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4th and 15 Onside Kick Proposal Does NOT Pass

JB_in_DC : 5/28/2020 2:40 pm
Good news.
Breer: Per source, the onside kick proposal did NOT pass. - ( New Window )
Too bad  
Metnut : 5/28/2020 2:42 pm : link
Another year where we get 2 or 3 non-surprise onside recoveries all year.
I thought that sounded like a lot of fun  
NoGainDayne : 5/28/2020 2:42 pm : link
also reduces a high collision play. Seems like a win/win.

not good  
bronxct1 : 5/28/2020 2:44 pm : link
I can't see how anyone would be against this. The onside kick is basically useless at this point. Easier to turn the games off sooner.
That 4th-and-15 thing wasn't a good idea,  
81_Great_Dane : 5/28/2020 2:44 pm : link
but the current kickoff rules make onside kicks almost impossible. They may have improved safety but they have weakened the product on the field. Another solution is needed.
I preferred it to the current rule  
PaulBlakeTSU : 5/28/2020 2:44 pm : link
with most recent requirements, expected onside kicks rarely result in recoveries for the kicking team. It's a waste of time.

The new rule would create more room for aggressive decision-making and more interesting ends of games.
In today's NFL getting 15 yards is a joke especially with PI.  
robbieballs2003 : 5/28/2020 3:00 pm : link
This was not a solution. People may not like the way it currently is but why should things come easy? If a team puts themselves into a position to need a low percentage onsides kick then so be it. Why should a team have an advantage with a 4th and 15 in an offensive league? They are turning this sport into a 2 phase game instead of 3 phases. It is ruining the sport imo.
......  
CoughlinHandsonHips : 5/28/2020 3:01 pm : link
I agree, the 4th and 15 is too easily swayed by potential penalties


Good decision  
Torrag : 5/28/2020 3:02 pm : link
The game doesn't need more offensive favored gimmicks. Teams shouldn't be given more bailouts to overturn 58 minutes of game play. The low success rate of onside kicks should reflect the desperate situation you've been placed in due to being outplayed.

Well done.
RE: In today's NFL getting 15 yards is a joke especially with PI.  
Sec 103 : 5/28/2020 3:03 pm : link
In comment 14912654 robbieballs2003 said:
Quote:
This was not a solution. People may not like the way it currently is but why should things come easy? If a team puts themselves into a position to need a low percentage onsides kick then so be it. Why should a team have an advantage with a 4th and 15 in an offensive league? They are turning this sport into a 2 phase game instead of 3 phases. It is ruining the sport imo.


Been in decline for a long time now. Sadly this sport will diminish in quality as we become more and more "safe". Then again so did the Gladiators, perhaps a good thing?
Probably a blessing  
David B. : 5/28/2020 3:33 pm : link
For the Giants who can't cover TEs.
RE: Good decision  
AcidTest : 5/28/2020 3:35 pm : link
In comment 14912658 Torrag said:
Quote:
The game doesn't need more offensive favored gimmicks. Teams shouldn't be given more bailouts to overturn 58 minutes of game play. The low success rate of onside kicks should reflect the desperate situation you've been placed in due to being outplayed.

Well done.


As a purist I agree, but since converting a 4th and 15 is easier than recovering an onsides kick, this rule change could have potentially kept fans and viewers interested in a game that they would otherwise rightly conclude is likely over. And that interest might generate additional revenue.
RE: RE: In today's NFL getting 15 yards is a joke especially with PI.  
Sonic Youth : 5/28/2020 3:36 pm : link
In comment 14912659 Sec 103 said:
Quote:
In comment 14912654 robbieballs2003 said:


Quote:


This was not a solution. People may not like the way it currently is but why should things come easy? If a team puts themselves into a position to need a low percentage onsides kick then so be it. Why should a team have an advantage with a 4th and 15 in an offensive league? They are turning this sport into a 2 phase game instead of 3 phases. It is ruining the sport imo.



Been in decline for a long time now. Sadly this sport will diminish in quality as we become more and more "safe". Then again so did the Gladiators, perhaps a good thing?
I mean, there's no need to put safe in quotations. It is getting safer, but it is changing what the game was. Not mutually exclusive. I agree though, eventually there will be a point where the game is fundamentally different, unfortunately.
didn't like it for one reason  
GiantNatty : 5/28/2020 3:37 pm : link
silly defensive (holding) penalties that would let the offense keep the ball - you get one called against you, away from the play, and it's an automatic first down. WAY more likely than an onsides kick and too ripe for potential abuse.

also just a little gimmicky as previously mentioned...
4th and 15 was much easier than an onside kick  
PatersonPlank : 5/28/2020 3:53 pm : link
so I'm glad it failed. I think a 4th and 25 would have been more equitable.
I'm glad the proposal failed  
bLiTz 2k : 5/28/2020 3:58 pm : link
For the simple fact that the Eagles suggested it.


That is all.
'normally agree but that interest might generate additional revenue'  
Torrag : 5/28/2020 3:58 pm : link
The last thing the NFL should be considering is further damaging the quality of play for economic benefit. The league is extremely profitable. The only potential threat to that is mucking about with the product on the field by enacting proposals like this one.

Good  
K-Gun? Pop-Gun : 5/28/2020 4:00 pm : link
There will be too many strange things about the coming season, one way of another.
Keep it simple.
*or another  
K-Gun? Pop-Gun : 5/28/2020 4:01 pm : link
...
good. stop taking the foot out of football  
Victor in CT : 5/28/2020 4:03 pm : link
would the Saints 4th and 15 even be allowed to open the second half od the SB vs. Colts?
Good  
Trainmaster : 5/28/2020 4:08 pm : link
A way to make the onside kick less dangerous and have a higher kicking team success rate is needed, but this proposal was not the answer IMHO.
It’s going to pass eventually  
Giants in 07 : 5/28/2020 4:35 pm : link
.
yea I think the 4th and 15 is stupid  
Eric on Li : 5/28/2020 4:37 pm : link
bring back the old onside kicks or do something to slightly increase the odds of recovering. It's not nearly the collision danger full speed kick returns are since it's a short area and there are probably things they could do to make it a little safer.
That is good news.  
Ron from Ninerland : 5/28/2020 4:45 pm : link
According to Francesser about 10% of onside kicks are recovered by the kicking team. Thats fine with me. A team that is trailing by more than a touchdown in the final minutes is supposed to lose most of the time.
RE: That is good news.  
Victor in CT : 5/28/2020 4:51 pm : link
In comment 14912709 Ron from Ninerland said:
Quote:
According to Francesser about 10% of onside kicks are recovered by the kicking team. Thats fine with me. A team that is trailing by more than a touchdown in the final minutes is supposed to lose most of the time.


EXACTLY! that's what makes it an exciting "miracle play" when it works.
Good  
XBRONX : 5/28/2020 4:53 pm : link
No gimmicks.
...and anyway, this idea was proposed by the Eagles  
GiantSteps : 5/28/2020 4:54 pm : link
screw them
Now repeal the recent changes  
Sneakers O'toole : 5/28/2020 5:08 pm : link
to the play and be done with it.
RE: I'm glad the proposal failed  
smshmth8690 : 5/28/2020 5:15 pm : link
In comment 14912690 bLiTz 2k said:
Quote:
For the simple fact that the Eagles suggested it.


That is all.


HAHA! I was going to post the same.
it's a special teams play  
GiantsFan84 : 5/28/2020 5:27 pm : link
and it should be decided by special teams, not offense and defense

just bring the old rule back for onside kicks only
RE: it's a special teams play  
Fritz : 5/28/2020 6:08 pm : link
In comment 14912721 GiantsFan84 said:
Quote:
and it should be decided by special teams, not offense and defense

just bring the old rule back for onside kicks only


I agree. Outside of the rare surprise that the Saints pulled off everyone knows when an onside kick is coming so let them play it the same way they did In the past in the final four minutes of the game.
4th and 25 seems like it would be more  
widmerseyebrow : 5/28/2020 6:20 pm : link
in line with the probabilities of recovering an onside.
GOOD!...  
Tark10 : 5/28/2020 6:24 pm : link
Glad it didn't pass. What's next? When a player crosses the goal line his uniform will start flashing? The game is turning in to a video game as is....
Bummer  
St. Jimmy : 5/28/2020 6:25 pm : link
Finally some sanity prevails ...  
Spider56 : 5/28/2020 6:42 pm : link
Dopey proposals like this belong in the XFL or some video game ... Enough with the changes.
RE: RE: That is good news.  
Leg of Theismann : 5/28/2020 7:05 pm : link
In comment 14912712 Victor in CT said:
Quote:
In comment 14912709 Ron from Ninerland said:


Quote:


According to Francesser about 10% of onside kicks are recovered by the kicking team. Thats fine with me. A team that is trailing by more than a touchdown in the final minutes is supposed to lose most of the time.



EXACTLY! that's what makes it an exciting "miracle play" when it works.


10% with the current rules? Or the old rules? Or, which rule set is 10% success rate?
a couple of additional notes that caught my eye  
US1 Giants : 5/28/2020 7:29 pm : link
and didn't see posted

Quote:

This season, teams will have three slots for activating players who were placed on injured reserve, instead of two.

In another attempt to curtail concussions, kick and punt returners must be given time to ward off impending contact before they are hit.


Link - ( New Window )
4 th  
joeinpa : 5/28/2020 7:57 pm : link
And 15 was converted 28% last season. With certain quarterbacks like a Maholmes it s probably higher.

RE: 4th and 25 seems like it would be more  
FStubbs : 5/28/2020 9:04 pm : link
In comment 14912736 widmerseyebrow said:
Quote:
in line with the probabilities of recovering an onside.


Not against some of the defenses the Giants have fielded the last few years.
Teams have a hard time making it on 4th and 1!  
Jack Stroud : 5/28/2020 9:45 pm : link
.
RE: Good decision  
allstarjim : 5/28/2020 10:30 pm : link
In comment 14912658 Torrag said:
Quote:
The game doesn't need more offensive favored gimmicks. Teams shouldn't be given more bailouts to overturn 58 minutes of game play. The low success rate of onside kicks should reflect the desperate situation you've been placed in due to being outplayed.

Well done.


Couldn't agree more! Excellent post.
RE: RE: Good decision  
allstarjim : 5/28/2020 10:31 pm : link
In comment 14912677 AcidTest said:
Quote:
In comment 14912658 Torrag said:


Quote:


The game doesn't need more offensive favored gimmicks. Teams shouldn't be given more bailouts to overturn 58 minutes of game play. The low success rate of onside kicks should reflect the desperate situation you've been placed in due to being outplayed.

Well done.



As a purist I agree, but since converting a 4th and 15 is easier than recovering an onsides kick, this rule change could have potentially kept fans and viewers interested in a game that they would otherwise rightly conclude is likely over. And that interest might generate additional revenue.


Last I checked the NFL was already ridiculously popular.
I'd like to keep it a special teams play  
rasbutant : 5/28/2020 10:36 pm : link
Make the kickers more important. What is some kind of skill play that the kicker could do?

Some ideas of the top of my head....
1. Kick a 65 yard field goal = get the ball at the 20....oh or maybe its kick a 60 yarder and get it at the 5, or risk it at 65 yards and get the ball at say the 25 yard line? Add a little game of chance by the coach depend on the situation (i.e. time left on the clock)!

2. Directional punter skills comp...ball has to land between the 10 yard line and goal line and bounce out of bounds. Defense can try to block. If 10 is too easy, make it 5 yard line?

3. Kicker has to get the ball to land in the endzone without going out of bounds. Defense can have 1 player defend the goal line and try to stop any balls that hit in the field of play outside the endzone (i.e. a ball that is rolling/bouncing towards the endzone).

4. A game of Dodgeball? haha

5. Kicker has to hit one of the uprights on the goal post. would have to test the probability to determine distance away.

6. From the Pro Bowl Skills Showdown... "a game called "Kick Tac Toe," where kickers will try to hit a grid of targets inside the uprights."

What you got?



10% is half  
bronxct1 : 5/29/2020 7:40 am : link
The current 10% rate is half what the recovery rate was before the rule change. Teams used to recover onside kicks between 20-25% per season. Coincidentally, teams convert 3rd and 4th and 15 around 25% of the time.
This is about getting teams to be able to get the ball back when down around the same rate they would prior to the rule change without bringing back a dangerous play.

just so we're all on the same page  
PaulBlakeTSU : 5/29/2020 8:10 am : link
V.I.G. posted these in the last thread bout this. Let's not overstate how easy it is to convert 4th and 15 or how often automatic first down penalties are called





a defensive penalty resulting in an automatic first down looks to happen about 2% of the time.
RE: just so we're all on the same page  
NINEster : 5/29/2020 12:51 pm : link
In comment 14912882 PaulBlakeTSU said:
Quote:
V.I.G. posted these in the last thread bout this. Let's not overstate how easy it is to convert 4th and 15 or how often automatic first down penalties are called





a defensive penalty resulting in an automatic first down looks to happen about 2% of the time.


Nice graphic. 2% of the time is accurate I'm sure when you look at every single 3rd down snap over 196 games played in a regular season. However under the bright lights in a tight game, we all know that number is significantly higher....could be as high as 20-25% in the modern game.

The graphic shows 3rd and 15 converts at 25%. Mahomes was able to convert that aided by a no holding call on Bosa in the Super Bowl.....regular season or a lesser name QB, probably not.

The way you implement this rule is to find a way to really curtail penalties (and eliminate cheap ones like defensive holding, automatic first down).

RE: Good decision  
BlueVinnie : 5/30/2020 8:55 am : link
In comment 14912658 Torrag said:
Quote:
The game doesn't need more offensive favored gimmicks. Teams shouldn't be given more bailouts to overturn 58 minutes of game play. The low success rate of onside kicks should reflect the desperate situation you've been placed in due to being outplayed.


I was hoping 4th and 15 would pass. However, I have to admit that Torrag's statement above has actually made me rethink my position on the issue. Well said Torag.
I don't think there was one non surprise onside kick recovered  
Zeke's Alibi : 5/30/2020 8:58 am : link
with a team down one score. I saw a few recovered when the other team essentially had the game in hand, but I can't remember one recovered that gave a team a chance to win.
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