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Analysis: NFL Scheduling Inequalities

guitarguybs12 : 5/15/2020 9:07 am
Interesting article that dives into some scheduling stats (rest days, primetime road games, short weeks) for each NFL team over the last 10 years.

Giants are last in almost every category. Obviously this isn't why we're more or less sucked the last 10 years, but kind of validates the feeling that sometimes the Giants are getting screwed schedule-wise.


Which NFL Teams Have Been Most Impacted By Scheduling Inequalities? - ( New Window )
Have to be honest,  
smshmth8690 : 5/15/2020 9:11 am : link
surprised that the Eagles are near the bottom. Seems like they always get a good deal schedule wise.
From the article -  
11 to 89 : 5/15/2020 9:26 am : link
Quote:
The most glaring takeaway should be with regard to the NFC East. The NFC East has two of the teams most negatively impacted by the NFL’s scheduling inequalities (Giants and Eagles) but also has one team that benefits most by the schedule, the Dallas Cowboys. That is extremely unfair and the effect will be further discussed below.
How much of that is explained solely by the thanksgiving game?  
ron mexico : 5/15/2020 9:36 am : link
Judging by the lions placement, probably a lot

Maybe it’s time to start moving that around.
RE: From the article -  
Klaatu : 5/15/2020 9:36 am : link
In comment 14903353 11 to 89 said:
Quote:


Quote:


The most glaring takeaway should be with regard to the NFC East. The NFC East has two of the teams most negatively impacted by the NFL’s scheduling inequalities (Giants and Eagles) but also has one team that benefits most by the schedule, the Dallas Cowboys. That is extremely unfair and the effect will be further discussed below.



Now THAT is truly fucked up.
Its an interesting analysis  
MetsAreBack : 5/15/2020 9:46 am : link
but considering the Lions and Cowboys always play a road sunday before their home Thanksgiving game, i think it nets out (and the analysis doesnt have a column that picks that up)

Also considering neither the Cowboys nor Lions have made a Superbowl or a NFC title game since the mid 90s, i dont think we need to change anything.

Finally i think its a stretch to say playing a road game on SNF is a disadvantage for the following week. The road MNF point i get, but SNF? nah
seems like this is  
Enzo : 5/15/2020 9:48 am : link
an area where Mara needs to step up and make his voice heard. Squeaky wheel...
while I agree that this is annoying  
terz22 : 5/15/2020 10:26 am : link
But does this really provide a huge advantage. Just look at the teams in the top 10. Have any of those teams really had a huge amount of success this decade?
RE: while I agree that this is annoying  
ron mexico : 5/15/2020 10:37 am : link
In comment 14903434 terz22 said:
Quote:
But does this really provide a huge advantage. Just look at the teams in the top 10. Have any of those teams really had a huge amount of success this decade?


Be interesting (but not conclusive in any way) to see correlation between these rankings and records over the same 10 year period.
RE: RE: while I agree that this is annoying  
terz22 : 5/15/2020 10:43 am : link
In comment 14903446 ron mexico said:
Quote:
In comment 14903434 terz22 said:


Quote:


But does this really provide a huge advantage. Just look at the teams in the top 10. Have any of those teams really had a huge amount of success this decade?



Be interesting (but not conclusive in any way) to see correlation between these rankings and records over the same 10 year period.


Well just off the top of my head pretty sure that all teams in the top with the exception of cowboys and packers all had a sub 500 record.
'Life is unfair.'  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/15/2020 10:45 am : link
-JFK.
Some thoughts  
Mike in NY : 5/15/2020 10:54 am : link
While I think the Giants have definitely been boned by scheduling, there are two scenarios that likely exaggerate things and I was wondering if that was considered.

1) Playing in a competitive division with a lot of major media markets we get a lot more prime time games than Jacksonville v. Tennessee or Miami v. Buffalo.

2) Sharing a stadium with the Jets increases the likelihood of road games on short weeks because they don't want to give the Jets 3 straight road games to avoid the Giants having a short week road game in the 2nd of 3 weeks.

3) With how compact the NFC East it is less of a concern to schedulers versus with a conference like the AFC West where Chargers could be flying to Kansas City or vice versa. There are some years where we could have as few as 1 game outside of Eastern time zone (if we play all of AFC East or AFC North, all of NFC South with New Orleans game at home, @ Detroit, NFC West game at home).
It is interesting  
11 to 89 : 5/15/2020 10:56 am : link
Without a deep analysis, it seems like the teams in the bottom half of this chart are more successful than the teams in the top half (in general).

Likely reasoning is the more successful teams are likely to have more primetime games for obvious reasons and this results in them falling in the bottom half.

There are of course outliers like our beloved Giants.
RE: From the article -  
cokeduplt : 5/15/2020 11:05 am : link
In comment 14903353 11 to 89 said:
Quote:


Quote:


The most glaring takeaway should be with regard to the NFC East. The NFC East has two of the teams most negatively impacted by the NFL’s scheduling inequalities (Giants and Eagles) but also has one team that benefits most by the schedule, the Dallas Cowboys. That is extremely unfair and the effect will be further discussed below.




The league wants the cowboys to win, im not surprised by this. Unfortunately nothing will be done.
RE:  
David B. : 5/15/2020 11:14 am : link
Quote:
surprised that the Eagles are near the bottom. Seems like they always get a good deal schedule wise.


They do! They can always count on two wins against the Giants as a given.

Giants get the toughest schedule?
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
Thursday games suck for everyone but the tv execs and should be banned  
Spider56 : 5/15/2020 12:08 pm : link
but the data can be misleading because some teams historically don’t fare well after their bye weeks .... it also doesn’t take into account travel distances which can negate nearly a full day of rest ...
Nobody ever said, “life is fair.”  
Daniel in Kentucky : 5/15/2020 1:43 pm : link
Except for that old Russian carnival operator who was on the road 52 weeks a year, he always said “LIFE IS FARE!”
You have to look not only at the rankings  
Mike in Boston : 5/15/2020 1:54 pm : link
but also at the ranges. What is probably the most important stat there is whether your opponent has more time to prepare than you do. The full range from the most favorable to the least runs from averaging 1.5 games a year with more time to prepare to 1.2 games per year with less time to prepare. In other words, there really isn't much spread.

Nor would I read too much in to the fact that the same teams are near the top and near the bottom in all four measures, as the measures are obviously highly coupled. [e.g. when your opponent has more than 7 days to prepare, they are very likely to also have more time than you do.]
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