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NFT: 92nd Academy Awards 8 PM

ryanmkeane : 2/9/2020 11:34 am
The past few days it seems a “foregone conclusion” that 1917 will win best picture which is quite strange to me. I liked the film but don’t think it’s worthy to win best picture over at least 4-5 of these other films. It was a great year for movies...here’s my predictions of what will win vs what should win:

Best picture: Parasite or Once Upon a Time in Hollywood should win, think 1917 will win
Best Actor: Leo should win, Phoenix will win
Best Actress: Zellweger should and will win, but Scarlett has a case
Best Supporting Actor: Pitt should and will win, but Pesci was phenomenal
Best supporting actress: Florence Pugh should win, Dern will win based on her career/all the hype
Best director: Bong Joon-Ho should win, Mendes will win as it seems 1917 is getting all the love

Have at it!
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Cynthia Erivio in Harriet  
twostepgiants : 2/9/2020 11:41 am : link
Was fantastic and she is my pick for Best Actress.

She is also double nominated for the singing in the film.
I want to see Taika Waititi on that stage  
81_Great_Dane : 2/9/2020 11:52 am : link
accepting at least one award for Jojo Rabbit. Adapted Screenplay works. I would vote for ScarJo for Supporting Actress. She is the heart of that movie, she’s perfect and if she wasn’t, the picture wouldn’t work. Dern will win though.

Parasite for Best Picture. But 1917 wins by being everyone’s safe 2nd choice.

Roger Deakins for 1917 cinematography — too showy for my taste but what a goddam achievement.

Parasite for original screenplay.

The Irishman could win for VFX and nothing else



I just watch it so that I can hear celebrities...  
Crispino : 2/9/2020 12:02 pm : link
tell me how I should think and act while they accept an award for playing make believe.
1917 - superb -  
GiantsUA : 2/9/2020 12:06 pm : link
I thought it was excellent. Would not mind seeing it win best picture.
The most compelling category this year  
UConn4523 : 2/9/2020 12:10 pm : link
is best supporting actor. I’m absolutely torn between Pitt and Pesci, both have their career best performances. As long as it’s one of the two I’m happy.
Agreed on JoJo  
ryanmkeane : 2/9/2020 12:18 pm : link
that was such a phenomenal movie experience.
.  
threeofakind33 : 2/9/2020 12:44 pm : link
I'm not going to be able to create another 'will win' as I feel you have adequately pulled out the favorites in each category.

I'll list who I think should win from the nominee list and include an alternative that was not nominated in the category at all.

Best picture: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Uncut Gems)

Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker (Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems)

Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan, Little Women (Jillian Bell, Brittany Runs a Marathon)

Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Christian Bale, Ford vs. Ferrari)

Best supporting actress: Margot Robbie, Bombshell (Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Best director: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Josh Safdie & Benny Safdie, Uncut Gems)

My personal Top 5:

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Uncut Gems
3. Parasite
4. 1917
5. Brittany Runs a Marathon
Honorable mentions (no order): Bombshell, Us, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker.

Overall, the best movie year for me since 2007 when No Country, The Assassination of Jesse James, Before the Devil Knows Your Dead, Michael Clayton and There Will Be Blood all popped.
Need to watch many of the nominees but  
Giants Fan in Steelers Land : 2/9/2020 12:58 pm : link
Once upon a time in on Hollywood was fantastic. Hope it cleans up but doubt that happens
RE: Need to watch many of the nominees but  
81_Great_Dane : 2/9/2020 1:16 pm : link
In comment 14807268 Giants Fan in Steelers Land said:
Quote:
Once upon a time in on Hollywood was fantastic. Hope it cleans up but doubt that happens
It's actually been a pretty good year for movies. A ton of the Oscar nominees are very compelling. The French "Les Miserables" (not the musical, not the Victor Hugo story) is terrific. (It's about the tensions between Paris police and impoverished black Muslim immigrants, largely set in the same neighborhoods as the Hugo story) If not for Parasite I'd be pulling for that for International Film.

There are a lot of "snubs" this year because there was a lot of good work. Look at the Independent Spirit Awards -- they're an entirely different universe but also very very good.
RE: I just watch it so that I can hear celebrities...  
Mr. Bungle : 2/9/2020 1:22 pm : link
In comment 14807223 Crispino said:
Quote:
tell me how I should think and act while they accept an award for playing make believe.

Feel better now?
Damn ye! Let Neptune strike ye dead Academy!  
Motley Two : 2/9/2020 1:29 pm : link
HAAARK!

Hark Triton, hark! Bellow, bid our father the Sea King rise from the depths full foul in his fury! Black waves teeming with salt foam to smother this antiquated mouth with pungent slime, to choke ye, engorging your organs til’ ye turn blue and bloated with bilge and brine and can scream no more -- only when he, crowned in cockle shells with slitherin’ tentacle tail and steaming beard take up his fell be-finned arm, his coral-tine trident screeches banshee-like in the tempest and plunges right through yer gullet, bursting ye -- a bulging bladder no more, but a blasted bloody film now and nothing for the harpies and the souls of dead sailors to peck and claw and feed upon only to be lapped up and swallowed by the infinite waters of the Dread Emperor himself -- forgotten to any man, to any time, forgotten to any god or devil, forgotten even to the sea, for any stuff for part of Oscar, even any scantling of your soul is Oscar no more, but is now itself the sea!
There'll be some speechifying for sure.  
81_Great_Dane : 2/9/2020 1:34 pm : link
Joaquin Phoenix will say something issue-related. He has every time he's won over the last few months.

Sometimes that speechifying is aimed more at the room, and the movie industry, than the larger world -- the whole thing a few years ago about "inclusion rider" was entertainment-industry inside baseball. I think "non-pros" (as Variety used to call them) sometimes forget that the Oscars are a platform for the industry to talk to itself, because almost everyone in the business is watching.
People can always just ignore what they say  
UConn4523 : 2/9/2020 2:36 pm : link
that is an actual option, I sometimes wonder if people know that.

For me I invest a lot of time in watching movies, just like with sports. Seeing my favorite movie or actor win an acknowledgement of excellence is no different than a player I root being an all pro. I ignore most of what athletes say about their political views, so it’s no different here either.
...  
ryanmkeane : 2/9/2020 2:56 pm : link
Peanut Butter Falcon was one of my favorite films of the year that didn’t get any Oscar love. Highly recommend for those that didn’t see it. Great cast (surprisingly great comeback by Shia Lebeouf) and a great original story that is in the mold of a Huck Finn type.
I absolutely loved 1917  
Jints in Carolina : 2/9/2020 3:20 pm : link
Hope it wins best picture...and I loved Joker so I hope Phoenix wins best actor.
I have lost interest in all of the awards shows...  
EricJ : 2/9/2020 3:40 pm : link
years ago. This includes the ESPN awards...

For those of you who like them... enjoy!
RE: I have lost interest in all of the awards shows...  
TJ : 2/9/2020 4:43 pm : link
In comment 14807339 EricJ said:
Quote:
years ago. This includes the ESPN awards...

For those of you who like them... enjoy!


Yeah I probably haven't seen an award show since t he early 70s but I have a couple predictions
Somebody will say something "controversial" during the show and somebody will wear something stupid or outrageous.
Hope they keep it lively I'll hear about it at work tomorrow. And I'll regret not watching when talk rolls around to whose boobs were hanging out the furthest.
RE: RE: I just watch it so that I can hear celebrities...  
Crispino : 2/9/2020 4:49 pm : link
In comment 14807281 Mr. Bungle said:
Quote:
In comment 14807223 Crispino said:


Quote:


tell me how I should think and act while they accept an award for playing make believe.


Feel better now?


Lil’ bit.
Fully agree on "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" being the best  
Leg of Theismann : 2/9/2020 4:51 pm : link
As much as I enjoyed Joker, Tarantino's flick was the only one that really felt like a true classic and left me with a lasting feeling (if that makes sense). I doubt it wins a whole lot but that was my personal favorite.
Little Women- Florence Pugh  
Canton : 2/9/2020 4:55 pm : link
Best supporting actress

All of her movies she was excellent in. She’s going to be the next big thing in Hollywood . Book it .
RE: Need to watch many of the nominees but  
Alan in Toledo : 2/9/2020 5:09 pm : link
In comment 14807268 Giants Fan in Steelers Land said:
Quote:
Once upon a time in on Hollywood was fantastic. Hope it cleans up but doubt that happens


self-indulgent Tarantino fantasy.

Retire!
RE: I just watch it so that I can hear celebrities...  
LakeGeorgeGiant : 2/9/2020 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14807223 Crispino said:
Quote:
tell me how I should think and act while they accept an award for playing make believe.


This only applies to liberals right? It's ok when Kid Rock, Ted Nugent or other braindead hillbillies spout rhetoric on stage?

Asking for a friend.
Regardless of how you feel about Tarantino  
ryanmkeane : 2/9/2020 5:26 pm : link
OUATIH was absolutely a true Hollywood old/new classic feel. Just an overall awesome movie experience at the theater. It got a standing ovation at the theater we saw it at in NYC. That was pretty cool to see.
the best way to win Oscars is to make a movie about  
markky : 2/9/2020 6:09 pm : link
the movies, hollywood, actors, etc. to the Academy voters this is their real life. look at past years results.

So Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Rene Z playing an actress have the inside track.

I'm guessing Rene Z., Brad P and OUSTIH all win. and J. Phoenix because the Academy likes personality disorders.
RE: I absolutely loved 1917  
markky : 2/9/2020 6:19 pm : link
In comment 14807331 Jints in Carolina said:
Quote:
Hope it wins best picture...and I loved Joker so I hope Phoenix wins best actor.


i'd bet the house 1917 wins best cinematography. i don't think it will win best picture, although I loved it.
I think Cinematography is in the bag for 1917  
UConn4523 : 2/9/2020 6:42 pm : link
probably my biggest lock.
The Lighthouse wins cinematography  
Motley Two : 2/9/2020 7:05 pm : link
To make up for the massive snubbing it received in so many other categories.
This opening  
Mr. Bungle : 2/9/2020 8:05 pm : link
sucks.
What's..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 2/9/2020 8:16 pm : link
the over/under on political statements?

Pitt leads off with one
RE: the best way to win Oscars is to make a movie about  
FatMan in Charlotte : 2/9/2020 8:18 pm : link
In comment 14807437 markky said:
Quote:
the movies, hollywood, actors, etc. to the Academy voters this is their real life. look at past years results.

So Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Rene Z playing an actress have the inside track.

I'm guessing Rene Z., Brad P and OUSTIH all win. and J. Phoenix because the Academy likes personality disorders.


This is dead on. History shows that Hollywood loves pictures about Hollywood!
Do you think John Bolton...  
bw in dc : 2/9/2020 8:22 pm : link
every imagined in his life he'd be part of an acceptance speech at the Oscars?
Brad Pitt with a stupid political comment  
LBH15 : 2/9/2020 8:22 pm : link
to lead off his speech
Serious question  
Leg of Theismann : 2/9/2020 8:26 pm : link
I didn’t see the Mr Rogers movie, but why was Hanks nominated for supporting actor and not best actor? Meaning why did he qualify for supporting actor? I’m surprised in playing Mr. Rogers in a movie about Mr. Rogers he wasn’t technically the lead role? Who would the lead role have been then ??
RE: Serious question  
Motley Two : 2/9/2020 8:28 pm : link
In comment 14807571 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
I didn’t see the Mr Rogers movie, but why was Hanks nominated for supporting actor and not best actor? Meaning why did he qualify for supporting actor? I’m surprised in playing Mr. Rogers in a movie about Mr. Rogers he wasn’t technically the lead role? Who would the lead role have been then ??


The journalists doing the story about Mr.Rogers
RE: RE: Serious question  
Leg of Theismann : 2/9/2020 8:30 pm : link
In comment 14807575 Motley Two said:
Quote:
In comment 14807571 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:


I didn’t see the Mr Rogers movie, but why was Hanks nominated for supporting actor and not best actor? Meaning why did he qualify for supporting actor? I’m surprised in playing Mr. Rogers in a movie about Mr. Rogers he wasn’t technically the lead role? Who would the lead role have been then ??



The journalists doing the story about Mr.Rogers


Okay got it. Just started to read the synopsis and realized that. Thanks. Is it worth seeing?
RE: RE: Serious question  
Mr. Bungle : 2/9/2020 8:31 pm : link
In comment 14807575 Motley Two said:
Quote:
In comment 14807571 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:


I didn’t see the Mr Rogers movie, but why was Hanks nominated for supporting actor and not best actor? Meaning why did he qualify for supporting actor? I’m surprised in playing Mr. Rogers in a movie about Mr. Rogers he wasn’t technically the lead role? Who would the lead role have been then ??



The journalists doing the story about Mr.Rogers

Tom Hanks didn't get top billing in that film? It always seemed like that when I saw the commercials.
That Thai singer of the Frozen 2 song  
Mr. Bungle : 2/9/2020 8:32 pm : link
was a real treat for the eyes.
RE: The most compelling category this year  
Jay in Toronto : 2/9/2020 8:47 pm : link
In comment 14807231 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
is best supporting actor. I’m absolutely torn between Pitt and Pesci, both have their career best performances. As long as it’s one of the two I’m happy.


Agreed, but I loved Anthony Hopkins in The Two Popes.
Was Diane Keaton drunk  
Leg of Theismann : 2/9/2020 8:48 pm : link
?
RE: RE: RE: Serious question  
Motley Two : 2/9/2020 8:50 pm : link
In comment 14807577 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
In comment 14807575 Motley Two said:


Quote:


In comment 14807571 Leg of Theismann said:


Quote:


I didn’t see the Mr Rogers movie, but why was Hanks nominated for supporting actor and not best actor? Meaning why did he qualify for supporting actor? I’m surprised in playing Mr. Rogers in a movie about Mr. Rogers he wasn’t technically the lead role? Who would the lead role have been then ??



The journalists doing the story about Mr.Rogers



Okay got it. Just started to read the synopsis and realized that. Thanks. Is it worth seeing?


I haven't seen it, but I did see your question answered before.
1917  
Jay in Toronto : 2/9/2020 8:52 pm : link
Was brilliantly filmed. Unfortunately the narrative arc was pretty meh, IMO
Kristen Wigg and the other SNL vet should stick to their day jobs...  
jnoble : 2/9/2020 9:05 pm : link
...because that was *painfully* unfunny
Maya Rudolph is unfunny.  
Mr. Bungle : 2/9/2020 9:07 pm : link
Yet they send her out every year for some long, dull, stupid attempt at comedy (at the expense of the actual award winners).
RE: Kristen Wigg and the other SNL vet should stick to their day jobs...  
Leg of Theismann : 2/9/2020 9:08 pm : link
In comment 14807621 jnoble said:
Quote:
...because that was *painfully* unfunny


Comedy IS their day job (which is what makes it that much more sad).
RE: Maya Rudolph is unfunny.  
markky : 2/9/2020 9:08 pm : link
In comment 14807623 Mr. Bungle said:
Quote:
Yet they send her out every year for some long, dull, stupid attempt at comedy (at the expense of the actual award winners).


she has never been funny
some attractive ladies right there  
Del Shofner : 2/9/2020 9:19 pm : link
in the best supporting actress category
RE: RE: Maya Rudolph is unfunny.  
Matt M. : 2/9/2020 9:20 pm : link
In comment 14807625 markky said:
Quote:
In comment 14807623 Mr. Bungle said:


Quote:


Yet they send her out every year for some long, dull, stupid attempt at comedy (at the expense of the actual award winners).



she has never been funny
I like her and Kristin Wiig in certain roles; scripted roles. But, I find their schtick painfully unfunny every year at the Oscars and other shows.
Laura Dern  
Matt M. : 2/9/2020 9:21 pm : link
I didn't see all the other films, but I did see Marriage Story. I was not enamored with the film and I did not find anything special about Dern's performance.
RE: RE: Kristen Wigg and the other SNL vet should stick to their day jobs...  
jnoble : 2/9/2020 9:22 pm : link
In comment 14807624 Leg of Theismann said:
Quote:
In comment 14807621 jnoble said:


Quote:


...because that was *painfully* unfunny



Comedy IS their day job (which is what makes it that much more sad).


Lol
I know. I was stuck for a clever way to word my point
I love vintage Eminem  
Matt M. : 2/9/2020 9:32 pm : link
But, what is the purpose of this performance? It's not very timely. And what's with the audio feed?
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