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Notes by Breer and Jeremiah: OT’s could be popular in Rd 1

Defenderdawg : 4/6/2020 1:39 pm
Wilson, Jackson, Jones too?

Breer MMQB:

“The tackles could all be gone by 11, with the Jets and Browns both having needs and sitting right there on the fringe of the top 10. What’s interesting is how they’re each bringing something different to the table. Becton’s a freakish left-side type, with what one scout called “Jason Peters potential.” Thomas is solid, and also projects to play on the left, but is unspectacular. Wills is sort of a prototype right tackle, who can swing left. And Wirfs is a very good athlete who everyone sees a little differently (some like him as a guard), and is probably a little more scheme-specific (he’d be best with a zone team) than the others.”

“The COVID-19 affect? One director told me he thinks teams will play it safer this year, and playing it safer, in his mind, means taking big people. That, he continued, should open the door for USC’s Austin Jackson and Houston’s Josh Jones to sneak into the first round. Louisiana’s Robert Hunt is another guy who might go earlier than expected. And it’s possible the top center/guards, LSU’s Lloyd Cushenberry and Michigan’s Cesar Ruiz, merit consideration at the bottom of the round as well.”



I talked to 2 GMs in last 24 hours and both believe UGA OT Isaiah Wilson will go in the 1st round. That’s too rich for me but it looks like it’s going to happen. Betting on the upside
Daniel Jeremiah
⁦‪@MoveTheSticks‬⁩
We’ve been saying this  
Reb8thVA : 4/6/2020 1:43 pm : link
For the last month.
God, If someone tells me we could have the next Jason Peters  
GiantBlue : 4/6/2020 1:43 pm : link
at Left Tackle for the next 15 years....sign me up.

Heck...I would draft him and then sign the real Jason Peters for one year to work with Columbo to accelerate his progress.
Isaiah Wilson  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2020 1:48 pm : link
is from Brooklyn. MASSIVE size. 36 sounds good to me.
As speculated several will get pushed up and over drafted...  
Torrag : 4/6/2020 1:52 pm : link
when the 1st Round run happens. Why? because if you need a starter that's the only place you'll find one. Which is why the Giants will do exactly that. The good news is the guys at the top aren't reaches like the later ones will be.
So no good choic of OT early in Round 2  
ZogZerg : 4/6/2020 1:58 pm : link
...
RE: As speculated several will get pushed up and over drafted...  
Reb8thVA : 4/6/2020 2:03 pm : link
In comment 14860748 Torrag said:
Quote:
when the 1st Round run happens. Why? because if you need a starter that's the only place you'll find one. Which is why the Giants will do exactly that. The good news is the guys at the top aren't reaches like the later ones will be.


From your lips to Gettleman's ears.
ZogZerg: "So no good choic of OT early in Round 2"  
Torrag : 4/6/2020 2:04 pm : link
You certainly can't plan on it...you never could. It's always been OT in Round 1 this year for the Giants. People should accept it because it's coming. The only real question is how do the Giants rank them and will we trade down. Very good players at the position to select among.
RE: Isaiah Wilson  
Reb8thVA : 4/6/2020 2:04 pm : link
In comment 14860744 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
is from Brooklyn. MASSIVE size. 36 sounds good to me.


The write up says that Wilson will be gone before 36. It says he is going to go in the first round
This info seems like a stretch  
Jarvis : 4/6/2020 2:14 pm : link
Speculating that Covid-19 will result in GMs playing it safe and taking o-lineman? Anything is possible, but that is nothing more than complete conjecture based on nothing. (1 director wouldn’t even qualify as anecdotal.). Whenever teams reach for players (even Daniel Jeremiah says that Wilson in the 1st round is too high) it allows better players to fall. So all info around now i would take with a huge grain of salt.
RE: RE: Isaiah Wilson  
DanMetroMan : 4/6/2020 2:15 pm : link
In comment 14860770 Reb8thVA said:
Quote:
In comment 14860744 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


is from Brooklyn. MASSIVE size. 36 sounds good to me.



The write up says that Wilson will be gone before 36. It says he is going to go in the first round


it says 2 GM's "believe" he will. The draft is no sure thing. He may go round 1 but he also may fall into round 2.
OT's generally go early because they're in such short supply  
Ira : 4/6/2020 2:19 pm : link
.
As  
AcidTest : 4/6/2020 2:19 pm : link
others have said, if you want a tackle who can start this year, you have to take one in the first round. Becton, Wills, Wirfs, Thomas, Jackson, Jones, and now apparently Wilson be gone before the end of the first round, certainly by #36.
That's an absurd  
lugnut : 4/6/2020 2:22 pm : link
"connection" -- Because of COVID-19, GMs are going to draft big OTs early? I mean, what in the sweet f***ing hell?

Even more absurd than saying a GM who has never drafted OL in Rd 1 and has loaded up on a FA OT and blocking TEs is "obviously" going to draft OT at #4.
Great with 7 OTs  
Jon in NYC : 4/6/2020 2:24 pm : link
and 4 QBs going in round one, we may be able to get Chase Young at 36.
RE: As  
Jarvis : 4/6/2020 2:27 pm : link
In comment 14860787 AcidTest said:
Quote:
others have said, if you want a tackle who can start this year, you have to take one in the first round. Becton, Wills, Wirfs, Thomas, Jackson, Jones, and now apparently Wilson be gone before the end of the first round, certainly by #36.


The only issue i have with this approach is value. It’s basically saying that no matter where you pick, if you want a tackle you need to take them in the 1st round. That’s how you end up taking a tackle at 4 that is the same quality as one taken at 11. That’s how you miss out on more talented higher impact players. Think about the value of the 4 pick vs the 11 pick. The 1st round especially upper half should focus on the best player over the greatest need. Obviously if things are tied then go with need. I have seen 3 different tackles (maybe 4) discussed routinely as the best tackle. It’s a total crap shoot at this point. In truth, beyond running back teams shouldn’t rely on their 1st round pick to be a necessary starter. Especially this year with limited camps and OTA’s.
In other news  
David B. : 4/6/2020 2:39 pm : link
POPE STILL CATHOLIC

FRANCO STILL DEAD.

RE: RE: As  
AcidTest : 4/6/2020 3:09 pm : link
In comment 14860795 Jarvis said:
Quote:
In comment 14860787 AcidTest said:


Quote:


others have said, if you want a tackle who can start this year, you have to take one in the first round. Becton, Wills, Wirfs, Thomas, Jackson, Jones, and now apparently Wilson be gone before the end of the first round, certainly by #36.



The only issue i have with this approach is value. It’s basically saying that no matter where you pick, if you want a tackle you need to take them in the 1st round. That’s how you end up taking a tackle at 4 that is the same quality as one taken at 11. That’s how you miss out on more talented higher impact players. Think about the value of the 4 pick vs the 11 pick. The 1st round especially upper half should focus on the best player over the greatest need. Obviously if things are tied then go with need. I have seen 3 different tackles (maybe 4) discussed routinely as the best tackle. It’s a total crap shoot at this point. In truth, beyond running back teams shouldn’t rely on their 1st round pick to be a necessary starter. Especially this year with limited camps and OTA’s.


I agree. I wouldn't take a tackle just because all those I listed might be gone by #36. I hate over drafting players. I just think it's a real possibility. Tackles are often over drafted, and that could be especially true this year because of how COVID - 19 has affected the collective thinking of GMs.
Well, we don't need to worry about OT in Rd 1.  
George : 4/6/2020 3:12 pm : link
thank God we have Nate Solder and Cam Fleming safely in the fold.
Piffle. Plenty of good OT's will be available on day three.  
Klaatu : 4/6/2020 3:22 pm : link
Besides, do we really want to repeat the Pugh and Flowers mistakes? No way. Much better to repeat the Brewer, Mosley, McCants, Hart, Bisnowaty, and Asafo-Adjei mistakes.
RE: Piffle. Plenty of good OT's will be available on day three.  
dschwarz in westchester : 4/6/2020 3:34 pm : link
In comment 14860849 Klaatu said:
Quote:
Besides, do we really want to repeat the Pugh and Flowers mistakes? No way. Much better to repeat the Brewer, Mosley, McCants, Hart, Bisnowaty, and Asafo-Adjei mistakes.


Couldn't we repeat the Dave Diehl, Chris Snee, 'not-mistakes' drafts instead?

.... I mean probably not. But I'm trying to find some optomism.
RE: That's an absurd  
KDavies : 4/6/2020 3:35 pm : link
In comment 14860790 lugnut said:
Quote:
"connection" -- Because of COVID-19, GMs are going to draft big OTs early? I mean, what in the sweet f***ing hell?

Even more absurd than saying a GM who has never drafted OL in Rd 1 and has loaded up on a FA OT and blocking TEs is "obviously" going to draft OT at #4.


+1

WTF? Big guys don’t bust? Wish they would have told Flowers about that rule.
RE: Piffle. Plenty of good OT's will be available on day three.  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 3:36 pm : link
In comment 14860849 Klaatu said:
Quote:
Besides, do we really want to repeat the Pugh and Flowers mistakes? No way. Much better to repeat the Brewer, Mosley, McCants, Hart, Bisnowaty, and Asafo-Adjei mistakes.


Pugh wasn't a mistake and had a few years of near probowl level performance. Injury is a different story but that isn't always a variable you can account for . Flowers was undoubtedly a bad miss.
We have hit on a bunch on the top two rounds talent wise  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 3:39 pm : link
Petitgout, Snee, Pugh, Richburg, Beatty. All guys that had ability though injury may have messed with a few of their careers early.

All top 2 round picks.
the problem is the spread offense  
BigBlueCane : 4/6/2020 3:45 pm : link
has changed CFB at a fundamental level. So much so that NFL scouts cannot and regularly fail at evaluating and grading OL, WR, & QB now.
RE: the problem is the spread offense  
KDavies : 4/6/2020 3:52 pm : link
In comment 14860874 BigBlueCane said:
Quote:
has changed CFB at a fundamental level. So much so that NFL scouts cannot and regularly fail at evaluating and grading OL, WR, & QB now.


Exactly. I want a good OL bad, but if you ask me about who I fear being a bust, OL are near the top of the list. I don’t get the mentality that just because a player is bigger, they are safer. Is there any data backing that up?
I have a hard time thinking  
NYG22 : 4/6/2020 4:03 pm : link
Wirfs
Becton
Thomas
Wills
Jackson
Jones
Cleveland
Wilson (8 OTs) will go in the top 35
RE: RE: Piffle. Plenty of good OT's will be available on day three.  
Klaatu : 4/6/2020 4:06 pm : link
In comment 14860863 MeadowlandsMike said:
Quote:
In comment 14860849 Klaatu said:


Quote:


Besides, do we really want to repeat the Pugh and Flowers mistakes? No way. Much better to repeat the Brewer, Mosley, McCants, Hart, Bisnowaty, and Asafo-Adjei mistakes.



Pugh wasn't a mistake and had a few years of near probowl level performance. Injury is a different story but that isn't always a variable you can account for . Flowers was undoubtedly a bad miss.


Pugh was a 2nd round talent whom most assumed would have a future at Guard, overdrafted by the Giants because they failed to adequately address their deteriorating offensive line in two previous drafts. He was a reach. Period. "Near pro bowl level performance" is laughable on its face.
RE: RE: Piffle. Plenty of good OT's will be available on day three.  
Klaatu : 4/6/2020 4:15 pm : link
In comment 14860861 dschwarz in westchester said:
Quote:
In comment 14860849 Klaatu said:


Quote:


Besides, do we really want to repeat the Pugh and Flowers mistakes? No way. Much better to repeat the Brewer, Mosley, McCants, Hart, Bisnowaty, and Asafo-Adjei mistakes.



Couldn't we repeat the Dave Diehl, Chris Snee, 'not-mistakes' drafts instead?

.... I mean probably not. But I'm trying to find some optomism.


Snee was a Guard. No problem drafting a Guard in the 2nd Round. Diehl was an anomaly. Besides, I'd rather not draft a guy who was primarily a Guard in college, expecting him to successfully transition to OT after four years in the league. I don't think Barkley and Jones can wait that long.
actually KDavies we have the opposite problem  
BigBlueCane : 4/6/2020 4:17 pm : link
b/c all of the OL coming out of college now, do not resemble the classic OL anymore, so they get down-graded. And the Giants bypass them in favor of a more highly graded player every round.

Then they're mystified why all those OL they passed on, turn out to play well and start in the league while we have turnstyles at Tackle.
RE: We have hit on a bunch on the top two rounds talent wise  
Klaatu : 4/6/2020 4:24 pm : link
In comment 14860867 MeadowlandsMike said:
Quote:
Petitgout, Snee, Pugh, Richburg, Beatty. All guys that had ability though injury may have messed with a few of their careers early.

All top 2 round picks.


Pettigout was a 1st round pick, #19 overall.

Beatty? Maybe if the Giants weren't enamored with Clint Sintim, they might have drafted Max Unger, Andy Levitre, Phil Loadholt, or Sebastian Vollmer instead.

Snee was a Guard. Pugh is a Guard, and he was a 1st round pick, too, also #19 overall.
I'll be shocked if it's not a OT  
Lines of Scrimmage : 4/6/2020 4:24 pm : link
with the first pick for the Giants. I like BPA but as long as they see whoever the pick as a solid long term starter I can deal with it. No way can you go into the season with Solder, Flemming and Gates.

Protect Jones and get a reliable run game going. I think Judge's opening presser gives a strong clue as to who the pick will be.

RE: actually KDavies we have the opposite problem  
KDavies : 4/6/2020 4:30 pm : link
In comment 14860913 BigBlueCane said:
Quote:
b/c all of the OL coming out of college now, do not resemble the classic OL anymore, so they get down-graded. And the Giants bypass them in favor of a more highly graded player every round.

Then they're mystified why all those OL they passed on, turn out to play well and start in the league while we have turnstyles at Tackle.


Oh, I completely agree with you on bypassing OL, but I don’t know where the idea comes from that there is a lower bust rate for Bigger players other than the old adage that you can’t teach size. Are there statistics backing that up? Personally, I would love nothing more than a good OL in this draft, but I am far more concerned with a Becton, Wirfs, Thomas, or Wills busting than a Simmons, Okudah, Jeudy, Lamb, or Brown. Maybe my gut/intuition is not backed up statistically. I’m just wondering where they get that from
WR's used to bust more  
BigBlueCane : 4/6/2020 4:34 pm : link
b/c people were looking at the stats more then the systems. Then the league started adopting those systems.

The problem is the scouts haven't adjusted their grading system IMO.

So they keep looking for unicorns. See also the QB debate last year.
RE: In other news  
section125 : 4/6/2020 4:38 pm : link
In comment 14860807 David B. said:
Quote:
POPE STILL CATHOLIC



Yeah, but he is damn Jesuit!
Breer and Jeremiah also said...  
Milton : 4/6/2020 4:48 pm : link
...big breasted women could be popular this summer.
RE: ZogZerg:  
LakeGeorgeGiant : 4/6/2020 5:09 pm : link
In comment 14860768 Torrag said:
Quote:
You certainly can't plan on it...you never could. It's always been OT in Round 1 this year for the Giants. People should accept it because it's coming. The only real question is how do the Giants rank them and will we trade down. Very good players at the position to select among.


The draft isnt about filling holes.

The draftn isnt about filling holes.

It's really incredible how that notion still hasn't sunk through your skull after all this time.

RE: RE: ZogZerg:  
LBH15 : 4/6/2020 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14860996 LakeGeorgeGiant said:
Quote:
In comment 14860768 Torrag said:


Quote:


You certainly can't plan on it...you never could. It's always been OT in Round 1 this year for the Giants. People should accept it because it's coming. The only real question is how do the Giants rank them and will we trade down. Very good players at the position to select among.



The draft isnt about filling holes.

The draftn isnt about filling holes.

It's really incredible how that notion still hasn't sunk through your skull after all this time.


It is if we project to have holes at Tackle for the next decade.
RE: RE: ZogZerg:  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 5:18 pm : link
In comment 14860996 LakeGeorgeGiant said:
Quote:
In comment 14860768 Torrag said:


Quote:


You certainly can't plan on it...you never could. It's always been OT in Round 1 this year for the Giants. People should accept it because it's coming. The only real question is how do the Giants rank them and will we trade down. Very good players at the position to select among.



The draft isnt about filling holes.

The draftn isnt about filling holes.

It's really incredible how that notion still hasn't sunk through your skull after all this time.


Not always but it happens plenty. If you look clearly at what you are seeing.
An OT at #4 is not a reach  
PatersonPlank : 4/6/2020 5:22 pm : link
Its not a reach

These guys are rated in the top 10 or so, which means if that is who you want and need, you grab him. You can't be too fine with this. Saying "I'd take him at #11 but not #4" makes no real sense if he's the guy who you think will be great.
lake what's actually not surprising is that after all this time...  
Torrag : 4/6/2020 5:23 pm : link
you don't realize that there are multiple OT's ranked in the Top 7-10 picks overall. Because you're not very bright. What I don't understand is why a LB that doesn't take on blocks and a CB that didn't run very fast would be considered higher ranked than a plug and play OT.

I won't be disappointed with the talent we acquired if we pick simmons/okudah/brown. I do think we would have missed the chance to acquire a really good OT for a line that has been very bad for a really long time.
0 guarantees  
UGADawgs7 : 4/6/2020 5:29 pm : link
That Jones, Jackson, Wilson fall to pick 36. Whether many are willing to agree 1 thing is for certain... Jones and Barkley need a good OL to succeed. Without a good OL, how can Barkley run? Yes he is amazing but he can’t constantly run around a shit OL when the DE are already waiting to hit him as he gets the ball. They say Cleveland is a project. You don’t wait and just take a project round 2. Barkley was taken 2 overall which means you want that player protected so they can say he was worth that pick in 10 years. He needs to remain healthy so he either can play like AP and Gore into his 30s as a very good RB, or he needs to remain healthy so at the end of his career he can turn into a guy who runs 100 times but lines up in the slot or as WR 2 at times and gets say 700+ rushing yards, 700 receiving yards to make that pick worth it. Without a good OL, if he is so banged up that he has to retire a few years after his rookie deal, that means Jones will have issues as well. Defense is a lot more fixable.
Wtf?  
OC2.0 : 4/6/2020 6:03 pm : link
DG’s not going to draft Simmons now? Dammit!
Seriously though, teams aren’t going to pick somebody different because of this virus, please.
The guy I want is Becton  
Rudy5757 : 4/6/2020 6:17 pm : link
He will be the best LT in the group. Willing to take that risk and at the very least a good RT for a long time. The 2nd guy would be Wills for RT. Again the best RT in the bunch. Wirfs is the riskiest because he will be a guard. He is not close to as good as Nelson at this stage. Thomas looks average but solid. He is a mid round OT. I havent watched the rest. Only looking at guy's that have #4 potential. Too many options at 36.
RE: lake what's actually not surprising is that after all this time...  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 6:39 pm : link
In comment 14861016 Torrag said:
Quote:
you don't realize that there are multiple OT's ranked in the Top 7-10 picks overall. Because you're not very bright. What I don't understand is why a LB that doesn't take on blocks and a CB that didn't run very fast would be considered higher ranked than a plug and play OT.

I won't be disappointed with the talent we acquired if we pick simmons/okudah/brown. I do think we would have missed the chance to acquire a really good OT for a line that has been very bad for a really long time.


You want a DT that isn't going to rack up sacks at #4? That would be a gross misuse of resources. I could at least handle Simmons or Okudah as they could be elite but Brown would be a very tough pill. Should be the OT though the grade is there and the need to do right by Jones, Barkley, Garrett and the rest of the offensive staff.
RE: The guy I want is Becton  
Jay on the Island : 4/6/2020 7:09 pm : link
In comment 14861050 Rudy5757 said:
Quote:
He will be the best LT in the group. Willing to take that risk and at the very least a good RT for a long time. The 2nd guy would be Wills for RT. Again the best RT in the bunch. Wirfs is the riskiest because he will be a guard. He is not close to as good as Nelson at this stage. Thomas looks average but solid. He is a mid round OT. I havent watched the rest. Only looking at guy's that have #4 potential. Too many options at 36.

I like his upside but the fact that he has back issues before the age of 21 scares the crap out of me. It's too risky to use a top 5 pick on a huge OT with back issues.
Meadow Brown is a Top 5 talent all day long as Mayock says  
Torrag : 4/6/2020 8:04 pm : link
I prefer an OT because I don't see a gap between them and the other position players not named Young. However if the Giants do and can't find a trade partner I'm good with a number of other prospects and it isn't based on need.
RE: Breer and Jeremiah also said...  
Lurts : 4/6/2020 8:27 pm : link
In comment 14860967 Milton said:
Quote:
...big breasted women could be popular this summer.

I'll mince fewer words and say that it is likely. Bookmark this page and get back to me in September.
RE: RE: The guy I want is Becton  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 8:56 pm : link
In comment 14861064 Jay on the Island said:
Quote:
In comment 14861050 Rudy5757 said:


Quote:


He will be the best LT in the group. Willing to take that risk and at the very least a good RT for a long time. The 2nd guy would be Wills for RT. Again the best RT in the bunch. Wirfs is the riskiest because he will be a guard. He is not close to as good as Nelson at this stage. Thomas looks average but solid. He is a mid round OT. I havent watched the rest. Only looking at guy's that have #4 potential. Too many options at 36.


I like his upside but the fact that he has back issues before the age of 21 scares the crap out of me. It's too risky to use a top 5 pick on a huge OT with back issues.


If the back issue stuff is legit then he probably is not in the running for our pick and its probably down to Wirfs and Wills.
RE: Meadow Brown is a Top 5 talent all day long as Mayock says  
MeadowlandsMike : 4/6/2020 9:00 pm : link
In comment 14861084 Torrag said:
Quote:
I prefer an OT because I don't see a gap between them and the other position players not named Young. However if the Giants do and can't find a trade partner I'm good with a number of other prospects and it isn't based on need.


Brown will be about as good as the last 3 Browns on this team cc, Derek and Dave.

Yikes....

Ok probably not that level but certainly not top 5 pick level. You want a guy that can penetrate and sack at a high level if you are going top 5 ....that ain't D Brown
RE: As  
Nomad Crow on the Madison : 4/6/2020 9:33 pm : link
In comment 14860787 AcidTest said:
Quote:
others have said, if you want a tackle who can start this year, you have to take one in the first round. Becton, Wills, Wirfs, Thomas, Jackson, Jones, and now apparently Wilson be gone before the end of the first round, certainly by #36.


If Becton, Jackson, Jones or Wilson start in the upcoming season, there will be QBs running for their lives.
Our QBs will be running no matter what this year  
LBH15 : 4/6/2020 11:04 pm : link
But if we pick some OTs and a Center now it will get better each year thereafter.

If you don’t, it will get worse.
Mine?  
Percy : 4/6/2020 11:49 pm : link
Becton. Understanding that he might not start right away (since we owe a lot of money to the guy in that slot now -- and because something has to be done about Becton's hand placement first). The back business? Who started that? Wirfs?
" becton...The back business? Who started that?"  
Torrag : 4/7/2020 12:55 am : link
Sy 56...and I expect he'll give more info when he does his OT review.
RE: Well, we don't need to worry about OT in Rd 1.  
Ned In Atlanta : 4/7/2020 3:37 am : link
In comment 14860836 George said:
Quote:
thank God we have Nate Solder and Cam Fleming safely in the fold.



Yuck. Don’t think enough can be said about the lack of talent this team has at offensive line. You could easily argue Zeitler is the only above average starter
RE: I have a hard time thinking  
Prude : 4/7/2020 7:57 pm : link
In comment 14860894 NYG22 said:
Quote:
Wirfs
Becton
Thomas
Wills
Jackson
Jones
Cleveland
Wilson (8 OTs) will go in the top 35


11 Defensive linemen went in round 1 last year.
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