for Chase just sounds stupid.
How about...
Disgrace for Chase
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