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The Athletic: Most dominant Giants team of the last 50 years

Giantsfan79 : 6/1/2020 11:38 am
so the Athletic wrote a piece where they calculated the most dominant team for each franchise over the last 50 years (so every team gets one entry on the list). They then ranked those teams. For sake of discussion the list

1. 85 Bears
2. 84 49ers
3. 91 Washington
4. 73 Dolphins
5. 07 Patriots
6. 75 Steelers
7. 01 Rams
8. 96 Packers
9. 98 Broncos
10. 77 Cowboys
11. 98 Vikings
12. 86 Giants

disclaimer: This is not a ranking of teams with the most Hall of Famers. The formula does not take into account excellence sustained over multiple seasons. It does not claim to identify the best or most accomplished teams, or the one that might be most likely to win a head-to-head matchup based on playing styles, quarterback strength, coaching, etc. The formula measures dominance across a single season,
The 07 Patriots were unstoppable  
JohnB : 6/1/2020 11:50 am : link
No one could beat them. An amazing team if there ever was one. I don't know why they aren't #1.

The 86 team  
David B. : 6/1/2020 12:21 pm : link
WAS the most DOMINANT Giants team of the Super Bowl era.
2008 Pre-Plax would have been next (IMO)

The other Giants SB teams weren't supposed to win them.
Vikings '98  
jestersdead : 6/1/2020 12:21 pm : link
How does a team that doesn't make it/win the Super Bowl get ranked ahead of team that won it? If you have the 84 49ers and 85 Bears in the top 3, how do the Giants of 86 rank last?
Because  
David B. : 6/1/2020 12:43 pm : link
it's based on domination. Not SB wins. Not squeaking out wins.
Did they dominate their opponents? That Vikings team went 15-1 and probably should have won it all that year. Just like the 07 Pats. But that's why they play the games.
That is  
David B. : 6/1/2020 12:44 pm : link
It's probably at least somewhat based on score differential over the entire season.
Giants really didn't kill teams in the regular season  
Moondawg : 6/1/2020 1:07 pm : link
by my count, only 4 games were big wins in the regular season. Many 3-point or 7 point wins.
RE: The 86 team  
Danny Kanell : 6/1/2020 1:26 pm : link
In comment 14914139 David B. said:
Quote:
WAS the most DOMINANT Giants team of the Super Bowl era.
2008 Pre-Plax would have been next (IMO)

The other Giants SB teams weren't supposed to win them.


Agreed on 2008. I was a little too young for 86. 2008 was the best Giant team in my years as a fan.
I think the 86 Giants should ve higher  
George from PA : 6/1/2020 1:47 pm : link
Considering where the 84 49ers and 85 Bears.....
The 90 Bills team should be there as well.....if teams that do not win  
George from PA : 6/1/2020 1:50 pm : link
Super bowls on there

The '86 Giants would have picked their teeth  
Greg from LI : 6/1/2020 1:55 pm : link
With half of the teams of that list
1986 team was dominate in the playoffs but  
LBH15 : 6/1/2020 2:24 pm : link
had a lot of competitive games thru season.

To their credit, there were some really strong teams that season in the NFL, and Giants played and beat them all during the regular season.
91 Washington team seems a bit high  
LBH15 : 6/1/2020 2:26 pm : link
I like that they had that Viking team...they were damn good.
RE: Vikings '98  
chuckydee9 : 6/1/2020 2:40 pm : link
In comment 14914140 jestersdead said:
Quote:
How does a team that doesn't make it/win the Super Bowl get ranked ahead of team that won it? If you have the 84 49ers and 85 Bears in the top 3, how do the Giants of 86 rank last?


The 86 Giants are ranked 12 out of 32..
RE: The 07 Patriots were unstoppable  
giants#1 : 6/1/2020 2:45 pm : link
In comment 14914114 JohnB said:
Quote:
No one could beat them. An amazing team if there ever was one. I don't know why they aren't #1.


RE: Giants really didn't kill teams in the regular season  
81_Great_Dane : 6/1/2020 2:45 pm : link
In comment 14914176 Moondawg said:
Quote:
by my count, only 4 games were big wins in the regular season. Many 3-point or 7 point wins.
I remember the '86 season well enough to confirm that during the season, they didn't seem dominant AT ALL. There were big concerns about the offense. Lots of squeakers. They didn't really become dominant until the end, especially the playoffs. I think that ranking for the '86 team is fair.

Regular-season dominance is overrated anyway.
So basically this is a list of the most dominant regular season teams  
Stu11 : 6/1/2020 2:46 pm : link
of the past 50 years? Who gives a rat's ass if you blow out the last place Falcons by 50 points? Its dominating the playoff teams that makes you dominant. what the '84 Niners/'85 Bears/'86 Giants and 91 Redskins did in the playoffs.
the 86 team  
fanofthejets : 6/1/2020 2:55 pm : link
Really impressed me later in the year they went into Candlestick and overcame a big deficit to beat San Fran iirc. Also three wins over Gibbs and the Skins. The margins maybe weren't that impressive but they never had a slip up other than maybe week 1 and that's always the most deceptive week of the season.
RE: The 07 Patriots were unstoppable  
Tuckrule : 6/1/2020 3:17 pm : link
In comment 14914114 JohnB said:
Quote:
No one could beat them. An amazing team if there ever was one. I don't know why they aren't #1.


Because they lost the big game to a wildcard team
I think the 86 team D  
David B. : 6/1/2020 3:18 pm : link
Dominated for most of the season. LT was league MVP and unstoppable. Nobody ran on them, they terrorized QBs and knocked several of them out of games. The offense took time to get going. After 4th-17 against the Vikings, they seemed to dominate and (to me) looked like the best team in the league -- and like they were going to the SB. BUT, Redskins and 49ers were almost as good in 86 as the Giants were.
a team  
PaulBlakeTSU : 6/1/2020 3:49 pm : link
losing the last game of the season as their only loss isn't necessarily less dominant than another team that also lost a game, or multiple games, but earlier in the season.

Dominance is about a high level of play, and a consistent level of play such that in any given match-up, there is a high likelihood of success.

It's why the 2007 Patriots still have the highest ELO of all time (per 538).
The '07 Pats were slowing down near the end...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 6/1/2020 3:59 pm : link
I visited a cousin up in Maine in late October 2007 when they hosted the Skins & the Pats won something like 56-3. Just absurd. I remember thinking there was no way they weren't winning it all. But then they nearly lost to the Eagles, to the Ravens, & then us. They didn't look too hot vs. the Jags & a very banged up Chargers team in the title game.

This isn't revisionist history, but I was pretty confident going into XLII. I thought we were going to win.
RE: RE: The 07 Patriots were unstoppable  
Man In The Box : 6/1/2020 4:23 pm : link
In comment 14914258 Tuckrule said:
Quote:
In comment 14914114 JohnB said:


Quote:


No one could beat them. An amazing team if there ever was one. I don't know why they aren't #1.




Because they lost the big game to a wildcard team


John B's "I don't know why they're not #1"  
ColHowPepper : 6/1/2020 4:56 pm : link
tongue in cheek, ya think? I think
The 86 Giants would have steamrolled  
moespree : 6/1/2020 5:08 pm : link
Numbers 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 on that list.
86 team was 14-2 and won the SB by 20 pts  
PatersonPlank : 6/1/2020 5:13 pm : link
yet they aren't as good as the 98 Vikings?
for those without a subscription  
jestersdead : 6/1/2020 6:31 pm : link
Quote:
The formula measures dominance across a single season, as defined by the following criteria:

• Regular-season win-loss record (35 percent). Dominant teams should win most of their games.

• Regular-season points-per-game ratio (35 percent). We divided PPG scored by PPG allowed to produce a ratio rewarding dominance across eras.

• Postseason winning percentage (10 percent). Dominant teams should win in the postseason, but we didn’t want a single playoff defeat to disqualify teams outright, which is why the weighting was lower.

• Postseason PPG ratio (10 percent). The 1985 Chicago Bears scored 9.1 points for every point allowed during the playoffs. We wanted that type of dominance to count for something.

• Regular-season and postseason point differential versus teams that finished the regular season with winning records (10 percent). We rewarded teams that played more games against strong opponents and dominated in those games.

After calculating percentile rankings for each team in each category, we weighted those results, added them together and multiplied by 100 to create power rankings on a 0-to-100 scale.

We have ordered the 32 teams below from most to least dominant. Each team’s entry includes a table revealing results from each variable used in the formula. PPG ratios are formatted so that the 1985 Bears team that outscored its opponents by a 9.1-to-1 ratio would read simply “9.1:1” in the table. Those interested in reading the original piece will find it here. Thanks again to Pro Football Reference for the data used in this analysis.


Quote:
12. New York Giants (1986)
W-L
14-2
PPG Ratio
1.6:1
Playoff W-L
3-0
Playoff PPG Ratio
4.6:1
Point Diff. vs Winning Teams
103
Power Ranking
90.4
This team and the 1990 version (34th overall) were the only Giants teams since 1970 that contended seriously for spots in the overall top 25. The 1986 Giants far outpaced the others since 1970 in postseason PPG ratio and point differential against winning teams. This team outscored its three playoff opponents by 35-8 on average, producing the third-highest postseason PPG ratio for any team since 1970, behind the Bears (9.1) and 1989 49ers (4.8).
about the 86 team  
Burtman : 6/1/2020 6:58 pm : link
You can't look at the scores to determine dominance for that team. A lead of 7 points was like any other team leading by 21 points. That defense was relentless.
I respect the athletic  
djm : 6/1/2020 8:42 pm : link
But that list looks like it was compiled by someone who simply didn’t watch or study some of the listed teams nearly enough. How on earth could the 86 giants be listed well below so many teams that didn’t dominate the postseason like the giants did? The fucking 98 Vikings??? While they were losing at HOME to the Atlanta Falcons without a single legendary talent the giants were curb stomping a team led by the hogs and now Gibbs. Take that list and wipe someone’s ass with it.
If it’s regular season only  
djm : 6/1/2020 8:50 pm : link
That’s one thing but even then the 98 Vikings never had a great D that season. They never had to go through the mid 80s ntc East or deal with the mid 80s niners. I have a very hard time believing that the 98 Vikings had a comparable schedule to the 86 giants. The nfc wasn’t that good in 98 or at least the normally dominant teams of the mid late 90s like Dallas and the rams and even the packers weren’t that dominant in 98. Vikings weren’t in their class if you ask me. Their D was suspect.

December and January need to be factored in with much more weight than September - November. That’s all there is to it.
I never like..  
FatMan in Charlotte : 6/1/2020 8:52 pm : link
when teams are compared by their margin of victory.

Some of the games in the 80's, Parcells would get a lead and play possession football and let the defense seal the deal.

The 17-0 game against the Skins was about the biggest show of dominance a team could have. At no time did it seem like the Giants could lose.
2000 Ravens  
Scott in Seattle : 6/1/2020 8:54 pm : link
I'm not sure why they're not on this list. They may have lost 4 games and weren't nearly as dominant for the first half of that year, but that defense was absolutely lights-out - along with the '85 Bears, the most dominant I've ever seen - and by the end of that year, no one was even remotely close.
Wait...  
Greg from LI : 6/1/2020 9:20 pm : link
They note this:

Quote:
This team outscored its three playoff opponents by 35-8 on average, producing the third-highest postseason PPG ratio for any team since 1970, behind the Bears (9.1) and 1989 49ers (4.8).


So, by their own metric, the Giants were behind only the Bears and Niners in postseason dominance, yet they're only 12th in this ranking? Piss off with that nonsense.

Also, if I wanted to be really bitchy about it, the only thing that puts the Giants behind the '89 Niners in that ratio is a meaningless garbage time TD with 2 minutes remaining in the Super Bowl when all of the defensive starters were out of the game. Their ratio would have been 6.56 otherwise.
RE: Because  
BlueVinnie : 6/2/2020 8:35 am : link
In comment 14914159 David B. said:
Quote:
it's based on domination. Not SB wins. Not squeaking out wins.
Did they dominate their opponents? That Vikings team went 15-1 and probably should have won it all that year. Just like the 07 Pats. But that's why they play the games.

They absolutely dominated in the playoffs. They completely destroyed the 49ers, shutout the Skins and dominated the second half of the SB against the Broncos to win by nearly 20 points.
what a bunch of crap  
Dr. D : 6/2/2020 8:57 am : link
I don't care what their criteria is, putting the 98 Vikings over the 86 Giants is stupid.

And how were the 91 Redskins so much better than the 86 Giants? Had the same reg season record (14-2), including some close games. They had some blow outs early in the season, but some close ones late (including 2 Ls in the last 5 reg season games), whereas the 86 Giants finished the season strong (destroyed the Packers 55-24).
96 Packers  
Dr. D : 6/2/2020 9:23 am : link
were 13-3 reg season. F*ck pt differential, how is that better than 14-2?

And 6 of their victories were in their lousy division against 5-11 Det Lions, 6-10 TB Bucs and 7-9 Bears. They went 1-1 against their best div rival, the 9-7 Vikings.

Anyone with a brain should see that the NFC East of '86 was significantly better than the NFC Central of '96 and the 86 Giants schedule was much more difficult than 96 Packers.

The 96 Packers also beat the 6-10 Rams, 7-9 Seahawks and 8-8 Chargers.

So, 8 of their victories were against teams with losing records, 1 against team with .500 record and 2 of their losses came against teams with 9-7 records (Vikes and Chiefs).

More dominant than 86 Giants? Ha!
RE: The 86 Giants would have steamrolled  
BlueLou'sBack : 6/2/2020 10:16 am : link
In comment 14914305 moespree said:
Quote:
Numbers 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 on that list.


Agree, and that's why the point differential method of declaring "dominance" is horse pucky.

If you factor in who the close game wins were accomplished against, Parcels' almost pathological fear of using Phil Simm's talent to his fullest extent, and factors like maybe if you could ask each team who they were physically beat up by the most after each game, the '86 Giants rank much closer to the '85 Bears (who deserve #1) than they appear on this list, IMO.

That Giants team knocked QBs out of games, again and again. It wasn't the right measure of them simply to look at a score; you had to look at how many men were left standing by games' end.
RE: for those without a subscription  
Osi Osi Osi OyOyOy : 6/2/2020 10:55 am : link
In comment 14914349 jestersdead said:
Quote:


Quote:


The formula measures dominance across a single season, as defined by the following criteria:

• Regular-season win-loss record (35 percent). Dominant teams should win most of their games.

• Regular-season points-per-game ratio (35 percent). We divided PPG scored by PPG allowed to produce a ratio rewarding dominance across eras.

• Postseason winning percentage (10 percent). Dominant teams should win in the postseason, but we didn’t want a single playoff defeat to disqualify teams outright, which is why the weighting was lower.

• Postseason PPG ratio (10 percent). The 1985 Chicago Bears scored 9.1 points for every point allowed during the playoffs. We wanted that type of dominance to count for something.

• Regular-season and postseason point differential versus teams that finished the regular season with winning records (10 percent). We rewarded teams that played more games against strong opponents and dominated in those games.

After calculating percentile rankings for each team in each category, we weighted those results, added them together and multiplied by 100 to create power rankings on a 0-to-100 scale.

We have ordered the 32 teams below from most to least dominant. Each team’s entry includes a table revealing results from each variable used in the formula. PPG ratios are formatted so that the 1985 Bears team that outscored its opponents by a 9.1-to-1 ratio would read simply “9.1:1” in the table. Those interested in reading the original piece will find it here. Thanks again to Pro Football Reference for the data used in this analysis.


I feel like the factors they considered are relevant, but the weights they gave those factors seem pretty random. Why 35% for Regular season PPG differential but 10% for Playoff Win percentage? Just seems very arbitrary.

If you re-weight the factors to value the playoffs more and then re-weight performance as the season goes on (Game 16 matters more than Game 15 matters more than Game 14, etc.), then you would get a better list imo.
538's best teams of all-time per ELO  
PaulBlakeTSU : 6/2/2020 10:59 am : link
for those unfamiliar with ELO ratings, it stems from the way chess players are ranked. It's a simple system that compares head to head results. In this case, it only looks at final margin of victory and home field advantage. But, using it for all teams in all games, it is able to produce a compelling rating system.

It's not perfect, and it's not the only thing that should be considered. It's just one methodology that uses a series of input to spit out results. It uses fewer inputs than what Vegas odds-makers use, but it is relatively effective.

You can read more about their process here (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/introducing-nfl-elo-ratings/).


In 2015, they ran a test to compare the ELO ratings of the most dominant NFL teams of all-time

Quote:

The Elo rating, as longtime FiveThirtyEight football readers will recall, is our pet metric for evaluating a team’s skill level at any given moment. Elo is hardly the only power rating in town, but we like it because it’s a relatively simple algorithm with an elegant, endlessly customizable design that makes the most of the information it receives.

It’s also easy to compute for historical seasons, which is what my colleagues Reuben Fischer-Baum and Nate Silver did Wednesday in an interactive graphic that maps out the complete history of the NFL. It’s intended to help visualize the jagged peaks and valleys of a franchise’s performance from week to week and season to season. And no matter how you measure it, the zenith of that 2007 Patriots campaign is our interactive’s Mount Everest.

Quote:
Peak ratings aren’t everything, though, and the 2007 Patriots are an example of why. Despite possessing the best Elo ever, New England lost Super Bowl XLII to the New York Giants, sending their end-of-season rating tumbling to 1824. It’s still the best season-ending Elo ever, but it shows why a balance must be struck between the apex of a team’s performance and a consideration for its play outside of its best stretch.

That’s why, for our master ranking of the best Elo seasons ever,5 we computed each team’s season-ending Elo6 and its season-long mean Elo7 in addition to its peak rating. The teams in the table above are ranked by the column labeled “blend,” which simply takes the average of the three measurements to get a more holistic picture of a team’s quality. (You can, of course, sort by any of the three component metrics as well.)


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-best-nfl-teams-of-all-time-according-to-elo/ - ( New Window )
85 Bears versus 86 Giants  
Lines of Scrimmage : 6/2/2020 11:44 am : link
Something does not seem right about the gap between the two (1 vs. 12). No Dallas team in the top 12? Overall I don't find this the best list.
RE: Giants really didn't kill teams in the regular season  
TheMick7 : 6/2/2020 11:57 am : link
In comment 14914176 Moondawg said:
Quote:
by my count, only 4 games were big wins in the regular season. Many 3-point or 7 point wins.


Until the end of the season when everything started to click & their domination continued into the Playoffs & Super Bowl...
I think they got the 1986 Giants fairly correct  
LBH15 : 6/2/2020 12:52 pm : link
They were far from dominate on Offense during most of the regular season. But the overall team was very dominate in playoffs as mentioned which probably got them on this top list at all. And I think margin of victory if fine to use as long as measured over entire season.
RE: The 07 Patriots were unstoppable  
Vanzetti : 6/2/2020 5:06 pm : link
In comment 14914114 JohnB said:
Quote:
No one could beat them. An amazing team if there ever was one. I don't know why they aren't #1.


19-0 The Perfect Season

I heard there is a good book about it but I have ever been able to find a copy
RE: Wait...  
NINEster : 6/2/2020 8:03 pm : link
In comment 14914435 Greg from LI said:
Quote:
They note this:



Quote:


This team outscored its three playoff opponents by 35-8 on average, producing the third-highest postseason PPG ratio for any team since 1970, behind the Bears (9.1) and 1989 49ers (4.8).



So, by their own metric, the Giants were behind only the Bears and Niners in postseason dominance, yet they're only 12th in this ranking? Piss off with that nonsense.

Also, if I wanted to be really bitchy about it, the only thing that puts the Giants behind the '89 Niners in that ratio is a meaningless garbage time TD with 2 minutes remaining in the Super Bowl when all of the defensive starters were out of the game. Their ratio would have been 6.56 otherwise.


Really?

Doubtful. And even if the ratio was identical, the postseason run is why many people think the '89 team was the best Niner team ever when '84 was more consistently dominant.

1989 ran through the postseason 126-26...+100 differential is one of if not the highest ever.

Lost two regular season games by a combined 5 points.

8-0 on the road.

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