Cannot keep your #1 pick (mine was Dalvin Cook) in this league but if you keep your second round pick,you lose your #1 (I draft 7th in 10 team league).Davante Adams was my 2nd round pick & I'm leaning towards keeping him,surrendering my first round pick. What do you think?
I don't think I'd keep him, but it wouldn't be the worst decision.
Any chance Cook falls to you based on who others will keep? I think you'd need 4 or 5 people keeping their 2nd round picks (so losing their 1st), so probably not.
No way I'd keep Adams over one of them. I'd hope as many people keep 1st round picks as possible. Maybe McAffrey or Kamara fall to you or even Cook, Zeke, or Thomas.
Worst case Adams is BPA at 7, though I doubt it, and I'd take that chance.
You have to give us all the info. You can't give us bits and expect accurate answers. You made it sound like only one keeper. As someone else stated, put a list together yourself and you'll have a better understanding.
In the 2nd round of a keeper league that could be good value.
If I were you, I'd go through the teams in the league and mark off on a cheat sheet the players you think will be kept and also fill out a little draft grid with where they would be kept from a draft perspective. Do this exercise using as much knowledge as you have about your competitors as you can (ie Team 1 always keeps a QB, team 5 loves the Jets and will keep Lev Bell even though it will cost him a first round pick, etc) but fill in the rest with your best guess of how you would approach those teams.
Then you can assign value to your players. Is Davante Adams actually the 7th best player not marked off (or if a 1st round pick was used to keep a player before 7 the 6th)? If not, then toss him back. Repeat this process for all of your potential keepers. If the value is close, then you have to decide whether you want to keep that player - or throw him back and hope someone else takes him before you which causes a player you do like to drop to you.
As an aside, I don't think Watson is a no brainer at 5.7 (47th pick) in a 10 team league. And that's said as someone who takes QB earlier than the experts advise and a Watson mark. You know you're league better than us though, so if you love Watson and/or you don't think there's any way you'll get him back (or someone comparable) then keep him. Just a note... he's currently QB 5/6 with an ADP in the mid60s, so you may want to do the analysis to see who you think might be available to you at 5.7 and what QB(s) you might be able to get instead before you decide to keep him.