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PFF's most risky FA's

DanMetroMan : 1/23/2020 12:03 pm
NFL free agency is a beautiful time — everyone waits for Adam Schefter and Ian Rapoport to drop bombs over the course of a few days, eagerly standing by to see which teams make power plays. Some of the acquisitions pay great dividends and some have poor return on investment, causing setbacks for the franchise. That being said, these are the 2020 free agents that carry the most risk:
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know who's not on that list?  
gidiefor : Mod : 1/23/2020 12:09 pm : link
Leonard WIlliams

just sayin
Can't believe Jamie Collins is only 30  
figgy2989 : 1/23/2020 12:09 pm : link
Seems like he has been in the league forever.

Not a bad career though and not too many players make it to a third contract. However, not many players find the fountain of youth once they turn 30.
RE: know who's not on that list?  
SGMen : 1/23/2020 12:17 pm : link
In comment 14790870 gidiefor said:
Quote:
Leonard WIlliams

just sayin
Good catch. I think its a lock we resign him but until the contract is signed we wait....
I couldn't get past the first entry  
GiantEgo : 1/23/2020 12:51 pm : link
They can't help but push their idea that running backs are worthless except as pass receivers.
RE: I couldn't get past the first entry  
UConn4523 : 1/23/2020 1:12 pm : link
In comment 14790939 GiantEgo said:
Quote:
They can't help but push their idea that running backs are worthless except as pass receivers.


Henry falls into the category of RB's I wouldn't pay top dollar for, so I get it. His style of play doesn't translate to longevity. That said the last sentence in their assessment is way off - Tannehill wasn't the reason they made the playoffs, Henry rushing as well as he did, allowing for Tannehill to have almost no pressure. They won 5 of their last 6 with Henry rushing for over 100 in each of the wins (along with 10 TDs).
RE: know who's not on that list?  
Klaatu : 1/23/2020 1:21 pm : link
In comment 14790870 gidiefor said:
Quote:
Leonard WIlliams

just sayin


Reason enough not to sign him.

Just sayin'.
Arik Armstead, Bud Dupree, Dante Fowler, Jamie Collins all have  
shyster : 1/23/2020 3:18 pm : link
better PFF performance ratings for 2019 than Leonard Williams. Armstead's is twenty points higher.

For the most part, the point of the list is to mention players who are good enough and have skills in demand that they may tempt teams to pay them a lot of money; possibly more money than the author of the article thinks they may be worth.

Williams isn't on the list because he isn't that good and his 0.5 sack total for 2019 isn't exactly sexy.

No GM in right mind should be tempted to pay him a lot of money, let alone give up two draft picks for essentially nothing.
I could have made this list a lot quicker to read...  
BlueLou'sBack : 1/23/2020 5:19 pm : link
NFL's most risky FA signings?

Anyone who's earned a big contact.



End.
RE: know who's not on that list?  
One Man Thrill Ride : 1/23/2020 7:54 pm : link
In comment 14790870 gidiefor said:
Quote:
Leonard WIlliams

just sayin


Contrarily, PFF does not seem very bullish on Leonard.

Ranked as their 34th best UFA (29th if you remove quarterbacks), fourth among interior defensive lineman. The Chiefs’ Chris Jones heads the class in the DI group.
So if PFF has their way  
djm : 1/23/2020 10:15 pm : link
No one should sign any of these guys at the respective player’s demands.

Wanna bet that doesn’t happen? Most of these guys will end up “overpaid.”

The don’t overpay logic is flawed, at times, or not nearly as simple and cut n dried as so many insist on believing. I’ll continue saying that.
If you have a choice  
djm : 1/23/2020 10:20 pm : link
Of overpaying one player x amount in guaranteed money. Let’s say that player is rated 84. 88-90 is elite. 78 is average. You get my point. You have to overpay by 2-3 million per in guaranteed loot. Or, you can sign no one at all, save some, and fill the position with possible young good talent, more than likely not much talent. Or you can sign another fa graded at 77, save that 2-3 extra per year, ok fine, but you now have a crappier player. Was it really worth it? Maybe, maybe not. If that shittier player shits the bed in a big game, was it really worth it? Where that extra 2-3 million go? Was it well spent?

Never that easy. Never.
I get the article though...  
djm : 1/23/2020 10:23 pm : link
But if you’re a team in need of an identity, and you have the oline in place and a qb in need of some help, Derrick Henry could really help a team. He kind of had a weird start to his career though, so I’d be a little leery. Some of the pass rushers on the list are a big feast or famine too. I like Armstead, however. Two way player.
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